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UNT

North Texas 13 at SMU 31

SMU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
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Win probability · SMU
modelSMU aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playSMU scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:00 · Josh Williams punt for 36 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 5 yds to the NoTex 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior+11.5Home team on offense+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Blowout margin−0.6Garbage-time factor+0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 5:09: Chad Hedlund 27 yd FG GOOD — SMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:04: Antoinne Jimmerson run for 25 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +27.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:15: Matt Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 8 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK) — SMU win probability +19.6 pts (now 76%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:46: Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 34 — SMU win probability +7.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:21: Matt Davis run for 50 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK) — SMU win probability +16.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00SMU 4th & 4 at SMU 35, tied
    Close callWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:00UNT 4th & 2 at SMU 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.6%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:05UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 40, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:57SMU 4th & 5 at SMU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:41UNT 4th & 17 at SMU 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:37UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:00UNT 4th & 7 at SMU 8, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.5%
    90% to make
    Punt
    29.3%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:00SMU 4th & 8 at SMU 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:40UNT 4th & 4 at SMU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:37SMU 4th & 1 at UNT 1, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    62.2%−4.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−14.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:30UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−4.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:09SMU 4th & 10 at UNT 10, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−1.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    54.6%−11.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:33UNT 4th & 1 at SMU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−2.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−9.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SMU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:11SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 2:04UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:15SMU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:21SMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SMUDrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
68.2%
Ajee Montes run for 2 yds to the SMU 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+11
68.2%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for 11 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
68.2%
Matt Davis run for 3 yds to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
68.2%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the SMU 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
68.2%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 35
-19
68.2%
Josh Williams run for a loss of 19 yards to the SMU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3332% → 33%
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
67.6%
Andrew Tucker run for 4 yds to the SMU 12Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
67.6%
Andrew Tucker run for no gain to the SMU 12Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+4
67.6%
Andrew Tucker run for 4 yds to the SMU 8Similar
Q1 11:00
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+25
67.2%
Trevor Moore 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:4967% → 69%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.4%
Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
67.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 6 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.4%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.4%
Prescott Line run for 2 yds to the SMU 37Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+33
67.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 18 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 45 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
67.9%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 8:11
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+27
68.8%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 27 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
68.2%
Andrew Tucker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
68.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 9
OWN 16
+15
68.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 15 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
68.0%
Andrew Tucker run for no gain to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
68.1%
Rex Rollins run for 6 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 8:05
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+3
67.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Rex Rollins for 3 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 8:05
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
68.0%
Eric Keena punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
67.8%
Prescott Line run for 14 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
68.0%
Prescott Line run for 3 yds to the SMU 22Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+2
68.0%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 5:57
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
67.7%
Matt Davis sacked by Sir Calvin Wallace and Andy Flusche for 0 yards to the SMU 24Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 5
OWN 24
+13
67.4%
Josh Williams punt for 43 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 13 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 14 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
66.9%
Turner Smiley run for 10 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
66.8%
A.J. Ezzard run for 1 yd to the SMU 43Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
66.8%
EZZARD, A.J. rush for 7 yards to the SMU36 (HONEY, Alex), PENALTY SMU offside defense (GREEN, Deon) 5 yards to the SMU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
66.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
66.9%
MCNULTY, Andrew pass incomplete, PENALTY SMU offside defense (MINOR, Zelt) 5 yards to the SMU33, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
66.4%
A.J. Ezzard run for 1 yd to the SMU 32Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-10
66.4%
EZZARD, A.J. rush for loss of 1 yard to the SMU33 (SANDERS, Deion), PENALTY NT holding (BANOGU, Michael) 10 yards to the SMU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 19
OPP 42
-3
67.3%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Justin Lawler for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 45Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 22
OPP 45
+5
67.8%
A.J. Ezzard run for 5 yds to the SMU 40Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
68.3%
Blake Macek punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 7FUMBLE
13 plays · 80 yds · 2:2068% → 70%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
67.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Jones for 4 yds to the SMU 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
67.7%
Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
67.3%
Matt Davis run for 7 yds to the SMU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
68.2%
DAVIS,Matt pass incomplete to SUTTON, C., PENALTY NT pass interference (WHITFIELD, Zac) 15 yards to the SMU47, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
69.4%
Braeden West run for 14 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
69.6%
Braeden West run for 2 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
69.5%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+24
68.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Mitchell Kaufman for 24 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
69.5%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+10
69.5%
DAVIS,Matt pass incomplete to WALKER, Shelby, PENALTY NT pass interference (GRAY, James) 10 yards to the NT2, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.5%
Matt Davis run for 1 yd Matt Davis fumbled, forced by Blake Bean, recovered by NoTex Fred ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
67.4%
MCNULTY, Andrew pass intercepted by RHONE, Anthony at the NT42, RHONE, Anthony return to the NT42 (RENTFRO, Ryan), PENALTY SMU pass interference (RICHARDSON, D.) 15 yards to the NT35, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
66.8%
JIMMERSON, A. rush for 3 yards to the NT38 (MITCHELL, Kyran), PENALTY SMU offside defense (MINOR, Zelt) 5 yards to the NT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 5
OWN 40
0
65.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
65.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
65.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+2
66.4%
Rex Rollins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
66.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 9
OWN 46
+11
67.7%
Eric Keena punt for 35 yds , Braeden West returns for 11 yds to the SMU 30 Braeden West fumbled, recovered by NoTex John SchilleciSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5136% → 35%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.1%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
64.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+19
65.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 19 yds to the SMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
63.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Antoinne Jimmerson for 2 yds to the SMU 9Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
