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MD

Maryland 28 at Ohio State 49

OSU
2015 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2015 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:35 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:41: Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 19 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +1.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:43: Perry Hills run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +4.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:17: Perry Hills run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +8.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:58: Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 48 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +10.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:15: J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MD made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:13OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 28, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:10MD 4th & 16 at MD 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:43MD 4th & 7 at MD 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:13OSU 4th & 9 at OSU 4, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:10MD 4th & 15 at MD 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:38OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    91.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:26MD 4th & 16 at MD 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:12OSU 4th & 11 at MD 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:51OSU 4th & 7 at MD 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    80.5%−1.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:06MD 4th & 8 at MD 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:13MD 4th & 13 at MD 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−1.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:26MD 4th & 8 at OSU 47, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:47MD 4th & 14 at OSU 36, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%
    42% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:28OSU 4th & 3 at MD 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:52MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:23OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:32OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:41OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:43MD Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:17MD Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:58OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:15OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:38OSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:46OSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:55MD Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2997% → 97%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
97.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 4 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-4
97.3%
Cardale Jones sacked by Azubuike Ukandu for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.2%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 8 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+11
97.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 65 yds , William Likely returns for 11 yds to the Mary 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:153% → 4%
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
97.1%
Levern Jacobs run for 9 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 12:41
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
97.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+10
97.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 10 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q1 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
96.9%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+5
96.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Joey Bosa) to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
96.8%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
96.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 52 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:1997% → 96%
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
Braxton Miller run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
96.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 12 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.4%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jesse Aniebonam) to the OhSt 45Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+12
96.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 12 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
96.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 8 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+1
96.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 1 yd to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
96.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
96.0%
Cardale Jones run for 8 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+6
95.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
95.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Chase Farris) to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-1
95.6%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 16
OPP 25
0
95.4%
Braxton Miller run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+20
95.1%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 20 yds to the Mary 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
95.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 3:085% → 5%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Taivon JacobsSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.4%
Perry Hills run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
95.2%
Perry Hills run for 9 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.0%
Ty Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 36Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-7
94.6%
Perry Hills sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 29Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 16
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Pritchard, Nicolas punt 38 yards to the OHIOST33, fair catch by Marshall, Jalin, PENALTY OHIOST personal foul off-setting, PENALTY MARYLAND Kick Catching Interference (Davis, Sean) off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:10
4TH & 16
OWN 29
+28
94.7%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 39 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 28 yds to the Mary 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 1:2895% → 96%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+27
95.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 14 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (13 Yards) to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
95.1%
Braxton Miller run for 8 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+4
95.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the Mary 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the Mary 1Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
94.9%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 2Similar
Q2 14:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:375% → 5%
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.3%
Perry Hills run for 6 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
95.2%
Brandon Ross run for 9 yds to the Mary 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
95.0%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
94.8%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
95.0%
Perry Hills pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 54 yds, downed at the OhSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2195% → 95%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
95.1%
Cardale Jones run for 3 yds to the OhSt 6Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 7
OWN 6
-2
94.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 4Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 9
OWN 4
0
94.7%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Parris Campbell, broken up by William LikelySimilar
Q2 11:13
4TH & 9
OWN 4
+14
94.6%
Cameron Johnston punt for 60 yds , William Likely returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:576% → 5%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
50
0
94.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Jahrvis DavenportSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
50
-5
94.4%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 45Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 15
OWN 45
0
94.7%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Wes BrownSimilar
Q2 10:10
4TH & 15
OWN 45
0
94.8%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:1995% → 96%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 2 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
94.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+4
94.4%
Cardale Jones run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
93.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
94.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the OhSt 36Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+11
94.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 11 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
94.5%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 48Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+33
94.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 33 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
96.0%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 19 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:064% → 4%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+17
95.8%
Perry Hills run for 17 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-14
95.6%
Hills, Perry pass incomplete to Edwards, Avery, PENALTY MARYLAND illegal block (Zeller, Andrew) 14 yards to the MARYLAND15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 24
OWN 15
0
95.7%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 24
OWN 15
-2
95.7%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 13Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 26
OWN 13
+10
95.7%
Wes Brown run for 10 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 16
OWN 23
0
95.7%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 53 yds, downed at the OhSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:0896% → 96%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
95.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 16 yds to the OhSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
