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WMU

Western Michigan 12 at Ohio State 38

OSU
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:37 · Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 184Pregame prior+2.0Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+23.7Garbage-time factor+15.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Blowout margin+13.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:35: Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 37 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +1.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:19: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 55 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED) — WMU win probability +1.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:02: Zach Terrell pass intercepted for a TD Adolphus Washington return for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:50: Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK) — OSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:26: Zach Terrell pass complete to Jeremiah Mullinax for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:15WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21WMU 4th & 1 at WMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:38WMU 4th & 14 at OSU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:07OSU 4th & 5 at OSU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:04WMU 4th & 16 at OSU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:54OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 32, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:55WMU 4th & 9 at WMU 2, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.0
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:09OSU 4th & 13 at WMU 13, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:11WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:53WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 41, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:21OSU 4th & 8 at WMU 45, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:17WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 19, down 19
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:34WMU 4th & 16 at WMU 19, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:26WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 31, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:37OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 48, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 13:26OSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:35OSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:19WMU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:02OSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:50OSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:26WMU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:24OSU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:384% → 4%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 30Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 14:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
95.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete, broken up by Joey BosaSimilar
Q1 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 35 yds, downed at the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:4196% → 96%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 1 yd to the OhSt 36Similar
Q1 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+26
95.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 26 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
95.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 38 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 3MISSED FG
19 plays · 66 yds · 7:384% → 5%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
95.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+13
95.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 13 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
95.5%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 3 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
95.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 40Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+1
95.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+5
95.2%
Jamauri Bogan run for 5 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
95.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+12
95.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 12 yds to the OhSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
94.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 12 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
94.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+4
94.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 4 yds to the OhSt 22Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+6
94.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 6 yds to the OhSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
94.4%
Bogan, Jamauri rush for 16 yards to the OHIOST0, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Keenoy, John) 10 yards to the OHIOST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 20
OPP 26
-5
94.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (John Keenoy) to the OhSt 31Similar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 25
OPP 31
+11
94.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the OhSt 20Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 14
OPP 20
0
94.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Donnie ErnsbergerSimilar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 14
OPP 20
0
94.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 14
OPP 20
+37
94.6%
Andrew Haldeman 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tyvis PowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2195% → 94%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
94.5%
Cardale Jones run for 12 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
94.5%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
94.5%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jalin MarshallSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+3
94.4%
Cardale Jones run for 3 yds to the OhSt 37Similar
Q1 4:07
4TH & 5
OWN 37
0
94.2%
Cameron Johnston punt for 55 yds, downed at the WMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 5MISSED FG
17 plays · 62 yds · 5:576% → 7%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
94.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 5 yds to the WMich 13Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+18
94.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 18 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
94.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 13 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
93.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 48Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+7
93.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel Braverman, broken up by Vonn BellSimilar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+10
93.3%
Jamauri Bogan run for 10 yds to the OhSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
93.0%
Jamauri Bogan run for 7 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q1 0:06
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
92.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to LeVante BellamySimilar
Q1 0:02
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+4
92.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 4 yds to the OhSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
92.6%
Zach Terrell sacked by Raekwon McMillan for a loss of 4 yards to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 14:28
2ND & 14
OPP 28
-10
92.7%
Franklin, Jarvion rush for 15 yards to the OHIOST13, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Keenoy, John) 10 yards to the OHIOST38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 24
OPP 38
+8
92.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 8 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 16
OPP 30
0
92.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Carrington ThompsonSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 16
OPP 30
+47
93.4%
Andrew Haldeman 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2293% → 95%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.2%
Braxton Miller run for no gain to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
93.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 16 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
93.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 5 yds to the WMich 49Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
93.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+10
93.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 10 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
95.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 37 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:075% → 7%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
94.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 21 yds to the WMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
94.5%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:43
3RD & 6
50
-5
94.4%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Chukwuma Okorafor) to the WMich 45Similar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+55
93.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 55 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1993% → 93%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 3 yds to the OhSt 28Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
93.0%
Braxton Miller run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 27 Braxton Miller fumbled, recovered by OhSt Braxton MillerSimilar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
92.6%
Cardale Jones run for 5 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
92.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 67 yds, downed at the WMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:526% → 6%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
93.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 2Similar
Q2 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
93.7%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
93.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q2 5:55
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+6
93.9%
J. Schroeder punt for 54 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 6 yds to the OhSt 8 OHIO ST Penalty, Illegal Block (Eli Apple) to the OhSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 1:3893% → 94%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+40
93.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 40 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
93.4%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Chase Farris) to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+1
93.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+16
93.1%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Nick Vannett for 16 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.3%
Cardale Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
93.0%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q2 4:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+30
93.7%
Jack Willoughby 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 11INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
96.8%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted for a TD Adolphus Washington return for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 1:413% → 3%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
