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JKST

Jackson State 14 at Middle Tennessee 70

MTSU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadJKST aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreJKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:24 · Darcy Williamson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Bryson at the MTnSt 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 169Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+29.6Pregame prior+5.4Blowout margin+17.2Garbage-time factor+8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:25: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:26: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 24 yds for a TD (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:11: LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 50 yds for a TD, (Ryan Deising KICK) — JKST win probability +4.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:25: Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:43: Jordan Parker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +9.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3JKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00JKST 4th & 9 at JKST 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26MTSU 4th & 4 at JKST 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:22JKST 4th & 6 at JKST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:31JKST 4th & 1 at JKST 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:07JKST 4th & 8 at JKST 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00MTSU 4th & 17 at MTSU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:25JKST 4th & 11 at JKST 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:46JKST 4th & 15 at JKST 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:50JKST 4th & 11 at JKST 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:31JKST 4th & 7 at JKST 29, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:24JKST 4th & 8 at JKST 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:12MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 44, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:59JKST 4th & 13 at JKST 15, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:34JKST 4th & 12 at JKST 19, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8JKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:31MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:25MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:11JKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:26MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:11JKST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:43MTSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:00MTSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:31MTSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:24MTSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 4:34MTSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
73.8%
Robert Johnson run for 4 yds to the JckSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
73.8%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+2
73.8%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Robert Johnson for 2 yds to the JckSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-5
73.8%
JACKSON ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the JckSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+4
73.8%
Darcy Williamson punt for 42 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
73.5%
Richie James run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
73.6%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the JckSt 47Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
73.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 2 yds to the JckSt 45Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-1
73.6%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the JckSt 46Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
73.5%
Trevor Owens punt for 23 yds, downed at the JckSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
73.0%
Jarius Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 21Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+13
73.0%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 13 yds to the JckSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
72.9%
LaMontiez Ivy run for 2 yds to the JckSt 36Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
72.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+2
73.0%
Robert Johnson run for 2 yds to the JckSt 38Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
73.1%
Darcy Williamson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:1973% → 75%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
72.6%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+5
72.3%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to COLLIS, C., PENALTY JACKST offside (Smith, Brandon) 5 yards to the MT41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+28
72.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 28 yds to the JckSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
73.2%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the JckSt 26Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
73.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie JamesSimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+8
73.0%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the JckSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
73.2%
Richie James run for 16 yds to the JckSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
73.2%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the JckSt 2 Shane Tucker fumbled, forced by Stacy Noble, recovered by MTnSt Christian CollisSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Lucas Hamilton for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
74.5%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Daniel WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
74.5%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 7 yds to the JckSt 32Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
74.5%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Stedmon Capler for 2 yds to the JckSt 34Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
74.6%
Darcy Williamson punt for 43 yds, downed at the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 3:2875% → 80%
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
74.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+41
74.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 26 yds to the MIDDLETENN 48 for a 1ST down JACKSON ST Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the JckSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
75.5%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the JckSt 32Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+2
75.5%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the JckSt 30Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+19
75.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 19 yds to the JckSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
75.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 6 yds to the JckSt 5Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+1
75.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the JckSt 4Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
79.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:1822% → 21%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
78.4%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Devin FosselmanSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+4
78.5%
Robert Johnson run for 4 yds to the JckSt 16Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 6
OWN 16
-8
78.5%
Ivy, La Montiez pass complete to Fosselman, Devi for 23 yards to the JACKST39 (WALKER, Xavier), PENALTY JACKST holding 8 yards to the JACKST8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 14
OWN 8
+6
78.9%
LaMontiez Ivy run for 6 yds to the JckSt 14Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 8
OWN 14
+1
78.8%
Darcy Williamson punt for 40 yds , Jeremiah Bryson returns for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
