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IOWA

Iowa 35 at Indiana 27

IU
2015 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:32 · Erich Toth punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense−0.5Pregame prior−16.7Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:52: Jordan Howard run for 37 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +9.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 3:52: Jordan Howard run for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +10.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:17: C.J. Beathard run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +12.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 13:22: Griffin Oakes 28 yd FG GOOD — IU win probability +6.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  5. TD · Q4 10:07: LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +21.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:09IU 4th & 4 at IOWA 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−<0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 47, up 4
    Close callPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:32IU 4th & 5 at IOWA 42, down 4
    Close callPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:02IU 4th & 4 at IU 45, down 11
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:28IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 12, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.2%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:28IOWA 4th & 12 at IOWA 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.5%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:57IU 4th & 12 at IU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−2.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:43IOWA 4th & 4 at IU 26, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−9.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:52IU 4th & 5 at IU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−1.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:29IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 39, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:22IU 4th & 8 at IOWA 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    24.2%−13.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:13IU 4th & 17 at IU 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−3.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:28IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 37, up 15
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:05IU 4th & 1 at IOWA 24, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:24IU 4th & 9 at IOWA 11, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.5%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3IOWA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:10IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:17IOWA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:52IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:52IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:17IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:07IOWA Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.4%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:03IOWA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:24IU Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 2.6 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%−2.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:1570% → 70%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
30.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+65
30.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 65 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
13 plays · 60 yds · 3:4630% → 32%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
30.1%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
30.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 8 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
30.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+12
30.3%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
30.4%
IOWA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Desmond King) to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
30.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
30.6%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+10
30.6%
Devine Redding run for 10 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
30.8%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Iowa 20Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+5
31.0%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 4
OPP 15
0
31.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for no gain to the Iowa 15Similar
Q1 10:09
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
31.7%
Griffin Oakes 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:3469% → 68%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
31.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 16 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
31.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 3
OWN 48
-1
31.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
31.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Henry Krieger CobleSimilar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
31.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 38 yds · 4:4332% → 34%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
31.9%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
32.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Jordan HowardSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
32.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+9
31.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 9 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
32.9%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+9
32.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 9 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+2
33.3%
Nate Sudfeld run for 2 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
33.7%
Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
34.1%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Iowa 45Similar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+3
34.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mike Majette for 3 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
33.6%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 6:0367% → 73%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
33.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 10
-1
33.6%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+7
34.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 7 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
33.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 15 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
33.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 22 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
32.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 12 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
32.5%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+20
32.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 20 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
32.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+6
32.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
26.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:5728% → 28%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
28.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 14 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
28.8%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
29.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 11:13
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
28.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q2 11:02
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
28.1%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds, downed at the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0272% → 72%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
27.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+2
27.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 5
OWN 12
0
28.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 5
OWN 12
0
28.4%
Marshall Koehn punt for 45 yds, downed at the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:2829% → 38%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+20
28.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 20 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
37.8%
Jordan Howard run for 37 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 2:4765% → 63%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
35.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 15 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
33.6%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Adam Cox) to the Iowa 27Similar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+4
34.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 4 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 6:50
2ND & 16
OWN 31
-2
34.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 18
OWN 29
-10
35.7%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Boone Myers) to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 5:50
3RD & 28
OWN 19
+11
36.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 11 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 17
OWN 30
+5
37.1%
INDIANA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Iowa 35Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
36.8%
Dillon Kidd punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:2837% → 50%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
36.5%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
37.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
36.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 5 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
38.6%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+23
39.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 23 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
50.1%
Jordan Howard run for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 2:5854% → 69%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
45.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+15
44.6%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY INDIANA personal foul (Simmons, T.J.) 15 yards to the INDIANA47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
43.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+17
43.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 17 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
42.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 9 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+2
42.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
42.6%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 18Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
42.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+11
43.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 11 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
43.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
30.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:0239% → 38%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
39.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 11 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
37.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:5336% → 34%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
36.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
36.2%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+11
35.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
37.3%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 13:39
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
36.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
35.3%
Nate Sudfeld run for no gain to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 12:57
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
34.4%
Erich Toth punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:0765% → 66%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
35.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
34.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
33.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
33.4%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
32.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
32.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
33.1%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 45Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+8
33.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 8 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+5
33.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
32.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
30.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
31.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 4
OPP 26
0
34.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3737% → 35%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
36.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
36.2%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
36.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q3 5:52
4TH & 5
OWN 32
0
35.1%
Erich Toth punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1666% → 68%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
34.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
34.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 9 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
32.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 39Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
32.4%
Dillon Kidd punt for 51 yds, downed at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17FG
17 plays · 80 yds · 5:4335% → 46%
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
35.2%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+6
34.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 6 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
34.3%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
35.0%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
34.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
35.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
34.8%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+9
34.1%
Nate Sudfeld run for 9 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
37.8%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+16
38.7%
Devine Redding run for 16 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
39.5%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Iowa 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+7
41.4%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+15
39.3%
Jordan Howard run for 15 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
41.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
41.8%
Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
39.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 13:22
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
45.8%
Griffin Oakes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5358% → 87%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
41.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 5 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Darius Latham) to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
38.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-5
39.5%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Sean Welsh) to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+4
41.2%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q4 11:55
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+12
41.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 12 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
37.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+11
37.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 11 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+30
36.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 30 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
34.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
13.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5119% → 17%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
19.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
18.0%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Ben Niemann and Bo Bower for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
16.8%
Erich Toth punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 20TD
8 plays · 60 yds · 3:0386% → 96%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
14.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
14.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+10
14.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
11.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 14 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
10.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+24
9.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 24 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
8.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
4.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 10 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:295% → 6%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
5.4%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
5.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 12 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
5.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass intercepted Desmond King return for no gain to the Iowa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:4796% → 97%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
4.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 32 IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+5
3.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
3.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+5
3.4%
Dillon Kidd punt for 44 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 5 yds to the Ind 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 1:563% → 8%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+28
3.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 28 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
3.4%
IOWA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Greg Mabin) to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
3.9%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
3.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
3.8%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
3.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
3.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 10 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
3.5%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
3.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
3.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+11
8.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24END OF GAME
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:4097% → 97%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
3.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+11
3.0%
C.J. Beathard run for 11 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
2.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 11
OPP 38
-2
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 40
-2
2.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:07
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
-21.6
TD · Q2 0:17
C.J. Beathard run for 7 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
-12.8
TD · Q2 3:52
Jordan Howard run for 29 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com