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UNT

North Texas 16 at Iowa 62

IOWA
2015 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2015 · Kinnick Stadium
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Win probability · IOWA
modelIOWA aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playIOWA scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:41 · Dillon Kidd punt for 42 yds, downed at the NoTex 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.5+22.30−22.3−44.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+34.2Score differential+24.2Garbage-time factor+11.1Blowout margin+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:20: C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 43 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +1.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 7:54: Trevor Moore 38 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:33: Carlos Harris pass complete to Chris Loving for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +4.3 pts (now 7%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:56: Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:45: Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK) — IOWA win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 11:36UNT 4th & 19 at UNT 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:22IOWA 4th & 8 at UNT 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:19UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:56UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 44, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:26UNT 4th & 1 at IOWA 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.5
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:17UNT 4th & 5 at IOWA 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:20UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:54UNT 4th & 10 at IOWA 21, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:42UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 45, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 1 at IOWA 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:48UNT 4th & 10 at IOWA 14, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.2%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:48IOWA 4th & 5 at IOWA 44, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:41IOWA 4th & 27 at IOWA 19, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:03UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 43, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:47UNT 4th & 8 at IOWA 16, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:47UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 28, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IOWA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UNT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:36IOWA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:56IOWA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:20IOWA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:47IOWA Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:33UNT Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:56IOWA Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:45IOWA Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:15IOWA Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:35IOWA Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:47IOWA Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:2495% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
94.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 6 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+29
94.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 29 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
94.5%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+9
94.5%
C.J. Beathard run for 9 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+4
94.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
94.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 7 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+16
94.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 16 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
94.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 11:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
94.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Antoinne Jimmerson, broken up by Nate MeierSimilar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-11
94.1%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Nate Meier for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+33
94.1%
Eric Keena punt for 57 yds , Desmond King returns for 33 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
94.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jordan Canzeri for 6 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
94.0%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-6
94.0%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 8
OPP 38
0
93.9%
Dillon Kidd punt for 35 yds, downed at the NoTex 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
93.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
93.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 4Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+2
93.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q1 8:19
4TH & 7
OWN 6
+38
93.7%
Eric Keena punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 26 , Desmond King returns for 38 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
2 plays · 26 yds · 0:3694% → 94%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
93.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 16 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
94.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 10 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.0%
Carlos Harris run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
94.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
94.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
93.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
94.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 5:56
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
94.0%
Eric Keena punt for 48 yds, downed at the Iowa 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
94.1%
Canzeri, Jordan rush right for 7 yards to the IOWA15 (Wallace, A.), PENALTY IOWA holding (Krieger-Coble,H) 4 yards to the IOWA4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 14
OWN 4
+6
94.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 6 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-1
94.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 9Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+15
94.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 15 yds to the Iowa 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
94.2%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the Iowa 26Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+10
94.2%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 10 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
94.2%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37 Jordan Canzeri fumbled, forced by Chad Davis, recovered by NoTex Cortney FinneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8FG
9 plays · 16 yds · 2:277% → 7%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
93.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 2 yds to the Iowa 35Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
93.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+6
93.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 14:26
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+2
93.5%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
93.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 14:26
2ND & 5
OPP 21
0
93.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Thaddeous Thompson, broken up by Desmond KingSimilar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 5
OPP 21
0
93.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 5
OPP 21
+38
92.6%
Trevor Moore 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 9TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 0:5793% → 95%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
93.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 15 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
93.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+43
95.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 43 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
94.8%
[SG], Jimmerson, A. rush up middle for 35 yards to the IOWA40 (Mabin, Greg), PENALTY NT holding (Rice, Sam) 10 yards to the NT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
94.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 6 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
94.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 9 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
94.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
94.8%
Eric Keena punt for 46 yds, downed at the Iowa 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 0:1295% → 96%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
95.2%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Jordan Walsh) to the Iowa 19Similar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+81
95.8%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 81 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 2:536% → 4%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
93.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+21
94.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 21 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
93.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 12 yds to the Iowa 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
93.2%
[SG], Mcnulty, Andrew pass complete to Harris, Carlos for 2 yards to the IOWA32, out-of-bounds (Fisher, Cole), PENALTY NT illegal formation 5 yards to the IOWA39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
93.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner Smiley, broken up by Greg MabinSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 15
OPP 39
-5
94.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 20
OPP 44
+23
94.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 23 yds to the Iowa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the Iowa 21Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
93.1%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by Cole FisherSimilar
Q2 10:47
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
93.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
96.5%
Trevor Moore 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-14
97.1%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for a loss of 14 yards to the Iowa 6 Derrick Mitchell Jr. fumbled, recovered by NoTex Anthony WallaceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
1 play · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
92.8%
