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OHIO

Ohio 24 at Minnesota 27

MINN
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:25 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the Minn 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+13.3Home team on offense+2.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:46: Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 10 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:20: Mitch Leidner 1 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick) — MINN win probability +8.4 pts (now 76%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:39: A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +26.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:36: Josiah Yazdani 41 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +32.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:30: Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK) — MINN win probability +57.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:41MINN 4th & 6 at OHIO 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33MINN 4th & 2 at OHIO 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    78.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:26OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:00OHIO 4th & 3 at MINN 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:20OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:25MINN 4th & 24 at OHIO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−3.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    66.3%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:25OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:05MINN 4th & 1 at OHIO 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−4.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−2.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:44MINN 4th & 5 at OHIO 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−3.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.3%−16.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:36OHIO 4th & 21 at MINN 24, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−12.5
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−25.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:07OHIO 4th & 8 at MINN 41, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 4.4 ptsWent for it · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%−4.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−9.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:33OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:19MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:46OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:20MINN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:39OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:30MINN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
78.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
78.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete, broken up by Steven RichardsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
78.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 7 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-15
78.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 51 yds for a touchback , Craig James returns for a loss of 15 yards Craig James fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
78.5%
Rodney Smith run for 9 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+27
78.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 27 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
78.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 4 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
78.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
78.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
78.6%
Peter Mortell punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:2822% → 24%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+38
78.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 38 yds to the MINNESOTA 49 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
77.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+7
77.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
76.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 39 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
76.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 7 yds to the Minn 29Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+6
76.7%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
76.6%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Joe Bjorklund) to the Minn 30Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-5
76.5%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (Connor Mayes) to the Minn 25Similar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+3
76.5%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 28Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+19
76.5%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 19 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
76.8%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 7
50
+1
76.9%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
76.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 4 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
76.7%
Peter Mortell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Papi White at the Ohio 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 1:1127% → 27%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
73.5%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
73.4%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
73.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-3
73.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 13Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+17
73.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 17 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
72.8%
Derrius Vick run for 3 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
72.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Robbie Walker for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+2
73.0%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 4:26
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
73.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 37 yds , Craig James returns for no gain to the Minn 13 Craig James fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6TD
6 plays · 87 yds · 2:4971% → 77%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
71.4%
Shannon Brooks run for 8 yds to the Minn 21Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+6
71.6%
Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
71.6%
Shannon Brooks run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
50
-2
72.6%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+12
70.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 12 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
76.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 40 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 6:3326% → 38%
Q2 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.1%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
74.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Keith Heitzman for 4 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
74.2%
OHIO Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
73.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 15 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
72.2%
Papi White run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 37 OHIO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+8
73.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 8 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+31
72.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 31 yds to the Minn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
70.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 25Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+1
71.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Minn 24Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+7
70.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Minn 17Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+5
71.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the Minn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
69.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Minn 10Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
69.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith Heitzman, broken up by Antonio JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 8
OPP 10
+10
62.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 10 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 4:2664% → 76%
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
64.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+28
64.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 28 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
66.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
66.1%
Shannon Brooks run for 1 yd to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+15
66.0%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Blair Brown) to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
67.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Isaiah Gentry for 7 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q2 7:46
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+1
67.3%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Ohio 13Similar
Q2 7:46
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+6
66.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Miles Thomas for 6 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
67.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 6 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.7%
Mitch Leidner 1 Yd Run (Ryan Santoso Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
69.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+7
68.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 7 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
69.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
67.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
