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PUR

Purdue 7 at Wisconsin 24

WIS
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:09 · David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 8 yds to the Wisc 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior+1.1Home team on offense+28.0Score differential+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.6Garbage-time factor+8.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q1 1:30: Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Wisc 20 — PUR win probability +2.2 pts (now 12%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:44: David Blough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +3.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. PUNT · Q3 6:39: Drew Meyer punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 5 — PUR win probability +2.1 pts (now 21%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:00: Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +10.2 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:16: Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +7.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:19PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at WIS 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:54WIS 4th & 8 at PUR 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−3.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:54PUR 4th & 14 at WIS 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  5. Q3 15:00PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:31WIS 4th & 15 at WIS 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:40PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:39WIS 4th & 9 at PUR 36, up 3
    Close callPunted · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:29PUR 4th & 11 at PUR 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−3.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:55PUR 4th & 16 at PUR 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:16WIS 4th & 1 at PUR 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    90.0%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    85.9%−5.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:53WIS 4th & 16 at PUR 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:10PUR 4th & 10 at WIS 25, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:39WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 32, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:09PUR 4th & 21 at WIS 49, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3PUR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:25WIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:44PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:00WIS Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:16WIS Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:3291% → 91%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
91.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 11 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
91.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 31Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+4
91.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 4 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+20
91.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 20 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
91.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 8 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 2
OPP 37
-3
91.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q1 14:57
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+15
91.4%
Stave, Joel pass incomplete to Wheelwright, R., PENALTY PUR pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 15 yards to the PUR25, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
91.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q1 14:57
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+15
91.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
91.4%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.9%
Alec Ingold run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.6%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
90.6%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
90.7%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
90.7%
Joe Schopper punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3INT
13 plays · 53 yds · 0:0090% → 91%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
90.4%
George Rushing run for 1 yd to the Wisc 32Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+14
90.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 14 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
90.6%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 5 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
90.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+10
90.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 10 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
90.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 12 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
90.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
90.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
90.5%
Alec Ingold run for 4 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
90.6%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Prdue 11Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 11
0
90.6%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 8
OPP 11
-5
90.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Dare Ogunbowale) to the Prdue 16Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 13
OPP 16
+66
90.5%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Leroy Clark return for 66 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:4612% → 16%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
88.2%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Wisc 20Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
88.2%
David Blough run for no gain to the Wisc 20 David Blough fumbled, recovered by Prdue David BloughSimilar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 1
OPP 20
0
88.5%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Wisc 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+4
88.4%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Wisc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
87.8%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+1
87.8%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Wisc 8Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+4
88.2%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
87.8%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Wisc 2Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
83.9%
David Blough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 5:5086% → 85%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
85.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 13 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
86.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 8 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+2
86.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 2 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
86.6%
Joel Stave run for 11 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
86.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+28
86.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 28 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-15
86.9%
Ingold, Alec rush for 3 yards to the PUR9 (Rouse, Michael), PENALTY WIS personal foul (Fumagalli, Troy) 15 yards to the PUR27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 25
OPP 27
+11
86.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Reggie Love for 11 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 14
OPP 16
0
86.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+6
86.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 6 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
85.1%
Rafael Gaglianone 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
84.2%
D.J. Knox run for 9 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
83.2%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
83.4%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+4
83.3%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 4 yds to the Wisc 47Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
83.3%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 8 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.2%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-1
83.2%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 40Similar
Q2 6:54
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+2
83.9%
David Blough run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 9
OPP 38
-5
84.5%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 43Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
84.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7MISSED FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:0383% → 83%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.3%
Alex Erickson run for 4 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
83.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 8 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
83.5%
Joel Stave sacked by Ra'Zahn Howard for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 29Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 13
OWN 29
-5
83.1%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Micah Kapoi) to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+15
83.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+5
83.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
83.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 28 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
84.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 15 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
84.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-4
