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Louisiana Tech 38 at Western Kentucky 41

WKU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2015 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:58 · Gerald Shouse punt for 42 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 3 yds to the WKent 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+7.6Pregame prior+4.4Garbage-time factor+0.3Score differential+2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.7Time remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:38: Jonathan Barnes kickoff for 63 yds , Kylen Towner return for 98 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +8.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:01: Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +14.8 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 0:54: D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Doughty pass to D'Andre Ferby for Two-Point Conversion) — WKU win probability +16.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:22: Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:27: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +17.4 pts (now 21%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 12:36LT 4th & 8 at LT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:02WKU 4th & 2 at LT 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.2
    54% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:11LT 4th & 1 at LT 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:53LT 4th & 3 at WKU 20, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−5.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:54WKU 4th & 11 at LT 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−4.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:26WKU 4th & 8 at LT 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.7%
    90% to make
    Punt
    64.3%−5.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:58LT 4th & 4 at LT 43, down 10
    Close callPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:57WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:39WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:33WKU 4th & 6 at LT 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:33LT 4th & 1 at midfield, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−4.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 3 at WKU 34, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    9.7%−1.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:43WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 47, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:24LT 4th & 6 at WKU 8, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    3.8%−4.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:16WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 16, up 14
    Close callPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:22LT 4th & 1 at WKU 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−2.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:15WKU 4th & 1 at LT 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−2.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 12:36WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:12WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:38WKU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:16LT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:26LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:01LT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:54WKU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    87.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:22LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:27LT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.4%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2459% → 60%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
58.6%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+14
58.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 14 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
58.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
58.6%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
59.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 37 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
59.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 20Similar
Q1 12:36
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+1
59.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
59.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+32
59.7%
Gerald Shouse punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 39 , Kylen Towner returns for 32 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 1:5661% → 62%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
60.7%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 1
OPP 30
0
60.7%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-1
60.6%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+14
61.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 14 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
61.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
61.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 5 yds Tyler Higbee fumbled, forced by C.J. Cleveland, recovered by LaTch Kentrell BriceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
61.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
61.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 11 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
60.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marlon Watts for 9 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 1
OWN 40
0
60.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
60.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 8:11
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+2
61.0%
Gerald Shouse punt for 51 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 2 yds to the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:1662% → 70%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
62.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
62.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
62.2%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+13
61.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 13 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
62.9%
Leon Allen run for 14 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
63.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+3
62.5%
Brandon Doughty run for 3 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
63.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+6
62.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 6 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
69.7%
Leon Allen run for 28 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6FG
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:1932% → 34%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
67.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 17 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
67.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+12
67.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 12 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
67.3%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
-5
67.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
67.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 6 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+18
67.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 18 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
66.3%
Trent Taylor pass incomplete to Jeff DriskelSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
66.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+7
67.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 7 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
65.6%
Jonathan Barnes 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2225% → 33%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
74.6%
DIXON, Kenneth rush for 13 yards to the LATECH38 (MIMS, Martavius), PENALTY LATECH holding (MAHAFFEY, David) 10 yards to the LATECH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+22
74.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 22 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
74.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+23
74.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 23 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
72.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 12 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+13
72.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 13 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
72.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+2
72.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 12:38
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-5
72.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 8:16
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
67.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:2272% → 74%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+30
71.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 30 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
71.9%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 11
OPP 22
0
71.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 11
OPP 22
0
71.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+39
74.0%
Garrett Schwettman 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:2827% → 37%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
73.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 14 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
72.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
72.4%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 9 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+6
71.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnight, broken up by Marcus WardSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-3
71.6%
Jeff Driskel sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 48 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 13
OPP 48
+15
73.0%
DRISKEL, Jeff sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LATECH46 (TANNER, Isaac;GRANT, Antwane), PENALTY WKU personal foul (ROBINSON, K.) 15 yards to the WKU33, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+27
70.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 27 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
62.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 3:0069% → 74%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
69.0%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-5
69.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Nicholas Norris) to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-8
69.5%
Taywan Taylor run for 11 yds to the WESTERNKY 48 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Leon Allen) to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
68.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+7
67.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 7 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+53
