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SOU

Southern 15 at Louisiana Tech 62

LT
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:26 · Jarrad Hayes pass incomplete to Devon Gales
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Home team on offense+35.5Score differential+30.4Pregame prior+1.7Blowout margin+19.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6Garbage-time factor+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:16: Kenneth Dixon 55 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +1.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 7:28: Paul Turner 45 Yd Punt Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +3.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q1 5:36: Jonathan Barnes 35 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +1.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 13:06: Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 10 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST down — LT win probability +2.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:52: Austin Howard run for no gain to the LaTch 1 — SOU win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 5SOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 7:28SOU 4th & 27 at SOU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.7
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:36LT 4th & 5 at SOU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−3.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:36SOU 4th & 11 at SOU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 1 at LT 33, up 16
    Close callPunted · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 15:00SOU 4th & 7 at SOU 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:47SOU 4th & 7 at SOU 28, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:35SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 24, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:21SOU 4th & 4 at LT 27, down 37
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.1%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−2.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:33SOU 4th & 13 at SOU 23, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:00SOU 4th & 3 at SOU 27, down 44
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:09LT 4th & 3 at SOU 43, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00LT 4th & 3 at SOU 46, up 44
    Close callPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:12SOU 4th & 8 at SOU 42, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 1 at SOU 48, up 44
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:26SOU 4th & 8 at LT 11, down 47
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:16LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:28LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SOUDrive 1KICKOFF
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
68.5%
Austin Howard pass complete to Randall Menard for 11 yds to the Sthrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
68.5%
Austin Howard pass complete to Randall Menard for 10 yds to the Sthrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
68.5%
Austin Howard pass complete to Dillon Beard for 8 yds to the Sthrn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 2:0968% → 70%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
68.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 10 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
68.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+17
68.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 17 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
68.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 8 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
68.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+55
70.0%
Kenneth Dixon 55 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 3PUNT TD
6 plays · -17 yds · 1:4830% → 27%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
69.6%
Austin Howard sacked by Tyler Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
69.7%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 14
OWN 15
-5
69.8%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 10Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 19
OWN 10
-8
69.8%
Austin Howard sacked by Vontarrius Dora for a loss of 8 yards to the Sthrn 2Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 27
OWN 2
+45
72.9%
Paul Turner 45 Yd Punt Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 4INT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
72.4%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Randall MenardSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 18
-2
72.4%
Austin Howard pass complete to Randall Menard for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 16Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 12
OWN 16
+18
72.5%
Austin Howard pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for 18 yds to the Sthrn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4774% → 75%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
74.2%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Conner Smith for 5 yds to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
74.2%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Conner SmithSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
74.0%
Jeff Driskel pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
75.1%
Jonathan Barnes 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
74.7%
Malcom Crockett run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
74.5%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Anthony Mosley) to the Sthrn 35Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
74.8%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Randall Menard, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-5
74.9%
SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
75.0%
Greg Pittman punt for 35 yds, downed at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:2577% → 78%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
76.6%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 17 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
78.1%
Jeff Driskel run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+21
78.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Trent Taylor for 21 yds to the Sthrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
78.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0378% → 78%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
77.8%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 4 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+5
77.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
0
78.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
77.9%
Gerald Shouse punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+26
68.5%
Lenard Tillery run for 26 yds to the Sthrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
68.5%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Dillon Beard) to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+9
68.5%
Lenard Tillery run for 9 yds to the Sthrn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
68.5%
Austin Howard run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-3
68.5%
Austin Howard pass complete to Lenard Tillery for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 48Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
68.5%
Greg Pittman punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 11INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+41
76.9%
Austin Howard pass intercepted Nick Thomason return for 26 yds to the LATECH 39 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Sthrn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.7%
Lenard Tillery run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
84.5%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Randall Menard, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
84.9%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Mike Jones, broken up by Kentrell BriceSimilar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
84.9%
Greg Pittman punt for 35 yds , Trent Taylor returns for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
87.0%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 10 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.2%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Lenard TillerySimilar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
93.3%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
93.3%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Mike JonesSimilar
Q2 12:35
4TH & 10
OWN 24
0
93.3%
Greg Pittman punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:316% → 8%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
93.9%
Austin Howard pass complete to Mike Jones for 6 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+26
93.7%
Austin Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 26 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
93.5%
Austin Howard pass complete to Mike Jones for 6 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
93.3%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Willie QuinnSimilar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
93.5%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Mike JonesSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+44
92.2%
Greg Pittman 44 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Bryson Abraham TEAM return for no gain to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
94.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
