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OSU

Ohio State 34 at Indiana 27

IU
2015 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadOSU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreOSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:05 · Cameron Johnston punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior−41.1Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:57: Ezekiel Elliott run for 55 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +16.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:23: Devine Redding run for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +23.0 pts (now 56%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:02: Ezekiel Elliott run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +21.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:24: Ezekiel Elliott run for 75 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +13.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:03: Zander Diamont run for 79 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +13.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 12 of 15OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 13:05OSU 4th & 15 at OSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:06IU 4th & 5 at IU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:08OSU 4th & 2 at OSU 18, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:26IU 4th & 2 at OSU 15, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:37OSU 4th & 5 at IU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    79.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:21OSU 4th & 3 at IU 5, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.5%−0.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    62.3%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:08IU 4th & 8 at IU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36IU 4th & 1 at IU 16, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.0%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:50OSU 4th & 5 at IU 8, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:13IU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.3%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:01IU 4th & 7 at OSU 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    34.0%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:45OSU 4th & 23 at IU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.2%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−4.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:09IU 4th & 10 at IU 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:15OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 16, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−1.8
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:20IU 4th & 12 at IU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 7:40IU 4th & 12 at IU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−2.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:19OSU 4th & 10 at IU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    69.9%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:50IU 4th & 10 at IU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−2.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  19. Q3 1:02OSU 4th & 1 at OSU 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.2%−2.8
    average punt
  20. Q3 0:13IU 4th & 13 at IU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%−5.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:53IU 4th & 6 at IU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 10:37IU 4th & 14 at OSU 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−6.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 8:10OSU 4th & 7 at OSU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  24. Q4 6:01IU 4th & 5 at IU 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%−0.8
    average punt
  25. Q4 3:44OSU 4th & 4 at OSU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.9
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  26. Q4 0:00IU 4th & 9 at OSU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−13.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−11.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3OSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 13:38IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:57OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:23IU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:02OSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:54OSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:24OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:03IU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:5092% → 91%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
8.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
8.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+4
9.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 4 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
9.3%
Cameron Johnston punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:499% → 10%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
9.4%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+6
9.4%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
9.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 5
OWN 46
+6
9.6%
Erich Toth punt for 50 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 6 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4890% → 89%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
9.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
9.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
10.2%
Cardale Jones run for no gain to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
10.6%
Cameron Johnston punt for 61 yds, downed at the Ind 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 2:3211% → 12%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
10.5%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q1 9:43
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
10.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Damon GrahamSimilar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+12
10.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 12 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
10.8%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+38
11.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 38 yds to the OhSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
11.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 9 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-5
11.7%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Michael Cooper) to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 7:42
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
11.9%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the OhSt 15Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 2
OPP 15
0
11.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete INDIANA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Dimitric Camiel) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 2
OPP 15
+34
12.1%
Griffin Oakes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:4488% → 86%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
12.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
12.5%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 27Similar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+26
13.0%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 26 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
12.6%
Cardale Jones sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 48 Cardale Jones fumbled, forced by Nick Mangieri, recovered by OhSt Taylor Decker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+12
13.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 12 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 3
OPP 40
-2
13.3%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 3:37
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
14.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 4:5014% → 21%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
14.2%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+4
14.4%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+15
14.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 15 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marshon Lattimore) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
15.2%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 38Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+4
15.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 4 yds to the Ind 42Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+12
15.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 12 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
16.6%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Darron Lee) to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
17.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
17.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+9
17.1%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
17.7%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
18.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+11
17.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 11 yds to the OhSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
18.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the OhSt 1Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.4%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 7FG
12 plays · 70 yds · 2:5979% → 77%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
21.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
20.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Nick Vannett for 7 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
21.0%
Cardale Jones run for no gain to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+26
21.6%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Nick Vannett for 26 yds to the Ind 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
20.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+21
21.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 21 yds to the Ind 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
21.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 11:01
2ND & 3
OPP 5
0
21.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the Ind 5Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 3
OPP 5
0
22.5%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Nick VannettSimilar
Q2 10:21
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
22.6%
Jack Willoughby 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5924% → 23%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
23.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
24.2%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 27Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
23.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q2 9:08
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
22.8%
Erich Toth punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 34 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
23.2%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 34 yds Jalin Marshall fumbled, forced by Marcus Oliver, recovered by Ind Marcus OliverSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4424% → 25%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
24.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+3
25.2%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+4
25.2%
Nate Sudfeld run for 4 yds to the Ind 16 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dan Feeney) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 1
OWN 16
-3
25.0%
Erich Toth run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 11FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3576% → 77%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
23.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the Ind 8Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
24.3%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
25.3%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+26
22.7%
Jack Willoughby 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
15 plays · 35 yds · 3:3725% → 29%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
24.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+3
24.6%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+17
24.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Eli Apple) to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Damon GrahamSimilar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
26.2%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
25.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 1
50
+3
26.5%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
28.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+6
29.1%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
29.2%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the OhSt 39Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-5
28.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 44Similar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
28.8%
Erich Toth punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 2:0770% → 66%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+33