68.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 53 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
70.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 1 yd to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
71.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 2Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
71.2%
DOUGHTY, B. pass complete to TAYLOR, Taywan for 2 yards to the LATECH0, clock 01:45, PENALTY WKU pass interference (NORRIS, N.) 15 yards to the LATECH17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+14
70.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q2 1:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
70.0%
SCHWETTMAN, G. field goal attempt from 21 GOOD, clock 01:31, PENALTY WKU IF (FANT, George) 5 yards to the LATECH8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
73.5%
Garrett Schwettman 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:2825% → 26%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
74.7%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to DIXON, Kenneth, PENALTY WKU holding (ROCKER, Gavin) 10 yards to the LATECH37, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
74.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 6 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
72.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
73.4%
Jeff Driskel run for no gain to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+3
74.5%
Gerald Shouse punt for 42 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 3 yds to the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:0076% → 77%
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
76.1%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+22
76.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 22 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
77.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 21 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FUMBLE
5 plays · 38 yds · 0:0028% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnight, broken up by Marcus WardSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+24
72.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 9 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Branden Leston) to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
70.5%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Marcus Gaines, broken up by De'Andre SimmonsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
70.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the WKent 25 Kenneth Dixon fumbled, forced by Marcus Ward, recovered by WKent Nick HoltSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
75.8%
Leon Allen run for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Leon Allen, broken up by Nick ThomasonSimilar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
76.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 4 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
76.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler Higbee, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
74.7%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
74.8%
Jeff Driskel pass intercepted Prince Charles Iworah return for no gain to the WKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
75.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
75.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
75.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
73.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 1:0625% → 43%
Q3 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+49
74.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 49 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
72.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 9 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:2864% → 72%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
64.0%
Taywan Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+21
63.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 21 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
65.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to D'Andre FerbySimilar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+22
63.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 22 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
67.9%
Anthony Davis run for 1 yd to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-9
67.8%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Secdrick Cooper and Deldrick Canty for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+12
64.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 12 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
71.8%
Garrett Schwettman 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
68.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+5
67.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+3
66.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 3 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
66.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnightSimilar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+7
67.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
65.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 1
50
0
66.7%
Gerald Shouse punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:0873% → 93%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
72.5%
FERBY, D'Andre rush for 8 yards to the WKU31 (FITTE, Beau), PENALTY WKU holding (LAMP, Forrest) 10 yards to the WKU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+9
72.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 9 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 11
OWN 22
+31
72.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 31 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
75.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+14
75.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 14 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
75.9%
Anthony Davis run for 28 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
76.0%
Brandon Doughty run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Doughty pass to D'Andre Ferby for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:5412% → 11%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
87.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 15 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-7
87.0%
Jeff Driskel run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
88.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 41
+16
89.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 16 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
88.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 32
0
87.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
-2
87.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
89.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Nick NewtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
93.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+10
93.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
93.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+3
93.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 44 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+3
93.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Davis for 3 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
92.6%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 82 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
92.2%
Jeff Driskel run for 6 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+24
92.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 24 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
91.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+37
91.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 37 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
89.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 5
OPP 18
+6
89.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 6 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
89.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
89.8%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kameron McKnightSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+4
90.9%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 4 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 6
OPP 8
0
91.1%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
95.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+2
95.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 6:16
3RD & 2
OWN 16
0
95.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to D'Andre FerbySimilar
Q4 6:16
4TH & 2
OWN 16
0
95.5%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26TD
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:127% → 17%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
93.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 13
OPP 49
0
93.7%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Kenneth Dixon, broken up by Nick HoltSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+24
94.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 24 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+19
92.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 19 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
92.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.6%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
93.5%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.0%
Jeff Driskel run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27FG
9 plays · 37 yds · 1:0794% → 96%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+28
94.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 28 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
94.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+4
96.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+1
96.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+29
96.3%
Garrett Schwettman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 0:483% → 21%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+27
96.7%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 27 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
95.9%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+17
96.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 17 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
78.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29Uncategorized
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
94.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal kicking (5 Yards) to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 5
OPP 43
-1
94.9%
N/A run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:27
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 21 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-17.4
TD · Q3 0:54
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brandon Doughty pass to D'Andre Ferby for Two-Point Conversion)
+16.7
TD · Q3 10:01
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-14.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com