94.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
94.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
94.1%
DRISKEL, Jeff pass incomplete to JONES, Ricky, dropped pass, PENALTY SUBR offside (Echols, G.) 5 yards to the LATECH49, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
94.2%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 48Similar
Q2 10:21
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
94.2%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 45Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+37
94.1%
Jeff Driskel pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 37 yds to the Sthrn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
94.3%
Jeff Driskel run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Howard, A. pass incomplete to Talbert, N., PENALTY SUBR illegal touching (Talbert, N.) 0 yards to the SUBR26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
96.9%
Malcom Crockett run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-5
96.9%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Reginald Redding) to the Sthrn 23Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
96.9%
Austin Howard pass incomplete to Randall Menard, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
96.9%
Greg Pittman punt, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
97.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marlon Watts for 4 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
97.8%
Ryan Higgins pass intercepted, touchback. Demerio Houston return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-7
98.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Sthrn 13Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 17
OWN 13
-2
98.3%
Lenard Tillery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Sthrn 11Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+16
98.3%
Austin Howard pass complete to Bradley Coleman for 16 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q2 4:00
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Greg Pittman punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:0098% → 99%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marlon Watts for 8 yds to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-8
98.5%
Ryan Higgins sacked by Simeon Houston for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 10
50
+7
98.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marlon Watts for 7 yds to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q2 2:09
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+9
98.3%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Grant Childress for 9 yds to the Sthrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
98.4%
Ryan Higgins run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 27Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
98.5%
Ryan Higgins pass intercepted, touchback. Danny Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 23END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
98.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
98.7%
Ryan Higgins run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
98.6%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Jarred Craft for no gain to the Sthrn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
98.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Sthrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 25TD
12 plays · 85 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 20Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+11
99.0%
Lenard Tillery run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
98.9%
Austin Howard pass complete to Mike Jones for 6 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Matthew Ydarraga) to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.7%
Lenard Tillery run for 5 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+7
98.7%
Malcom Crockett run for 7 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
98.7%
Austin Howard pass complete to Willie Quinn for 6 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+2
98.5%
Lenard Tillery run for 2 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+6
98.6%
Austin Howard run for 6 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
98.6%
Lenard Tillery run for 12 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.7%
Howard, A. pass incomplete to Menard, R. (DUNN JR.,Roland), PENALTY LATECH offside (BRADFORD, J.) 5 yards to the LATECH5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
98.4%
Austin Howard run for 4 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 12:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.1%
Austin Howard run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 0:0099% → 100%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.4%
Blake Martin run for 7 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+13
99.4%
Blake Martin run for 13 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.5%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Sanford Seay, broken up by Danny JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+20
99.5%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Kameron McKnight for 20 yds to the Sthrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
99.5%
Blake Martin run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 31Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
99.5%
Blake Martin run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
99.5%
Blake Martin run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.7%
Deonte Shorts pass complete to Nico Talbert for 11 yds to the Sthrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
Malcom Crockett run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 42Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Bradley ColemanSimilar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Deonte Shorts pass incomplete to Montrell JonesSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Greg Pittman punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
99.7%
Blake Martin run for 12 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Sanford Seay for 6 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
50
+2
99.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Gerald Shouse punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 29FUMBLE
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
John West run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 19Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-5
99.9%
SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Dillon Beard) to the Sthrn 14Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+4
99.9%
John West run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 18Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+15
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Montrell Jones for 15 yds to the Sthrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
99.8%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Mike Jones for 8 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+8
99.8%
Malcom Crockett run for 8 yds to the Sthrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Mike Jones for 9 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
99.8%
Malcom Crockett run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Malcom Crockett run for 1 yd to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 9
OPP 37
-6
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Sthrn Lenard TillerySimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+21
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Mike Jones for 21 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaTch Courtney WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 5 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+19
99.9%
Boston Scott run for 19 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
99.9%
Price Wilson pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 30 yds to the Sthrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
99.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 14
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Price Wilson pass incomplete to Sanford SeaySimilar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 14
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Price Wilson pass incomplete to Sanford SeaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 31DOWNS
8 plays · 54 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
99.9%
LonDres Johnson run for 16 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.9%
LonDres Johnson run for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Devon Gales for 24 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
99.9%
LonDres Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 15Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Justin Morgan for 4 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 8
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass incomplete to Devon GalesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
Boston Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Boston Scott run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+6
100.0%
Jonathan Barnes run for 6 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 7:28
Paul Turner 45 Yd Punt Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+3.1
TD · Q2 13:06
Jeff Driskel pass complete to Paul Turner for 10 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST down
+2.1
TD · Q1 9:16
Kenneth Dixon 55 Yd pass from Jeff Driskel (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com