Try the model
ND

Notre Dame 24 at Temple 20

TEM
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Lincoln Financial Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:49 · Alex Starzyk punt for 48 yds, downed at the NDame 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Pregame prior−19.0Home team on offense−4.8Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:17: Brandon Shippen 12 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick) — TEM win probability +9.1 pts (now 39%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:51: DeShone Kizer 79 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +8.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:51: Jahad Thomas 1 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick) — TEM win probability +27.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 4:45: Austin Jones 36 Yd Field Goal — TEM win probability +14.4 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:09: Will Fuller 17 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +51.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ND made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 5:57TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00ND 4th & 6 at ND 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:25TEM 4th & 8 at ND 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:08ND 4th & 10 at TEM 46, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:40TEM 4th & 23 at TEM 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.3%−2.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:49TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.7%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:57TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 48, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−2.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:03ND 4th & 6 at TEM 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.0%−10.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:03TEM 4th & 8 at TEM 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:12ND 4th & 7 at midfield, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:09TEM 4th & 4 at ND 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−2.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:51TEM 4th & 1 at ND 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−6.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−19.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:33ND 4th & 4 at ND 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:45TEM 4th & 2 at ND 19, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.6%−4.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−26.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00ND 4th & 1 at ND 44, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%−0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:00ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:17TEM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:51ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:51TEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:09ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−1.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
15 plays · 74 yds · 5:4780% → 79%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
20.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
20.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 2 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+11
20.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 11 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
20.8%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+8
21.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+15
21.1%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Fuller, Will, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Young, Tavon) 15 yards to the TEMPLE41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
21.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 11 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
21.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+12
21.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 12 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
21.8%
C.J. Prosise run for no gain to the Temp 14Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+11
22.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 11 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
22.2%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 4Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.9%
DeShone Kizer 4 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:5821% → 22%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
21.3%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sheldon Day) to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 5
OWN 23
-3
21.5%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 20Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 8
OWN 20
0
21.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Brandon ShippenSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+11
21.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
21.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
22.3%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
22.2%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q1 5:57
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
21.9%
Alex Starzyk punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5078% → 78%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
21.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
21.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. Prosise NOTRE DAME Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Nick Martin) declinedSimilar
Q1 5:08
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
22.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
22.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 27 yds, downed at the Temp 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:2723% → 25%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
22.8%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 38Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
22.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+14
22.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 14 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+22
23.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 22 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
24.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
23.9%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
23.4%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q1 2:25
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
25.1%
Austin Jones 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 3:0675% → 74%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
24.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 4 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+25
24.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 25 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
24.0%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 49
-5
24.7%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 46Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+8
25.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 8 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
25.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Sean Chandler at the Temp 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 2:2026% → 25%
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
25.8%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-7
25.8%
Walker, P.J. pass complete to Thomas, Jahad for 10 yards to the TEMPLE24, PENALTY TEMPLE holding (Johnson, Leon) 7 yards to the TEMPLE7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 17
OWN 7
+10
25.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 10 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-16
25.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the Temp 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TempSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 23
OWN 1
+7
25.4%
Alex Starzyk punt for 46 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 7 yds to the Temp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:1375% → 75%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
25.0%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
25.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 9 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+14
25.3%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Robinson, Corey, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Young, Tavon) 14 yards to the TEMPLE17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
24.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
24.4%
C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 14
0
25.2%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Praise Martin-Oguike return for no gain to the Temp 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 8TD
11 plays · 94 yds · 2:5426% → 39%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
26.3%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaac Rochell) to the Temp 11Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 5
OWN 11
+39
26.8%
Jahad Thomas run for 39 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
50
0
29.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
50
+26
28.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 26 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
29.0%
Robby Anderson run for no gain to the NDame 24Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
29.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to John ChristopherSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+15
28.3%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Bryant, Ventell, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Luke, Cole) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q2 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
29.3%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 12Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
29.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Kip PattonSimilar
Q2 6:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
38.6%
Brandon Shippen 12 Yd pass from P.J. Walker (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
4 plays · 88 yds · 1:0964% → 72%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
35.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 7 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+2
36.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 2 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+79
27.6%
DeShone Kizer 79 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:5627% → 26%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
