Try the model
NEB

Nebraska 31 at Rutgers 14

RUTG
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · High Point Solutions Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:58 · Anthony Cioffi run for no gain to the Rutgr 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−20.4Pregame prior−7.6Score differential−10.7Garbage-time factor−7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:49: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +6.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:17: Robert Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) NEBRASKA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — RUTG win probability +6.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:03: Janarion Grant pass complete to Chris Laviano for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:58: Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 11 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +12.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:01: Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 34 — NEB win probability +5.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 11NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:50RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:30RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NEB 4th & 7 at NEB 48, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:01RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 11, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:49RUTG 4th & 13 at RUTG 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:48NEB 4th & 20 at NEB 48, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:41RUTG 4th & 15 at RUTG 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:24RUTG 4th & 11 at NEB 37, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    21.2%
    40% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53RUTG 4th & 20 at RUTG 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−1.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:58RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 31, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:50NEB 4th & 6 at RUTG 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    82.8%−5.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:43RUTG 4th & 2 at NEB 30, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.3%−1.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−3.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:01NEB 4th & 8 at RUTG 34, up 17
    Close callPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    93.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:54RUTG 4th & 20 at NEB 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:40NEB 4th & 20 at NEB 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:21RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 2 of 2NEB made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:56NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:39NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:49NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:17RUTG Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:03RUTG Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:58NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NEBDrive 1TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 4:0475% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
25.2%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+16
25.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 16 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
25.2%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+6
25.2%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
25.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
25.2%
Brandon Reilly run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
25.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 5 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+32
25.7%
Cethan Carter run for 32 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
26.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
26.0%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-7
26.0%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 20 Justin Goodwin fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Chris LavianoSimilar
Q1 10:50
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
25.8%
Joey Roth punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
25.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
26.0%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 42Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+7
26.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 7 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
26.1%
Sam Foltz punt for 49 yds, downed at the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
26.4%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 6
-3
26.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-3 Yards) to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-1
26.4%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+9
26.2%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 1
OWN 11
-5
26.1%
RUTGERS Penalty, delay of game (Joey Roth) to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 6
OWN 6
+4
26.1%
Joey Roth punt for 43 yds , Jordan Westerkamp returns for 4 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 5TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:2574% → 78%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
26.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 6 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
25.9%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q1 5:04
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+17
26.0%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 17 yds Lane Hovey fumbled, forced by Blessuan Austin, recovered by Neb Lane Hovey for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
25.9%
Andy Janovich run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
22.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 15 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
23.0%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+9
23.2%
Robert Martin run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
23.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
50
0
23.8%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Chris Jones return for no gain to the Neb 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 43 yds · 0:4078% → 78%
Q1 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+40
22.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 40 yds to the Neb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
21.6%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
21.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
21.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+5
22.2%
Sam Foltz punt for 47 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 5 yds to the RUTGERS 47 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (Deonte Roberts) to the Rutgr 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
22.2%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 4
+7
22.2%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q2 14:01
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
22.3%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
22.3%
Joey Roth punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 9TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:4579% → 86%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
50
+6
20.8%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+44
14.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
16.3%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+8
16.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-8
16.2%
Chris Laviano sacked by Marcus Newby for a loss of 8 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
16.0%
Joey Roth punt for 36 yds, downed at the Neb 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
13.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 3 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
13.1%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+10
13.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 10 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
13.0%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-4
12.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+4
13.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. sacked by Steve Longa for a loss of 14 yards to the Neb 48 Tommy Armstrong Jr. fumbled, recovered by Neb Alex Lewis , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the Neb 48Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 20
OWN 48
0
13.8%
Sam Foltz punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
14.0%
Josh Hicks run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
14.6%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+3
14.1%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-7
14.3%
Chris Laviano sacked by Ross Dzuris for a loss of 7 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
13.9%
Joey Roth punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 13INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+51
11.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Anthony Cioffi return for 51 yds to the Neb 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2315% → 20%
Q2 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
14.5%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
