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M-OH

Miami (OH) 0 at Wisconsin 58

WIS
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Camp Randall Stadium
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Win probability · WIS
modelWIS aheadM-OH aheadconfidence bandkey playWIS scoreM-OH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:21 · Christian Koch punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the WISCONSIN 34 MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+32.9Home team on offense+25.3Score differential+22.9Blowout margin+10.7Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:47: Rafael Gaglianone 29 yd FG GOOD — M-OH win probability +0.1 pts (now 3%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 3:58: Rafael Gaglianone 25 yd FG GOOD — WIS win probability +0.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:06: Robert Wheelwright 13 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick) — WIS win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 10:40: Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 20 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:32: Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK) — WIS win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WIS made the numbers' call on 4 of 6M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 9:47WIS 4th & 7 at M-OH 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:16M-OH 4th & 1 at M-OH 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:16WIS 4th & 7 at WIS 43, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58WIS 4th & 4 at M-OH 8, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:06WIS 4th & 8 at M-OH 41, up 6
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:22M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 17, down 6
    Close callPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:36M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 26, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:16M-OH 4th & 10 at WIS 20, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:42M-OH 4th & 21 at M-OH 32, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:21M-OH 4th & 10 at M-OH 23, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:23M-OH 4th & 3 at midfield, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:23WIS 4th & 13 at WIS 33, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:46M-OH 4th & 22 at M-OH 8, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:29M-OH 4th & 2 at M-OH 27, down 44
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:27WIS 4th & 19 at WIS 5, up 51
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:53M-OH 4th & 5 at WIS 37, down 51
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:34M-OH 4th & 18 at M-OH 17, down 58
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 0:06WIS Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:40WIS Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:32WIS Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:50WIS Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:29WIS Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:41WIS Touchdown, up 50 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:57WIS Touchdown, up 57 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WISDrive 1FG
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:4397% → 97%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+22
97.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 22 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
97.3%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Wisc 46Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
97.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 48Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
97.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
97.1%
Tanner McEvoy run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+13
97.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
97.0%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 18 yds to the MiaOh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
96.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 10Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
96.8%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-1
96.8%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
96.7%
Rafael Gaglianone 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:093% → 4%
Q1 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.6%
Kenny Young run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
96.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Sam Martin for 8 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Kenny Young run for no gain to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
96.5%
Christian Koch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the Wisc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:4796% → 96%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
96.4%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 29Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
96.2%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 1 yd to the Wisc 30Similar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+10
96.1%
Joel Stave pass complete to Jazz Peavy for 10 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
96.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
96.0%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoySimilar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
95.9%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Austin TraylorSimilar
Q1 5:16
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+42
95.8%
Drew Meyer punt for 42 yds , Kenny Young returns for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 14 Kenny Young fumbled, forced by Sojourn Shelton, recovered by Wisc Connor UdelhovenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 4FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5296% → 96%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
96.0%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
95.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q1 4:03
3RD & 4
OPP 8
0
95.7%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
96.0%
Rafael Gaglianone 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:104% → 4%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.9%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.8%
Drew Kummer pass intercepted Leo Musso return for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5496% → 96%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
96.0%
Joel Stave sacked by Jordan Rigg for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+7
95.7%
Taiwan Deal run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
95.7%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:06
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
95.6%
Drew Meyer punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:245% → 5%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
95.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 12Similar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 7
OWN 12
0
95.4%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 7
OWN 12
+5
95.5%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 2
OWN 17
0
95.5%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+36
95.5%
Christian Koch punt for 35 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 36 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 8TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:5496% → 97%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
95.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
95.6%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q1 0:06
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+13
96.7%
Robert Wheelwright 13 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 9FUMBLE
7 plays · 11 yds · 1:094% → 4%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
96.2%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 10 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
96.1%
Billy Bahl sacked by Conor Sheehy for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q2 13:59
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+2
96.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q2 13:48
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
96.2%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+5
96.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.2%
Christian Koch punt for 32 yds , Alex Erickson returns for no gain to the MiaOh 42 Alex Erickson fumbled, recovered by Wisc MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the MiaOh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 10TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:5197% → 98%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
96.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 9 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+3
