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MD

Maryland 15 at Iowa 31

IOWA
2015 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2015 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:01 · TEAM punt blocked by Aaron Mends blocked by Aaron Mends
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 74Pregame prior+20.0Home team on offense+10.5Score differential+3.2Garbage-time factor+1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:30: Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +4.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:09: Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +6.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:37: Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 7 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +7.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:34: IOWA Penalty, False Start (Boone Myers) to the 50 yard line — IOWA win probability +2.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:38: Perry Hills pass intercepted for a TD Desmond King return for 88 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 9:45IOWA 4th & 7 at MD 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:45MD 4th & 5 at MD 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:20IOWA 4th & 19 at IOWA 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:15MD 4th & 25 at MD 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:30MD 4th & 6 at MD 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:07IOWA 4th & 5 at MD 41, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%−0.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:01MD 4th & 7 at MD 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:48MD 4th & 1 at IOWA 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%−2.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:35MD 4th & 11 at IOWA 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:12IOWA 4th & 15 at IOWA 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:16IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:04IOWA 4th & 27 at MD 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:11IOWA 4th & 8 at IOWA 48, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:53MD 4th & 4 at MD 24, down 16
    Close callPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:56IOWA 4th & 9 at MD 42, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:51MD 4th & 10 at MD 3, down 16
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MD made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:42IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:30IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:09IOWA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:37MD Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:38IOWA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:26MD Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 44 yds · 5:0485% → 84%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
85.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
85.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 14:37
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+19
85.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 19 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
85.1%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 13:22
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
85.0%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
84.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
84.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 7 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+2
84.7%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 11:06
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+1
84.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 1 yd to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
84.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 3 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
84.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
84.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q1 9:45
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+45
84.0%
Marshall Koehn 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:4916% → 17%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
83.7%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+14
83.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 14 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
83.0%
Perry Hills run for 14 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
82.7%
Brandon Ross run for 8 yds to the Iowa 38 Brandon Ross fumbled, forced by Greg Mabin, recovered by Iowa Miles TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 3:0183% → 85%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
83.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 8 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+14
83.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 14 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+21
83.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 21 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
83.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 14 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
83.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4INT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2716% → 16%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
84.1%
Perry Hills run for 7 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
83.7%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+12
83.7%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Miles Taylor return for 12 yds to the Mary 32 Miles Taylor fumbled, forced by Wes Brown, recovered by Mary Avery EdwardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5916% → 16%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
83.8%
Wes Brown run for 4 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
83.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 2:02
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+1
83.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Avery Edwards for 1 yd to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 1:45
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
83.9%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:1384% → 83%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+26
83.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 26 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
84.5%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Kingsley Opara for a loss of 10 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+5
83.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Derrick Mitchell Jr. for 5 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 15
OWN 40
-4
83.6%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 14:20
4TH & 19
OWN 36
0
83.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 41 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:5817% → 16%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
83.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 13 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
83.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-4
83.2%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 32Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 14
OWN 32
-6
83.7%
Perry Hills sacked by Nate Meier for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 26Similar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 20
OWN 26
-5
83.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Matt Gillespie) to the Mary 21Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 25
OWN 21
-3
83.9%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 39 yds , Desmond King returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:3684% → 89%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
83.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
84.2%
Akrum Wadley run for no gain to the Iowa 42Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+23
83.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 23 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
84.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 7 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-2
84.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
84.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+15
83.3%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Davis, Sean) 15 yards to the MARYLAND15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
84.3%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+11
88.6%
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:4813% → 12%
Q2 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
87.1%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
87.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to Avery Edwards for 7 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+4
87.2%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
87.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Wes BrownSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+4
87.2%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
87.2%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 38Similar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+1
87.6%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 44 yds , Desmond King returns for 1 yd to the Iowa 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 3:1688% → 88%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
87.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jerminic Smith for 14 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
88.0%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 32Similar
Q2 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+22
88.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 22 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
88.9%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 5 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
89.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 41Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
