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IU

Indiana 54 at Purdue 36

PUR
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:56 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 13:38: Nate Sudfeld run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +11.1 pts (now 83%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:57: Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +12.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:22: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Brandon Knight for 22 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED) — IU win probability +11.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:21: Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Appleby pass to Danny Anthrop for Two-Point Conversion) — PUR win probability +14.9 pts (now 29%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:15: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 72 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +13.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 6 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:44IU 4th & 5 at PUR 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    60.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:51PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:01IU 4th & 6 at PUR 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:01PUR 4th & 1 at IU 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:47IU 4th & 5 at IU 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:30PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:12IU 4th & 1 at PUR 49, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.1%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:51IU 4th & 6 at PUR 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−3.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:38PUR 4th & 25 at PUR 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:16IU 4th & 7 at IU 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−1.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:28PUR 4th & 2 at IU 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 6 at IU 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:27PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%−1.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:15PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 35, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:31IU 4th & 2 at PUR 15, up 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.6%−0.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−3.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:48IU 4th & 10 at PUR 35, up 18
    Close callWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%
    45% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:01PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:51IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:46IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:07IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:12PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 13:38IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:28PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:57IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:19PUR Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:22IU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:21PUR Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    19.4%−1.0
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 10:15IU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
37.9%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+5
37.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 5 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
37.9%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-6
37.9%
Austin Appleby sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+10
37.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
50
0
37.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:5361% → 63%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
38.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
38.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+25
38.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 25 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
38.5%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
38.5%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 12:44
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
38.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q1 12:44
4TH & 5
OPP 42
+20
38.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 20 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
38.4%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-1
38.5%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 11
OPP 23
+23
37.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · -6 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
37.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 9 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+4
38.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
38.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 12 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-15
38.3%
PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
37.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 30 yds, downed at the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
38.0%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
38.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
37.7%
Austin Appleby sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:1463% → 63%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
36.8%
Devine Redding run for 17 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
36.7%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+1
36.7%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
36.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+45
36.9%
Griffin Oakes 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FUMBLE
12 plays · 72 yds · 0:0037% → 39%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
37.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
37.8%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
37.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
38.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
38.1%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
38.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 9 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 6:01
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
38.2%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+3
37.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 3 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
38.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 8 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+31
38.6%
D.J. Knox run for 31 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
38.6%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 3 Austin Appleby fumbled, recovered by Ind Dameon Willis Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
36.9%
Nate Sudfeld run for no gain to the Ind 3Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+5
37.0%
Andrew Wilson run for 5 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
37.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+70
37.5%
Erich Toth punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PURDUE 32 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 1:4435% → 43%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
35.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 13 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
35.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 17 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+16
36.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 16 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+27
37.1%
Markell Jones run for 27 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
37.1%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.4%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:1460% → 66%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
40.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 20 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
39.5%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+13
39.5%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
39.3%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+19
39.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 19 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
38.7%
Mitchell Paige run for 2 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+15
38.7%
Sudfeld, Nate pass incomplete to Jones, Ricky, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Williams, F.) 15 yards to the PUR6, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
34.3%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1634% → 34%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
34.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 12:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
34.1%
Aaron Banks pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 11:30
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
34.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 65 yds, downed at the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
15 plays · 99 yds · 4:1264% → 79%
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
36.1%
Andrew Wilson run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
36.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. INDIANA Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+14
36.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andrew Wilson for 14 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
35.6%
Andrew Wilson run for 7 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+9
35.1%
Ricky Jones run for 9 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
35.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 5 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+6
34.8%
Ricky Brookins run for 6 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
34.4%
Ricky Brookins run for 3 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
34.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
34.6%
Ricky Brookins run for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
32.9%
Andrew Wilson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
31.9%
Andrew Wilson run for no gain to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+32
32.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 32 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
21.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:5525% → 35%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
25.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 9 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
25.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
25.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+14
26.6%
Austin Appleby run for 14 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
27.0%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+15
26.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 15 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
27.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-4
27.3%
Austin Appleby sacked by Zack Shaw and T.J. Simmons for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 7:07
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+19
26.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 19 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
28.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
28.1%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
