Try the model
IU

Indiana 7 at Penn State 29

PSU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Beaver Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · PSU
modelPSU aheadIU aheadconfidence bandkey playPSU scoreIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:11 · Daniel Pasquariello punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ind 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+26.2Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:11: Zander Diamont run for 12 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +3.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q1 0:04: Andrew Wilson run for 9 yds to the PnSt 48 — IU win probability +3.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:40: Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius PAT MISSED) — PSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 79%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:36: Christian Hackenberg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Julius PAT MISSED) — PSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:37: Christian Hackenberg run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK) — PSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8IU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00PSU 4th & 12 at IU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:05IU 4th & 10 at IU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:11PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:04IU 4th & 12 at IU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:09IU 4th & 4 at PSU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00IU 4th & 8 at PSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    31.7%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    32.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:55PSU 4th & 20 at PSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:29IU 4th & 8 at IU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:40IU 4th & 19 at IU 16, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.8%−2.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00IU 4th & 1 at IU 34, down 12
    Close callPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:41PSU 4th & 11 at PSU 26, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.9%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:07IU 4th & 8 at PSU 49, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:26PSU 4th & 4 at PSU 33, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:36IU 4th & 6 at IU 40, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:05PSU 4th & 10 at PSU 17, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:44IU 4th & 3 at PSU 34, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    13.6%−1.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−1.6
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:40PSU 4th & 17 at PSU 27, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%−3.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:30IU 4th & 23 at IU 8, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:33PSU 4th & 7 at IU 13, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.9%−1.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:33IU 4th & 15 at IU 36, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:35PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:11IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:40PSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:36PSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:37PSU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PSUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+35
77.4%
Nick Scott run for 35 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
77.4%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
77.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
77.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 44
+1
77.4%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 38 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 1 yd to the Ind 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
77.0%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
77.0%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+16
77.1%
Zander Diamont run for 16 yds to the Ind 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete, broken up by Trevor WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
77.0%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
77.1%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PnSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
76.8%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Zack Shaw for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
Q1 12:11
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+2
76.8%
Nick Scott run for 2 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+6
76.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Nick Scott for 6 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
Q1 12:11
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
76.7%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 34 yds, downed at the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
76.1%
Zander Diamont run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 27Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
76.2%
Zander Diamont pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
76.3%
Zander Diamont sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 26 Zander Diamont fumbled, recovered by Ind Zander Diamont , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+5
76.5%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 5 yds to the PnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 5TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:0676% → 78%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
75.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
75.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+15
75.6%
Hackenberg, C. sacked for loss of 12 yards to the PSU24 (Scales, Tegray), fumble by Hackenberg, C. recovered by IND Shaw, Zack at PSU26, PENALTY IND personal foul 15 yards to the IND49, 1ST DOWN PSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
76.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Nick Scott for 10 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
78.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brandon Polk for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2423% → 27%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
77.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 5 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
77.1%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
77.1%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
77.1%
Zander Diamont run for 10 yds to the PnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
77.0%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the PnSt 43Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+14
77.1%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Isaac Griffith for 14 yds to the PnSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
76.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Isaac Griffith for 17 yds to the PnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
73.2%
Zander Diamont run for 12 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
73.6%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 5 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+1
73.5%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
73.6%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony ZettelSimilar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
74.1%
Erich Toth punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8FUMBLE
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:0074% → 75%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
74.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mark Allen for 12 yds to the PnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
74.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 21 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
74.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
74.6%
Mark Allen run for 5 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
74.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 8 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
75.2%
Mark Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 43 Mark Allen fumbled, recovered by Ind Chase DutraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0428% → 27%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
71.8%
Andrew Wilson run for 9 yds to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+1
71.3%
Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd to the PnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
71.5%
Andrew Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-4
71.7%
Zander Diamont sacked by Garrett Sickels for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+7
72.7%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Devine Redding for 7 yds to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
72.8%
Erich Toth punt for 30 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
72.9%
Nick Scott run for 4 yds to the PnSt 19Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+9
72.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 9 yds to the PnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
73.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
73.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Nick Scott for 5 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+7
72.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 7 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-10
73.9%
DeAndre Thompkins run for 5 yds to the PnSt 45 PENN ST Penalty, IB (-15 Yards) to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 20
OWN 30
0
73.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 20
OWN 30
0
72.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 20
OWN 30
0
72.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 20
OWN 30
+7
71.9%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 38 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 7 yds to the Ind 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5030% → 30%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
69.6%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+4
70.7%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+2
69.7%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 8
OWN 41
+9
70.3%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 9 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 2:0271% → 79%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
71.1%
Mark Allen run for 28 yds to the PnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
73.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 14 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
73.3%
Mark Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 39Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+39
79.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 5:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
75.7%
Zander Diamont sacked by Austin Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Ind 15Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+1
76.5%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 5:40
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+2
