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MASS

Massachusetts 27 at Notre Dame 62

ND
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadMASS aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreMASS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:27 · Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 1 yd to the NDame 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior+31.9Home team on offense+7.8Score differential+2.2Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:17: Sekai Lindsay 1 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick) — MASS win probability +2.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:47: Will Fuller 26 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +1.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:44: Jamal Wilson 1 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick) — MASS win probability +2.9 pts (now 11%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:21: C.J. Sanders 50 Yd Punt Return (Justin Yoon Kick) — ND win probability +3.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MASS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:02: C.J. Prosise run for 16 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK) — ND win probability +3.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 2 of 5MASS made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 13:42MASS 4th & 2 at MASS 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:22ND 4th & 4 at ND 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08MASS 4th & 13 at ND 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:45MASS 4th & 10 at MASS 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:49MASS 4th & 5 at ND 29, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:24ND 4th & 2 at ND 47, up 1
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:21MASS 4th & 9 at MASS 2, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:27MASS 4th & 23 at MASS 33, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:03MASS 4th & 8 at MASS 27, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:00MASS 4th & 5 at MASS 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:30ND 4th & 4 at ND 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:31MASS 4th & 10 at ND 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:45ND 4th & 27 at MASS 49, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:11MASS 4th & 10 at ND 18, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:44ND 4th & 2 at MASS 45, up 35
    Close callPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MASS made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:02ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:19ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00MASS Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:17MASS Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:47ND Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:44MASS Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:21ND Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:06ND Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 12:02ND Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 9:28ND Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 2:18ND Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 8:34ND Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 3:35MASS Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MASSDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:144% → 4%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+10
96.3%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 10 yds to the UMass 33Similar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 52 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5596% → 96%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
96.1%
DeShone Kizer sacked by Trey Seals for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 13Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+8
96.1%
C.J. Prosise run for 8 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q1 12:33
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
96.0%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Nic WeisharSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+7
95.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 59 yds , Trey Dudley-Giles returns for 7 yds to the UMass 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:104% → 5%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
95.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for 4 yds to the UMass 31Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+12
95.8%
Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 3 yards to the UMass 28 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jaylon Smith) to the UMass 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
95.7%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UMass 38Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+18
95.7%
Jamal Wilson run for 18 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
95.5%
Blake Frohnapfel sacked by James Onwualu for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 16
50
-7
95.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 8 yds to the UMass 42 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Clipping (-15 Yards) to the UMass 43Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 23
OWN 43
0
95.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shadrach AbrokwahSimilar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 24
OWN 43
+11
95.4%
Jamal Wilson run for 11 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Logan Laurent punt for 41 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 4TD
8 plays · 95 yds · 2:5795% → 95%
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+14
95.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 14 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
95.1%
C.J. Prosise run for 7 yds to the NDame 26Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
95.1%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+4
95.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 4 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.9%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the NDame 30Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+12
94.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Aliz Jones for 12 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
94.8%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the NDame 43Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+57
95.4%
C.J. Prosise 57 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:055% → 5%
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.2%
Jamal Wilson run for 3 yds to the UMass 23Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+25
95.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 25 yds to the UMass 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q1 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
94.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Jamal WilsonSimilar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
95.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q1 4:45
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
95.1%
Logan Laurent punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 6TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:1695% → 96%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
95.0%
Amir Carlisle run for 9 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q1 4:14
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+10
95.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 10 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
95.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 9 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+6
95.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 6 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
94.8%
Josh Adams run for 7 yds to the UMass 39Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+7
94.8%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 7 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
94.8%
Josh Adams run for 6 yds to the UMass 26Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+11
94.7%
C.J. Prosise run for 11 yds to the UMass 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
94.6%
C.J. Prosise run for 13 yds to the UMass 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
94.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 7Similar
Q1 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.8%
DeShone Kizer 7 Yd Run (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 7TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:135% → 6%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
95.3%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UMass 17Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+83
94.5%
Marquis Young 83 Yd Run (Blake Lucas PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.3%
DeShone Kizer pass intercepted Trey Dudley-Giles return for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 9TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:306% → 9%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
50
+16
94.1%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Jamal Wilson for 16 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.6%
Marquis Young run for no gain to the NDame 34Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+5
93.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 5 yds to the NDame 29Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
93.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 5
OPP 29
+9
94.0%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 9 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
93.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 2 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
93.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+16
93.7%
Jamal Wilson run for 16 yds to the NDame 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.3%
Jamal Wilson run for 1 yd to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.2%
Sekai Lindsay 1 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:1592% → 94%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.2%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
92.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 7 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
92.1%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
92.3%
Josh Adams run for 1 yd to the NDame 46Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
92.0%
DeShone Kizer run for 3 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
92.1%
Amir Carlisle run for 4 yds to the UMass 47Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+7
92.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 7 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
92.1%
DeShone Kizer run for 6 yds to the UMass 34Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+8
92.4%
DeShone Kizer run for 8 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
94.0%
Will Fuller 26 Yd pass from DeShone Kizer (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:467% → 11%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
93.4%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 56 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
92.4%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NDame 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
92.4%
Marken Michel run for 3 yds to the NDame 1Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 0
OPP 1
0
92.1%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference ( 0 Yards) to the NDame 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.2%
Jamal Wilson 1 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:5991% → 90%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.0%
