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PRES

Presbyterian 10 at Charlotte 34

CLT
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadPRES aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scorePRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:56 · Stephen Doar punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 60Home team on offense+3.0Pregame prior+16.3Score differential+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:42: Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +4.7 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:54: Blake Brewer 24 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +1.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:51: Kalif Phillips run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +8.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:23: Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 39 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK) — CLT win probability +7.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 10:32: Blake Brewer 35 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +4.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8PRES made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:46PRES 4th & 20 at PRES 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32PRES 4th & 10 at PRES 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:42CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 7:52PRES 4th & 20 at PRES 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:57CLT 4th & 6 at PRES 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00PRES 4th & 10 at PRES 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:45CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:56PRES 4th & 5 at PRES 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:54CLT 4th & 7 at PRES 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:54PRES 4th & 7 at PRES 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:38PRES 4th & 25 at PRES 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−5.5
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:47PRES 4th & 5 at PRES 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00PRES 4th & 7 at PRES 27, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:32CLT 4th & 3 at PRES 18, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−3.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:32PRES 4th & 15 at PRES 21, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:48CLT 4th & 23 at CLT 28, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:17PRES 4th & 12 at PRES 30, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:17PRES 4th & 4 at CLT 4, down 34
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:17CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 25, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PRES made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:42CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:51CLT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:23CLT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:52CLT Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:36PRES Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
72.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 15 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.6%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+11
72.6%
Brooks Barden run for 11 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
72.6%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
72.6%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-7
72.6%
Brooks Barden sacked by Curtis Bey and Ugonna Akoh for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 39
+3
72.6%
Arthur Hart punt for 50 yds , Marquel Hines returns for 3 yds to the Presb 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
72.2%
Deonte' Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 11Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+3
72.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 14Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 14
-5
72.3%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (Austin Allen) to the Presb 9Similar
Q1 12:46
3RD & 15
OWN 9
0
72.3%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 15
OWN 9
-5
72.4%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 4Similar
Q1 12:46
4TH & 20
OWN 4
-4
72.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 41 yds , Austin Duke returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Presb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
72.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 14 yds to the Presb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
72.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Presb 33Similar
Q1 10:49
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
72.4%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+12
72.2%
Brooks Barden run for 12 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
72.4%
Kalif Phillips run for 20 yds Kalif Phillips fumbled, forced by Shonquille Byers, recovered by PresbSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
71.5%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 20Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
71.5%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
71.7%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
71.9%
Stephen Doar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
71.5%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
71.5%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 7
OWN 44
-2
71.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 41 yds , Marquel Hines returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
71.1%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Acey PalmerSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
71.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Acey PalmerSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-6
71.4%
Tamyn Garrick sacked by Zach Duncan for a loss of 6 yards to the Presb 7Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 16
OWN 7
-4
71.6%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the Presb 3Similar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 20
OWN 3
+21
71.6%
Stephen Doar punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Presb 39 PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Presb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7MISSED FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:0072% → 71%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
71.9%
Kalif Phillips run for no gain to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
71.8%
Kalif Phillips run for 2 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+2
71.6%
Brooks Barden run for 2 yds to the Presb 20Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
70.8%
Blake Brewer 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 8INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
70.4%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
70.3%
Marquel Hines run for 8 yds to the Presb 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
70.2%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 34Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
70.2%
Tamyn Garrick pass intercepted Branden Dozier return for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:3470% → 75%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
70.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 7 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+4
71.0%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
70.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 10 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
71.3%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Presb 46Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-3
71.3%
Matt Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 49Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+43
70.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 43 yds to the Presb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
75.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4226% → 25%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
73.7%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+2
73.9%
Ben Cheek run for 2 yds to the Presb 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
-1
74.3%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 18Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
74.6%
Stephen Doar punt for 31 yds, downed at the Presb 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
75.2%
Brooks Barden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-3
75.1%
Kalif Phillips run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 13:45
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
74.1%
Brooks Barden pass incomplete to Austin Duke, broken up by Obinna NtiasagweSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
73.4%
Arthur Hart punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
73.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 5 yds to the Presb 30Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
73.5%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Riley HiltonSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
74.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
74.6%
Stephen Doar punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FG
15 plays · 69 yds · 5:0774% → 78%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
74.4%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+14
74.4%
Matt Johnson run for 14 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-8
75.4%
Matt Johnson sacked by Ugonna Akoh and Khari Rosier for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+7
74.3%
Andrew Buie run for 7 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+38
74.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 38 yds to the Presb 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
75.7%
BUIE, Andrew rush for no gain to the PC22 (GREEN, K.;NORFLEET, D.), PENALTY CHA illegal formation (DUKE, Austin) 5 yards to the PC27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
75.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Austin DukeSimilar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+5
75.2%
Kalif Phillips run for 5 yds to the Presb 22Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+13
75.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to T.L. Ford for 13 yds to the Presb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
77.3%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Trent BostickSimilar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
