Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 10 at Wisconsin 48

WIS
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Camp Randall Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Joey Roth punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 34 , Alex Erickson returns for 19 yds to the Rutgr 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Pregame prior+32.2Home team on offense+2.5Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 2:19: Kyle Federico 21 yd FG GOOD — RUTG win probability +1.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:29: Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 31 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +3.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:30: Corey Clement run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +5.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:52: Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +2.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:01: Joel Stave pass intercepted for a TD Blessuan Austin return for 50 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +1.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 11:26WIS 4th & 14 at RUTG 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 20, down 3
    Close callPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:19RUTG 4th & 3 at WIS 3, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:15WIS 4th & 9 at WIS 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00RUTG 4th & 17 at RUTG 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:29WIS 4th & 7 at RUTG 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:55WIS 4th & 7 at RUTG 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:41RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:49RUTG 4th & 5 at WIS 29, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53RUTG 4th & 19 at RUTG 15, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:52RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:41WIS 4th & 11 at RUTG 45, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:14RUTG 4th & 7 at RUTG 12, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 11, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:38RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 10, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:06WIS 4th & 9 at midfield, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:35RUTG 4th & 4 at RUTG 16, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:00WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 41, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RUTG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:15WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:29WIS Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:30WIS Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:52WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:01RUTG Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:46WIS Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:47WIS Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:3490% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
89.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 24 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
89.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Troy Fumagalli) to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+19
89.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 19 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
89.5%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 8
OPP 25
-5
89.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Troy Fumagalli) to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 13:44
2ND & 13
OPP 30
-1
89.5%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 14
OPP 31
0
89.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoySimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 14
OPP 31
+49
88.8%
Rafael Gaglianone 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
88.9%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
88.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Paul JamesSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
89.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
89.0%
Joey Roth punt for 21 yds, downed at the Rutgr 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:1189% → 89%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+27
88.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 27 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.9%
Corey Clement run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
89.4%
Corey Clement 12 Yd Run (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
89.3%
WISCONSIN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Corey Clement) to the Wisc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 6:4911% → 13%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
88.7%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+9
88.7%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
88.7%
Josh Hicks run for 6 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+5
88.6%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
88.6%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Wisc 26Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+8
88.5%
Josh Hicks run for 8 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
88.5%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Wisc 15Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
88.5%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+6
88.6%
Justin Goodwin run for 6 yds to the Wisc 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
88.5%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Wisc 3Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Darius HillarySimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
88.6%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Wisc 3Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
87.2%
Kyle Federico 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
87.8%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the Wisc 27Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
87.7%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
87.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+4
87.3%
Drew Meyer punt for 49 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the Rutgr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 1:1313% → 12%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
87.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (J.J. Denman) to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+1
87.4%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 14Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+5
87.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 5 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+10
87.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
87.0%
Martin, Robert rush for 4 yards to the RU33 (Obasih, Chikwe), PENALTY RU illegal formation 5 yards to the RU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+4
87.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+5
87.2%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-11
87.1%
Chris Laviano sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 11 yards to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 22
+19
87.7%
Joey Roth punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 34 , Alex Erickson returns for 19 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 1:2888% → 90%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
87.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 11:57
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
87.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q2 11:57
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
87.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Andre HuntSimilar
Q2 11:57
4TH & 2
OPP 26
-5
87.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Micah Kapoi) to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q2 10:29
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+31
90.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 31 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8INT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
88.9%
Paul James run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
88.9%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
89.0%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Tanner McEvoy return for no gain to the Wisc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.4%
Corey Clement run for no gain to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
90.2%
Corey Clement run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+17
90.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 17 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
90.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
90.5%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
90.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
89.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 32 yds, downed at the Rutgr 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:2610% → 9%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
89.7%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+2
89.9%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 9
0
90.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 5
OWN 9
-5
90.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 4Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 10
OWN 4
+11
90.9%
Joey Roth punt for 35 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 11 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 0:4991% → 97%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
90.9%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
90.8%
Corey Clement run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+21
96.6%
Corey Clement run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:295% → 5%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
95.0%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Wisc 44Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
95.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
94.7%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 5
OPP 29
0
94.5%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
94.8%
Robert Martin run for no gain to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 5
OPP 29
0
95.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:4497% → 97%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
97.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
97.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+6
97.3%
Alec Ingold run for 6 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.1%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+31
97.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 31 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.2%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+16
97.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 16 yds to the Rutgr 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
97.4%
Rafael Gaglianone 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
96.0%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Paul James run for no gain to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-10
96.0%
Chris Laviano sacked by Tanner McEvoy for a loss of 10 yards to the Rutgr 15Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
96.1%
Joey Roth punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
97.1%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+4
97.1%
Corey Clement run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+14
97.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Reggie Love for 14 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.1%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Kaiwan Lewis return for no gain to the Rutgr 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.2%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 2Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+1
97.2%
Chris Laviano run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 3 Chris Laviano fumbled, recovered by Wisc Joe SchobertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:1398% → 100%
Q3 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
97.5%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.5%
Alec Ingold run for no gain to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+25
99.5%
Joey Roth punt for 43 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 25 yds to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
99.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
-2
99.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoySimilar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Drew Meyer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Matt Flanagan, broken up by Jack CichySimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-3
99.5%
Chris Laviano sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 13
OWN 6
+6
99.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 7
OWN 12
0
99.5%
Joey Roth punt for 45 yds, downed at the Wisc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:28100% → 99%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 6 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-9
99.8%
Corey Clement run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding (Micah Kapoi) to the Wisc 40Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+10
99.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 3
50
+50
98.6%
Joel Stave pass intercepted for a TD Blessuan Austin return for 50 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 1:0999% → 100%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.5%
Reggie Love run for 6 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+58
98.6%
Corey Clement run for 58 yds to the Rutgr 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+10
99.7%
P.J. Rosowski punt for 65 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 10 yds to the Rutgr 45 RUTGERS Penalty, illegal block (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+3
99.8%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
99.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 57 yds, downed at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:58100% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+21
99.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 21 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
99.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+10
99.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 10 yds to the Rutgr 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
99.8%
Alec Ingold run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+9
99.8%
Tanner McEvoy run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q4 9:47
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+20
99.9%
Tanner McEvoy run for 20 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Robert Martin, broken up by T.J. WattSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 10
OWN 10
+9
99.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 50 yds , Jazz Peavy returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 48Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 9
50
0
99.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q4 9:06
4TH & 9
50
0
99.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Paul James for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Matt FlanaganSimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Michael Cintron punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Serge Trezy run for 1 yd to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Serge Trezy run for 2 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Jordan FredrickSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29MISSED FG
6 plays · 55 yds · 3:170% → 0%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 22 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+49
99.9%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 49 yds to the Wisc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 11Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-2
99.9%
Hayden Rettig run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 13Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
-10
99.9%
Hayden Rettig run for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 23Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 0
OPP 23
+41
99.9%
Kyle Federico 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Serge Trezy run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Serge Trezy run for 4 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:30
Corey Clement run for 21 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+5.8
TD · Q2 10:29
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 31 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+3
TD · Q3 8:52
Corey Clement run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com