Try the model
IU

Indiana 47 at Maryland 28

MD
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · SECU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:27 · Erich Toth punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mary 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Pregame prior−3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:02: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 59 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +5.8 pts (now 48%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:18: Brandon Ross run for 75 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK) — MD win probability +12.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: One-score game).
  3. TD · Q3 13:04: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +11.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:50: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +14.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 1:48: Griffin Oakes 36 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +9.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 13IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:24IU 4th & 4 at MD 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.8%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27IU 4th & 8 at IU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MD 4th & 3 at MD 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:52MD 4th & 2 at MD 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:00IU 4th & 2 at MD 2, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.6%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−7.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:57MD 4th & 9 at MD 35, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:20IU 4th & 9 at MD 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:15MD 4th & 5 at IU 47, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.3%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29MD 4th & 5 at IU 36, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.3%−0.4
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:58MD 4th & 2 at MD 16, down 9
    Close callPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:42MD 4th & 9 at MD 40, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:25IU 4th & 10 at IU 30, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:01MD 4th & 12 at MD 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:48IU 4th & 10 at MD 19, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−6.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:48MD 4th & 6 at MD 29, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00IU 4th & 9 at IU 45, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:40MD 4th & 12 at MD 24, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−2.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:42IU 4th & 16 at MD 44, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:53MD 4th & 4 at IU 48, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.3%−0.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:21MD 4th & 2 at IU 15, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.7%−0.6
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−2.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:10IU 4th & 6 at MD 36, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.3
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:05MD 4th & 10 at IU 25, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:34MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:10MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:32MD Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:32IU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:02IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:59IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:18MD Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:04IU Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:50IU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1FG
12 plays · 74 yds · 3:3654% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
46.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
46.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
46.4%
Sudfeld, Nate rush for no gain to the IND30 (Carter, J.), PENALTY UMD offside (Carter, J.) 5 yards to the IND35, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
46.4%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+3
46.4%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+34
46.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 34 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
46.4%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
46.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
46.4%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Mary 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
46.4%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 4Similar
Q1 11:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
46.8%
Griffin Oakes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 0:4147% → 48%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
46.9%
Joe Riddle run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 10:34
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+79
47.8%
Brandon Ross run for 79 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
47.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 29Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 14
OWN 29
+6
48.1%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
48.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
48.3%
Erich Toth punt for 52 yds, downed at the Mary 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 2:1548% → 53%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
48.3%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 14Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
48.2%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 14
+9
48.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Brandon Ross for 9 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
48.3%
Brandon Ross run for 14 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
48.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+23
48.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Ty Johnson for 23 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
49.0%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+12
50.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 12 yds to the Ind 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
53.2%
Brandon Ross run for 22 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FUMBLE
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.9%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
52.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-8
53.0%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 20 Nate Sudfeld fumbled, recovered by Mary Quinton Jefferson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:0654% → 59%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
53.7%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 11 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.7%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to P.J. GalloSimilar
Q1 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
53.7%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 14Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
59.2%
Malcolm Culmer 14 Yd pass from Caleb Rowe (Adam Greene Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 3:5443% → 44%
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
56.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 14 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
56.4%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
56.2%
Mike Majette run for 3 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+13
56.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 13 yds Simmie Cobbs Jr. fumbled, forced by William Likely, recovered by Ind Simmie Cobbs Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
55.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 19 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
54.9%
Mike Majette run for 9 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 1
OPP 16
0
53.7%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+10
54.1%
Sudfeld, Nate pass incomplete to Paige, Mitchell, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Cockerille, S.) 10 yards to the UMD6, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
54.9%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 0
OPP 4
-5
53.3%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Dimitric Camiel) to the Mary 9Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 0
OPP 9
-10
53.3%
Rodriguez, Alex rush for 2 yards to the UMD7 (Davis, S.), PENALTY IND holding (Bailey, Jacob) 10 yards to the UMD19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 0
OPP 19
0
53.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Alex RodriguezSimilar
Q1 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
56.3%
Mitchell Paige 19 Yd pass from Nate Sudfeld (Griffin Oakes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3257% → 58%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
56.8%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
56.7%
Brandon Ross run for 10 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.1%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to William LikelySimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
56.9%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 7 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
57.0%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
57.9%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:5242% → 48%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
58.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+10
58.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 10 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+15
58.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, personal foul (Jermaine Carter Jr.) to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
57.7%
Redding, Devine rush for no gain to the IND36 (Ross, J.), PENALTY IND holding (Camiel, D.) 10 yards to the IND26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
52.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 59 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:0048% → 54%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
51.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 9 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
51.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
51.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
51.5%
Mike Majette run for 5 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+24
51.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Luke Timian for 24 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
50.7%
Mike Majette run for 7 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.7%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.9%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
48.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Avery Edwards for no gain to the Mary 15Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
48.1%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to William Likely for 4 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+4
47.5%
Caleb Rowe run for 4 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
47.1%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:0354% → 60%
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+30
46.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 30 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
45.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
45.3%
Devine Redding run for 15 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
45.2%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
45.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
39.7%
Griffin Oakes 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13DOWNS
11 plays · 20 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
41.3%
Shane Cockerille run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 10Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+1
41.2%
