Try the model
RUTG

Rutgers 55 at Indiana 52

IU
2015 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadRUTG aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreRUTG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:10 · Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 33 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+12.7Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Blowout margin−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:21: Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +15.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:41: Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd for a TD RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +11.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:26: Robert Martin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +20.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  4. TD · Q4 6:29: Paul James run for 40 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico PAT BLOCKED) — RUTG win probability +24.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Kyle Federico 26 yd FG GOOD INDIANA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined — RUTG win probability +38.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00RUTG 4th & 16 at IU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:07IU 4th & 6 at RUTG 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:10IU 4th & 3 at RUTG 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−0.4
    45% to make
    Punt
    65.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:48RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:50RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 27, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:50IU 4th & 1 at IU 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    66.7%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:17RUTG 4th & 2 at IU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.4%−0.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:29IU 4th & 3 at RUTG 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−1.0
    40% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:10RUTG 4th & 6 at midfield, down 4
    Close callPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:40IU 4th & 8 at IU 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:04RUTG 4th & 8 at RUTG 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.1%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:29RUTG 4th & 9 at RUTG 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50IU 4th & 3 at RUTG 46, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    96.0%−1.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:29IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:00RUTG 4th & 5 at IU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−15.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.8%−33.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RUTG made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 5:10RUTG Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:48IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:55IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:50RUTG Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:57IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:29RUTG Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:21RUTG Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:04IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:41IU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 6:29IU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 5:25IU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q3 2:06RUTG Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 14:50RUTG Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 9:26RUTG Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.2%
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 6:29RUTG Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−3.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RUTGDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.2%
Chris Laviano pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
65.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Charles Scarff for 6 yds to the Rutgr 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
65.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 6 yds to the Rutgr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
65.2%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
65.2%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+16
65.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 16 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-9
65.2%
Chris Laviano sacked by Jonathan Crawford for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 48 Chris Laviano fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Chris Laviano , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 48
+3
65.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 3 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 49
0
65.2%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte Carroo, broken up by Zack ShawSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 49
0
65.2%
Joey Roth punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:0765% → 65%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
64.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 18 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
64.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 7 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+10
65.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 10 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
65.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 11 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
65.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 19 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
65.5%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the Rutgr 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
65.5%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 8Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 5
OPP 8
-1
65.5%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 9Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
65.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
65.4%
Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 3TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5735% → 39%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.3%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
65.1%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+38
65.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 38 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
64.3%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Ind 24 Josh Hicks fumbled, forced by Chase Dutra,Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
61.5%
Robert Martin run for 24 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:2262% → 67%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
62.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+33
62.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 33 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
63.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-1
63.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+3
63.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 3 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+33
63.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 33 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
66.7%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
65.5%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
65.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte Carroo, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
66.0%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion GrantSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
66.4%
Joey Roth punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:5365% → 71%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
64.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+16
64.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 16 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
65.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+15
65.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 15 yds to the Rutgr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
66.2%
Mike Majette run for 11 yds to the Rutgr 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
66.5%
Mike Majette run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 25Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
66.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mike Majette for 8 yds to the Rutgr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
70.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mike Majette for 17 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0530% → 35%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
70.3%
Paul James run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
70.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 7 yds to the Rutgr 30Similar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
70.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 13:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+15
71.3%
Sam Bergen run for 15 yds to the Rutgr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
64.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 58 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
66.1%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+4
65.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+4
65.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
65.9%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2036% → 33%
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
64.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
64.1%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+5
64.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 5 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & 2
OPP 32
0
67.4%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Justin GoodwinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:1667% → 77%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
67.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 16 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+45
68.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 45 yds to the Rutgr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
68.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for no gain to the Rutgr 6Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Fuchs for 6 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 11TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2824% → 35%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
76.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 10 yds to the Rutgr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
75.8%
Robert Martin run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
50
+20
74.5%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 20 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.5%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
65.5%
Robert Martin run for 30 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
68.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
68.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 20 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