76.9%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 2 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:0879% → 85%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
78.5%
Mark Allen run for 2 yds to the PnSt 40Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+16
78.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 16 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
79.4%
Christian Hackenberg run for 9 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+7
79.5%
Mark Allen run for 7 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
79.5%
Christian Hackenberg run for 22 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
79.5%
Nick Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.8%
Christian Hackenberg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Julius PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0817% → 17%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
83.1%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
83.2%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.8%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Mitchell Paige for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
83.9%
Zander Diamont run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
84.0%
Zander Diamont run for 6 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
83.8%
Erich Toth punt for 39 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q3 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
85.7%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 25Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+1
85.7%
Mark Allen run for 1 yd to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 11
OWN 26
0
85.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mark Allen, broken up by Marcus OliverSimilar
Q3 13:41
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+3
84.5%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 54 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 3 yds to the Ind 29 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
84.6%
Redding, Devine rush for 6 yards to the IND19 (Campbell, C.), PENALTY PSU offside 5 yards to the IND18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+12
84.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 12 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
84.2%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 19 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-9
83.3%
Zander Diamont run for 6 yds to the PENNST 45 INDIANA Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 19
OWN 40
+11
84.5%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 11 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 8
OPP 49
0
83.8%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr., broken up by Jordan LucasSimilar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 8
OPP 49
0
84.4%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+11
86.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 11 yds to the PnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
86.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 10 yds to the PnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
86.5%
Nick Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 26Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+7
86.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brandon Polk for 7 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-10
86.3%
Hackenberg, C. pass complete to Godwin, Chris for 8 yards to the PSU41, PENALTY PSU holding 10 yards to the PSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 14
OWN 23
+10
85.6%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 10 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q3 10:26
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+8
85.7%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 50 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 8 yds to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.1%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete, broken up by Evan SchwanSimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
87.2%
Danny Cameron pass complete to Ricky Jones for 11 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
86.2%
Alex Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
85.7%
Danny Cameron pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-6
86.1%
Cameron, Danny pass incomplete to Thorton III, Leon (Williams, T.), PENALTY IND illegal procedure 6 yards to the IND34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+6
87.4%
Danny Cameron pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 6 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
86.8%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds, fair catch by DeAndre Thompkins at the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
88.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
88.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DeAndre Thompkins, broken up by Nick MangieriSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 10
OWN 17
0
87.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mark AllenSimilar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
86.9%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
86.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+20
86.8%
Danny Cameron pass complete to Jordan Fuchs for 20 yds to the PnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.8%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete to Jordan FuchsSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
85.8%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the PnSt 40Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+6
86.3%
Danny Cameron pass complete to Ricky Jones for 6 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 4:44
4TH & 3
OPP 34
0
86.6%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony ZettelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
89.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Nick ScottSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
89.7%
Nick Scott run for no gain to the PnSt 34Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 10
OWN 34
-7
89.3%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Zack Shaw for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 27Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+4
88.5%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 51 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 4 yds to the Ind 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:0212% → 12%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
88.2%
Danny Cameron pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 9 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q3 1:02
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+2
86.8%
Andrew Wilson run for 2 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
87.4%
Andrew Wilson run for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
87.7%
Alex Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
87.7%
Danny Cameron pass intercepted John Reid return for no gain to the PnSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 3:5191% → 98%
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
91.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 7 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
91.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+21
90.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 21 yds to the Ind 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
91.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Kyle Carter for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 14:28
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+7
91.3%
Nick Scott run for 7 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 14:28
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
90.9%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
91.3%
Nick Scott run for 5 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.2%
Christian Hackenberg run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-13
96.8%
Danny Cameron sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 13 yards to the Ind 8 Danny Cameron fumbled, recovered by Ind Mike Majette , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 23
OWN 8
-4
97.0%
INDIANA Penalty, illegal procedure (-4 Yards) to the Ind 4Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 27
OWN 4
+4
97.0%
Mike Majette run for 4 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 23
OWN 8
0
97.1%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 10:30
4TH & 23
OWN 8
+19
97.1%
Erich Toth punt for 39 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for 19 yds to the Ind 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 27FG
9 plays · 15 yds · 3:3398% → 99%
Q4 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
98.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mark Allen for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+5
98.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Mike Gesicki for 5 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-1
98.2%
Mark Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 7:05
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+5
98.5%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
98.7%
DeAndre Thompkins run for 6 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-3
98.7%
Christian Hackenberg run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 13Similar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
98.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+30
99.4%
Tyler Davis 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
99.4%
Danny Cameron pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 13 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete to Anthony Corsaro, broken up by Christian CampbellSimilar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
99.4%
Cameron, Danny pass complete to Westbrook, Nick for 25 yards to the PSU34 (Baney, Matthew), PENALTY IND ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the IND36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 15
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete to Leon Thornton IIISimilar
Q4 5:33
3RD & 15
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Danny Cameron pass incomplete to Leon Thornton IIISimilar
Q4 5:33
4TH & 15
OWN 36
-3
99.4%
Erich Toth punt for 35 yds , DeAndre Thompkins returns for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
99.5%
Johnathan Thomas run for 6 yds to the PnSt 32Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+3
99.5%
Johnathan Thomas run for 3 yds to the PnSt 35Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+5
99.5%
Trace McSorley run for 5 yds to the PnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.5%
Brandon Johnson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 43Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.5%
Brandon Johnson run for 3 yds to the PnSt 46Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
99.5%
Trace McSorley pass complete to Gregg Garrity for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:37
Christian Hackenberg run for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Davis KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q2 5:40
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius PAT MISSED)
+5.7
TD · Q2 0:36
Christian Hackenberg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joey Julius PAT MISSED)
+4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com