26.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 12 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
27.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
26.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q2 3:49
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
26.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 48 yds, downed at the NDame 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11INT
11 plays · 74 yds · 2:4072% → 75%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
28.3%
C.J. Prosise run for 2 yds to the NDame 17Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+31
27.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 31 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
25.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 9 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+13
24.8%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Jones, Alize, PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Chandler, Sean) 13 yards to the TEMPLE30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
24.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
24.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+15
24.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 15 yds to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
24.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
24.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+21
24.8%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Tyler Matakevich return for 21 yds to the Temp 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4327% → 27%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
27.4%
P.J. Walker sacked by Romeo Okwara for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+4
27.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:5831% → 30%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
30.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 28 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
33.9%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 13
50
0
32.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 13
50
-2
31.1%
P.J. Walker sacked by Sheldon Day for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 48 P.J. Walker fumbled, forced by Sheldon Day, recovered by Temp Shahbaz Ahmed , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 15
OWN 48
+4
29.7%
Alex Starzyk punt for 42 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 4 yds to the NDame 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14FG
16 plays · 80 yds · 5:4670% → 77%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
30.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 6 yds to the NDame 20Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
29.8%
C.J. Prosise run for 5 yds to the NDame 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
29.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 4 yds to the NDame 34Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
29.8%
DeShone Kizer run for 1 yd to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
30.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the NDame 42Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+4
29.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 4 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+40
29.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 40 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
27.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 2 yds to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+9
27.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 9 yds to the Temp 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.8%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
28.8%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 6Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
28.2%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q3 7:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
23.4%
Justin Yoon 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5227% → 26%
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
27.2%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Brandon Shippen for 2 yds to the Temp 37Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
27.6%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
26.7%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q3 6:03
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+7
25.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 38 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 7 yds to the NDame 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4477% → 77%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
23.3%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Prosise, C.J., PENALTY TEMPLE pass interference (Marshall, Stephaun) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-15
22.1%
Kizer, DeShone pass incomplete to Carlisle, Amir, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Weishar, Nic) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 25
OWN 32
+7
24.4%
C.J. Prosise run for 7 yds to the NDame 39Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 18
OWN 39
-15
23.4%
Kizer, DeShone rush for 7 yards to the NOTREDAME46, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul (Martin, Nick) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 33
OWN 24
+14
24.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 14 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 19
OWN 38
+12
23.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 7
50
+13
23.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 41 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 13 yds to the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 7:1327% → 56%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
26.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 14 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
27.9%
P.J. Walker run for 10 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
29.9%
Jahad Thomas run for 8 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+2
31.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
31.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 1 yd to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+3
29.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+2
29.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+31
27.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 31 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
31.8%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 9Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
32.0%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 0
OPP 9
+5
31.2%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Deloatch, Romond, PENALTY NOTREDAME personal foul (Shumate, Elijah) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEMPLE.Similar
Q4 12:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
33.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the NDame 3Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
33.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the NDame 1Similar
Q4 11:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.2%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the NDame 1Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.2%
Jahad Thomas 1 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:1253% → 48%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
47.5%
DeShone Kizer run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 16Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 14
OWN 16
-4
49.3%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 7 yds to the NDame 23 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Nick Martin) to the NDame 12Similar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+14
51.6%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 14 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
52.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 35 yds, downed at the Temp 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:4157% → 77%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
56.8%
P.J. Walker run for 21 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
60.6%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+9
60.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+4
61.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
64.4%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 30Similar
Q4 5:12
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+11
63.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
62.8%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Jahad ThomasSimilar
Q4 4:45
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+36
77.1%
Austin Jones 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2329% → 87%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.3%
DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
69.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to C.J. Prosise for no gain to the NDame 31Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
72.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 7 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+45
72.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Alize Jones for 45 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
64.3%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the Temp 17Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
12.7%
Will Fuller 17 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4526% → 20%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
25.5%
P.J. Walker run for 15 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
27.5%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Robby AndersonSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
27.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 8 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 1:14
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-15
26.7%
Walker, P.J. pass incomplete to Anderson, Robby, PENALTY TEMPLE personal foul (Ahmed, Shahbaz) 15 yards to the TEMPLE32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 17
OWN 32
0
20.3%
P.J. Walker pass intercepted KeiVarae Russell return for no gain to the NDame 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:0293% → 94%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
6.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
6.2%
DeShone Kizer run for 5 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
5.5%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
5.7%
DeShone Kizer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:09
Will Fuller 17 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick)
-51.6
TD · Q4 10:51
Jahad Thomas 1 Yd Run (Austin Jones Kick)
+27.2
FG · Q4 4:45
Austin Jones 36 Yd Field Goal
+14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com