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WAG

Wagner 16 at Rice 56

RICE
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:36 · Bryan Rafano punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rice 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+36.5Score differential+30.4Pregame prior+2.4Blowout margin+16.9Garbage-time factor+10.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:15: Darik Dillard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +0.9 pts (now 70%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:27: Luke Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +4.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:06: Darik Dillard run for 16 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +6.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:05: Driphus Jackson run for 43 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +8.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:56: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 35 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK) — RICE win probability +12.8 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WAG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 11:15WAG 4th & 5 at WAG 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:43WAG 4th & 4 at RICE 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−5.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:48WAG 4th & 8 at RICE 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:06WAG 4th & 5 at WAG 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−0.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00WAG 4th & 12 at WAG 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:23RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 43, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:53WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 20, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:18RICE 4th & 18 at WAG 42, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:08WAG 4th & 17 at WAG 18, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:58RICE 4th & 6 at WAG 39, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:02WAG 4th & 23 at RICE 23, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:33WAG 4th & 30 at RICE 49, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:28RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 17, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:36WAG 4th & 12 at RICE 47, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WAG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:15RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:27RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:06RICE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:05RICE Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:56RICE Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:18WAG Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    3.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:08RICE Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:33RICE Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:27RICE Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:07WAG Touchdown, down 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 3:4569% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
69.0%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+3
69.0%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
69.0%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
69.0%
WAGNER Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 47
0
69.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+19
68.9%
Darik Dillard run for 19 yds to the Wagn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
69.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 17 yds to the Wagn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
69.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the Wagn 14Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
69.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the Wagn 11Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+11
69.9%
Darik Dillard run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
69.6%
Otis Wright run for 3 yds to the Wagn 6Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+2
69.6%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the Wagn 8Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
69.8%
Chris Andrews pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
69.8%
Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:0770% → 74%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
70.4%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Wagn 47Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-3
70.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Austin Walter for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 9
50
+34
70.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 34 yds to the Wagn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
70.5%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Wagn 13Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+5
70.5%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Wagn 8Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+5
70.3%
Luke Turner run for 5 yds to the Wagn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.3%
Luke Turner run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 4FG
11 plays · 71 yds · 4:4427% → 29%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
73.0%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 6 yds to the Wagn 31Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+10
72.8%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 10 yds to the Wagn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
72.7%
Otis Wright run for 16 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
72.3%
Chris Andrews run for 13 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
72.0%
Chris Andrews pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+20
72.1%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Ryan Owens for 20 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
71.8%
Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
71.8%
Chris Andrews run for 2 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q1 6:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
72.1%
Otis Wright run for no gain to the Rice 4Similar
Q1 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
71.5%
Bryan Maley 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5INT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:4372% → 74%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
72.2%
Samuel Stewart run for 21 yds to the Wagn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
73.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Lance Wright for 6 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
73.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Wagn 38Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
72.6%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Wagn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
73.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
73.7%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Deangelo James return for 10 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
72.1%
Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Graysen Schantz) to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
71.4%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 2 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
71.4%
Chris Andrews pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
71.6%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Ryan OwensSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
72.5%
Bryan Rafano punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
17 plays · 93 yds · 6:2274% → 84%
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
73.6%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 7Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+6
73.5%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+6
73.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
74.0%
Austin Walter run for 14 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
74.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
74.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+17
73.6%
Driphus Jackson run for 17 yds to the Wagn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
75.2%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Wagn 44Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
75.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 7 yds to the Wagn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
75.3%
Driphus Jackson sacked by John Appiah for a loss of 3 yards to the Wagn 40Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 13
OPP 40
0
74.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 13
OPP 40
+15
74.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 15 yds to the Wagn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
77.6%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Wagn 20Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+6
77.6%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Wagn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
77.6%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 16 Austin Walter fumbled, recovered by Rice Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
84.2%
Darik Dillard run for 16 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.3%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the Wagn 38Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
82.3%
Otis Wright run for 4 yds to the Wagn 42Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
82.2%
Chris Andrews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 41Similar
Q2 7:06
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+26
82.6%
Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds , Samuel Stewart returns for 26 yds to the Rice 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9TD
5 plays · 58 yds · 1:5185% → 94%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
85.2%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+2
85.2%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+8
84.7%
Darik Dillard run for 8 yds to the Wagn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
85.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