63.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the SMU 8Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
64.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
65.1%
Trevor Moore 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
67.5%
DAVIS,Matt pass complete to MALONE, Ryheem for 2 yards to the SMU27 (TAUAALO, T.J.;WALLACE, A.), PENALTY SMU holding (WALKER, Shelby) 10 yards to the SMU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
-1
67.5%
Matt Davis sacked by Chad Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 14Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+12
67.3%
Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 12 yds to the SMU 26Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+1
66.4%
Matt Davis run for 1 yd to the SMU 27Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+5
65.9%
Josh Williams punt for 36 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 5 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
63.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Tee Goree for a loss of 1 yard Tee Goree fumbled, recovered by SMU David JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
70.3%
Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 5:11
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+3
70.3%
Matt Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
70.3%
Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the NoTex 13 Xavier Jones fumbled, forced by Kishawn McClain, recovered by NoTex Austin OrrSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13MISSED FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:4634% → 37%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
65.8%
Andrew Tucker run for 14 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
65.4%
Andrew Tucker run for 3 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
65.0%
Andrew Tucker run for 1 yd to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+8
65.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 8 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
64.1%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 12 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
63.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+12
63.3%
Carlos Harris run for 12 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
62.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-7
62.9%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Andrew McCleneghen for a loss of 7 yards to the SMU 45 Andrew McNulty fumbled, , return for 0 yards NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (0 yards) ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+14
65.1%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 14 yds to the SMU 31Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+48
63.2%
Trevor Moore 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
66.6%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the SMU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete, broken up by Justin LawlerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
66.0%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted Horace Richardson return for no gain to the SMU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 16DOWNS
15 plays · 55 yds · 6:1169% → 67%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
69.2%
Braeden West run for 10 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
69.9%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Courtland SuttonSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
69.6%
Braeden West run for 7 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+9
69.3%
Matt Davis run for 9 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
70.4%
Matt Davis run for 8 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+9
70.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 9 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-6
70.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 19Similar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 16
OPP 19
+9
69.6%
Matt Davis run for 9 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 14:48
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+5
69.4%
Matt Davis pass complete to Xavier Castille for 5 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 10:22
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+3
67.5%
HEDLUND, Chad field goal attempt from 22 GOOD, clock 10:22, PENALTY NT offside defense (DAVIS, Chad) 3 yards to the NT2, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.4%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
70.4%
Prescott Line run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 2Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
69.1%
Prescott Line run for 1 yd to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
67.3%
Matt Davis run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
65.3%
Andrew McNulty run for 1 yd to the NoTex 2Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 2
-1
65.7%
Jarrod Lynn run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
66.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Darrion RichardsonSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 10
OWN 1
+13
67.9%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 30 , Braeden West returns for 13 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0070% → 72%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
70.3%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+25
70.2%
Matt Davis run for 25 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
70.3%
Braeden West run for 1 yd to the NoTex 4Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-6
70.3%
Matt Davis sacked by Roderick Young for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
68.8%
Matt Davis pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
72.0%
Chad Hedlund 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0531% → 59%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
68.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
67.6%
Andrew Tucker run for 18 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
64.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 7 yds to the SMU 45Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
63.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Tee Goree, broken up by Jesse MontgomerySimilar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+10
64.7%
MCNULTY, Andrew pass incomplete, PENALTY SMU holding (JUSTICE, A.J.) 10 yards to the SMU35, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
62.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the SMU 29Similar
Q3 5:09
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+2
62.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the SMU 27Similar
Q3 5:09
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
63.9%
Jarrod Lynn run for 1 yd to the SMU 26Similar
Q3 2:33
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
68.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 1 yd to the SMU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
41.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 25 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:4350% → 76%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
49.6%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 15 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
53.0%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
53.7%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 2 yds to the SMU 49Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+16
52.6%
Matt Davis pass complete to Shelby Walker for 16 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
57.0%
Matt Davis pass incomplete to Ryheem MaloneSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+27
57.0%
Xavier Jones run for 27 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
57.1%
Matt Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 11 Matt Davis fumbled, recovered by SMU Matt DavisSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+3
56.3%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.9%
Matt Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 8 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21FUMBLE
11 plays · 41 yds · 0:0029% → 33%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.5%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
71.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
73.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 9 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
70.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 29 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NoTex Antoinne Jimmerson NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+10
72.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 10 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+11
70.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
50
0
66.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darvin Kidsy, broken up by William JeanlysSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 10
50
+2
68.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the SMU 48Similar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+9
69.1%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 9 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
66.9%
Andrew Tucker run for 4 yds to the SMU 34 Andrew Tucker fumbled, forced by Andrew McCleneghen, recovered by SMU Jonathan YengaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SMUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 2:2574% → 93%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
73.9%
Braeden West run for no gain to the SMU 34Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
73.6%
Matt Davis pass complete to Ryheem Malone for 10 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
76.2%
Matt Davis pass complete to Courtland Sutton for 3 yds to the SMU 47Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
76.5%
Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 4
50
+50
92.5%
Matt Davis run for 50 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23Uncategorized
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
91.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:04
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 25 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
-27.2
TD · Q4 14:15
Matt Davis pass complete to Jeremiah Gaines for 8 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)
+19.6
TD · Q4 9:21
Matt Davis run for 50 yds for a TD, (Chad Hedlund KICK)
+16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com