Carlos Harris pass complete to Chris Loving for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:3794% → 98%
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 23Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-5
94.1%
IOWA Penalty, false start (Ike Boettger) to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
94.0%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 6 yds to the Iowa 24Similar
Q2 7:33
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+19
93.9%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to George Kittle for 19 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
94.3%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 45Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+10
94.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 10 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
94.3%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 16 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
94.4%
LeShun Daniels Jr. run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+9
94.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Riley McCarron for 9 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
94.4%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+12
94.4%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 12 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.9%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 1:143% → 3%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 10 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
96.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 13 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
96.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
96.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+17
96.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 17 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
96.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Jeffrey Wilson) to the Iowa 47Similar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 7
OPP 44
-11
96.8%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Cole Fisher for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 45Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
97.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q2 0:42
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Eric Keena punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Desmond King at the Iowa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
98.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 4:123% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 12 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+10
97.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Tee Goree for 10 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
96.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 11 yds to the Iowa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
97.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 7 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+1
96.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
96.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
96.9%
Andrew McNulty run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
96.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 7 yds to the Iowa 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
96.7%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+4
96.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the Iowa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Chris LovingSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
96.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Marcus Smith, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 14
0
97.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 10
OPP 14
+31
95.5%
Trevor Moore 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for 14 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
97.3%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Jacob HillyerSimilar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
97.3%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 5 yds to the Iowa 44Similar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
97.2%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Henry Krieger CobleSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Marshall Koehn punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20FUMBLE
12 plays · 43 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
96.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+2
96.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-5
96.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Michael Banogu) to the NoTex 6Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+13
96.1%
Andrew McNulty run for 13 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
95.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
95.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
95.6%
Carlos Harris run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
95.5%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Chris Loving, broken up by Ben NiemannSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+6
95.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Tee Goree for 6 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
95.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 5 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+13
95.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 13 yds to the Iowa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
95.4%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Drew Ott for a loss of 10 yards to the 50 yard line Andrew McNulty fumbled, recovered by Iowa Nathan Bazata , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 21TD
13 plays · 50 yds · 5:2398% → 100%
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
50
+2
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
97.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 7 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
97.5%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
97.6%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Henry Krieger CobleSimilar
Q3 6:08
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+12
97.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 12 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 4 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+14
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 14 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 6 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q3 6:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.5%
[SG], Beathard, C.J. pass incomplete to Smith, Tevaun, PENALTY NT pass interference (Preston, Ashton) 2 yards to the NT2, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 0:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22INT TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:300% → 0%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
99.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 12 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+34
99.8%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted for a TD Josey Jewell return for 34 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:150% → 0%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Maurice FlemingSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Eric Keena punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 9
OWN 37
-10
99.8%
Mitchell, D. rush right for 3 yards to the IOWA40, out-of-bounds (Wallace, A.), PENALTY IOWA holding (Outsey, Jameer) 10 yards to the IOWA27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 19
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Tyler Wiegers pass complete to Andrew Stone for no gain to the Iowa 27Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 19
OWN 27
-8
99.8%
Tyler Wiegers sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 8 yards to the Iowa 19Similar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 27
OWN 19
0
99.8%
Dillon Kidd punt for 42 yds, downed at the NoTex 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Jeffrey Wilson, broken up by Joshua JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:03
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Eric Keena punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 26TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:48100% → 100%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+45
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 45 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 9 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+4
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 4 yds to the NoTex 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+8
99.9%
Derrick Mitchell Jr. run for 8 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 1 yd to the NoTex 2Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Akrum Wadley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27INT TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 3:480% → 0%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 6 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Willy Ivery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
99.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Chris Loving for 24 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Chris LovingSimilar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+28
99.9%
Willy Ivery run for 28 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Andrew Tucker run for 3 yds to the Iowa 15Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+4
99.9%
Andrew Tucker run for 4 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q4 6:35
4TH & 3
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Jordan Murray) to the Iowa 16Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+88
100.0%
Josh Greer pass intercepted for a TD Bo Bower return for 88 yds for a TD, (Miguel Recinos KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
100.0%
Willy Ivery run for 8 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Willy Ivery run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
100.0%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 15
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
DaMarcus Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to D'Aundrey Bradley, broken up by Sean DraperSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Eric Keena punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Riley McCarron at the Iowa 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Kevin Ward run for 5 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:33
Carlos Harris pass complete to Chris Loving for 6 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q2 1:56
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds for a TD, (Marshall Koehn KICK)
+3.5
FG · Q2 7:54
Trevor Moore 38 yd FG GOOD
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com