14.5%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Neb 1Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.9%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) NEBRASKA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
17.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
17.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Saquan Hampton return for no gain to the Rutgr 24 NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:3219% → 17%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
19.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 15 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
19.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Jonathan RoseSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+12
19.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 12 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
19.9%
Chris Laviano sacked by Maliek Collins for a loss of 10 yards to the Neb 46Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 20
OPP 46
+5
17.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 5 yds to the Neb 41Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+4
17.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 4 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 11
OPP 37
0
17.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Nate GerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
16.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
11 plays · 27 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
18.2%
Josh Hicks run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
18.5%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+5
19.4%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
19.7%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
20.0%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 49 Robert Martin fumbled, forced by TEAM,Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+8
19.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 8 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
20.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte Carroo, broken up by Jonathan RoseSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-4
20.0%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 14
OPP 47
-6
18.8%
Chris Laviano sacked by Greg McMullen for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
18.6%
Joey Roth punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 19INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0086% → 87%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
14.4%
Imani Cross run for 8 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
14.1%
Imani Cross run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+5
14.5%
Imani Cross run for 5 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
14.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jamal Turner for 9 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+3
13.5%
Andy Janovich run for 3 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
13.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass intercepted Kevin Wilkins return for 10 yds to the Neb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20TD
2 plays · 35 yds · 0:3918% → 33%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+30
17.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 30 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
33.1%
Janarion Grant pass complete to Chris Laviano for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 21TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0575% → 90%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
25.0%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
24.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 1 yd to the Neb 29Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
25.3%
Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Moore, Alonzo (Adams, Jarius), PENALTY RU holding (Austin, B.) 10 yards to the NEB39, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
23.2%
Imani Cross run for no gain to the Neb 39Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+10
23.5%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 10 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+38
22.8%
Imani Cross run for 38 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
22.1%
Devine Ozigbo run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-1
22.1%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 8
OPP 11
+11
9.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 11 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte Carroo, broken up by Josh BanderasSimilar
Q3 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.3%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
12.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 3 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
12.4%
Anthony Cioffi run for no gain to the Rutgr 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 23FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3991% → 92%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
9.4%
Imani Cross run for no gain to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
9.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
9.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr.Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
7.6%
Drew Brown 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:009% → 11%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
9.3%
Chris Laviano run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
10.1%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+3
10.7%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
50
+12
10.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 12 yds to the Neb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
10.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Nate GerrySimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
10.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+7
10.6%
Chris Laviano run for 7 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
11.1%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
5.6%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 34Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+30
5.5%
Devine Ozigbo run for 30 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
5.1%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-2
4.9%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+7
5.1%
Alonzo Moore run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 3
OPP 29
-5
5.9%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 8
OPP 34
0
5.8%
Sam Foltz punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 26MISSED FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:094% → 3%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
4.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 3 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+13
4.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 13 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
4.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Chris WeberSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
4.5%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+40
4.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 40 yds to the Neb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
5.4%
Chris Laviano run for 8 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+8
6.0%
Chris Laviano run for 8 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-6
6.0%
Chris Laviano sacked by Vincent Valentine for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 27Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 16
OPP 27
-4
3.4%
Chris Laviano sacked by Greg McMullen for a loss of 4 yards to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 20
OPP 31
0
3.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Jonathan RoseSimilar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 20
OPP 31
+49
2.9%
Kyle Federico 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:1497% → 97%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
2.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 3:48
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+3
2.7%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Neb 31Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-10
2.5%
Ozigbo, Devine rush for 5 yards to the NEB36 (Lewis, Kaiwan), PENALTY NEB holding (Utter, Dylan) 10 yards to the NEB21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 20
OWN 21
0
2.7%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 21Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 20
OWN 21
0
2.6%
Sam Foltz punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 28INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
1.0%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+3
1.0%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 2:21
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+24
1.1%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Nate Gerry return for 24 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 29END OF HALF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:03
Janarion Grant pass complete to Chris Laviano for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+15.6
TD · Q3 1:58
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Cethan Carter for 11 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-12.3
TD · Q2 11:49
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 44 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
-6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com