95.7%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Billy Price) to the OhSt 35Similar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+8
95.4%
Cardale Jones run for 8 yds to the OhSt 43Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+31
95.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 31 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
95.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-10
95.8%
Miller, Braxton rush for 8 yards to the MARYLAND19, PENALTY OHIOST holding (Boren, Jacoby) 10 yards to the MARYLAND37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 21
OPP 37
0
95.7%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 21
OPP 37
+10
95.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 10 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
95.5%
Jack Willoughby 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:295% → 9%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
95.3%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Damian Prince) to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 0:59
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+75
95.4%
Perry Hills run for 75 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.6%
Perry Hills run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:2692% → 93%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 9 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
92.7%
Cardale Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
92.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 7 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
92.6%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 11 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
93.3%
Cardale Jones pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:318% → 19%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
91.8%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 5 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 14:16
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+14
91.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Avery Edwards for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
50
+19
90.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 4 yds to the OHIOST 46 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Joey Bosa) to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
90.0%
Brandon Ross run for 7 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
89.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
90.2%
Perry Hills run for 3 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
89.3%
D.J. Moore run for 9 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q3 11:46
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+8
89.0%
William Likely run for 8 yds to the OhSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
80.8%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:0385% → 84%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
85.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
85.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
85.9%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 12 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
85.9%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 3 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
85.2%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
83.7%
Cameron Johnston punt for 39 yds, downed at the Mary 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3118% → 18%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
81.6%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 10
-3
81.0%
Ty Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 7Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 8
OWN 7
0
81.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 8
OWN 7
0
82.0%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 41 yds, downed at the Mary 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
92.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 48 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3112% → 11%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
88.4%
Perry Hills run for 11 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
87.3%
Perry Hills run for 8 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 2
OPP 46
-10
86.3%
Hills, Perry pass sacked for loss of 2 yards to the OHIOST48 (Hubbard, Sam), fumble by Hills, Perry recovered by MARYLAND at OHIOST48, PENALTY MARYLAND holding 10 yards to the MARYLAND44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-8
87.9%
Perry Hills sacked by Joshua Perry for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 36Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 20
OWN 36
+7
89.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 7 yds to the Mary 43Similar
Q3 4:13
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
89.1%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 23 yds, downed at the OhSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:4590% → 97%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
90.0%
Cardale Jones run for no gain to the OhSt 34Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
89.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 10 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
90.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 11 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
91.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 11 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
91.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 19 yds to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
91.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+5
92.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Mary 8 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Face Mask (4 yards) (A.J. Hendy) to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.3%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Thomas, Michael, PENALTY MARYLAND pass interference (Likely, William) 2 yards to the MARYLAND2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q3 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
92.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the Mary 1Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 46 yds · 7:145% → 5%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+14
94.9%
Perry Hills run for 14 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.8%
Brandon Ross run for 1 yd to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
94.7%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
94.4%
Perry Hills run for 9 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
93.9%
Perry Hills run for 13 yds to the OhSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
93.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+9
94.3%
Wes Brown run for 9 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
93.8%
Perry Hills run for 1 yd to the OhSt 44Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-3
93.8%
Perry Hills sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 47Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+15
94.4%
Perry Hills run for 15 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
93.4%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the OhSt 27Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-4
92.9%
Perry Hills run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
93.8%
Perry Hills run for no gain to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 9
OPP 31
-5
94.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (Damian Prince) to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 14
OPP 36
-7
94.8%
Perry Hills sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:5698% → 100%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+25
98.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 25 yds to the Mary 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
98.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 11 yds to the Mary 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
98.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 8 yds to the Mary 15Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 15
-1
98.3%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 16Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+16
99.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 16 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:151% → 1%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Avery EdwardsSimilar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Avery EdwardsSimilar
Q4 6:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.4%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Tyvis Powell return for 25 yds to the Mary 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 12 yds to the Mary 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 7 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Sam Hubbard return for no gain to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25FUMBLE
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:12100% → 100%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 6 yds to the Mary 41Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+6
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
99.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Evan Lisle) to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 15
OPP 40
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 10 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the Mary 28Similar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 3
OPP 28
-25
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 25 yards to the OhSt 47 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OhSt J.T. BarrettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:200% → 1%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
100.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to Taivon Jacobs for 13 yds to the OhSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.9%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+13
99.9%
Perry Hills run for 13 yds to the OhSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
99.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to DeAndre Lane for 16 yds to the OhSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.9%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 11
50
-1
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:58
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 48 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
+10.1
TD · Q3 11:17
Perry Hills run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 0:43
Perry Hills run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com