Try the model
IOWA

Iowa 10 at Wisconsin 6

WIS
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Camp Randall Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4FGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:58 · C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Henry Krieger Coble
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+18.3Home team on offense−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:59: George Kittle 1 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Marshall Koehn Kick) — IOWA win probability +11.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:55: Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Iowa 12 — IOWA win probability +17.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:35: Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 9 — IOWA win probability +15.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:39: Joel Stave pass incomplete to Derek Watt — WIS win probability +16.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:15: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 14 — IOWA win probability +19.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 8IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 9:58WIS 4th & 5 at IOWA 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:08IOWA 4th & 8 at WIS 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:41WIS 4th & 3 at WIS 18, up 3
    Close callPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:58IOWA 4th & 2 at WIS 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−3.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:43WIS 4th & 3 at IOWA 24, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.5%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    66.6%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:29IOWA 4th & 7 at WIS 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−5.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:03IOWA 4th & 9 at WIS 14, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−6.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20WIS 4th & 5 at WIS 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:40WIS 4th & 14 at IOWA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−2.9
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:21IOWA 4th & 13 at IOWA 40, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−3.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:05WIS 4th & 8 at IOWA 33, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.1 ptsPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    46.0%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:59IOWA 4th & 4 at IOWA 29, up 4
    Close callPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:33IOWA 4th & 1 at IOWA 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.9%−4.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:12IOWA 4th & 2 at IOWA 13, up 4
    Close callPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:16WIS 4th & 16 at IOWA 40, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.9 ptsPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:45IOWA 4th & 16 at IOWA 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−8.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:36WIS 4th & 2 at IOWA 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−7.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−15.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:59IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FG
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:4774% → 73%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
73.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+10
73.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 10 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
73.5%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
73.4%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+10
73.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
73.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 12 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.4%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+10
73.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 10 yds to the Iowa 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
73.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+2
73.4%
Reggie Love run for 2 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
73.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+46
73.3%
Rafael Gaglianone 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 0 yds · 2:2227% → 27%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
73.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 30Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+8
73.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 8 yds to the Iowa 38Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+20
72.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 20 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
72.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Wisc 40Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
72.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 8
OPP 40
0
72.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q1 7:08
4TH & 8
OPP 40
0
72.7%
Dillon Kidd punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2073% → 72%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-4
72.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 7Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+11
72.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 11 yds to the Wisc 18Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 3
OWN 18
0
72.1%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q1 5:41
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
71.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 4MISSED FG
10 plays · 0 yds · 4:3228% → 29%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
71.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
71.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+21
71.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 21 yds to the Wisc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
71.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
71.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 6 yds to the Wisc 21Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+5
71.4%
C.J. Beathard run for 5 yds to the Wisc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
70.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Wisc 12Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+4
70.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Wisc 8Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 8
0
70.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for no gain to the Wisc 8Similar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 2
OPP 8
0
71.1%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Henry Krieger CobleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:0171% → 71%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
71.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 10 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
71.4%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 24Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+7
71.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 7 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
71.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 27 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
72.6%
Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+2
72.9%
Tanner McEvoy run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
72.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+2
72.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
72.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q2 11:43
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+42
71.3%
Rafael Gaglianone 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 6MISSED FG
11 plays · 0 yds · 5:0629% → 30%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
71.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
70.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Iowa 31Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+15
71.0%
PENALTY WISCONSIN illegal use of hands (Hayes, Jesse) 15 yards to the IOWA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
69.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 15 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
68.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Wisc 32Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+4
67.8%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
67.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 16 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
67.8%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 3 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
67.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for no gain to the Wisc 9Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
68.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
69.8%
Marshall Koehn 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 7MISSED FG
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:0971% → 72%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
70.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 13 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
71.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 37Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+15
71.9%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Desmond King return for 15 yds to the Wisc 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 8DOWNS TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0833% → 44%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
67.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 19 yds to the Wisc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
66.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 6 yds to the Wisc 6Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
66.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 3 yds to the Wisc 3Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
67.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Wisc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
56.2%
George Kittle 1 Yd pass from C.J. Beathard (Marshall Koehn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 9DOWNS
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
60.7%
Joel Stave sacked by Drew Ott and Drew Ott for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 15 Joel Stave fumbled, forced by Drew Ott, recovered by Iowa Nate Meier , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 10FG
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4244% → 50%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
55.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Wisc 11Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+2
54.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-5
55.2%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (C.J. Beathard) to the Wisc 14Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 9
OPP 14
0
55.4%
C.J. Beathard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+33
49.7%
Marshall Koehn 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:2553% → 52%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
53.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
53.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
52.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the Wisc 28Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+29