Shane Cockerille run for 1 yd to the Mary 11Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 11
OWN 11
-5
40.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 6Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+15
40.2%
Rowe, C. pass incomplete to Etta-Tawo, A., PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the UMD21, 1ST DOWN UMD, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
41.5%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+13
41.4%
Caleb Rowe run for 13 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
41.8%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to William LikelySimilar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
41.7%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 35Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
41.0%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q2 7:57
4TH & 9
OWN 35
+3
40.3%
Anthony Nixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 32 Anthony Nixon fumbled, recovered by Mary Anthony Nixon , return for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14FG
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:5863% → 64%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
37.4%
Mike Majette run for 7 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 3
OPP 25
-2
37.2%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+1
37.7%
Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 4
OPP 26
-5
39.7%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
36.4%
Griffin Oakes 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 2:4638% → 36%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
37.5%
Brandon Ross run for 11 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
38.2%
Caleb Rowe run for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+15
38.7%
Brandon Ross run for 15 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
39.6%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 8
50
0
40.0%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to P.J. GalloSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 8
50
+3
39.0%
Caleb Rowe run for 3 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 3:15
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+6
38.4%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to D.J. Moore for 6 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
40.3%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
40.3%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+3
39.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 3 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
36.3%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to D.J. Moore, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
33.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4235% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.4%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
47.9%
Brandon Ross run for 75 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 3:4457% → 70%
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
42.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 13 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
42.1%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+25
42.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 25 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
31.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
30.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 6 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
34.0%
Shane Cockerille run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 7Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+4
34.0%
Shane Cockerille run for 4 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 11
+5
33.1%
Shane Cockerille run for 5 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+32
32.8%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the MARYLAND 47 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:1669% → 84%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
30.8%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+40
30.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 40 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
30.2%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Mary 3Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
20.5%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 15 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
21.9%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
21.6%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
20.9%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
20.5%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 30 yds, downed at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
17.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
17.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
17.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
18.1%
Erich Toth punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
19.9%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+3
19.7%
Shane Cockerille run for 3 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-6
19.7%
Shane Cockerille sacked by Robert McCray III for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 28Similar
Q3 8:01
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
19.0%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 4:3685% → 94%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
15.2%
Devine Redding run for 14 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
14.9%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
14.6%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-4
14.7%
Alex Rodriguez run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 14
OPP 39
+20
15.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 20 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
14.4%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 12
OPP 21
0
14.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+2
15.0%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
5.7%
Griffin Oakes 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
9.8%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q3 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.8%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
9.7%
Ty Johnson run for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 1:48
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
9.7%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:1496% → 95%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
4.5%
Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
4.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
4.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
+8
5.0%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds , Ty Johnson returns for 8 yds to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
8.6%
Shane Cockerille run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 29
-5
8.6%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Shane Cockerille for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 24 MARYLAND Penalty, illegal forward pass (Shane Cockerille) to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 14:40
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
8.3%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Brandon RossSimilar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
8.3%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 64 yds, downed at the Ind 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 13:42
4TH & 16
OPP 44
0
4.5%
Erich Toth punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ty Johnson at the Mary 10Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
4.4%
Nate Sudfeld run for 6 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+8
4.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 8 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+36
4.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 36 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
4.0%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
4.0%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-5
4.0%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (Jacob Bailey) to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
4.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for no gain to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 11
OPP 39
-5
4.5%
INDIANA Penalty, delay of game (Nate Sudfeld) to the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 29DOWNS
19 plays · 75 yds · 4:505% → 3%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
4.9%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 10Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+22
4.8%
Brandon Ross run for 22 yds to the Mary 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
5.1%
Ty Johnson run for no gain to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-5
5.0%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+19
4.9%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 19 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
5.4%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 10:11
2ND & 6
50
+4
5.5%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Avery Edwards for 4 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-2
5.8%
Shane Cockerille run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 6:53
4TH & 4
OPP 48
+4
4.6%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to P.J. Gallo for 4 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
4.7%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
4.8%
Shane Cockerille run for 9 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
5.2%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 9 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 6:53
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+1
5.3%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
5.3%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+4
3.0%
Shane Cockerille run for 4 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+4
3.1%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 4 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 5:21
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
3.0%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Levern Jacobs, broken up by Tegray ScalesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30DOWNS
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:1199% → 99%
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+45
1.4%
Devine Redding run for 45 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
1.2%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Mary 39Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
1.2%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Mary 38Similar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+2
1.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-4
0.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 31DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
1.7%
Shane Cockerille run for 5 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
1.8%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to D.J. Moore for 6 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
1.8%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Taivon Jacobs, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
1.8%
Joe Riddle run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+8
1.8%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 8 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
1.9%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+13
1.9%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to D.J. Moore for 13 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
2.2%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
2.1%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
2.0%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+5
1.9%
Shane Cockerille pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 32END OF GAME
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
0.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:50
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-14
TD · Q3 14:18
Brandon Ross run for 75 yds for a TD, (Adam Greene KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q3 13:04
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com