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IOWA

Iowa 28 at Nebraska 20

NEB
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 27, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:18: Imani Cross 4 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +9.0 pts (now 55%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:38: Parker Hesse 4 Yd Interception Return (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +11.6 pts (now 60%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:17: Jordan Canzeri 29 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +11.1 pts (now 71%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:00: Imani Cross 4 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +20.1 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  5. TD · Q3 6:43: Jordan Canzeri 68 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +17.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 9IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:23IOWA 4th & 2 at NEB 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    54.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:04IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:24IOWA 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:43NEB 4th & 17 at NEB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:33NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:22IOWA 4th & 5 at NEB 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:21NEB 4th & 3 at IOWA 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    38.6%−2.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:10IOWA 4th & 21 at NEB 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:02NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 34, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:51IOWA 4th & 10 at NEB 45, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    75.0%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:33NEB 4th & 6 at NEB 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:24IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 15, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%−2.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:37NEB 4th & 1 at IOWA 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.3%−3.4
    77% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−7.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:27IOWA 4th & 9 at IOWA 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:10IOWA 4th & 5 at NEB 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    92.1%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:29NEB 4th & 8 at NEB 22, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:17NEB 4th & 10 at IOWA 24, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.0%−0.8
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−1.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 13:50IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:18NEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:38IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:17IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:00NEB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:43IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:3751% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
48.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 22 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
48.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+1
48.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 12:57
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+4
48.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 4 yds to the Neb 38Similar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
49.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 33 yds, downed at the Neb 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:3049% → 49%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
49.3%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 9Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
49.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 13Similar
Q1 11:07
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+2
49.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 2 yds to the Neb 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
49.6%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
49.7%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 4
OWN 21
-3
49.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 18Similar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
49.3%
Sam Foltz punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4950% → 50%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
49.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
49.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-10
49.7%
Beathard, C.J. pass complete to Smith, Tevaun for 10 yards to the IOWA47, PENALTY IOWA holding (Welsh, Sean) 10 yards to the IOWA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+3
50.1%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 13
OWN 30
0
50.5%
Marshall Koehn punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
51.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Cole Fisher return for 10 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2551% → 50%
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
49.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
49.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 4
50
0
49.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 4
50
0
49.7%
Dillon Kidd punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:4150% → 50%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
50.2%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
50.2%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+10
50.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 10 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
50.9%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-5
50.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Stanley Morgan Jr.) to the Neb 32Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 14
OWN 32
-5
50.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, False Start (Dylan Utter) to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+2
50.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 2 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 1:57
3RD & 17
OWN 29
0
50.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 17
OWN 29
+10
49.9%
Sam Foltz punt for 47 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 10 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:5350% → 58%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
49.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 34Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
49.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Kevin Williams) to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
48.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 12 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
48.5%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to VandeBerg, Matt, PENALTY NEBRASKA roughing passer (Collins, Maliek) 15 yards to the NEBRASKA24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
47.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Neb 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-13
47.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Neb 14 IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 15
OPP 29
+19
48.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 19 yds to the Neb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
41.9%
George Kittle 10 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:1744% → 43%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.0%
Imani Cross run for 8 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q2 13:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
45.0%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
44.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
44.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
44.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+8
43.1%
Sam Foltz punt for 36 yds , Desmond King returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 31 Desmond King fumbled, recovered by Neb Mick StoltenbergSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 1:1547% → 55%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
46.5%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+29
45.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 25 yds to the Iowa 8 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Sideline Interference (4 Yards) to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
54.9%
Imani Cross 4 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:5650% → 51%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
49.7%
Matt VandeBerg run for 9 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
48.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
48.3%
C.J. Beathard run for 9 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 1
OPP 45
-4
46.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 49 LeShun Daniels Jr. fumbled, forced by Kevin Maurice, recovered by Iowa LeShun Daniels Jr.Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
47.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
48.8%
Marshall Koehn punt for 40 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:4452% → 40%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
51.8%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+4
40.2%
Parker Hesse 4 Yd Interception Return (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1741% → 41%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
40.5%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
40.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 10 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
40.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+12
41.7%
Terrell Newby run for 12 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
42.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 7 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 3
OPP 42
0
42.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 42
0
42.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-1
41.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 2:1164% → 63%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
35.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
35.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+15
35.2%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY NEBRASKA unnecessary roughness 15 yards to the NEBRASKA38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
34.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-1
34.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 39Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-5
34.3%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Neb 44Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 16
OPP 44
0
35.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 16
OPP 44
-5
36.9%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 1:10
4TH & 21
OPP 49
0
37.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 59 yds · 0:5638% → 44%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
38.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 8 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+27
39.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 27 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
41.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 20 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
43.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
42.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 4 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+39
44.1%
Drew Brown 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4946% → 45%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.9%
Imani Cross run for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
46.4%
Imani Cross run for no gain to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
45.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+26
44.6%
Sam Foltz punt for 40 yds , Desmond King returns for 26 yds to the NEBRASKA 40 NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (Sam Foltz) to the Neb 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:4560% → 71%
Q3 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
40.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+29
29.2%
Jordan Canzeri 29 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1731% → 50%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
30.8%
Brandon Reilly run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
30.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
29.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 9 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
29.6%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+15
29.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 15 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
30.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 25
OWN 37
+14
27.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Sam Cotton for 14 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+26
29.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 26 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
31.6%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+5
31.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 5 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+11
29.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 11 yds to the Iowa 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.9%
Imani Cross 4 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
25.9%
Jordan Canzeri 68 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
5 plays · 36 yds · 1:3727% → 29%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
26.6%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+27
26.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 27 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
29.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+26
28.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Greg Mabin return for 26 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0775% → 76%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
24.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 25 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-3
22.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 48Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 13
OPP 48
+3
22.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 3 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
22.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:51
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
23.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:1823% → 19%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
23.1%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+6
22.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 6 yds to the Neb 17Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
21.3%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
21.9%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+2
21.2%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+14
20.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
21.5%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
21.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
20.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q4 13:33
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
19.2%
Sam Foltz punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0981% → 84%
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
19.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 6Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+7
18.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+2
18.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
16.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 4:4721% → 15%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
20.7%
Imani Cross run for 8 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-1
21.1%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 41Similar
Q4 9:51
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-10
17.6%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 13
OWN 49
+13
14.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 13 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
17.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 10 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
18.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 6 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
18.5%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
16.5%
Imani Cross run for no gain to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 6:37
4TH & 1
OPP 19
0
14.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1089% → 92%
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
10.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-7
9.6%
C.J. Beathard run for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+5
9.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 5 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
8.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
50
+40
11.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Josey Jewell return for 25 yds to the NEBRASKA 25 IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (Desmond King) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 27PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:0493% → 96%
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
50
+2
7.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 8
OPP 48
-1
7.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+4
5.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Macon Plewa for 4 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
4.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 1:535% → 7%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
4.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Terrell NewbySimilar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+13
4.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 13 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
5.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 13 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+11
5.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 11 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+17
4.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 17 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
5.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
5.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Sam CottonSimilar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
4.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:17
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
7.3%
Drew Brown 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 1:1799% → 97%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 49
-1
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:00
Imani Cross 4 Yd Run (Drew Brown Kick)
+20.1
TD · Q3 6:43
Jordan Canzeri 68 Yd Run (Marshall Koehn Kick)
-17.9
TD · Q2 6:38
Parker Hesse 4 Yd Interception Return (Marshall Koehn Kick)
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com