94.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 43 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 10INT
5 plays · 29 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
86.8%
Chris Andrews run for 9 yds to the Wagn 36Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+17
85.4%
Otis Wright run for 17 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
85.4%
Otis Wright run for 3 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+37
85.2%
Chris Andrews pass intercepted Zach Espinosa return for 37 yds to the Wagn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
98.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 35 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
98.3%
Brandon Peoples run for 2 yds to the Wagn 23Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-1
98.3%
Chris Andrews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.6%
Otis Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
97.6%
Otis Wright run for no gain to the Wagn 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
97.7%
Chris Andrews pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.7%
Bryan Rafano punt for 34 yds, downed at the Rice 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
98.3%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Jordan Baskerville for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 37 Driphus Jackson fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 16
OWN 37
0
98.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Luke TurnerSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+6
98.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
98.1%
James Farrimond punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Andre Yevchinecz at the Wagn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.4%
Ralph Greene run for 1 yd to the Wagn 21Similar
Q3 11:53
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-1
98.4%
Chris Andrews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 20Similar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz, broken up by Zach EspinosaSimilar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
98.4%
Bryan Rafano punt for 43 yds , Samuel Stewart returns for no gain to the Rice 37 Samuel Stewart fumbled, recovered by Wagn Sterling Lowry , return for no gain to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 16TD
4 plays · 37 yds · 0:572% → 2%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.4%
Chris Andrews run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
98.2%
Chris Andrews pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz, broken up by Tabari McGaskeySimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+34
98.5%
Chris Andrews pass complete to Andre Yevchinecz for 34 yds for a TD, (Bryan Maley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
98.3%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
98.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 7 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+7
98.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Lance Wright for 7 yds to the Wagn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cameron Decell for 3 yds to the Wagn 43Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
98.3%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Wagn 37Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
98.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Lance Wright for 3 yds to the Wagn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-12
98.3%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Najee Harris for a loss of 12 yards to the Wagn 46Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 22
OPP 46
+5
98.3%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Wagn 41Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 17
OPP 41
-1
98.3%
Driphus Jackson sacked by John Aubel for a loss of 1 yard to the Wagn 42Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
98.1%
James Farrimond punt for 35 yds, downed at the Wagn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
99.2%
Otis Wright run for 2 yds to the Wagn 9Similar
Q3 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 9
-7
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Wagn 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Rice Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
Brandon Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wagn 23Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-14
99.6%
Chris Andrews sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 14 yards to the Wagn 9 Chris Andrews fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+9
99.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Brandon Peoples for 9 yds to the Wagn 18Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+6
99.6%
Bryan Rafano punt for 31 yds , Samuel Stewart returns for 6 yds to the Wagn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:06100% → 100%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
99.7%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
99.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+14
99.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Lance Wright for 14 yds to the Wagn 39Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Lance WrightSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
99.6%
James Farrimond punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Andre Yevchinecz at the Wagn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:030% → 0%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
99.8%
Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Wagn 14Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+16
99.8%
Matthias McKinnon run for 16 yds to the Wagn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.8%
Matthias McKinnon run for 4 yds to the Wagn 34Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+48
99.7%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Lloyd Smith for 48 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Andre Yevchinecz, broken up by Cole ThomasSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.8%
Matthias McKinnon run for 5 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+6
99.8%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ralph Greene for 6 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Matthias McKinnon run for no gain to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.8%
Matthias McKinnon run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
99.8%
Alex Thomson run for 4 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
99.8%
WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 12:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 23
+40
99.9%
Bryan Maley 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:29100% → 100%
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
99.8%
Nate German pass complete to James Mayden for 11 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
99.9%
Nate German run for 66 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.9%
Alex Thomson run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+15
99.9%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Tabari McGaskey) to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-8
99.9%
Alex Thomson sacked by Tabari McGaskey for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 18
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Brandon Peoples run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Lloyd Smith, broken up by Brandon DouglasSimilar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 15
OPP 34
-15
99.9%
WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (Andrew Oberg) to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 30
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Bryan Rafano punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Samuel Stewart at the Rice 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
99.9%
Nate German run for 6 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+1
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Luke Turner run for no gain to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 3
OWN 17
+14
99.9%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds , Andre Yevchinecz returns for 14 yds to the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
Brandon Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Lloyd SmithSimilar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Lloyd SmithSimilar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 12
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Bryan Rafano punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rice 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27TD
9 plays · 95 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
99.9%
Luke Turner run for 6 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Luke Turner run for 5 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
99.9%
Nate German run for 2 yds to the Rice 18 RICE Penalty, illegal block (James Mayden) to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 17
OWN 9
+18
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 18 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 14 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Luke Turner pass complete to Lance Wright for 8 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 6:34
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Wagn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
WAGNER Penalty, personal foul (John Aubel) to the Wagn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
100.0%
Austin Walter run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 28TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Matthias McKinnon run for 1 yd to the Wagn 36Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+14
100.0%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Ralph Greene for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
50
+50
100.0%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Lloyd Smith for 50 yds for a TD, (Bryan Maley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:56
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Samuel Stewart for 35 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+12.8
TD · Q2 3:05
Driphus Jackson run for 43 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q2 7:06
Darik Dillard run for 16 yds for a TD, (Hayden Tobola KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com