77.3%
Matt Johnson run for no gain to the Presb 9 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Wolfgang Zacherl) to the Presb 19Similar
Q2 8:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
+8
77.0%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 8 yds to the Presb 11Similar
Q2 8:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
76.7%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Kalif Phillips for 4 yds to the Presb 7Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
78.1%
Blake Brewer 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 25Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
78.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Marquel Hines for 3 yds to the Presb 28Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
78.3%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Tre'von Howell, broken up by Desmond FloydSimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
78.7%
Stephen Doar punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 0:2780% → 88%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
79.7%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, Defensive offside (Mitchell Anderson) to the Presb 43Similar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+31
79.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 31 yds to the Presb 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
88.3%
Kalif Phillips run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -15 yds · 1:1315% → 14%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
85.3%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 11Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 15
OWN 11
+1
85.5%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Presb 12Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 14
OWN 12
0
85.5%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Tre'von Howell, broken up by Daquan LucasSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 14
OWN 12
-9
85.6%
Tamyn Garrick run for a loss of 9 yards to the Presb 1 Tamyn Garrick fumbled, forced by Zach Duncan, recovered by Presb Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 25
OWN 1
0
86.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 36 yds , Austin Duke returns for no gain to the Presb 39 Austin Duke fumbled, recovered by Charl Austin DukeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
94.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 39 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:368% → 8%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
91.6%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 28Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
91.2%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 26Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
91.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 4 yds to the Presb 30Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
92.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 18 , Austin Duke returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
94.2%
Brooks Barden run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 17Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+3
94.3%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-5
94.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-3
92.9%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+4
93.0%
Ben Cheek run for 4 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
93.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Austin Duke at the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:4095% → 99%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+29
94.6%
Andrew Buie run for 29 yds to the Presb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
94.9%
Brooks Barden run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 43Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+18
94.8%
Andrew Buie run for 18 yds to the Presb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
94.9%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Presb 21Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
94.9%
Bradan Smith run for 3 yds to the Presb 18Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
94.8%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for no gain to the Presb 18Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
98.8%
Blake Brewer 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
99.0%
Deonte' Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 24Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-3
99.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Darrell Bridges for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 21Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
99.0%
Tamyn Garrick pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+50
99.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 50 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.2%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Austin Duke for 6 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
99.2%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
99.2%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Andrew Buie run for no gain to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-9
99.3%
Brooks Barden sacked by DaRon Dickey for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 8:48
3RD & 19
OWN 32
-4
99.2%
Brooks Barden sacked by Gyasi Yeldell for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 8:48
4TH & 23
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Arthur Hart punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marquel Hines at the Presb 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
99.4%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 29Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Darrell BridgesSimilar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+1
99.4%
Ben Cheek run for 1 yd to the Presb 30Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 31 yds, downed at the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 25TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:49100% → 100%
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Chris Montgomery for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+2
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 4:41
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+14
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Justin Bolus for 14 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.6%
Bradan Smith run for 8 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+7
99.6%
Bradan Smith run for 7 yds to the Presb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to T.L. Ford for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 34Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+23
99.6%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Uriah LeMay for 23 yds to the Presb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.6%
Bradan Smith run for 2 yds to the Presb 9Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Brooks Barden pass complete to Bradan Smith for 9 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 26FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:350% → 0%
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.7%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 36Similar
Q3 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
99.7%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 5 yards to the Presb 31Similar
Q3 1:52
3RD & 12
OWN 31
+24
99.7%
Tamyn Garrick pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 9 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+13
99.7%
Ben Cheek run for 13 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.7%
Ben Cheek run for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+12
99.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 12 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.7%
Ben Cheek run for 6 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
0
99.7%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Joseph PurterSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+7
99.7%
Ben Cheek pass incomplete to Tre'von Howell for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, roughing passer (Zach Duncan) to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
99.7%
Ben Cheek run for 5 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.7%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
99.7%
Ben Cheek run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.8%
Brett Norton 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.8%
Garrison Duncan run for 3 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Brooks Barden run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+2
99.8%
Brooks Barden run for 2 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Arthur Hart punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marquel Hines at the Presb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 28TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 5:020% → 1%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Daryl Wilson run for 8 yds to the Presb 44Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 7
50
+21
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 21 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
99.9%
Ben Cheek run for 5 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+19
99.9%
Jordan Hallums run for 19 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 29END OF GAME
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.5%
Garrison Duncan run for 3 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
99.4%
Lee McNeill run for no gain to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+12
99.5%
Lee McNeill pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 12 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
99.5%
Garrison Duncan run for 6 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
99.5%
Garrison Duncan run for 5 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Garrison Duncan run for 3 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+5
99.5%
Garrison Duncan run for 5 yds to the Presb 47Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+3
99.5%
Garrison Duncan run for 3 yds to the Presb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:51
Kalif Phillips run for 12 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 3:23
Matt Johnson pass complete to Austin Duke for 39 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q1 0:42
Matt Johnson pass complete to Trent Bostick for 6 yds for a TD, (Blake Brewer KICK)
+4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com