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NCCU

North Carolina Central 14 at Florida International 39

FIU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadNCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreNCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Nathaniel Tilque punt for 42 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 9 yds to the NCCtl 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+29.9Home team on offense+9.8Score differential+4.1Garbage-time factor+0.5Blowout margin+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:49: Jaquell Taylor 26 Yd Interception Return (Nigel Macauley Kick) — NCCU win probability +2.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:51: Anthony Jones run for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:20: Idreis Augustus run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK) — NCCU win probability +2.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: NCCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:00: Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED) — FIU win probability +3.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:45: Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7NCCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:26FIU 4th & 9 at NCCU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26NCCU 4th & 11 at NCCU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:19FIU 4th & 10 at NCCU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    91.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45NCCU 4th & 5 at NCCU 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:46NCCU 4th & 10 at NCCU 36, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:51NCCU 4th & 1 at NCCU 40, down 19
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:03FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 29, up 19
    Close callPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00NCCU 4th & 30 at NCCU 5, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:00NCCU 4th & 2 at NCCU 33, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:47FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 20, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51NCCU 4th & 13 at NCCU 49, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:30NCCU 4th & 8 at FIU 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:43FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 15, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:29NCCU 4th & 1 at midfield, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:22FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 23, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:57NCCU 4th & 1 at NCCU 35, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:18FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 36, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NCCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:46FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:49NCCU Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:12FIU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:51FIU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:20NCCU Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:00FIU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:45FIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:3496% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
95.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+27
95.8%
Alex McGough run for 27 yds to the NCCtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
95.8%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+11
95.8%
Alex McGough run for 11 yds to the NCCtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.8%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the NCCtl 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
95.8%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 15
0
95.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 9
OPP 15
+32
95.2%
Austin Taylor 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.1%
Malcolm Bell pass incomplete to Nathan ScruggsSimilar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-7
95.1%
Malcolm Bell sacked by Denzell Perine for a loss of 7 yards to the NCCtl 22Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 17
OWN 22
-5
95.2%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 17Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 22
OWN 17
+11
95.2%
Malcolm Bell pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 11 yds to the NCCtl 28Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+2
95.2%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 27 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0495% → 95%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
95.0%
JONES, Anthony rush for 4 yards to the NCCU49 (SPRUILL,Darius;MOORE,C.J.), PENALTY FIU H 10 yards to the FIU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+12
94.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 12 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
95.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 48Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+29
95.0%
Alex McGough run for 29 yds to the NCCtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.1%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
95.1%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the NCCtl 19Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
95.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
94.6%
Austin Taylor 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:345% → 5%
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
94.6%
Malcolm Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCCtl 22Similar
Q1 7:19
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
94.6%
Malcolm Bell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+8
94.7%
Malcolm Bell pass complete to Armani Lanier for 8 yds to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
94.7%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 38 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 32 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the FlaIn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 2:0995% → 95%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
94.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
94.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
94.4%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 0
0
94.4%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to GARDNER, Alex, PENALTY FIU H off-setting, PENALTY NCCU H off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+64
95.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 64 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED)Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.3%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, OF ( Yards) to the NCCtl 1Similar
Q1 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
95.3%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, IM (-5 Yards) to the NCCtl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.9%
Malcolm Bell pass complete to Khalil Stinson for 3 yds to the NCCtl 28Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
94.9%
Idreis Augustus run for 8 yds to the NCCtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.8%
Malcolm Bell pass incomplete to LaVontis SmithSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
94.9%
Malcolm Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCtl 34Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+2
94.9%
Malcolm Bell run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 36Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
95.0%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Clinton Taylor at the FlaIn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4295% → 93%
Q1 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
95.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+26
92.9%
Jaquell Taylor 26 Yd Interception Return (Nigel Macauley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
19 plays · 88 yds · 7:3793% → 95%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
92.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+11
92.8%
Alex Gardner run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
92.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 9 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+2
92.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthony Jones for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
92.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Julian Williams for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
93.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+6
92.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the NCCtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
93.1%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+8
93.1%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the NCCtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
93.2%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
93.2%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+6
93.0%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the NCCtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
93.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-2
93.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the NCCtl 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+16
92.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 16 yds to the NCCtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.2%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the NCCtl 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q2 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
94.2%
Malcolm Bell pass intercepted Shermarke Spence return for no gain to the NCCtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
96.4%
Anthony Jones run for 26 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
95.7%
Idreis Augustus run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 24Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
95.6%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Nathan Scruggs for 7 yds to the NCCtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.6%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Khalil Stinson, broken up by Denzell PerineSimilar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
