Try the model
OSU

Ohio State 49 at Rutgers 7

RUTG
2015 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2015 · High Point Solutions Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:12 · Joey Roth punt for 46 yds, downed at the OhSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense−35.9Pregame prior−28.1Score differential−17.6Garbage-time factor−8.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:10: Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +2.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:48: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 50 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +3.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:02: J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +3.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:13: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:24: J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 10OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:56RUTG 4th & 1 at OSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:03RUTG 4th & 6 at OSU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:13RUTG 4th & 10 at RUTG 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:46RUTG 4th & 22 at RUTG 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:11OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:56RUTG 4th & 2 at OSU 40, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−1.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:30RUTG 4th & 1 at RUTG 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:54RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:12RUTG 4th & 5 at RUTG 26, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:20OSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:24RUTG 4th & 12 at midfield, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:46RUTG 4th & 6 at RUTG 29, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:33OSU 4th & 1 at RUTG 40, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:17OSU 4th & 3 at RUTG 7, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 0 of 1OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 0:10OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:48OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:02OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:13OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:24OSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:34OSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:42OSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:13RUTG Touchdown, down 43 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1MISSED FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 4:527% → 9%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.8%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+18
7.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 18 yds to the Rutgr 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
7.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+25
7.3%
Paul James run for 25 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
7.6%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
7.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+4
7.8%
Chris Laviano run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
7.9%
Chris Laviano run for 3 yds to the OhSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
8.2%
Paul James run for no gain to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
8.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+4
8.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 4 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 10:03
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+29
8.6%
Kyle Federico 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2FUMBLE
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:4791% → 90%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
8.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+39
8.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 39 yds to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
8.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
9.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
9.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
9.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 2
OPP 20
0
9.7%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Rutgr 20 J.T. Barrett fumbled, forced by Jarius Adams, recovered by Rutgr Sebastian JosephSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:5010% → 11%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
10.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 11 yds to the Rutgr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
10.5%
Chris Laviano sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q1 4:52
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+4
10.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 4 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
10.7%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q1 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+29
10.7%
Joey Roth punt for 40 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 29 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:5790% → 90%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
10.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+1
10.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+11
11.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 11 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
10.8%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Quanzell Lambert for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+20
11.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 20 yds to the Rutgr 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
11.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
11.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q1 0:26
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+1
11.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
9.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 1:2410% → 10%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
10.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, False Start (Matt Flanagan) to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q1 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
10.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by RutgrSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-1
10.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Robert Martin for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 17Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 18
OWN 17
-4
10.4%
Justin Goodwin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 13Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 22
OWN 13
+46
10.4%
Joey Roth punt for 46 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2790% → 89%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
10.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the OhSt 47Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-2
10.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
10.6%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
11.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 29 yds, downed at the Rutgr 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:0611% → 13%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
11.4%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
11.6%
Paul James run for no gain to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+22
11.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 22 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
13.0%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
13.1%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
13.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
12.9%
Joey Roth punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:5888% → 92%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
12.1%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
11.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Braxton Miller for 10 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
11.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
50
+50
8.3%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 50 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:309% → 9%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
8.9%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
8.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for no gain to the Rutgr 22Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+8
8.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 8 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
9.1%
Joey Roth punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:1991% → 96%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
8.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+45
8.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Braxton Miller for 45 yds to the Rutgr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
8.4%
Braxton Miller run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:016% → 6%
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+33
5.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 33 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
6.3%
Robert Martin run for 7 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 3
OPP 48
-6
6.5%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
6.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
5.9%
Joey Roth punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:4096% → 96%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
4.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 15Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 1:4295% → 98%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+27
4.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 27 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
4.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+13
4.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 13 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
1.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:483% → 3%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
2.8%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
2.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
2.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
2.5%
Joey Roth punt for 46 yds, downed at the OhSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 3:4198% → 99%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
1.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+12
1.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 12 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
1.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:21
2ND & 3
50
+13
1.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 13 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
1.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q3 9:51
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
1.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q3 9:24
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
1.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+3
1.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
1.2%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Thomas, Michael, PENALTY RUTGERS pass interference (Wharton, Isaiah) 15 yards to the RUTGERS11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
1.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+10
0.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
1.0%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Gareon Conley return for no gain to the Rutgr 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:2999% → 99%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
0.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 11 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
0.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+2
0.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 24Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+3
0.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
0.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 5 yds to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+10
0.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 10 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
0.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for a loss of 5 yards to the Rutgr 11Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+10
0.6%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 10 yds to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Kaiwan Lewis) to the Rutgr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 5:060% → 0%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+16
0.4%
Robert Martin run for 16 yds to the Rutgr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
0.4%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+6
0.3%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+4
0.3%
Justin Goodwin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
0.3%
Robert Martin run for 19 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
0.3%
Chris Laviano sacked by Sam Hubbard for a loss of 15 yards to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 25
OWN 37
0
0.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 25
OWN 37
-5
0.3%
Laviano, Chris pass complete to Goodwin, Justin for 10 yards to the RUTGERS47, PENALTY RUTGERS illegal shift 5 yards to the RUTGERS32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 30
OWN 32
+18
0.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:24
4TH & 12
50
+4
0.2%
Joey Roth punt 4 yards to OhSt 46, out of bounds blocked by Gareon Conley Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:38100% → 100%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
0.5%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+55
0.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 55 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.2%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Hayden Rettig pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Carlton AgudosiSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
0.1%
Joey Roth punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jalin Marshall at the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21DOWNS
15 plays · 50 yds · 8:23100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
0.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 11 yds to the Rutgr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
0.3%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+2
0.3%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
0.3%
Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
0.4%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
0.3%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+5
0.3%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+10
0.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jeff Greene for 10 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
0.3%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+5
0.2%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 18Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+4
0.2%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
0.2%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 12Similar
Q4 5:38
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+2
0.2%
Warren Ball run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 10Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+3
0.2%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Warren Ball for 3 yds to the Rutgr 7Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 3
OPP 7
-3
0.2%
Warren Ball run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 3:560% → 0%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
0.1%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 1
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 19Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+4
0.1%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
0.1%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
0.0%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+10
0.0%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+58
0.0%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 58 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Nick ArcidiaconoSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.0%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Andre Patton for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:02
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
-3.9
TD · Q2 6:48
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 50 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
-3.2
TD · Q3 13:13
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 30 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
-2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com