Try the model
NEB

Nebraska 45 at Purdue 55

PUR
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Ross-Ade Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadNEB aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreNEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joe Schopper punt for 52 yds, downed at the Neb 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior−27.2Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:04: Imani Cross run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +13.8 pts (now 58%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 7:42: David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +19.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:19: David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 83 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +14.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:39: Andy Janovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryker Fyfe pass to Jordan Westerkamp for Two-Point Conversion) — NEB win probability +14.8 pts (now 24%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:51: Markell Jones run for 6 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +10.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:53NEB 4th & 11 at PUR 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.0%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:52PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:59NEB 4th & 15 at NEB 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49PUR 4th & 9 at midfield, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:12NEB 4th & 1 at NEB 29, down 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:53PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 19, up 12
    Close callPunted · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:42NEB 4th & 10 at NEB 40, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−1.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:05PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 10, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−1.9
    88% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:56PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 41, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:19PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 37, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−2.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:07PUR 4th & 1 at NEB 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−1.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8NEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 5:06PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:48PUR Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:52NEB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:12PUR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:04NEB Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:42PUR Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:19PUR Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:34PUR Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:56NEB Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 11:39NEB Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    10.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.9%
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:51PUR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:27NEB Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 1:02PUR Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 0:30NEB Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
22.8%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 11 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
22.8%
David Blough sacked by Ross Dzuris for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+1
22.8%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
22.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+5
22.8%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
22.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 52 yds, downed at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:3477% → 74%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
23.5%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 6
OWN 11
0
23.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+12
23.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to De'Mornay Pierson-El for 12 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
23.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 13 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
23.5%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the Neb 37Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+20
23.5%
Brandon Reilly run for 20 yds to the Prdue 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
23.4%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+18
23.4%
Terrell Newby run for 18 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
23.4%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
23.4%
De'Mornay Pierson-El run for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+2
23.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 2 yds to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+41
25.9%
Drew Brown 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:4726% → 30%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
25.7%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 24Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+4
25.7%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+11
25.6%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 11 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
26.0%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
26.2%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 3 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+56
29.3%
David Blough run for 56 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.0%
NEBRASKA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the Neb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4FUMBLE
10 plays · 22 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
29.0%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
29.0%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
29.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 4 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
28.9%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 29Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+13
29.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Terrell Newby for 13 yds to the Neb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
28.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 20 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
28.1%
Imani Cross run for 3 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
27.8%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+27
28.2%
Ryker Fyfe run for a loss of 24 yards to the Neb 16 Ryker Fyfe fumbled, recovered by Prdue Garrett Hudson , return for 27 yds to the Neb 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:3533% → 41%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
33.4%
Markell Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+13
33.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 13 yds to the Neb 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
33.8%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
33.8%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Neb 3Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
40.5%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 1:5661% → 65%
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
39.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 14 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+22
38.5%
Terrell Newby run for 22 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
37.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
37.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 2 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+20
35.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 20 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
35.3%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
35.2%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+11
34.5%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Young (Jones, Chris), PENALTY NEB holding (Newby, Marcus) 11 yards to the PUR44, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
36.3%
Jones, Markell rush for no gain to the PUR44 (Collins, Maliek), PENALTY PUR holding (King, Jason) 10 yards to the PUR34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 20
OWN 34
-5
35.1%
Blough, David pass complete to Kugler, Robert for 7 yards to the PUR41 (Banderas, Josh), PENALTY PUR illegal touching (Kugler, Robert) 5 yards to the PUR29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:52
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+2
35.1%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 2 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 23
OWN 31
+20
35.0%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 45 to Jarrett Burgess for 20 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 11:52
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
35.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q2 11:52
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
34.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Neb 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-8
40.1%
Ryker Fyfe run for a loss of 8 yards to the Neb 7Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 18
OWN 7
0
40.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 18
OWN 7
+3
41.4%
Ryker Fyfe run for 3 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
41.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 41 yds, downed at the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
42.8%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
50
0
42.0%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 9
50
0
41.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Stanley Morgan Jr. at the Neb 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
42.6%
Imani Cross run for 4 yds to the Neb 11Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 6
OWN 11
-5
42.1%
NEBRASKA Penalty, false start (Brandon Reilly) to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 11
OWN 6
0
42.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass intercepted Anthony Brown return for no gain to the Neb 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:0046% → 57%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
46.1%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 8 yds to the Neb 14Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+5
46.1%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
46.1%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
46.1%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
57.2%
Domonique Young run for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
56.0%
Imani Cross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 19Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+7
56.5%
Ryker Fyfe run for 7 yds to the Neb 26Similar
Q2 4:12
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
56.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 3 yds to the Neb 29Similar
Q2 4:12
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
56.0%
Sam Foltz punt for 59 yds, downed at the Prdue 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