70.0%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q2 7:29
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+4
70.0%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-1
69.5%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q2 7:29
4TH & 3
OPP 37
-9
68.5%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Anthony Cioffi for a loss of 9 yards to the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0033% → 31%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
67.4%
Paul James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+5
68.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Paul James for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 6
50
0
67.3%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 6
50
0
69.2%
Joey Roth punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ind 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
68.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+8
68.3%
Alex Rodriguez run for 8 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+3
67.7%
Alex Rodriguez run for 3 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
68.6%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
68.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 16
0
67.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:40
4TH & 8
OWN 16
+38
66.9%
Erich Toth punt for 38 yds , Janarion Grant returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 1:4332% → 50%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
68.1%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+4
67.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 4 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+6
67.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
66.6%
Chris Laviano run for 7 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+4
65.0%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 4 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
65.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 8 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+23
49.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 23 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.2%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 0:5656% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
55.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 23 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+12
57.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 12 yds to the Rutgr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
59.4%
Devine Redding run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+38
69.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 38 yds for a TD RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q3 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
66.5%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 16Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+5
67.0%
Laviano, Chris pass incomplete to Flanagan, Matt, PENALTY IND offside (Mangieri, Nick) 5 yards to the RU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 21
-1
66.7%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
67.8%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q3 14:04
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
68.6%
Joey Roth punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:3569% → 82%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
68.5%
Mike Majette run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 49 Mike Majette fumbled, forced by Steve Longa,Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+6
69.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 6 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
69.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 18 yds to the Rutgr 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
70.4%
Mike Majette run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+18
70.4%
Mike Majette run for 18 yds to the Rutgr 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
70.4%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
70.4%
Andrew Wilson run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 1Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd for a TD RUTGERS Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 20INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 9 yds to the Rutgr 34Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
78.9%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Robert MartinSimilar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
79.7%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.4%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
79.1%
Chris Laviano pass intercepted Marcus Oliver return for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:3483% → 93%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+14
83.2%
Mike Majette run for 14 yds to the Rutgr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+21
82.7%
Mike Majette run for 21 yds to the Rutgr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
82.7%
Mike Majette run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 3Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Fuchs for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.5%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q3 6:29
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Leonte CarrooSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
90.7%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Janarion Grant, broken up by Tegray ScalesSimilar
Q3 6:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
90.7%
Joey Roth punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
97.2%
Devine Redding run for 66 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:196% → 8%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
94.0%
Chris Laviano run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 33 Chris Laviano fumbled, recovered by Rutgr Chris LavianoSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
94.4%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 8 yds to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
94.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Andre Patton for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.0%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+7
93.9%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+3
93.8%
Josh Hicks run for 3 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
91.8%
Leonte Carroo 43 Yd pass from Chris Laviano (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -21 yds · 2:1695% → 92%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
95.3%
Mike Majette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 2:06
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
95.2%
Mike Majette run for no gain to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+8
95.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mike Majette for 8 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 3
OPP 46
-26
92.0%
Kemoko Turay 26 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26INT
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:0092% → 93%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
92.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 13 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
92.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 23 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
93.0%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 39Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
92.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass intercepted Isaiah Wharton return for no gain to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 27TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:5613% → 34%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
87.4%
Robert Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rutgr 29Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+17
89.1%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 17 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
86.8%
RUTGERS Penalty, Offensive holding (Dorian Miller) to the Rutgr 36Similar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+9
88.9%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Janarion Grant for 9 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+10
87.4%
Robert Martin run for 10 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
86.1%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+40
86.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 40 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.3%
Robert Martin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass intercepted Anthony Cioffi return for no gain to the Rutgr 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 29TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:4827% → 56%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
72.7%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+13
72.7%
Robert Martin run for 13 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
69.1%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+1
68.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Paul James for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+40
43.7%
Paul James run for 40 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0057% → 54%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
57.2%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Dimitric Camiel) to the Ind 18Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+16
56.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 16 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-3
57.9%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 31Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
54.4%
Erich Toth punt for 40 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 3 yds to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 31FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 4:4752% → 94%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
47.9%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 38Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+2
45.1%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+4
45.2%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
44.8%
Chris Laviano run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
44.6%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+16
43.8%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 16 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
41.1%
Chris Laviano pass incomplete to Andre PattonSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+6
41.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 6 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+16
39.2%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Carlton Agudosi for 16 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
36.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
36.7%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+1
40.1%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
6.2%
Kyle Federico 26 yd FG GOOD INDIANA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Kyle Federico 26 yd FG GOOD INDIANA Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined
-38.2
TD · Q4 6:29
Paul James run for 40 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico PAT BLOCKED)
-24.6
TD · Q4 9:26
Robert Martin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
-20
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com