96.8%
Zach Terrell sacked by Joshua Perry for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-3
97.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 15Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+3
97.1%
Zach Terrell run for 3 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+10
97.1%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Damon Arnette) to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-5
96.9%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Eric Assuoa) to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
97.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 55 yds, downed at the OhSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 13END OF HALF
11 plays · 59 yds · 1:5997% → 96%
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
96.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 8 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+14
96.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 14 yds to the OhSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-14
96.7%
Cardale Jones run for a loss of 14 yards to the OhSt 30 Cardale Jones fumbled, recovered by OhStSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 24
OWN 30
+16
96.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Corey Smith for 16 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+11
96.6%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Jalin Marshall for 11 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
96.8%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 15 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
96.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Braxton MillerSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+4
96.8%
Cardale Jones run for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+9
96.4%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 9 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-4
96.2%
Cardale Jones sacked by Nathan Braster for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 19 OHIO ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Cardale Jones) to the WMich 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:0595% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.4%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Braxton MillerSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.4%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
Q3 14:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
95.3%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Braxton Miller for 11 yds to the OhSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
96.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Corey Smith, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
96.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 11 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
96.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
96.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Jalin Marshall, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+9
96.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Corey Smith for 9 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the WMich 34Similar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
97.0%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Curtis Samuel for 9 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.0%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Braxton MillerSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
97.0%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 7 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+12
96.9%
Cardale Jones run for 12 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 57 yds · 6:041% → 4%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
98.6%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the OhSt 49Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
98.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
98.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the OhSt 41 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, forced by Tommy Schutt, recovered by WMich Donnie ErnsbergerSimilar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+12
98.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 12 yds to the OhSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
98.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 17 yds to the OhSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
98.6%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the OhSt 11Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
98.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the OhSt 11Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+9
98.7%
Terrell, Zach pass incomplete to Davis, Corey, PENALTY OHIOST pass interference (Apple, Eli) 9 yards to the OHIOST2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTMICH.Similar
Q3 5:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for no gain to the OhSt 2Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the OhSt 1Similar
Q3 4:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jeremiah Mullinax for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 16INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:5298% → 98%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+20
97.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 20 yds to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
97.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
98.1%
Braxton Miller run for 7 yds to the WMich 31Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 3
OPP 31
0
98.2%
Cardale Jones pass intercepted, touchback. Darius Phillips return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:203% → 3%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.8%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+17
96.8%
Jamauri Bogan run for 17 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
96.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
96.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 2 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-10
97.0%
Terrell, Zach pass complete to Braverman, Daniel for 46 yards to the OHIOST11, PENALTY WESTMICH holding (Okorafor, Chukwuma) 10 yards to the WESTMICH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:02
3RD & 14
OWN 33
+5
97.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+3
97.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
97.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:2099% → 99%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
98.5%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Michael Thomas for 7 yds to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 14:19
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
98.5%
Cardale Jones run for no gain to the OhSt 34Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+19
98.7%
Cardale Jones pass complete to Ezekiel Elliott for 19 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
98.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Nick Vannett) to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 13:11
1ST & 15
OWN 48
0
98.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Curtis Samuel, broken up by Rontavious AtkinsSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
98.7%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+7
98.7%
Cardale Jones run for 7 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
98.7%
Cameron Johnston punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:592% → 2%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
97.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 3 yds to the WMich 16Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
97.7%
Jamauri Bogan run for 1 yd to the WMich 17Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+2
97.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 2 yds to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 10:17
4TH & 4
OWN 19
+2
97.8%
J. Schroeder punt for 48 yds , Jalin Marshall returns for 2 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4799% → 100%
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.8%
Cardale Jones pass incomplete to Braxton Miller, broken up by Austin LewisSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
98.8%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 13 yds to the OhSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
98.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 8 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 2
OPP 44
-3
98.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 47Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
98.9%
Cardale Jones run for 7 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.8%
Curtis Samuel run for 40 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:340% → 0%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-14
99.9%
Bogan, Jamauri rush for 12 yards to the WESTMICH45, PENALTY WESTMICH illegal block 14 yards to the WESTMICH19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for no gain to the WMich 19Similar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OhSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 22INT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
99.8%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 41Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+15
99.8%
Barrett, J.T. pass incomplete to Marshall, Jalin, PENALTY WESTMICH pass interference (Zamort, Ronald) 15 yards to the WESTMICH44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIOST.Similar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.8%
Braxton Miller run for 5 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Darius Phillips return for 4 yds to the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:590% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Eli AppleSimilar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (Tracy Sprinkle) to the WMich 30Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-2
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 31Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey Davis, broken up by Eli AppleSimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
99.9%
J. Schroeder punt for 38 yds, downed at the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
99.9%
Curtis Samuel run for 15 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to James Clark, broken up by Darius PhillipsSimilar
Q4 2:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.9%
Bri'onte Dunn run for 2 yds to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Bri'onte Dunn for no gain to the OhSt 48Similar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Cameron Johnston punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
OHIO ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the WMich 25Similar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 5
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Jamauri Bogan run for 3 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 9 yds to the WMich 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
LeVante Bellamy run for 2 yds to the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:02
Zach Terrell pass intercepted for a TD Adolphus Washington return for 20 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q3 4:26
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jeremiah Mullinax for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-2.7
TD · Q3 10:50
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jack Willoughby KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com