84.3%
Joel Stave sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 17 Joel Stave fumbled, recovered by Wisc Michael Deiter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+35
82.5%
Rafael Gaglianone 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Anthony BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
81.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Markell Jones run for no gain to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
81.7%
Markell Jones run for 10 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.2%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
81.1%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
81.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
82.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 50 yds, downed at the Wisc 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
81.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 12 yds to the Wisc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
81.5%
Reggie Love run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+14
81.3%
Tanner McEvoy run for 14 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
82.1%
Tanner McEvoy run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+3
82.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-5
82.0%
WISCONSIN Penalty, false start (Beau Benzschawel) to the Wisc 37Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-5
80.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 32Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 15
OWN 32
0
80.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to George Rushing WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 15
OWN 32
0
80.0%
Drew Meyer punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
78.8%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 23Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-10
79.0%
David Blough sacked by Chris Orr and Chikwe Obasih for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 13 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 19
OWN 13
+9
80.1%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
80.9%
Joe Schopper punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
80.3%
Stave, Joel pass incomplete to Wheelwright, R., PENALTY PUR pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 11 yards to the WIS49, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
81.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+12
81.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 12 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
81.8%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
81.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Reggie LoveSimilar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
81.1%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex Erickson, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 9
OPP 36
0
79.0%
Drew Meyer punt for 31 yds, downed at the Prdue 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
77.1%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 5Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+1
77.3%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+3
78.4%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 3 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 6
OWN 9
-5
79.2%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 4Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 11
OWN 4
0
79.2%
Joe Schopper punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:1581% → 91%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
80.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+7
80.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 7 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+4
79.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 4 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
80.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 19 yds to the Prdue 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
90.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
89.0%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 21 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.3%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
87.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-8
88.2%
David Blough sacked by Chikwe Obasih and Joe Schobert for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 16
OWN 34
0
90.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 6:0289% → 98%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
89.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Eric Steffes for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
50
0
90.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 10
50
+6
90.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+11
89.8%
Stave, Joel pass incomplete to Wheelwright, R., PENALTY PUR pass interference (Clark, Leroy) 11 yards to the PUR33, 1ST DOWN WIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
90.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 15 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
90.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Reggie Love for 4 yds to the Prdue 14Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+5
90.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 5 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
89.9%
Alec Ingold run for 2 yds to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
90.4%
Alec Ingold run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 11Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
90.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 5 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
90.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Prdue 1Similar
Q4 7:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17FUMBLE
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+20
97.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 20 yds Markell Jones fumbled, forced by T.J. Edwards, recovered by Wisc Tanner McEvoySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:1098% → 99%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
97.9%
Ogunbowale, D. rush for 3 yards to the PUR40 (Brown, Anthony;Hudson, Garrett), PENALTY WIS personal foul (Wheelwright, R.) 15 yards to the WIS42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 25
OWN 42
+4
97.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 21
OWN 46
0
97.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 5 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 5:53
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Drew Meyer punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Danny Anthrop at the Prdue 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 54 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
97.9%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 8 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+2
97.7%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
97.8%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Yancey, De., PENALTY WIS pass interference (Shelton, S.) 15 yards to the PUR46, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
97.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Domonique Young PURDUE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+14
97.8%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 14 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.6%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 5
OPP 35
0
97.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+10
97.5%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 10 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.2%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
97.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron Posey, broken up by Joe SchobertSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
97.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to Bearooz YacoobiSimilar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 10
OPP 25
0
97.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo Yancey, broken up by Sojourn SheltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:1099% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 25Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Alec Ingold run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q4 2:39
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Drew Meyer punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
98.0%
David Blough pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 11 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
98.0%
David Blough pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 11 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
97.8%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 4 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-10
97.5%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Jones, Markell (Schobert, Joe), PENALTY PUR holding (Cermin, Cameron) 10 yards to the WIS44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+5
98.0%
David Blough pass complete to Shane Mikesky for 5 yds to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 11
OPP 39
-10
97.9%
Blough, David pass complete to Mahoungou for 39 yards to the WIS0, clock 01:09, PENALTY PUR holding (Roos, Jordan) 10 yards to the WIS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 21
OPP 49
0
98.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Cameron PoseySimilar
Q4 1:09
4TH & 21
OPP 49
+8
98.3%
David Blough pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 8 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 39Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-1
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:00
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+10.2
TD · Q4 7:16
Alec Ingold run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q2 12:44
David Blough run for 2 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com