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BGSU

Bowling Green 35 at Purdue 28

PUR
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:40 · Joe Schopper punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense+1.5Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:02: Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +11.6 pts (now 66%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:45: Jarrett Burgess run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +16.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 8:34: Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +28.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:58: David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 62 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +33.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:09: Travis Greene run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +38.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 5 of 8BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:01PUR 4th & 10 at PUR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:08PUR 4th & 2 at BGSU 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.8%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    53.6%−0.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:05PUR 4th & 1 at BGSU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    49.7%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−5.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00BGSU 4th & 1 at PUR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    44.1%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:21PUR 4th & 2 at BGSU 2, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.3%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−6.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:50PUR 4th & 9 at BGSU 25, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.7%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−9.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:45BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    44.8%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:40PUR 4th & 17 at PUR 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−4.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:30BGSU 4th & 2 at PUR 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    45.7%−3.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−18.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 49, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:40BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.7%−5.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:50PUR 4th & 8 at BGSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.1%−3.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−28.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 11:01BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:05PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:58BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:39PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:02BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:45PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:34BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:58PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.8
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:09BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
16 plays · 78 yds · 3:5951% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete, broken up by Ja'Whaun BentleySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-6
49.2%
Matt Johnson sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 6 yards to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 16
+19
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 19 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
49.2%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to DIETER, Gehrig, PENALTY PUR offside (Panfil, Evan) 5 yards to the BGSU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 40
-11
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the BwGrn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 29
+8
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 5 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+8
49.2%
Matt Johnson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+8
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+4
49.2%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
49.2%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+16
49.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 16 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
48.0%
Travis Greene run for 11 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.5%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
48.6%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 7 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
48.6%
Knox, D.J. rush for 11 yards to the PUR48 (HALE, Ben), PENALTY BGSU offside (COLVIN, Zach) 5 yards to the PUR42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
1ST & 5
OWN 42
0
48.9%
David Blough pass incomplete, broken up by Izaah LunsfordSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
48.9%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 5
OWN 42
0
48.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 5
OWN 42
-5
48.4%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
48.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+27
48.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Chris Gallon for 27 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
47.7%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
47.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 9 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 1
OPP 45
-15
47.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the BwGrn 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Prdue Andy James GarciaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4TD
13 plays · 40 yds · 6:0349% → 52%
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
48.7%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+7
48.7%
David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 7 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
49.0%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
49.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
48.6%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
49.0%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+6
49.0%
David Blough run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 9Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 1
OPP 9
-1
48.6%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+3
48.3%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 3 yds to the BwGrn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-9
49.0%
David Blough sacked by Terrance Bush for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q1 8:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
-1
48.7%
David Blough run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 17 David Blough fumbled,Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+16
48.1%
David Blough pass complete to Domonique Young for 16 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.1%
David Blough run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:0749% → 57%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
50.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+29
50.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 29 yds to the PURDUE 38 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
49.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+12
49.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 12 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
48.8%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+5
48.8%
Matt Johnson run for 5 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 15
0
49.3%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by Frankie WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+3
50.0%
Matt Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
48.7%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+6
48.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 6 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.1%
Donovan Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1945% → 55%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
45.2%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+15
45.1%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Young, PENALTY BGSU player disqualification (HARDY, Eilar) 15 yards to the PUR38, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
45.8%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 6 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
46.7%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+9
46.4%
David Blough run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
54.6%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 45 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0049% → 51%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
51.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
51.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for no gain to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+10
51.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
50.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
49.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
50
+4
49.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 4 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
49.3%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted Frankie Williams return for no gain to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8MISSED FG
16 plays · 64 yds · 6:5453% → 55%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
53.4%
D.J. Knox run for 13 yds to the Prdue 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
55.0%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-5
55.0%
Knox, D.J. rush for 19 yards to the BGSU32 (SANFORD, James;TURNER, Dernard), PENALTY PUR illegal formation 5 yards to the PUR44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+16
53.9%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 16 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
55.4%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+3
55.9%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+11
55.1%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 11 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
55.9%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 16Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
55.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+9
55.1%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 9 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
55.9%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
55.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
55.9%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 2:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
54.8%
Paul Griggs 19 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:1950% → 66%
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
50.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 11 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
49.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 12 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
47.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 22 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
46.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 7 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+9
45.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
45.7%
