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MD

Maryland 46 at Rutgers 41

RUTG
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-4.8RUTG 63.6%Adam Greene 26 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 17 · Q2 9:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:14 · Adam Greene 26 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense+6.0Score differential+2.1Garbage-time factor+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Pregame prior−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:43: Paul James run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +17.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:16: Ty Johnson run for 44 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +19.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 14:23: Brandon Ross 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — MD win probability +20.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 9:43: Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 42 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MD win probability +20.8 pts (now 60%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:40: Brandon Ross run for 80 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) RUTGERS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — MD win probability +52.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MD 4th & 1 at MD 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    53.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52MD 4th & 16 at MD 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:17RUTG 4th & 2 at RUTG 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25MD 4th & 8 at MD 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:17RUTG 4th & 14 at MD 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    51.8%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:14MD 4th & 4 at RUTG 8, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.0%−0.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−11.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:44MD 4th & 3 at RUTG 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.7
    60% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:32MD 4th & 7 at RUTG 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:33RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:38MD 4th & 10 at MD 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:47RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 28, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:07MD 4th & 6 at RUTG 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:07RUTG 4th & 18 at RUTG 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−4.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:17RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 35, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:57RUTG 4th & 4 at MD 12, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−8.6
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    31.5%−24.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:34RUTG 4th & 1 at MD 38, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−7.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−9.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 8:59RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:56RUTG Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:18RUTG Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:49MD Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:43RUTG Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:33MD Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:16MD Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:43RUTG Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:23MD Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    35.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    35.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 9:43MD Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.7%−1.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    55.8%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 4:40MD Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
47.0%
Malcolm Culmer run for 11 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
47.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to DeAndre Lane for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
-2
47.0%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+15
47.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 15 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
47.0%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 3:1148% → 51%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
48.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Sam Bergen for 9 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+4
48.1%
Janarion Grant run for 4 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
48.1%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+22
48.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 22 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
48.1%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Mary 6Similar
Q1 8:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
51.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
50.5%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
50.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 9
OWN 29
-7
50.8%
Perry Hills sacked by Julian Pinnix-Odrick for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 22Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 16
OWN 22
0
51.0%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 42 yds, downed at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
51.9%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
52.1%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-1
52.0%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q1 7:17
4TH & 2
OWN 44
0
51.6%
Joey Roth punt for 46 yds , Ty Johnson returns for no gain to the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
52.7%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 13Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+15
52.7%
Hills, P. pass incomplete to Culmer, M. (Longa, Steve), PENALTY RU pass interference (Longa, Steve) 15 yards to the UMD28, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
52.5%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
52.5%
Brandon Ross run for 6 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-6
52.3%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
53.2%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:2154% → 56%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
54.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+17
55.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 17 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
55.3%
Paul James run for no gain to the Mary 44Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+22
55.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 22 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
57.1%
Laviano, Chris pass complete to James, Paul for 22 yards to the UMD0, clock 00:07, PENALTY RU holding (Muller, Chris) 10 yards to the UMD32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 20
OPP 32
0
56.9%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:07
2ND & 20
OPP 32
0
56.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+6
55.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 14:17
4TH & 14
OPP 26
+44
56.3%
Kyle Federico 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
56.8%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
56.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to P.J. Gallo for 5 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 14:17
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
56.3%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Andre Hunt return for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
3 plays · 43 yds · 1:1259% → 72%
Q2 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
59.2%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+30
59.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 30 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Josh Hicks for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FG
13 plays · 76 yds · 2:3431% → 36%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
69.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 22 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.6%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+18
68.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to D.J. Moore for 18 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
67.8%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+12
67.8%
Brandon Ross run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
66.8%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+11
66.8%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to D.J. Moore for 11 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
66.8%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to D.J. Moore for 5 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+1
66.8%
Caleb Rowe run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
68.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to P.J. GalloSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
63.6%
Adam Greene 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 1:4967% → 84%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
66.6%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
66.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 8
OWN 29
+14
65.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 14 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+50
67.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 50 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
68.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 0:2420% → 35%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+34
80.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 34 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
78.4%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:49
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+43
65.3%
Ty Johnson run for 43 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 3:5968% → 88%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
68.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
50
+1
69.8%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Mary 49Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+21
69.5%
Paul James run for 21 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
69.9%
Paul James run for 8 yds to the Mary 20Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+3
69.7%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
69.9%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+9
69.7%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
87.6%
Paul James run for 6 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13FG
18 plays · 69 yds · 2:0215% → 22%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
85.3%
