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PUR

Purdue 20 at Iowa 40

IOWA
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:23 · Dillon Kidd punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+20.9Home team on offense+7.9Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+3.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:40: C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn PAT BLOCKED) — IOWA win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:55: Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +5.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:26: Paul Griggs 22 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +2.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:20: C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 35 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:46: Austin Appleby pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 19 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +6.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 4PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 14
  1. Q1 14:05PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:01PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:42PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 49, down 20
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:15IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 8, up 20
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:58PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 11, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.8
    87% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:25PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 3, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    63% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.6%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:26IOWA 4th & 14 at IOWA 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:26PUR 4th & 5 at IOWA 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:23IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:05PUR 4th & 10 at IOWA 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:20PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.7%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:35PUR 4th & 1 at IOWA 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−1.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−5.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:35PUR 4th & 7 at IOWA 21, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−3.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:28PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 31, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:51PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 47, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:17IOWA 4th & 5 at PUR 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:02PUR 4th & 1 at PUR 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.1%−1.0
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:34PUR 4th & 13 at PUR 41, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 8:54IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:32IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:40IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:55PUR Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:20IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:40IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:46PUR Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:12IOWA Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:448% → 8%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
92.5%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 36
0
92.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
92.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:4492% → 92%
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+12
92.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 12 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
91.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+24
91.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 24 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
91.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+16
91.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 16 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
91.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+2
91.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
91.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:278% → 8%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
91.6%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
91.5%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for no gain to the Prdue 22Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 5
OWN 22
-6
91.5%
David Blough sacked by Parker Hesse for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 11
OWN 16
0
91.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:5692% → 93%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
91.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+15
91.5%
Matt VandeBerg run for 15 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
91.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+15
91.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 15 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:068% → 8%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.1%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
92.2%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
92.1%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
91.9%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
91.8%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
91.9%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
91.7%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the Iowa 48 David Blough fumbled, forced by Jordan Lomax, recovered by Iowa Matt NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:0593% → 95%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
92.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 30 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
92.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+7
92.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
92.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Prdue 7Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
95.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:235% → 5%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
94.9%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+12
95.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 12 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
94.9%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+3
94.8%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
94.9%
Austin Appleby run for no gain to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
95.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 50 yds, downed at the Iowa 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0895% → 95%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
95.2%
Macon Plewa run for 3 yds to the Iowa 4Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
95.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
95.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 3
OWN 8
0
95.0%
Marshall Koehn punt for 39 yds, downed at the Iowa 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9TD
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:555% → 10%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
95.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 7 yds Markell Jones fumbled, forced by Cole Fisher, recovered by Prdue Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
95.2%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
95.3%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
94.9%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+11
94.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 11 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
94.9%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 9
OPP 19
-5
94.9%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+6
95.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 6 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+7
95.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+9
95.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 9 yds to the Iowa 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.1%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.6%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3092% → 92%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
91.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
91.4%
Jonathan Parker run for 2 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+15
91.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 15 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
92.1%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49 C.J. Beathard fumbled, forced by Jimmy Herman, recovered by Prdue Ryan WatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 1:2010% → 12%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
90.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 5 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+17
89.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 17 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
89.2%
Dan Monteroso pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
89.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 17 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
89.1%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
90.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+7
90.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 7 yds to the Iowa 3Similar
Q2 0:25
4TH & 1
OPP 3
+20
88.5%
Paul Griggs 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
90.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0790% → 88%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
89.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
89.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-7
89.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 13:26
4TH & 14
OWN 30
0
88.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:3911% → 15%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
89.0%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+5
88.4%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
88.3%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+38
87.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 28 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (10 Yards) to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
87.0%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
86.9%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Iowa 6Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
87.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+22
84.9%
Paul Griggs 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3787% → 86%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
86.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
87.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
86.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Jake Replogle for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 8:23
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
85.7%
Dillon Kidd punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 1:0415% → 15%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
84.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 16 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
83.0%
Markell Jones run for 14 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
81.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q3 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
81.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
83.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 10
OPP 34
0
85.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 25 yds, downed at the Iowa 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 3:3387% → 94%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
87.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 15 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
87.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 14 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
88.3%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Derrick Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
88.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+11
87.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
88.6%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Prdue 46Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+3
88.0%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+8
87.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+35
94.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 35 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 58 yds · 6:207% → 7%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
93.0%
Markell Jones run for 11 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
92.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+6
93.3%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 0:20
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+26
93.0%
Jarrett Burgess run for 26 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
92.5%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 5 yards to the Iowa 40 Austin Appleby fumbled, recovered by Prdue Austin ApplebySimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+3
93.2%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 13:54
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+11
93.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 11 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+2
92.9%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
92.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Jordan JurasevichSimilar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
92.4%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+3
92.9%
Austin Appleby run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 7
OPP 21
0
93.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:2596% → 99%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
95.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 10 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
95.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+11
95.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 11 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
96.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 25 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
96.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+13
96.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (13 Yards) to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 22 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:541% → 7%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.0%
PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 20Similar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
99.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Jordan JurasevichSimilar
Q4 7:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+12
99.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 12 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
99.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.1%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+22
99.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 22 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
99.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 5 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
99.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 7 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 19 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:2298% → 98%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
97.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+1
97.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
98.1%
C.J. Beathard run for no gain to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
97.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 1:102% → 2%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Shane MikeskySimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
98.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+20
98.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 20 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
98.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
98.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Shane MikeskySimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
98.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-1
98.5%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:3399% → 100%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
98.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+42
99.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 42 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:260% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
99.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Cole Herdman PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (-3 Yards) to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 13
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 12
OPP 43
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 44
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:20
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 35 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q4 4:46
Austin Appleby pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 19 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
-6.2
TD · Q2 3:55
Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
-5.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com