60.4%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 8 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 2
OWN 20
-1
60.5%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
59.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
58.6%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
59.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan Westerkamp, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
59.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Cethan Carter for 15 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
57.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
58.9%
Ryker Fyfe pass intercepted Anthony Brown return for no gain to the Prdue 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:4062% → 60%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
61.9%
Jones, Markell rush for 13 yards to the PUR32, out-of-bounds (Gerry, Nate), PENALTY PUR holding (Hedelin, David) 9 yards to the PUR10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+17
61.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST down NEBRASKA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
61.9%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 8 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+9
62.5%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
61.0%
Dan Monteroso run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
60.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cole HerdmanSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
59.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5640% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
60.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 5 yds to the Neb 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
59.5%
Imani Cross run for 2 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
59.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 4 yds to the Neb 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
59.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+16
59.8%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Lane Hovey for 16 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
58.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 30 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
56.4%
Fyfe, Ryker pass incomplete, PENALTY PUR personal foul (Replogle, Jake) 9 yards to the PUR9, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
56.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
42.5%
Imani Cross run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 4:2250% → 74%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Jordan Jurasevich, broken up by Joshua KaluSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
50.2%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+6
49.1%
David Blough run for 6 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
50.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+12
50.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 12 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
52.7%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Neb 47Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+4
53.7%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
53.7%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 18 yds to the Neb 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
54.6%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+10
54.6%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 10 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
54.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey, broken up by Daniel DavieSimilar
Q3 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
54.6%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Neb 5Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
74.1%
David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
70.4%
Imani Cross run for 6 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+13
69.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 13 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
69.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Devine OzigboSimilar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
70.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
71.4%
Sam Foltz punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19TD
2 plays · 84 yds · 0:5076% → 91%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
75.9%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 17Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+83
90.6%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 83 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
86.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass intercepted Anthony Brown return for 4 yds to the Neb 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3691% → 99%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
91.4%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Neb 15Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
91.4%
Gregory Phillips run for 5 yds to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 1
OPP 10
0
91.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for no gain to the Neb 10Similar
Q3 3:05
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+1
90.8%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.7%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:381% → 11%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
98.6%
Imani Cross run for 7 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+11
98.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 11 yds to the Neb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+24
98.6%
Imani Cross run for 9 yds to the PURDUE 43 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Imani Cross for 8 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q3 2:34
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
98.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Brandon Reilly, broken up by Frankie WilliamsSimilar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+3
98.4%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 3 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
88.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Lane Hovey for 17 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) PURDUE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
94.5%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
94.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+11
94.2%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 11 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
94.9%
Danny Anthrop run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+4
94.4%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
94.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:207% → 24%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
92.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Cethan CarterSimilar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+17
93.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 17 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+52
92.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 52 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
90.8%
Andy Janovich run for 1 yd to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.0%
Andy Janovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryker Fyfe pass to Jordan Westerkamp for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 5:2082% → 93%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
82.3%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
82.6%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
83.6%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
83.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+12
82.6%
David Blough run for 12 yds to the Neb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
84.3%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
84.2%
David Blough run for no gain to the Neb 40Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+3
83.5%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds to the Neb 37Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
92.5%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey PURDUE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 26INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+42
88.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass intercepted Frankie Williams return for 42 yds to the Neb 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.9%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 28TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:244% → 9%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
96.2%
Fyfe, Ryker pass incomplete to Westerkamp, J., PENALTY PUR holding (Hunte, Da'Wan) 10 yards to the NEB46, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
96.2%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 13 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
96.0%
Ryker Fyfe run for 5 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 5
OPP 36
-6
95.8%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Gelen Robinson and Garrett Hudson for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+17
96.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jamal Turner for 17 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
95.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Cethan Carter for 7 yds to the Prdue 18Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+10
95.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Devine Ozigbo for 10 yds to the Prdue 8 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
90.6%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29TD
11 plays · 45 yds · 2:2596% → 100%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
95.7%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Neb 43Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
96.0%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Neb 39Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
96.6%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 3:07
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+6
96.8%
Markell Jones run for 6 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+21
97.3%
Markell Jones run for 21 yds to the Neb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
97.3%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Neb 8Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.6%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 30TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:321% → 5%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+23
99.3%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Cethan Carter for 23 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.1%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+35
95.5%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 35 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.7%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-12
96.8%
Ryker Fyfe sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 12 yards to the Neb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:42
David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+19.5
TD · Q4 11:39
Andy Janovich run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryker Fyfe pass to Jordan Westerkamp for Two-Point Conversion)
-14.8
TD · Q3 5:19
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 83 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com