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BYU

BYU 0 at Michigan 31

MICH
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Michigan Stadium
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Win probability · MICH
modelMICH aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playMICH scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 4 yds to the BYU 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:52: Jake Rudock run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +2.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  2. PUNT · Q1 2:56: Jonny Linehan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 10 — MICH win probability +1.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:37: Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 4 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +5.7 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 11:37: De'Veon Smith run for 60 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +8.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:57: Jake Rudock run for 17 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK) — MICH win probability +5.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MICH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BYU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:31MICH 4th & 7 at MICH 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:34BYU 4th & 10 at MICH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:56BYU 4th & 16 at MICH 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    30.0%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:29BYU 4th & 11 at BYU 20, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:23BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:06BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02MICH 4th & 5 at BYU 22, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 27, down 31
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:30BYU 4th & 4 at BYU 14, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:26MICH 4th & 5 at MICH 47, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:58BYU 4th & 3 at BYU 26, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:33MICH 4th & 16 at MICH 35, up 31
    Close callWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:41BYU 4th & 21 at MICH 44, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:24MICH 4th & 9 at midfield, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:50BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:30MICH 4th & 2 at BYU 16, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:30BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 18, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MICH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:52MICH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:37MICH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:37MICH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:57MICH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2367% → 67%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
67.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Henry Poggi for 2 yds to the Mich 27Similar
Q1 14:43
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
67.1%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the Mich 28Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
67.0%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+5
66.9%
Blake O'Neill punt for 37 yds , Micah Hannemann returns for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4633% → 33%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
66.9%
Adam Hine run for 5 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
66.7%
Adam Hine run for 3 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+9
66.6%
Tanner Mangum run for 9 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
66.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
66.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
66.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q1 11:34
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
66.8%
Jonny Linehan punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 3TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:2867% → 70%
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
66.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the Mich 24Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+31
66.7%
De'Veon Smith run for 31 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
67.2%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Amara DarbohSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
67.1%
Drake Johnson run for 5 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+21
67.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 21 yds to the BYU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
67.4%
Drake Johnson run for no gain to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
67.2%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 20Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 11
OPP 20
+19
66.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Khalid Hill for 19 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
67.5%
MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Graham Glasgow) to the BYU 6Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
67.5%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the BYU 3Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.1%
Jake Rudock run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:4431% → 30%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
69.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+29
69.2%
Adam Hine run for 29 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
68.6%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
69.1%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrod Wilson) to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
68.5%
Tanner Mangum run for 4 yds to the Mich 48Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-6
68.4%
Adam Hine run for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 12
OWN 46
+14
69.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Devon Blackmon for 14 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
68.5%
Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
68.5%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Colby PearsonSimilar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 6
OPP 36
-10
68.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Willie Henry for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 46Similar
Q1 2:56
4TH & 16
OPP 46
0
70.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 5TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 3:4870% → 78%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
70.2%
De'Veon Smith run for no gain to the Mich 10Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+24
70.3%
Jake Rudock run for 9 yds to the Mich 19 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Michael Wadsworth) to the Mich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
70.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Freddy CanteenSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+41
70.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jake Butt for 41 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
71.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 4 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
72.0%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to A.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+5
71.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 5 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
71.2%
BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Harvey Langi) to the BYU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
72.2%
Sione Houma run for 5 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+2
72.4%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
78.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 4 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5724% → 23%
Q2 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
76.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
76.5%
Adam Hine run for 2 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 23
-3
76.8%
Adam Hine run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 20Similar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 11
OWN 20
0
77.2%
Jonny Linehan punt for 48 yds, downed at the Mich 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 7TD
2 plays · 68 yds · 0:3878% → 87%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
78.3%
Sione Houma run for 8 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+60
86.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 60 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5214% → 13%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
85.8%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Maurice Hurst for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
86.2%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 5 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
86.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q2 10:23
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+6
86.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 38 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 6 yds to the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 9TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:1788% → 95%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
87.7%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Harvey Langi) to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+11
89.0%
De'Veon Smith run for 11 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
89.3%
De'Veon Smith run for 1 yd to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+10
89.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Ian Bunting for 10 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
90.1%
Jake Rudock run for 3 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+2
90.2%
De'Veon Smith run for 2 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
95.4%