Travis Greene run for 18 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10END OF HALF
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0039% → 42%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
38.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cole Herdman for 10 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
39.3%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 8 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
41.3%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
40.7%
David Blough run for 6 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
41.1%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 3 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-8
41.9%
David Blough sacked by Taylor Royster for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1539% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.9%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
39.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+22
38.8%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 22 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
42.4%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
42.0%
David Blough pass complete to Markell Jones for 7 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+13
42.2%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 13 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
43.7%
David Blough pass complete to Cameron Posey for 1 yd to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
43.7%
David Blough pass incomplete to Markell Jones, broken up by Jack Walz IIISimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
42.1%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+19
39.9%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 19 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
44.5%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
60.9%
Jarrett Burgess run for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 0:0047% → 50%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
53.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Fred Coppet for 3 yds to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+7
52.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 7 yds to the BwGrn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
51.9%
Fred Coppet run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+5
51.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
51.5%
Matt Johnson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
49.1%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+2
49.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
49.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Tim McAuliffe) to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+3
51.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
51.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for no gain to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+11
51.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Fred Coppet for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q3 10:45
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
50.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan Burbrink, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0061% → 55%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
60.5%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+1
58.3%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 1 yd to the Prdue 49Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 12
OWN 49
-5
56.9%
David Blough sacked by Taylor Royster for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 17
OWN 44
0
55.1%
Joe Schopper punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14DOWNS
17 plays · 85 yds · 4:0848% → 50%
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
52.4%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+8
52.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 8 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
52.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
52.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 9 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+9
53.0%
Matt Johnson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
51.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 6 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+7
48.4%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 7 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
48.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 13 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
47.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Ryan Burbrink) to the Prdue 44Similar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+19
49.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 19 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
46.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 11 yds to the Prdue 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
46.1%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
46.1%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-5
50.9%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Logan Dietz) to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+4
48.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 4 yds to the Prdue 6Similar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+1
50.5%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Prdue 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0157% → 60%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
57.4%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+10
57.2%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 10 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
58.2%
David Blough pass complete to Jordan Jurasevich for 1 yd to the Prdue 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+7
58.0%
David Blough pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 7 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
57.6%
David Blough run for 4 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
59.0%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Anthrop, Danny, PENALTY BGSU pass interference (HALE, Ben) 15 yards to the PUR43, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
61.6%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
62.7%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-3
62.6%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
59.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:1346% → 82%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
54.4%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to RHODES, Robbie, PENALTY PUR personal foul (Miles, Antoine) 15 yards to the BGSU30, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
53.2%
Travis Greene run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
49.7%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
51.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+27
53.0%
Matt Johnson run for 12 yds to the PURDUE 45 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Da'Wan Hunte) to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
46.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Travis GreeneSimilar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
46.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 3 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+22
48.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 22 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
45.9%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the Prdue 4Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
45.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
17.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:3628% → 62%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
27.8%
Blough, David pass incomplete to Phillips, PENALTY BGSU holding (GOURDINE, I.) 10 yards to the PUR35, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
28.6%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+62
62.3%
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 62 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
54.0%
JOHNSON, Matt pass intercepted by Brown, Anthony at the BGSU36, Brown, Anthony return to the BGSU0, clock 07:40, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Ezechukwu) 14 yards to the BGSU34, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
52.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Travis Greene, broken up by Jake ReplogleSimilar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
53.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
55.4%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie Moore, broken up by Ja'Whaun BentleySimilar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+60
56.9%
Joseph Davidson punt for 54 yds, downed at the PURDUE 12 PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the Prdue 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 73 yds · 4:1858% → 63%
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
57.9%
David Blough pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+3
58.5%
David Blough run for 3 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 1
OWN 15
+1
56.8%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
58.8%
David Blough pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+20
58.3%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 5 yds to the Prdue 21 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, roughing passer (Terrance Bush) to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
60.7%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 12 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
63.5%
Bilal Marshall pass complete to David Blough for 9 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+26
64.7%
David Blough pass complete to D.J. Knox for 26 yds to the BwGrn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
66.9%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
66.9%
David Blough pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 7:08
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
64.6%
David Blough pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
62.6%
Paul Griggs 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:4148% → 92%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
52.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 8 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
50.1%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+6
51.8%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
51.1%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+27
52.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 12 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Jake Replogle) to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
45.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-2
43.6%
Matt Johnson sacked by Shayne Henley for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+25
46.6%
Matt Johnson run for 13 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Antoine Miles) to the Prdue 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
8.3%
Travis Greene run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
11.4%
David Blough pass intercepted Austin Valdez return for no gain to the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
8.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:09
Travis Greene run for 12 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-38.2
TD · Q4 7:58
David Blough pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 62 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+33.8
TD · Q4 8:34
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-28.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com