67.6%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Jalen MyrickSimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
69.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 49 yds, downed at the Minn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
70.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 9Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 11
OWN 9
+3
70.6%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 11FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:3571% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
70.8%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the Minn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+8
72.3%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+30
72.6%
Rodney Smith run for 30 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
73.2%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Ohio 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-12
73.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Ohio 14 MINNESOTA Penalty, clipping (Miles Thomas) to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 29
-3
72.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OPP 32
0
70.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 24
OPP 32
+49
71.3%
Ryan Santoso 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
71.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
72.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+3
72.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
71.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+1
71.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 31Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+5
71.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 5 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
70.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
69.6%
Derrius Vick run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+8
69.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
68.6%
Derrius Vick sacked by De'Vondre Campbell for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-1
70.7%
Papi White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
71.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete, broken up by Julian HuffSimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
73.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the Minn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 42 yds · 1:1172% → 74%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
71.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Miles ThomasSimilar
Q3 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
71.5%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Minn 16Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+9
70.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 9 yds to the Minn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
72.8%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.5%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+22
71.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 22 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
75.4%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
75.3%
KJ Maye run for 6 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 4:05
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+1
75.6%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 4:05
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
74.2%
Peter Mortell punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2928% → 26%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
72.1%
Papi White run for 11 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
71.4%
Derrius Vick sacked by Steven Richardson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
72.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Keith Heitzman, broken up by Hendrick EkpeSimilar
Q3 1:29
3RD & 11
OWN 30
-1
73.3%
Papi White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+3
74.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 39 yds , Craig James returns for 3 yds to the Minn 6 Craig James fumbled, forced by Cody Grilliot, recovered by Ohio Keith Heitzman , return for 24 yds to the MINNESOTA 47 MINNESOTA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (6 Yards) to the Minn 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0535% → 61%
Q4 14:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
65.5%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Keith Heitzman) to the Minn 11Similar
Q4 14:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
39.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 16FG
14 plays · 88 yds · 5:5548% → 59%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
48.3%
Shannon Brooks run for no gain to the Minn 6Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+24
48.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 24 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
49.9%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Kurt Laseak for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 27 Mitch Leidner fumbled, recovered by Minn Jonah Pirsig , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+14
48.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 14 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
52.5%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the Minn 49Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+29
53.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Isaiah Gentry for 29 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
57.0%
KJ Maye run for no gain to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
56.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+11
54.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 11 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
57.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+3
57.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Melvin Holland Jr for 3 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
54.5%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Isaiah GentrySimilar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
58.7%
Ryan Santoso 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 6:0850% → 80%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
50.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
48.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
48.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+13
46.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 13 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
45.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the Minn 39Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
45.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Minn 35Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
45.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
43.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 16 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
43.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
43.7%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Minn 13Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 10
OPP 13
-1
46.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 14Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 11
OPP 14
-5
50.2%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Josiah Yazdani) to the Minn 19Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 16
OPP 19
-5
52.7%
OHIO Penalty, false start (Mike Lucas) to the Minn 24Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & 21
OPP 24
+41
20.0%
Josiah Yazdani 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 18TD
17 plays · 78 yds · 2:0631% → 95%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
31.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 15 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
32.8%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (Kurt Laseak) to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+3
36.2%
Mitch Leidner run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
37.3%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
36.4%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye, broken up by Ian WellsSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+14
35.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 14 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
38.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nick Hart for 4 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+9
42.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nick Hart for 9 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
42.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Brandon LingenSimilar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
41.5%
Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Lingen, Brandon, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (WELLS, Ian) 3 yards to the OHIO22, 1ST DOWN MINN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
42.7%
Rodney Smith run for 12 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
42.7%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q4 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
37.9%
Leidner, Mitch pass incomplete to Maye, KJ (WELLS, Ian), PENALTY OHIO offside (BROWN, Blair) 3 yards to the OHIO3, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.0%
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 2 yds · 0:2324% → 14%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Papi WhiteSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
76.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+7
78.0%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 7 yds to the Minn 36Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-5
84.6%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (Josiah Yazdani) to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
86.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete, broken up by Ace RogersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:30
Shannon Brooks run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)
+57.1
FG · Q4 2:36
Josiah Yazdani 41 yd FG GOOD
-32.8
TD · Q4 14:39
A.J. Ouellette run for 11 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
-26.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com