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KENT

Kent State 7 at Minnesota 10

MINN
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Huntington Bank Stadium
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Win probability · MINN
modelMINN aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playMINN scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFUMBLEEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:44 · Peter Mortell punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 102Pregame prior+21.6Home team on offense+4.4Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin−1.0Score differential+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q3 9:44: Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 9 yds for a TD Rashad Still fumbled, forced by Demetrius Monday, recovered by KntSt Demetrius Monday , return for 80 yds, (Shane Hynes KICK) — KENT win probability +7.0 pts (now 17%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:36: Timeout KENT ST, clock 03:36 — MINN win probability +5.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:36: Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Scott Ekpe) to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST down — KENT win probability +5.9 pts (now 25%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18: Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28 — MINN win probability +16.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:33: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 20 — MINN win probability +6.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MINN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MINN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10KENT made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 24 at KENT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:14MINN 4th & 5 at KENT 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.3%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    89.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:14KENT 4th & 6 at KENT 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:11KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:49KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:11MINN 4th & 5 at MINN 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:11KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:22MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:29KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MINN 4th & 2 at KENT 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−3.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:44MINN 4th & 9 at KENT 42, up 3
    Close callPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:50KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:47MINN 4th & 6 at MINN 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:13KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00MINN 4th & 9 at KENT 40, up 3
    Close callPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−0.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:47KENT 4th & 22 at KENT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−4.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:14MINN 4th & 16 at MINN 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−5.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:47KENT 4th & 9 at MINN 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    24.2%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:36MINN 4th & 19 at MINN 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−8.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:36KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.5%−2.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:18MINN 4th & 6 at KENT 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−2.0
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    72.9%−15.8
    average punt
  23. Q4 1:18KENT 4th & 19 at KENT 18, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MINN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:51MINN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · -3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
92.2%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+3
92.2%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+1
92.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+2
92.2%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
92.2%
HOLLEY, Nick rush for 22 yards to the MINN44 (Campbell, D.), PENALTY KENT personal foul (MILLER, Clay) 15 yards to the KENT19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 19
0
92.2%
Colin Reardon run for no gain to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 19
+1
92.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 20
0
92.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 20
+2
92.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 50 yds , Craig James returns for 2 yds to the Minn 22 MINNESOTA Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 2FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:0891% → 90%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
91.3%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the Minn 40Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+1
91.4%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 41Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
91.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 3 yds to the Minn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
91.4%
Rodrick Williams Jr run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 4
50
-1
91.4%
Mitch Leidner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 49Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+21
91.4%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 21 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-8
91.4%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Nate Holley and Nick Cuthbert for a loss of 8 yards to the KntSt 38Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 18
OPP 38
+5
91.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 5 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+8
91.3%
Mitch Leidner run for 8 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
90.2%
Ryan Santoso 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
90.1%
Nick Holley run for 14 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
89.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 6 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
89.8%
Colin Reardon run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 1
50
-5
89.8%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Brice Fackler) to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
89.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
90.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 39 yds , Craig James returns for no gain to the Minn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 4INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
89.4%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the Minn 19Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-1
89.4%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 18Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+22
89.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for 22 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
89.7%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
89.7%
Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
88.8%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
88.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for no gain to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+7
89.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Connor Arlia for 7 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+1
89.0%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds , Craig James returns for 1 yd to the Minn 35 MINNESOTA Penalty, illegal block (Jalen Myrick) to the Minn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 6INT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1189% → 89%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
88.7%
KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Minn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
88.8%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 35Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
88.8%
MINNESOTA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Minn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 30
0
88.0%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+17
87.7%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 17 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
88.6%
Rodney Smith run for 8 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-3
88.7%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
88.5%
Mitch Leidner pass intercepted Demetrius Monday return for no gain to the KntSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
87.5%
Colin Reardon run for 4 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+9
87.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 9 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.4%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
87.1%
Colin Reardon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
87.3%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
-2
87.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 42 yds , Craig James returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.4%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye, broken up by Najee MurraySimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
86.3%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+5
85.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Noah Scarver for 5 yds to the Minn 33Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 5
OWN 33
+8
85.8%
Peter Mortell punt for 51 yds , Ernest Calhoun returns for 8 yds to the KntSt 41 KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Trayion Durham) to the KntSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
86.1%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 5
OWN 17
0
86.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+7
86.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 7 yds to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
86.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
86.1%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+10
86.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 58 yds , Craig James returns for 10 yds to the Minn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
85.8%
Rodrick Williams Jr run for 4 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q2 7:22
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
85.9%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ MayeSimilar
Q2 7:22
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
85.4%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
85.0%
Peter Mortell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
85.1%
George Bollas run for 6 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+2
84.6%
George Bollas run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+1
84.9%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
85.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 28 yds, downed at the Minn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 12TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:5385% → 90%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
85.2%