Jake Rudock run for 17 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:454% → 4%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.1%
Adam Hine run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.3%
Jonny Linehan punt for 42 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for no gain to the Mich 31 Jabrill Peppers fumbled, recovered by MichSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 11FG
11 plays · 47 yds · 4:5896% → 98%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
95.8%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 30Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+12
96.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Jehu Chesson for 12 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
96.6%
Jake Rudock run for 4 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
96.7%
Drake Johnson run for 9 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
96.9%
Sione Houma run for no gain to the BYU 45Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+18
97.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 18 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
97.3%
Drake Johnson run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+4
97.6%
Sione Houma run for 4 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 5
OPP 22
0
97.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 5
OPP 22
+40
97.8%
Kenny Allen 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:472% → 2%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 3 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
98.1%
Adam Hine run for 1 yd to the BYU 24Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
98.3%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Terenn Houk for 3 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
98.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 34 yds, downed at the Mich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jehu ChessonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:102% → 1%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
97.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Adam Hine for 5 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+1
98.5%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitchell Juergens for 1 yd to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 13:43
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
98.7%
Jonny Linehan punt for 49 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for no gain to the Mich 14 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Mich 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3499% → 99%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
98.6%
De'Veon Smith run for 6 yds to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+3
98.8%
De'Veon Smith run for 3 yds to the Mich 36Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+6
98.7%
Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.7%
Jake Rudock run for 1 yd to the Mich 43Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-10
98.8%
Jake Rudock sacked by Harvey Langi for a loss of 10 yards to the Mich 33Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 19
OWN 33
+14
99.1%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 14 yds to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 9:26
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+34
99.1%
Blake O'Neill punt for 49 yds, downed at the MICHIGAN 4 MICHIGAN Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Channing Stribling) to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.0%
Nate Carter run for 3 yds to the BYU 22Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
99.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nate Carter for 4 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q3 8:11
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
99.1%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 3
OWN 26
+11
99.1%
Jonny Linehan punt for 44 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 11 yds to the Mich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1699% → 99%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
99.4%
De'Veon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 40Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-5
99.4%
Jake Rudock sacked by Remington Peck for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 35Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+9
99.4%
Blake O'Neill run for 9 yds to the Mich 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:471% → 0%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-2
98.9%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Moroni Laulu-Pututau for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 46Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+13
99.0%
Francis Bernard run for 13 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-14
98.9%
Tanner Mangum sacked by Mario Ojemudia for a loss of 14 yards to the Mich 47Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 24
OPP 47
+7
99.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Nick Kurtz for 7 yds to the Mich 40Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 17
OPP 40
-4
99.3%
Tanner Mangum run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 44 Tanner Mangum fumbled, recovered by BYU Tanner MangumSimilar
Q3 3:41
4TH & 21
OPP 44
0
99.6%
Jonny Linehan punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 46 yds · 5:06100% → 100%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
99.6%
Ty Isaac run for 8 yds to the Mich 12Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+1
99.6%
Ty Isaac run for 1 yd to the Mich 13Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+4
99.6%
Derrick Green run for 4 yds to the Mich 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.6%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
99.6%
Jake Rudock run for 8 yds to the Mich 25Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Derrick Green for 7 yds to the Mich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.7%
Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+14
99.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Drake Johnson for 14 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.8%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 9
50
0
99.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake ButtSimilar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 9
50
0
99.8%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 9
50
0
99.7%
Blake O'Neill punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Micah Hannemann at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.8%
Nate Carter run for 2 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+5
99.8%
Francis Bernard run for 5 yds to the BYU 18Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+4
99.8%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 4 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by BYU Nate CarterSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+1
99.9%
Francis Bernard run for 1 yd to the BYU 19Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 13
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 13
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Jonny Linehan punt for 55 yds , Jabrill Peppers returns for 3 yds to the Mich 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 55 yds · 6:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the Mich 35Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
99.9%
Derrick Green run for 1 yd to the Mich 36Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to A.J. Williams for 7 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Derrick Green run for 3 yds to the Mich 46Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-1
99.9%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 45Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+20
99.9%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Khalid Hill for 20 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.9%
Drake Johnson run for 11 yds to the BYU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
99.9%
Jake Rudock run for 3 yds to the BYU 21Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+6
99.9%
Derrick Green run for 6 yds to the BYU 15Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 15
-1
99.9%
Derrick Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 16Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 2
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Freddy CanteenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
100.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 7 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-5
100.0%
BYU Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BYU 18Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Nick KurtzSimilar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Terenn HoukSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Jonny Linehan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jabrill Peppers at the Mich 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MICHDrive 23PUNT
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
100.0%
Ross Taylor-Douglas run for 2 yds to the Mich 38Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
100.0%
Ross Taylor-Douglas run for 5 yds to the Mich 43Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Ross Taylor-Douglas run for no gain to the Mich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
100.0%
MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Channing Stribling) to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
100.0%
Francis Bernard run for 11 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Tanner Mangum pass incomplete to Devon BlackmonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
100.0%
Tanner Mangum pass complete to Colby Pearson for 4 yds to the BYU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:37
De'Veon Smith run for 60 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
+8.5
TD · Q2 13:37
Jake Rudock pass complete to Amara Darboh for 4 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 6:57
Jake Rudock run for 17 yds for a TD, (Kenny Allen KICK)
+5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com