34.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 11 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:2168% → 72%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+27
32.2%
Devine Redding run for 27 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+30
30.3%
Devine Redding run for 15 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
29.7%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
29.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+5
28.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 5 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 0:51
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
27.9%
Griffin Oakes 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
30.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 5 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
30.5%
INDIANA Penalty, substitution infraction (4 Yards) to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+1
31.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 1 yd to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
30.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
30.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-6
29.3%
Austin Appleby sacked by Darius Latham for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2270% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
29.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
28.4%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+57
28.7%
Devine Redding run for 57 yds to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
28.0%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Prdue 3Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.9%
Nate Sudfeld run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-14
19.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 22 PURDUE Penalty, face mask (11 yards) (Markell Jones) to the Prdue 11Similar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 24
OWN 11
0
19.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 24
OWN 11
0
18.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q3 13:38
3RD & 24
OWN 11
-1
18.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 10Similar
Q3 13:38
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
18.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 60 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
17.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 7 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
16.6%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-4
17.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 33Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
17.7%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds, downed at the Prdue 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 5:4617% → 24%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
16.9%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+3
17.4%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
17.5%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
17.2%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+1
18.3%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
18.2%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
18.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 3 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+16
18.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 16 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
19.2%
Austin Appleby run for 10 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
19.4%
Appleby, Austin pass incomplete to Yancey, De., PENALTY IND offside (Latham, Darius) 5 yards to the IND17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:14
1ST & 5
OPP 17
+8
19.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 8 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
19.4%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
19.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
19.1%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 2Similar
Q3 4:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
24.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:3179% → 92%
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
50
+15
21.2%
Andrew Wilson run for 15 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Frankie WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+18
20.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 18 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
20.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 7 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
20.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+3
21.4%
Andrew Wilson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
20.5%
PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Leroy Clark) to the Prdue 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
20.3%
Andrew Wilson run for no gain to the Prdue 3Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
20.5%
Andrew Wilson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.3%
Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3813% → 26%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
12.7%
Austin Appleby sacked by Shawn Heffern for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+31
12.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 31 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
14.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 16 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
15.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+20
26.1%
Markell Jones run for 20 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:1978% → 77%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
21.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
21.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
22.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
23.3%
Erich Toth punt for 40 yds , Frankie Williams returns for no gain to the Prdue 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
21.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
21.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny Anthrop, broken up by Adarius RaynerSimilar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
20.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete, broken up by Robert McCray IIISimilar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
18.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:3380% → 95%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
20.3%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+22
20.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 22 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
19.4%
Nate Sudfeld run for 10 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
5.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Brandon Knight for 22 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:0112% → 29%
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
11.9%
INDIANA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+29
12.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 29 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
14.2%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 12:22
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+14
14.2%
Austin Appleby run for 14 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.1%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Appleby pass to Danny Anthrop for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:0681% → 95%
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
19.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 9 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 11:21
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+2
18.3%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
5.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 72 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
8.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
8.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
8.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
8.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds, downed at the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26FUMBLE
4 plays · 63 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
5.2%
Ricky Brookins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+54
5.1%
Ricky Brookins run for 40 yds to the PURDUE 28 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Tim Cason) to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
4.8%
Ricky Brookins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+17
4.8%
Ricky Brookins run for 12 yds to the Prdue 20 Ricky Brookins fumbled, forced by Evan Feichter, recovered by Prdue Frankie Williams , return for 17 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:006% → 7%
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
6.2%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
6.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 7:07
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+21
6.3%
Austin Appleby run for 6 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (T.J. Simmons) to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
7.0%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Tegray Scales return for 5 yds to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:5796% → 98%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+28
3.7%
Mike Majette run for 28 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
3.6%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
3.3%
Mike Majette run for 1 yd to the Prdue 19Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
3.1%
Andrew Wilson run for 4 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 5:31
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+34
1.9%
Griffin Oakes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+51
1.1%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Marcus Oliver return for 41 yds to the PURDUE 34 INDIANA Penalty, illegal block (Clyde Newton) to the Prdue 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2998% → 99%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
1.8%
Andrew Wilson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 8
OPP 33
-5
1.7%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Michael Cooper) to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+3
1.8%
Andrew Wilson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 3:48
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
1.2%
Andrew Wilson run for no gain to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+8
1.4%
Andrew Wilson run for 8 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 31FUMBLE
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
0.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+4
0.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
0.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
0.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
0.9%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:01
4TH & 8
OWN 41
-8
0.9%
Austin Appleby sacked by Greg Gooch for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 35 Austin Appleby fumbled, recovered by Ind Robert McCray III , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 1:56
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-2
0.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:21
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Appleby pass to Danny Anthrop for Two-Point Conversion)
+14.9
TD · Q4 10:15
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 72 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-13
TD · Q3 1:57
Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com