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WKU

Western Kentucky 35 at Indiana 38

IU
2015 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+2.1IU 48.6%Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 17 · Q2 1:25
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Q2 1:25 · Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 94Home team on offense−3.1Pregame prior+2.6Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:29: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +14.1 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:29: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 36 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +13.5 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 6:06: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +16.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:02: Devine Redding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +12.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:56: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +25.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:35WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:35WKU 4th & 1 at IU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.6%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:14WKU 4th & 14 at WKU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:37IU 4th & 12 at WKU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    58.9%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:37WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.3%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:54IU 4th & 3 at WKU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    47.0%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:50WKU 4th & 1 at IU 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    47.4%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:25IU 4th & 9 at WKU 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    89% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−7.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:22WKU 4th & 1 at IU 20, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.0%−2.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−11.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:20IU 4th & 4 at WKU 13, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    86.0%−0.4
    85% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−5.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:15WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:02IU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:29WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:35WKU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:29IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:06IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 5:02IU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:56WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.7%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT RETURN TD
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:2545% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
55.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
55.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
55.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 4 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
55.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Ralph Green IIISimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+91
56.2%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 49 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 91 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:2044% → 45%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+31
56.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 31 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
55.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 1 yd to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
55.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+8
55.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 8 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+16
56.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 16 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
54.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3FUMBLE
8 plays · 58 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
55.5%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.6%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Ind 25Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
55.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
56.0%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+15
56.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 15 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
56.2%
Nate Sudfeld run for 6 yds to the WKent 33 Nate Sudfeld fumbled, recovered by WKent Branden Leston , return for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
55.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Brandon Ray) to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
55.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+6
55.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-5
55.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Darrell Williams) to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
55.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan Taylor, broken up by Tegray ScalesSimilar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 14
OWN 29
+1
56.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 37 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 1 yd to the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:3356% → 56%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
55.7%
Donavan Hale run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+2
55.5%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 33 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+24
55.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 24 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
56.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 5 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-10
56.5%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+3
56.0%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
55.4%
Erich Toth punt for 35 yds, downed at the WKent 10Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 12
OPP 45
0
55.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 4:4145% → 53%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
55.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+16
55.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 16 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
55.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 30
0
55.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+6
55.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 36
+1
55.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
55.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 19 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
54.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
54.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
53.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+18
54.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 18 yds to the Ind 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
53.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 9 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 2
+2
47.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 3:0249% → 49%
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
49.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Danny Friend for 22 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
50.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 9 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+5
51.0%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
51.1%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+3
50.7%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+13
50.5%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
51.7%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 12
OPP 31
0
51.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Joe BrownSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+9
50.0%
Devine Redding run for 9 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Jordan Howard, broken up by Derik OverstreetSimilar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 3
OPP 22
0
49.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 77 yds · 0:0052% → 54%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
47.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+16
46.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 16 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
45.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 15 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
45.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 18 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (10 Yards) to the Ind 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
45.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
45.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds to the Ind 3Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Davis for 2 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
46.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the Ind 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 99 yds · 4:5346% → 60%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
45.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Danny Friend for 8 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+7
45.7%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
46.4%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 17Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+16
46.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 16 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
46.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 8 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+4
48.5%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
48.2%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
49.2%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
49.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
49.0%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
50.1%
Jordan Howard run for 11 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
50.1%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
60.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 18 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3347% → 61%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+60
52.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 60 yds to the Ind 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
38.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0443% → 49%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+69
43.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 69 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
47.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-5
48.9%
INDIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
47.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
48.6%
Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5054% → 65%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
46.5%
Taywan Taylor run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
46.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+78
35.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 78 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
35.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Fuchs for 9 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
35.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+13
35.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 13 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3135% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
35.3%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
35.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 12 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
36.4%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+21
36.8%
Jordan Howard run for 21 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
37.9%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+1
37.9%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 12:29
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+36
51.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 36 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15INT
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:0053% → 57%
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
46.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 12 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
45.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+13
44.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 13 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
44.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd to the Ind 46Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+16
44.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 16 yds to the Ind 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
43.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
42.8%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Jonathan Crawford return for no gain to the Ind 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 97 yds · 3:5347% → 68%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
46.9%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 7Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+5
46.8%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 1
OWN 12
+4
46.0%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+28
47.5%
Jordan Howard run for 13 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
50.6%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the Ind 44Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
49.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Isaac Griffith for 9 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+1
51.3%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
49.8%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+20
49.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 20 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
51.8%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
67.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.8%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Jonathan Crawford return for no gain to the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:5768% → 79%
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+18
67.9%
Jordan Howard run for 18 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
67.9%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.5%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
78.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19MISSED FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:4022% → 20%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
76.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+11
77.5%
Brandon Doughty run for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
75.9%
Anthony Davis run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 2
50
+8
73.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 8 yds to the Ind 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
74.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the Ind 42Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
74.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-7
72.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 36Similar
Q3 5:02
2ND & 17
OPP 36
+9
75.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 9 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
74.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 7 yds to the Ind 20Similar
Q3 0:22
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+37
79.7%
Garrett Schwettman 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Nick MangieriSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 62 yds · 5:0283% → 86%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+24
82.7%
Jordan Howard run for 24 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
84.7%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+8
84.7%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
84.9%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+6
84.9%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
84.9%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
84.9%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+1
84.1%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 4
OPP 13
0
85.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Jordan HowardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 4:1913% → 45%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
86.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 10 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
86.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to D'Andre Ferby for 6 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 30
0
84.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to D'Andre FerbySimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+23
86.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 8 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
83.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 8 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 2
OPP 39
0
82.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
82.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
81.5%
Darmontre Warr run for 5 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+11
80.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 11 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
80.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 2 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
80.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 5 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+6
82.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 6 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.7%
Anthony Davis run for no gain to the Ind 3Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
55.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22END OF GAME
17 plays · 75 yds · 4:0773% → 92%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
72.9%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 1
OWN 30
-10
74.8%
INDIANA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jake Reed) to the Ind 20Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+2
72.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+14
70.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 14 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
74.5%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+9
76.7%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
77.3%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
78.0%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+20
88.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 20 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
90.7%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+6
91.8%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+8
90.9%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
92.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:56
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 3 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-25.4
TD · Q3 6:06
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+16.2
TD · Q2 3:29
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com