88.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
88.4%
Dillon Kidd punt for 38 yds, downed at the Mary 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5812% → 12%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
88.4%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+2
88.7%
Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the Mary 4Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+2
88.4%
Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 6Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+13
88.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Aaron Mends blocked by Aaron MendsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:5090% → 95%
Q2 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-10
90.3%
IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Boone Myers) to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+12
90.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 12 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+15
90.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 15 yds to the Mary 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
89.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q2 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.3%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:045% → 4%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
95.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 4 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+9
95.1%
Perry Hills run for 9 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.2%
Perry Hills sacked by Jaleel Johnson and Nathan Bazata for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+23
95.4%
Brandon Ross run for 23 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
95.2%
Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
95.4%
Perry Hills run for no gain to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+7
95.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 7 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+6
95.7%
Perry Hills run for 6 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
95.8%
Shane Cockerille run for 1 yd to the Iowa 38Similar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
95.8%
Shane Cockerille pass incomplete to Avery EdwardsSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+3
96.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 3 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-5
96.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
96.5%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:1697% → 97%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
96.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 3 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+1
96.8%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+9
97.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 9 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
97.1%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
97.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-8
97.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Brett Zanotto for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 5:12
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
97.0%
Dillon Kidd punt for 35 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16INT
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:393% → 3%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
50
-2
97.2%
William Likely run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 48Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
97.3%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Jordan Lomax return for no gain to the Iowa 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5697% → 98%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+16
96.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 16 yds to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
97.7%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+4
97.8%
C.J. Beathard run for 4 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
97.9%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Derrick Mitchell Jr.Similar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+4
97.7%
Marshall Koehn punt for 46 yds , William Likely returns for 4 yds to the Mary 26 IOWA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Aaron Mends) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:282% → 9%
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
97.7%
Wes Brown run for 9 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
97.8%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
98.0%
Perry Hills run for 5 yds to the IOWA 46 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jaleel Johnson) to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
97.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to Jahrvis Davenport for 2 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 0:27
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-5
98.0%
Brown, Wes rush for 3 yards to the IOWA26, PENALTY MARYLAND illegal shift 5 yards to the IOWA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+19
98.2%
Wes Brown run for 19 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
98.1%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
98.2%
Perry Hills run for no gain to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Josey Jewell) to the Iowa 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
90.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 7 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19FG
11 plays · 14 yds · 3:3095% → 96%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
94.8%
IOWA Penalty, False Start (Boone Myers) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 15
50
+8
94.9%
C.J. Beathard run for 8 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+14
95.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 14 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
95.2%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+12
95.2%
Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Davis, Sean) 12 yards to the MARYLAND14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
95.4%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 14
OPP 18
-8
95.5%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Quinton Jefferson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 22
OPP 26
0
95.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Tevaun SmithSimilar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 22
OPP 26
-5
94.7%
Koehn, Marshall field goal attempt from 44 GOOD, clock 11:10, PENALTY IOWA illegal formation 5 yards to the MARYLAND31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:04
4TH & 27
OPP 31
+49
96.4%
Marshall Koehn 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20DOWNS TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:174% → 1%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+18
96.5%
Perry Hills run for 18 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
96.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Brandon Ross for 11 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
96.5%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+24
96.5%
Perry Hills run for 24 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
96.0%
Brandon Ross run for 5 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+8
96.0%
Perry Hills run for 8 yds to the Iowa 12 Perry Hills fumbled, forced by Jordan Lomax, recovered by Mary Evan Mulrooney for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+88
99.1%
Perry Hills pass intercepted for a TD Desmond King return for 88 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5097% → 97%
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
96.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
96.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 6 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-1
97.1%
Akrum Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 47Similar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-5
97.0%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
97.0%
Dillon Kidd punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:083% → 3%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
97.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 5 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+1
96.8%
Perry Hills run for 1 yd to the Mary 24Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
97.1%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q4 3:53
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
97.3%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 40 yds, downed at the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:4598% → 98%
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+21
97.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Yannick Ngakoue) to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
97.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+4
98.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+3
98.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 4
OPP 37
-5
98.2%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
98.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mary 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
99.3%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 3
0
99.3%
Wes Brown run for no gain to the Mary 3Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 3
0
99.3%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 10
OWN 3
0
99.3%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 70 yds, downed at the Iowa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -5 yds · 1:1399% → 99%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 12
OWN 25
-1
98.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 13
OWN 24
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:37
Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 7 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
-7.6
TD · Q2 0:09
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q2 8:30
Akrum Wadley run for 11 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com