95.7%
Idreis Augustus run for 3 yds to the NCCtl 34Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
95.7%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Jvon Simmons for 6 yds to the NCCtl 40Similar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
95.6%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
96.4%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 9
OWN 4
+8
96.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+8
96.3%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
96.4%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
96.3%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 5:03
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
96.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 43 yds, downed at the NCCtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 1:044% → 7%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
95.7%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 17 yds to the NCCtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
95.5%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Jalen Wilkes for 19 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.2%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Deyonta Wright, broken up by Anthony WintSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+14
95.3%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 14 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
94.9%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 8 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+4
94.9%
Quinn Billerman run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
94.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
94.9%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Armani Lanier for 9 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.0%
Idreis Augustus run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nigel Macauley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.6%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Jalen Wilkes, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
93.7%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 17 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.0%
Quinn Billerman pass intercepted Anthony Wint return for no gain to the FlaIn 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -20 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 2 yds to the NCCtl 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
92.9%
Quinn Billerman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-8
93.1%
Quinn Billerman sacked by Denzell Perine for a loss of 8 yards to the NCCtl 5 Quinn Billerman fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 30
OWN 5
+9
93.4%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 42 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 9 yds to the NCCtl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3294% → 97%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem GrinerSimilar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 36Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+20
93.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 20 yds to the NCCtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
97.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.6%
Idreis Augustus run for 1 yd to the NCCtl 26Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
95.6%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Jalen WilkesSimilar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
95.7%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 7 yds to the NCCtl 33Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.5%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0197% → 99%
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
96.8%
Alex McGough sacked by Tony Tate for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+22
96.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 22 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
97.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 8 yds to the NCCtl 46Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-1
97.0%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCCtl 47Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+17
96.9%
Alex Gardner run for 17 yds to the NCCtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
97.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 6 yds to the NCCtl 24Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
97.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 5 yds to the NCCtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
97.0%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the NCCtl 19Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+18
97.1%
Alex Gardner run for 18 yds to the NCCtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.0%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the NCCtl 1Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Denzell Perine) to the NCCtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Armani LanierSimilar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.0%
Idreis Augustus run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
99.0%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to LaVontis Smith for 10 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
99.0%
Idreis Augustus run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
98.8%
Idreis Augustus run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 9
OPP 26
0
98.9%
Quinn Billerman pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Davis return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Julian Williams, broken up by Davanta ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 51 yds, downed at the NCCtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:191% → 1%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.2%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Idreis Augustus for 9 yds to the NCCtl 38Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
99.2%
Dorrel McClain run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
99.2%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Nathan Scruggs for 12 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.2%
Dorrel McClain run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
99.1%
Dorrel McClain run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
99.3%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Jalen WilkesSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 41
-5
99.3%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, false start (Wallace Cooper) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 8
OPP 46
-5
99.3%
NC CENTRAL Penalty, false start (Wallace Cooper) to the NCCtl 49Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
99.3%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FUMBLE
5 plays · 32 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+5
99.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+2
99.6%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
99.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+10
99.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 10 yds Jonnu Smith fumbled, recovered by NCCtl Tre'Von KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.3%
Idreis Augustus run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
99.3%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Dorrel McClainSimilar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Quinn Billerman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
99.4%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 43 yds, downed at the FlaIn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
99.7%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+9
99.7%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.7%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Nolan CorpeningSimilar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
99.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 44 yds, downed at the NCCtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.7%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Armani Lanier for 8 yds to the NCCtl 49Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+1
99.6%
Idreis Augustus run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 1
50
0
99.6%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Nathan ScruggsSimilar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 1
50
0
99.6%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Clinton Taylor at the FlaIn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+7
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 1
OWN 24
-1
99.7%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Chris Ayers punt for 51 yds, downed at the NCCtl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.8%
Quinn Billerman pass incomplete to Idreis AugustusSimilar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Quinn Billerman pass complete to Armani Lanier for 4 yds to the NCCtl 30Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Quinn Billerman run for 5 yds to the NCCtl 35Similar
Q4 5:57
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Nathaniel Tilque punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-6
99.8%
Trey Anderson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Ya'Keem Griner) to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+7
99.8%
Anthony Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Chris Ayers punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Deyonta Wright at the NCCtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NCCUDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Idreis Augustus run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 31Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
99.8%
Dorrel McClain run for 4 yds to the NCCtl 35Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Dorrel McClain run for 2 yds to the NCCtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:00
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 16 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor PAT MISSED)
+3.1
TD · Q3 4:45
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q1 0:49
Jaquell Taylor 26 Yd Interception Return (Nigel Macauley Kick)
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com