RUTGERS Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 5
OWN 29
+17
84.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 17 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
84.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Brandon RossSimilar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+19
84.5%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 19 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
83.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 7 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
82.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
83.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. Moore, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+5
84.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 5 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.9%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. Moore, broken up by Jarius AdamsSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 20
OPP 33
+19
84.6%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 19 yds to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+12
83.7%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Malcolm Culmer, broken up by Jarius Adams for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jarius Adams) to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
82.9%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
84.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
85.4%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 0:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
78.0%
Adam Greene 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
83.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
80.5%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Sean Davis return for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:1821% → 32%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
79.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to DeAndre LaneSimilar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
79.3%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+20
80.1%
Caleb Rowe run for 20 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
68.1%
Brandon Ross run for 16 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
72.9%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
72.9%
Paul James run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
73.6%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
72.9%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
71.4%
Joey Roth punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
73.2%
Brandon Ross run for 14 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
72.6%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Malcolm Culmer, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
72.9%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
74.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q3 11:38
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
74.6%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 47 yds , Janarion Grant returns for no gain to the Rutgr 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
74.9%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
75.0%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 1
OWN 28
0
74.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Sam BergenSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 1
OWN 28
+33
73.4%
Joey Roth punt for 54 yds , Ty Johnson returns for 33 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:0628% → 24%
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
72.4%
Caleb Rowe run for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 19
OWN 42
+5
74.8%
Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the Mary 47Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+22
75.2%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 22 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
71.2%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
71.2%
Brandon Ross run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+10
72.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 10 yds to the Rutgr 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
70.7%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
70.7%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q3 9:13
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
72.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
75.6%
Adam Greene 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0078% → 76%
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.7%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+6
77.8%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
77.9%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-9
78.1%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 35 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 7:07
2ND & 16
OWN 25
-2
77.4%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 18
OWN 23
0
76.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
75.7%
Joey Roth punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ty Johnson at the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:1722% → 42%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
77.6%
Caleb Rowe run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
58.1%
Ty Johnson run for 44 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 3:2766% → 85%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
65.8%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+51
65.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 36 yds to the RUTGERS 40 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, roughing passer (Jermaine Carter Jr.) to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
70.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
70.2%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 3
OPP 18
-5
68.7%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+18
68.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 18 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
70.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 1:2019% → 43%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
81.4%
Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+20
80.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 20 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
79.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 11 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
77.5%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+22
77.9%
Caleb Rowe run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
77.9%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q4 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.3%
Brandon Ross 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0068% → 66%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
67.6%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-1
67.2%
Paul James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 11
OWN 14
+15
65.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 15 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
68.2%
Paul James run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
70.8%
Paul James run for no gain to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-3
69.6%
Paul James run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
66.2%
Joey Roth punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ty Johnson at the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 1:4634% → 60%
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
65.8%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+14
66.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 14 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
64.6%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
62.0%
Caleb Rowe run for 10 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
60.9%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+5
60.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 5 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+42
39.6%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 42 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:4048% → 71%
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
47.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 11 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
48.7%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+19
51.9%
Josh Hicks run for 19 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
54.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Sam BergenSimilar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
53.9%
Josh Hicks run for 13 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
56.2%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+10
56.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
56.2%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
56.2%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the Mary 12Similar
Q4 9:37
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
53.7%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q4 4:57
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
71.2%
Kyle Federico 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
19.4%
Brandon Ross run for 80 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) RUTGERS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0028% → 31%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
28.2%
Paul James run for no gain to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+17
27.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 17 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
31.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
33.6%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 45 RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 18
OWN 45
+12
29.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 12 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
33.9%
Janarion Grant run for 5 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
33.3%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
30.6%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30END OF GAME
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:4690% → 95%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
10.0%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
6.7%
Brandon Ross run for 6 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+36
6.3%
Caleb Rowe run for 36 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
4.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-2
5.0%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:40
Brandon Ross run for 80 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) RUTGERS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
-52.8
TD · Q4 9:43
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 42 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.8
TD · Q4 14:23
Brandon Ross 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-20.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com