79.9%
Richie James run for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-3
79.6%
Shane Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 40
0
79.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 40
0
78.6%
Trevor Owens punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JckSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 9TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 1:5022% → 27%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
77.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Devin Fosselman for 14 yds to the JckSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
77.7%
LaMontiez Ivy sacked by Chris Hale for a loss of 7 yards to the JckSt 38Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+10
78.4%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Devin Fosselman for 10 yds to the JckSt 48Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+46
77.8%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 46 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
76.6%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
76.6%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Jairus Moll for 4 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.6%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Jairus Moll for 2 yds for a TD, (Ryan Deising KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:4575% → 81%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
74.9%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
75.2%
Jordan Parker run for no gain to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+49
74.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terry Pettis for 49 yds to the JckSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
76.2%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the JckSt 17Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-7
76.2%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Javancy Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the JckSt 24Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 16
OPP 24
+24
81.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 24 yds for a TD (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 16
OPP 24
+24
81.2%
Ed'Marques Batties 24 Yd pass from Brent Stockstill (Cody Clark Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:1520% → 26%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
80.0%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Devin Fosselman for 5 yds to the JckSt 15Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+35
80.1%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Devin Fosselman for 35 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
50
0
78.7%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Daniel Williams, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
50
+50
73.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 50 yds for a TD, (Ryan Deising KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:4677% → 83%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
77.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+20
76.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 20 yds to the MIDDLETENN 38 for a 1ST down JACKSON ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
77.4%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the JckSt 32Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
77.5%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the JckSt 29Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+1
76.9%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the JckSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
77.5%
Shane Tucker run for 9 yds to the JckSt 19Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+4
77.5%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the JckSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
77.5%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the JckSt 11Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
77.5%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to COLLIS, C., PENALTY JACKST pass interference (Maiden, Brandon) 9 yards to the JACKST2, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
82.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.4%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Tevin Garrett for 4 yds to the JckSt 29Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
80.9%
Jarius Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the JckSt 24Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
81.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Jarius MooreSimilar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+1
82.1%
Darcy Williamson punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 27 , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 1 yd to the MTnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 2:2582% → 95%
Q2 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
82.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Richie James, broken up by Brandon MaidenSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
82.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jordan Parker for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 3:08
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+32
81.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 32 yds to the JckSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
83.7%
Jordan Parker run for 10 yds to the JckSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
83.7%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the JckSt 22Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+7
83.7%
Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the JckSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
83.7%
Jordan Parker run for 6 yds to the JckSt 9Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+7
83.7%
Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the JckSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.0%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 15MISSED FG TD
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:437% → 2%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Robert JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
92.8%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Jairus Moll for 29 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
91.1%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Jairus Moll for 9 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
90.7%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Robert Johnson for 2 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
91.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Jairus Moll for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+63
98.1%
Jamarcus Howard 63 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Cody Clark Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:1498% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
98.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 14 yds to the JckSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
98.4%
Shane Tucker run for 10 yds to the JckSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
98.4%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the JckSt 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+5
98.4%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the JckSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
98.5%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the JckSt 12Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 12 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Daniel Williams, broken up by Dontavious HeardSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Jairus Moll JACKSON ST Penalty, IM ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
LaMontiez Ivy sacked by T.T. Barber for a loss of 5 yards to the JckSt 20Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.9%
Darcy Williamson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19INT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Christian Collis for 8 yds to the JckSt 43Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