C.J. Prosise run for 6 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+4
91.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 4 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
90.9%
C.J. Prosise run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 34 C.J. Prosise fumbled, recovered by NDame C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
90.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Amir CarlisleSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+13
89.9%
DeShone Kizer run for 13 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
90.4%
Tyler Newsome punt for 52 yds, downed at the UMass 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 13PUNT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5910% → 7%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
89.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
89.8%
Jamal Wilson run for 1 yd to the UMass 2Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
89.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+50
93.4%
C.J. Sanders 50 Yd Punt Return (Justin Yoon Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 14 yds · 1:397% → 7%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
92.7%
Marquis Young run for 1 yd to the UMass 20Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
92.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+21
92.5%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shaquille Harris for 21 yds to the UMass 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.6%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
91.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 23
OWN 33
+1
93.2%
Logan Laurent punt for 42 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 1 yd to the NDame 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 15TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 1:0793% → 95%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
92.7%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Aliz Jones for 7 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
92.9%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+27
92.5%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 27 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.3%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Chris BrownSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+17
93.2%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Will Fuller for 17 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
93.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
93.5%
DeShone Kizer pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+16
93.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 16 yds to the UMass 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.4%
DeShone Kizer run for no gain to the UMass 7Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.0%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Chris Brown for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:3095% → 98%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
95.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 3 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+1
95.2%
C.J. Prosise run for 1 yd to the NDame 31Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+8
94.9%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Nic Weishar for 8 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
95.3%
C.J. Prosise run for 4 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+4
95.3%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+37
95.1%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Aliz Jones for 37 yds to the UMass 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
98.4%
C.J. Prosise run for 16 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:552% → 2%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Sekai LindsaySimilar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.0%
Sekai Lindsay run for 2 yds to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Blake Frohnapfel run for no gain to the UMass 27Similar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
98.1%
Logan Laurent run for 3 yds to the UMass 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:2898% → 100%
Q3 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+16
98.4%
DeShone Kizer pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 16 yds to the UMass 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.7%
Dexter Williams run for 14 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.6%
Sekai Lindsay run for 6 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-1
99.7%
Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 23Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Tajae SharpeSimilar
Q3 8:00
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+12
99.7%
Logan Laurent punt for 52 yds , C.J. Sanders returns for 12 yds to the NDame 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
99.8%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Will FullerSimilar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
99.8%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+3
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for 3 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Tyler Newsome punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 5 yds to the UMass 25Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+29
99.7%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 14 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
99.7%
Marken Michel run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 14
50
+4
99.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marquis Young for 4 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Logan Laurent punt for 31 yds, fair catch by C.J. Sanders at the NDame 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Torii Hunter Jr. for 9 yds to the NDame 24Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+11
99.8%
Josh Adams run for 11 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.8%
Josh Adams run for 8 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-1
99.8%
Josh Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 42Similar
Q3 2:18
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+58
99.8%
Brandon Wimbush run for 58 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 24INT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 12 yds to the UMass 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for a loss of 4 yards to the UMass 21Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 14
OWN 21
-1
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 20Similar
Q3 0:03
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-3
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass intercepted Cole Luke return for a loss of 3 yards to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:15100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+5
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 5 yds to the UMass 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 5 yds to the UMass 42Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
99.9%
Dexter Williams run for 10 yds to the UMass 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
99.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to Equanimeous St. Brown for 8 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 13:19
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-20
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 22
OPP 44
-5
99.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the UMass 49Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 27
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Brandon Wimbush pass incomplete to Torii Hunter Jr.Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 27
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Tyler Newsome punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 26DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 2:250% → 0%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 17 yds to the UMass 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Lorenzo WoodleySimilar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Lorenzo Woodley run for 1 yd to the UMass 38Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+15
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 15 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Marken Michel for 4 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+11
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 11 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass complete to Tajae Sharpe for 14 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shakur NesmithSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Shaquille HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
Q4 10:11
4TH & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
Blake Frohnapfel pass incomplete to Marken MichelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 27TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
99.9%
Josh Adams run for 4 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Josh Adams run for 3 yds to the NDame 25Similar
Q4 9:21
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 5 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
99.9%
Josh Adams run for 70 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 28TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 4:440% → 0%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
99.9%
MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UMass 13Similar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Marquis Young run for 2 yds to the UMass 15Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 18
OWN 15
+9
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Lorenzo Woodley for 9 yds to the UMass 24Similar
Q4 6:47
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+15
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Lorenzo Woodley for no gain to the UMass 24 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UMass 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Sekai Lindsay run for no gain to the UMass 39Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Elgin Long for 5 yds to the UMass 44Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Elgin Long for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
50
0
100.0%
Ross Comis run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
50
+6
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Shaquille Harris for 6 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+11
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Sekai Lindsay for 11 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Ross Comis pass complete to Shakur Nesmith for 33 yds for a TD, (Mike Caggiano KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
99.9%
Brandon Wimbush run for 26 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
100.0%
Dexter Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
100.0%
Dexter Williams run for 6 yds to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Brandon Wimbush pass complete to C.J. Sanders for no gain to the UMass 45Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Tyler Newsome punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MASSDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Ross Comis pass complete to Andy Isabella for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
100.0%
Ross Comis run for 5 yds to the UMass 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:21
C.J. Sanders 50 Yd Punt Return (Justin Yoon Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q3 12:02
C.J. Prosise run for 16 yds for a TD, (Justin Yoon KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q2 6:44
Jamal Wilson 1 Yd Run (Mike Caggiano Kick)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com