52.2%
Drew Meyer punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WISCONSIN 33 WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Iowa 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 12MISSED FG
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
48.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 0 yds · 2:3252% → 50%
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
51.6%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 3 yds to the Wisc 34Similar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+7
51.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 7 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q3 13:01
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-5
51.6%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Jacob Maxwell) to the Wisc 36Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+22
49.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 22 yds to the Iowa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
53.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Ramesh for 12 yds to the Iowa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
54.7%
Taiwan Deal run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 32Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
53.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
50.3%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Desmond King return for no gain to the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:5453% → 59%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
47.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+3
46.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 3 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+6
47.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 6 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
46.2%
PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Caputo, Michael) 15 yards to the IOWA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWA.Similar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
43.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 41Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
42.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+4
41.2%
C.J. Beathard pass intercepted Michael Caputo return for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 15FG
11 plays · 15 yds · 4:2149% → 47%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
48.9%
George Rushing run for 6 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
50.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+6
49.5%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
49.7%
Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-1
50.8%
Taiwan Deal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+10
48.4%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 10 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
49.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 14
OPP 28
0
46.8%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 14
OPP 28
-5
44.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Delay of Game (Joel Stave) to the Iowa 33Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 19
OPP 33
+5
44.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 14
OPP 28
+46
46.5%
Rafael Gaglianone 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 16MISSED FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:5454% → 54%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+21
45.7%
C.J. Beathard run for 6 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Orr) to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
42.7%
PENALTY IOWA personal foul 15 yards to the IOWA28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 25
OWN 28
-2
44.2%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Conor Sheehy and Vince Biegel for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 26Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 27
OWN 26
+14
44.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 14 yds to the Iowa 40Similar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
43.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jerminic SmithSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+3
45.8%
Dillon Kidd punt for 35 yds , Sojourn Shelton returns for 3 yds to the Wisc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:5547% → 46%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
47.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31 for a 1ST down IOWA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Greg Mabin) to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
50.2%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 9 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
51.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 10 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
52.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
52.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
50.2%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
46.3%
Drew Meyer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Iowa 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 18MISSED FG
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4943% → 41%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
57.5%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-5
57.7%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (C.J. Beathard) to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 15
OWN 18
0
58.0%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jordan CanzeriSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 15
OWN 18
+11
59.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 11 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
59.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:5358% → 62%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
41.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Iowa 12Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
41.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
40.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
39.7%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 4 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+1
39.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Adam Cox for 1 yd to the Iowa 25Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 25
+2
41.2%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-6
37.7%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Joe Schobert and Joe Schobert for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 27 C.J. Beathard fumbled, forced by Joe Schobert, recovered by Wisc Joe Schobert , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:5151% → 49%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
50.8%
Derek Watt run for 3 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+13
50.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 13 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
49.8%
Joel Stave run for 3 yds to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
49.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for no gain to the Iowa 8Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+4
46.7%
PENALTY IOWA pass interference (King, Desmond) 4 yards to the IOWA4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
49.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Iowa 1Similar
Q4 7:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
48.9%
Joel Stave run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 5 Joel Stave fumbled, recovered by Iowa Faith EkakitieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21MISSED FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2367% → 67%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
33.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 9Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 9
+4
31.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 2
OWN 13
0
31.7%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to George KittleSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 2
OWN 13
+6
33.1%
Dillon Kidd punt for 52 yds , Sojourn Shelton returns for 6 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22MISSED FG
9 plays · 0 yds · 2:4843% → 31%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.0%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
43.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Austin TraylorSimilar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+10
41.2%
PENALTY IOWA holding (Fisher, Cole) 10 yards to the IOWA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.Similar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
41.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Derek Watt for 11 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
44.0%
PENALTY WISCONSIN personal foul (Kapoi, Micah) 15 yards to the IOWA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 25
OPP 49
+12
37.6%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 12 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 3:54
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
37.6%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Jazz PeavySimilar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-3
36.4%
Joel Stave sacked by Cole Fisher and Ben Niemann for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 40Similar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
30.8%
Drew Meyer punt for 24 yds, downed at the Iowa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 23PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 0:2681% → 80%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
19.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+4
18.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the Iowa 19 Jordan Canzeri fumbled, recovered by Iowa Cole CrostonSimilar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 7
OWN 19
-9
18.8%
C.J. Beathard sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 10Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 16
OWN 10
+17
19.8%
Dillon Kidd punt for 50 yds , Sojourn Shelton returns for 17 yds to the Wisc 27 WISCONSIN Penalty, Illegal Block (Keelon Brookins) to the Wisc 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:0336% → 25%
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
36.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Derek WattSimilar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
34.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 7
50
+26
26.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Reggie Love for 26 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
33.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 3 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
33.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Dare OgunbowaleSimilar
Q4 0:40
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+5
29.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Troy Fumagalli for 5 yds to the Iowa 16Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 2
OPP 16
0
25.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Troy FumagalliSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:15
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 14
-19.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:55
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Iowa 12
-17.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:39
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Derek Watt
+16.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com