99.1%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the JckSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
99.1%
Jordan Parker run for 8 yds to the JckSt 33Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+8
99.1%
Jordan Parker run for 8 yds to the JckSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
99.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 11 yds to the JckSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-15
99.3%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass complete to BARRON, Tyler for 14 yards to the JACKST0 (Bobo, Derrick), clock 10:05, PENALTY MT personal foul (ADAMS, David) 15 yards to the JACKST29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & 25
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Justin JemisonSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 25
OPP 29
0
99.2%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted, touchback. Justin Jemison return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Daniel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Robert Johnson for 5 yds to the JckSt 25Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy run for 8 yds to the JckSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Devin FosselmanSimilar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 9 yds to the JckSt 42Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
LaMontiez Ivy run for 2 yds to the JckSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 2 yds to the JckSt 46Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Daniel WilliamsSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+2
99.2%
LaMontiez Ivy run for 2 yds to the JckSt 48Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 6
OWN 48
-5
99.2%
JACKSON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the JckSt 43Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
99.2%
Darcy Williamson punt for 41 yds, downed at the MTnSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 1 yd to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+7
99.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+6
99.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 7 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+19
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Richie James for 19 yds to the JckSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+33
99.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Shane Tucker for 33 yds to the JckSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
99.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the JckSt 7Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+3
99.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds to the JckSt 4Similar
Q3 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+3
99.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds to the JckSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Devin Fosselman, broken up by Jared SingletarySimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.7%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Daniel Williams for 3 yds to the JckSt 29Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
99.7%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Daniel Williams, broken up by Jeremy CutrerSimilar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+23
99.7%
Darcy Williamson punt for 53 yds , Jeremiah Bryson returns for 23 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.7%
Demetrius Frazier run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
99.7%
Demetrius Frazier run for 6 yds to the JckSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
99.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 9 yds to the JckSt 38Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 1
OPP 38
-3
99.7%
Ruben Garnett run for a loss of 3 yards to the JckSt 41Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+8
99.7%
Austin Grammer run for 8 yds to the JckSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.7%
Ruben Garnett run for 6 yds to the JckSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+13
99.8%
Ruben Garnett run for 13 yds to the JckSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.8%
Ruben Garnett run for 6 yds to the JckSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+7
99.8%
Ruben Garnett run for 7 yds to the JckSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.9%
Jarius Moore run for 1 yd to the JckSt 32Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 32
-8
99.9%
LaMontiez Ivy sacked by Justin Akins for a loss of 8 yards to the JckSt 24Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 17
OWN 24
+9
99.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass complete to Benjamin Thomas for 9 yds to the JckSt 33Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Darcy Williamson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Bryson at the MTnSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Rod Ducksworth for 6 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Austin Grammer run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Austin Grammer run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Matt Bonadies punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JckSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.9%
Jarius Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the JckSt 13Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 15
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Jarius Moore run for 2 yds to the JckSt 15Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
99.9%
LaMontiez Ivy pass incomplete to Will GolstonSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+5
99.9%
Darcy Williamson punt for 37 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 5 yds to the JckSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 3 yds to the JckSt 44Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Ruben Garnett run for 2 yds to the JckSt 42Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-5
99.9%
Nolan Genovese run for a loss of 5 yards to the JckSt 36 Nolan Genovese fumbled, recovered by JckSt Cornelius HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 28INT TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
LaMontiez Ivy sacked by Darius Harris and Myles Harges for 0 yards to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
100.0%
Robert Johnson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 3
OPP 0
0
99.9%
Ivy, La Montiez pass complete to Fosselman, Devi for 34 yards to the MT0, clock 04:49, PENALTY JACKST illegal forward pass off-setting, PENALTY MT personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+75
100.0%
LaMontiez Ivy pass intercepted for a TD D.J. Sanders return for 75 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
100.0%
Joshua Bates run for 1 yd to the JckSt 22 JACKSON ST Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (Frank Carter) to the JckSt 11Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+1
100.0%
Joshua Bates run for 1 yd to the JckSt 12Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 19
OWN 12
+7
100.0%
Jarin Morikawa pass complete to Benjy Parrish for 7 yds to the JckSt 19Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 12
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Darcy Williamson punt for 34 yds, downed at the MTnSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Jordan Willis run for 8 yds to the JckSt 45Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+14
100.0%
Jordan Willis run for 14 yds to the JckSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
100.0%
Jordan Willis run for 5 yds to the JckSt 26Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 5
OPP 26
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the JckSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:43
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q2 9:26
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 24 yds for a TD (Cody Clark KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 4:25
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
+5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com