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MRSH

Marshall 10 at Ohio 21

OHIO
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:39 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Home team on offense+1.1Pregame prior−4.7Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score differential+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:33: JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 38 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +8.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 3:44: Nick Smith 33 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +4.8 pts (now 39%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00: Papi White run for no gain to the Ohio 35 — OHIO win probability +9.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:56: Timeout OHIO, clock 03:56 — OHIO win probability +8.2 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:05: A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 11MRSH made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:40MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:39OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:24MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:56MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:13OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:06MRSH 4th & 17 at MRSH 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:56OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:25OHIO 4th & 6 at MRSH 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    47.5%−1.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.2%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:27MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−2.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:51MRSH 4th & 4 at OHIO 43, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−2.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.9%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:28OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:37OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:07MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 38, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:44MRSH 4th & 10 at OHIO 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−2.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−11.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:44OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−5.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 43, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−1.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:18MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−3.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:00OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 39, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−2.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:05MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:56OHIO 4th & 2 at MRSH 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−2.9
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.0%−17.6
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:44OHIO 4th & 25 at MRSH 25, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:44MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 37, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:45OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:07MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:33OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:05OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:1545% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
44.8%
Papi White run for 11 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
44.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
44.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+6
44.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Daz'mond Patterson for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (6 Yards) to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
44.8%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-5
44.8%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
44.8%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+33
47.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 33 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
46.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
46.9%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-9
46.9%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+5
47.0%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+9
47.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds , Papi White returns for 9 yds to the Ohio 29 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
48.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
48.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 6 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
48.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
48.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
48.9%
BIRDSONG, M. pass complete to JOHNSON, Devon for 13 yards to the MARSHALL43 (POLING, Quentin), PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the MARSHALL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+1
49.0%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 19
OWN 21
+8
49.1%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Devon Johnson for 8 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
49.3%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+1
49.5%
Tyler Williams punt for 51 yds , Papi White returns for 1 yd to the Ohio 30 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (11 Yards) to the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:0050% → 51%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
50.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 9 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+7
50.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
50.2%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+13
50.2%
Derrius Vick run for 13 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
50.8%
Derrius Vick sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+10
50.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 10 yds to the Ohio 48Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+9
50.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 9 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
51.0%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted Taj Letman return for 23 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
51.6%
BIRDSONG, M. pass complete to FOSTER, Hyleck for 12 yards to the OHIO49 (BASS, Devin), PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference 15 yards to the MARSHALL24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+7
52.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 7 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 18
OWN 31
+7
52.4%
Remi Watson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+4
52.4%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
52.6%
Tyler Williams punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:2654% → 54%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
53.7%
JD Sprague run for 6 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+8
53.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
54.3%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
54.1%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+6
53.5%
JD Sprague run for 6 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+50
53.5%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OHIO 24 MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the Marsh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+26
53.8%
Devon Johnson run for 26 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
52.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 20
OWN 28
0
53.7%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 20
OWN 28
0
54.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+3
54.5%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 17
OWN 31
+14
54.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds , Papi White returns for 14 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
56.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
56.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
56.1%
JD Sprague pass incomplete OHIO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 6
OWN 45
+4
54.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 46 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 4 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:1145% → 52%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
55.4%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+10
55.5%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 10 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
55.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OPP 0
0
51.9%
PENALTY MARSHALL illegal touching off-setting, PENALTY OHIO personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+73
48.1%
Devon Johnson run for 73 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 1:4250% → 50%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
49.5%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 22 JD Sprague fumbled, recovered by Ohio Brandon PurdumSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+12
49.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 12 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
49.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
51.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 10 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
52.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
52.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
51.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Antavis RoweSimilar
Q2 8:25
4TH & 6
OPP 45
+9
50.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 17 OHIO Penalty, kick catching interference (-19 Yards) to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
45.9%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (10 Yards) to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
44.6%
BIRDSONG, M. pass incomplete to ALLEN, Davonte, PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the MARSHALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 20
OWN 36
0
46.7%
BIRDSONG, M. pass complete to FOSTER, Hyleck for 10 yards to the MARSHALL46 (PURDUM, Brandon), PENALTY MARSHALL holding 0 yards to the MARSHALL36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+5
46.4%
Michael Birdsong pass intercepted Ian Wells return for 5 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 6:33
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+6
46.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 6 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:2953% → 63%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
53.4%
Papi White run for no gain to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
53.1%
JD Sprague run for 12 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
54.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+38