Rodney Smith run for 4 yds to the Minn 41Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
85.7%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 42Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+25
85.2%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 25 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
86.4%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+3
86.4%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 4:44
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+4
85.9%
Mitch Leidner run for 14 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive holding (Nate Wozniak) to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
86.0%
Rodney Smith run for 6 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+1
86.0%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
89.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 14 yds for a TD, (Ryan Santoso KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
89.3%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+2
89.1%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 1
OWN 26
-4
89.3%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 14FUMBLE TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 5:1689% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.2%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
89.2%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+32
88.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Drew Wolitarsky for 32 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
90.0%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+1
90.0%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+5
89.6%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 5 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+10
89.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Nate Wozniak for 10 yds to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
90.1%
Rodrick Williams Jr run for no gain to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-10
90.1%
Williams, R. rush for no gain to the KENT19 (SIMPSON, Erik), PENALTY MINN holding (Bjorklund, Joe) 10 yards to the KENT29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 20
OPP 29
+80
83.1%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 9 yds for a TD Rashad Still fumbled, forced by Demetrius Monday, recovered by KntSt Demetrius Monday , return for 80 yds, (Shane Hynes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0083% → 81%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
82.5%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the Minn 47Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
83.0%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to KJ Maye for 10 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
83.4%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-2
83.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
82.6%
Mitch Leidner pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
80.8%
Peter Mortell punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Ernest Calhoun at the KntSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
78.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 11Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 12
OWN 11
+1
79.0%
Colin Reardon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 12Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 11
OWN 12
+9
79.9%
Colin Reardon run for 9 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 2
OWN 21
0
80.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds , Craig James returns for no gain to the Minn 42 Craig James fumbled, recovered by Minn Craig JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0080% → 78%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
80.4%
Rodrick Williams Jr run for 3 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
80.7%
Rodrick Williams Jr run for 1 yd to the Minn 46Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
79.7%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to KJ Maye, broken up by Nate HolleySimilar
Q3 4:47
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
78.0%
Peter Mortell punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
78.5%
Colin Reardon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 8Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
78.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris White, broken up by Adekunle AyindeSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+1
79.8%
Colin Reardon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
80.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Craig James at the Minn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:5580% → 76%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
79.7%
Rodney Smith run for 7 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
80.3%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+2
79.8%
Mitch Leidner run for 2 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
80.3%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rodney Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+2
79.9%
Rodney Smith run for 2 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
78.5%
Mitch Leidner pass incomplete to Drew WolitarskySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
75.9%
Peter Mortell punt for 33 yds, downed at the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
76.7%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+6
77.0%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+10
77.4%
Nick Holley run for 10 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
76.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 7 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
75.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Connor Arlia for 5 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-12
74.8%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40 KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Ernest Calhoun) to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 22
OWN 25
0
76.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Brice FacklerSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 22
OWN 25
0
76.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Connor Arlia, broken up by Jonathan CelestinSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 22
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 22
OWN 25
0
78.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds , Craig James returns for no gain to the Minn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0078% → 75%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
77.8%
Williams, R. rush for 7 yards to the MINN33 (CUTHBERT, Nick;ITALIANO, J.), PENALTY MINN holding (Pirsig, Jonah) 10 yards to the MINN16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 20
OWN 16
+4
77.3%
Rodrick Williams Jr run for 4 yds to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+4
77.1%
Mitch Leidner run for 4 yds to the Minn 24Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 12
OWN 24
-4
75.7%
Mitch Leidner sacked by Terence Waugh and Nate Terhune for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 20Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 16
OWN 20
0
74.9%
Peter Mortell punt for 38 yds, downed at the KntSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0029% → 27%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
70.6%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to DIXON, Antwan, PENALTY MINN pass interference (Johnson,Antonio) 15 yards to the MINN43, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
68.2%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 47Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 14
OPP 47
+5
71.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 5 yds to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
70.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Brice Fackler, broken up by De'Vondre CampbellSimilar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
73.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 2 yds, downed at the Minn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 3:4479% → 81%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
78.6%
Rodney Smith run for 1 yd to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+5
77.8%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 5 yds to the Minn 46Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
77.9%
Rodney Smith run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
79.7%
Smith, Rodney rush for 2 yards to the KENT47 (DELLINGER, Matt), PENALTY MINN holding (Campion, Josh) 10 yards to the MINN41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
77.2%
Rodney Smith run for no gain to the Minn 41Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 20
OWN 41
+4
76.9%
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Eric Carter for 4 yds to the Minn 45Similar
Q4 7:20
3RD & 16
OWN 45
-3
75.3%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 42Similar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 19
OWN 42
0
80.9%
Peter Mortell punt for 51 yds , Miles Hibbler returns for no gain to the KntSt 7 Miles Hibbler fumbled, recovered by KntSt Miles HibblerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0025% → 26%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+17
75.0%
Trayion Durham run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, personal foul (Scott Ekpe) to the KntSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
73.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Raekwon JamesSimilar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-12
73.4%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to CALHOUN, Ernest, PENALTY KENT personal foul (MACAULAY, Brock) 12 yards to the KENT12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 22
OWN 12
+19
73.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Charles Chandler for 19 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
72.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete, broken up by Alex KeithSimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
74.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:0091% → 91%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
90.6%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 7
OPP 28
-2
91.3%
Rodney Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+3
89.9%
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
90.7%
Ryan Santoso 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0014% → 11%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
86.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete, broken up by Alex KeithSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
87.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-9
87.7%
Colin Reardon sacked by Julian Huff for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 1:18
4TH & 19
OWN 18
0
88.6%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MINNDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:18
Rodney Smith run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28
+16.5
FUMBLE · Q3 9:44
Mitch Leidner pass complete to Rashad Still for 9 yds for a TD Rashad Still fumbled, forced by Demetrius Monday, recovered by KntSt Demetrius Monday , return for 80 yds, (Shane Hynes KICK)
-7
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:33
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 20
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com