30.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 33 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
28.0%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for no gain to the Ind 47Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+22
28.9%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Corey Smith for 22 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Tegray Scales) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
26.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Nick VannettSimilar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+12
27.2%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 12 yds to the Ind 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-15
26.6%
OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Braxton Miller) to the Ind 28Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 25
OPP 28
-6
28.4%
Cardale Jones sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 6 yards to the Ind 34Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 31
OPP 34
+12
29.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 12 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 19
OPP 22
-4
30.7%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 26 Cardale Jones fumbled, recovered by OhSt Ezekiel Elliott OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 23
OPP 26
+43
33.6%
Jack Willoughby 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
31.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:3632% → 32%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
31.5%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+21
31.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 21 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
34.3%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 13:43
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-1
34.6%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
32.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 13:09
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
31.6%
Erich Toth punt for 51 yds, downed at the OhSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4167% → 63%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
33.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 10Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+2
34.0%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 2 yds to the OhSt 12Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+4
35.7%
Cardale Jones run for 4 yds to the OhSt 16Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 1
OWN 16
+2
36.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 54 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 2 yds to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:2839% → 37%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
39.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 31Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-1
38.7%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Tyquan Lewis for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 12
OWN 30
0
37.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 12
OWN 30
+6
36.9%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 6 yds to the OhSt 36 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:1862% → 78%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
37.8%
Braxton Miller run for 14 yds to the OhSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
37.4%
Cardale Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
38.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 8 yds to the OhSt 45Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+55
22.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 55 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:0625% → 24%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
25.3%
Redding, Devine rush for 2 yards to the INDIANA22, PENALTY INDIANA illegal batting (Cooper, Michael) 10 yards to the INDIANA10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+5
25.3%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+3
25.4%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 18Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
24.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 7:40
4TH & 12
OWN 18
+13
24.0%
Erich Toth punt for 37 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 13 yds to the Ind 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1778% → 75%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
22.2%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
22.2%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q3 7:27
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
22.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Curtis SamuelSimilar
Q3 7:19
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
25.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2226% → 25%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
25.8%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
26.0%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Damon GrahamSimilar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
24.9%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Devine Redding for no gain to the Ind 9Similar
Q3 5:50
4TH & 10
OWN 9
+13
24.8%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 13 yds to the Ind 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:3977% → 76%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+18
23.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 18 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
21.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 7
OPP 16
-5
22.0%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+32
24.0%
Cardale Jones pass intercepted Tegray Scales return for 32 yds to the Ind 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3231% → 56%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+28
31.4%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 28 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
34.1%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
35.5%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the OhSt 24Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+13
33.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 13 yds to the OhSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
56.3%
Devine Redding run for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:0752% → 71%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
47.6%
Curtis Samuel run for 4 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-2
47.1%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+7
50.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 7 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+65
28.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:3930% → 28%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
30.3%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ind 22Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
30.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q3 0:28
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
28.7%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Damon GrahamSimilar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+38
28.0%
Erich Toth punt for 46 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 38 yds to the Ind 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 26TD
2 plays · 30 yds · 0:0876% → 87%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
24.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 7 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+23
12.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 23 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:5214% → 13%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
14.3%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+3
14.3%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the Ind 17Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
13.2%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q4 13:53
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
12.5%
Erich Toth punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 28FUMBLE
1 play · 13 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
14.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 13 yds Jalin Marshall fumbled, forced by Zeke Walker, recovered by Ind Rashard FantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 29FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 2:5816% → 20%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
16.1%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+7
16.7%
Zander Diamont run for 7 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
16.7%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+1
16.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the OhSt 37Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-5
15.8%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Dimitric Camiel) to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+16
14.4%
Mitchell Paige pass complete to Zander Diamont for 16 yds to the OhSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
17.7%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (12 Yards) to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
17.8%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 17Similar
Q4 10:51
2ND & 14
OPP 17
0
16.6%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q4 10:42
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
14.6%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Jordan FuchsSimilar
Q4 10:37
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
20.1%
Griffin Oakes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
5.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 75 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 31TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
19.3%
Zander Diamont run for 79 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 32PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3784% → 82%
Q4 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
16.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 3 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+3
16.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 26Similar
Q4 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+3
17.1%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
17.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5421% → 18%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
21.2%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
20.6%
Zander Diamont run for 4 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+2
18.8%
Zander Diamont run for 2 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
18.2%
Erich Toth punt for 48 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 34PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4687% → 86%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
13.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the OhSt 16Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+6
13.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
13.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for no gain to the OhSt 22Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
14.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 35DOWNS
17 plays · 48 yds · 3:2722% → 14%
Q4 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
21.7%
Zander Diamont run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+18
23.0%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Darron Lee) to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
26.9%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 9
OPP 34
-10
22.3%
Redding, Devine rush for 4 yards to the OHIOST30, PENALTY INDIANA holding (Feeney, Dan) 10 yards to the OHIOST44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 19
OPP 44
+10
17.1%
Diamont, Zander pass incomplete to Jones, Ricky, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference 10 yards to the OHIOST34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
19.3%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
22.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 38Similar
Q4 1:09
2ND & 14
OPP 38
+14
16.3%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 14 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
24.9%
Zander Diamont pass complete to Ricky Jones for 18 yds to the OhSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
24.2%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the OhSt 5Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
24.6%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 10Similar
Q4 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
23.3%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Jordan FuchsSimilar
Q4 0:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
17.9%
Zander Diamont run for 1 yd to the OhSt 9Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
14.1%
Zander Diamont pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:23
Devine Redding run for 11 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+23
TD · Q3 1:02
Ezekiel Elliott run for 65 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
-21.7
TD · Q3 8:57
Ezekiel Elliott run for 55 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
-16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com