62.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 38 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-9
60.2%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 3 yds to the Marsh 23 MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 19
OWN 11
+7
60.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 7 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 3:27
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
61.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:27
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+8
62.2%
Tyler Williams punt for 58 yds , Papi White returns for 8 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15MISSED FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 2:2762% → 66%
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
61.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
62.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+6
62.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
63.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 13 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
64.1%
SPRAGUE, JD pass complete to REID, Jordan for 4 yards to the MARSHALL36, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OHIO illegal shift 5 yards to the MARSHALL45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+10
63.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 10 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+6
64.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
64.1%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
65.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+43
66.4%
Josiah Yazdani 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0040% → 38%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
60.2%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+3
60.2%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
60.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
61.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0065% → 63%
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
64.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+6
64.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
65.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
65.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-4
64.3%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Ohio 24Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 7
OWN 24
0
63.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 13:28
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
62.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
62.1%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 14 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
60.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+14
60.6%
Devon Johnson run for 14 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
60.0%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
60.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Hyleck Foster, broken up by Brandon PurdumSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-11
61.8%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Travis Daugherty for a loss of 11 yards to the Ohio 21 Michael Birdsong fumbled, recovered by Ohio Casey Sayles , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
69.8%
Papi White run for 6 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+4
70.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
70.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
70.3%
JD Sprague run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 8:37
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
70.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Taj Letman OHIO Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
68.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
67.6%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
66.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 38
0
65.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
67.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds , Papi White returns for no gain to the Ohio 17 Papi White fumbled, recovered by Marsh Matt CincottaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5137% → 39%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
63.2%
Michael Birdsong run for no gain to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
63.5%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
66.1%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Brett LaytonSimilar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+33
61.3%
Nick Smith 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 62%
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
65.4%
JD Sprague sacked by Armonze Daniel for a loss of 9 yards to the Ohio 16Similar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-2
64.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Papi White for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 14Similar
Q3 3:44
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+8
63.3%
JD Sprague run for 8 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 3:44
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+38
62.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 28 yds, downed at the 50 yard line MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0039% → 42%
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
60.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Devon Johnson for 7 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
58.6%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+14
59.2%
Devon Johnson run for 14 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
58.1%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 35 Devon Johnson fumbled, forced by Quentin Poling, recovered by Ohio Nathan CarpenterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
67.6%
Papi White run for no gain to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
67.3%
JD Sprague run for 8 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
68.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Papi White, broken up by Steve DillonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+1
66.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 1 yd to the Marsh 44 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0035% → 32%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
64.9%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
65.0%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 14Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 6
OWN 14
+7
66.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 7 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
64.6%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
64.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
66.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 13:18
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+10
67.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 56 yds , Papi White returns for 10 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
69.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
70.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+3
68.5%
JD Sprague run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 11:00
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+35
67.8%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the OHIO 21 OHIO Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
65.7%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-4
66.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 14
OWN 22
+3
66.7%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
67.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Devon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:05
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+16
69.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 15 , Papi White returns for 16 yds to the Ohio 41 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (22 Yards) to the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 28TD
24 plays · 85 yds · 6:1473% → 97%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
72.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 10 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
73.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
72.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 9 yds to the Ohio 34 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-14 Yards) to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+14
72.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 14 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+7
72.4%
JD Sprague run for 7 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
75.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 11 yds to the OHIO 48 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
78.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
78.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
76.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+6
84.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
86.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+10
86.8%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Marsh 6Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
92.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
Q4 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+58
97.1%
YAZDANI, J. kickoff 65 yards to the MARSHALL0, REAVES, Deandre return to the OHIO0, clock 01:44, PENALTY MARSHALL BLL 58 yards to the MARSHALL7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
-6
97.3%
N/A pass complete to Papi White for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 25
0
97.2%
N/A pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-12
97.4%
Cedric Brown pass complete to Evan Croutch for a loss of 12 yards to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 1:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
-4
96.8%
Cedric Brown pass complete to Curtis Brunson for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+4
97.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
97.1%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
96.8%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Devon JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
97.1%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q4 1:44
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+8
97.3%
Michael Birdsong pass intercepted Nathan Carpenter return for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 Nathan Carpenter fumbled, recovered by Ohio Nathan CarpenterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -16 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-16
97.7%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-16 Yards) to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 26
OPP 47
0
97.5%
Greg Windham run for no gain to the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 15:00
Papi White run for no gain to the Ohio 35
+9.5
TD · Q2 3:33
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 38 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+8.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:56
Timeout OHIO, clock 03:56
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com