96.6%
Taiwan Deal run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
96.6%
Reggie Love run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 24Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
96.6%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+2
96.5%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
96.5%
Joel Stave pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
97.9%
Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 20 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11MISSED FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 2:092% → 2%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 16 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
97.8%
Alonzo Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 40Similar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+13
97.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 13 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
97.7%
Billy Bahl sacked by Vince Biegel for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST down WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+18
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Chris Hudson for 18 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
97.6%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
97.7%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:22
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:16
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
97.9%
Kaleb Patterson 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Joel Stave pass intercepted Marshall Taylor return for no gain to the MiaOh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:262% → 2%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Jared Murphy for no gain to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q2 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+41
97.8%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Tanner McEvoy return for 41 yds to the MiaOh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 14TD
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4398% → 99%
Q2 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the MiaOh 2Similar
Q2 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.1%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 3:161% → 1%
Q2 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
99.0%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+12
99.1%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 12 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-5
99.0%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+13
99.3%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Chris Hudson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
99.3%
Smith, Alonzo rush for 2 yards to the MIAMIOH45, PENALTY MIAMIOH personal foul 15 yards to the MIAMIOH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 25
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 23
OWN 30
+2
99.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 21
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
99.5%
Christian Koch punt for 61 yds, downed at the Wisc 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 16TD
12 plays · 93 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
99.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 9 yds to the Wisc 16Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+4
99.3%
Taiwan Deal run for 4 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.2%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 15Similar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 15
OWN 15
+12
99.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 12 yds to the Wisc 27Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
99.3%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Alex EricksonSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+15
99.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
99.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 7 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+18
99.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 18 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+18
99.3%
Joel Stave pass complete to Dare Ogunbowale for 18 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Drew Kummer pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
4TH & 10
OWN 23
+28
99.5%
Christian Koch punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Alex Erickson at the WISCONSIN 34 MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:15100% → 100%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
99.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 16 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
99.5%
Joel Stave pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 15 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Robert WheelwrightSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+38
99.6%
Rafael Gaglianone 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Jared Murphy for 18 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
99.6%
Leonard Ross run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+4
99.6%
Drew Kummer pass complete to Jared Murphy for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 3
50
0
99.6%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 3
50
0
99.6%
Christian Koch punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Tanner McEvoy for 3 yds to the Wisc 22Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+14
99.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 14 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-13
99.7%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38 WISCONSIN Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 23
OWN 23
+2
99.7%
Taiwan Deal run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 21
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
Joel Stave pass complete to Alex Erickson for 8 yds to the Wisc 33Similar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Joel Stave pass incomplete to Austin TraylorSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Drew Meyer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jared Murphy at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
99.7%
Rokeem Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 16
OWN 14
0
99.7%
Drew Kummer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-6
99.7%
Drew Kummer sacked by Joe Schobert for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 8Similar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 22
OWN 8
+28
99.8%
Christian Koch punt for 37 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 28 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 22TD
3 plays · 17 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
99.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 16 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Dare Ogunbowale run for no gain to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Spencer McInnis run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Spencer McInnis run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Fred McRae IV for 7 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Christian Koch punt for 43 yds , Alex Erickson returns for 8 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 24TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:09100% → 100%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
Bart Houston pass complete to Robert Wheelwright for 5 yds to the Wisc 43Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Taiwan Deal run for 6 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 42Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Tanner McEvoySimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+7
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 35 yds for a TD, (Jack Russell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25INT
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
99.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 26 yds to the MiaOh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.9%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the Wisc 49Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
99.9%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the Wisc 45Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+15
99.9%
Billy Bahl pass complete to Sam Martin for 15 yds to the Wisc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
Leonard Ross run for 7 yds to the Wisc 23Similar
Q3 0:19
2ND & 3
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Chris HudsonSimilar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-5
99.9%
MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (Ryan Smith) to the Wisc 28Similar
Q3 0:10
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Billy Bahl pass intercepted Leo Musso return for no gain to the Wisc 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 6 yds to the Wisc 9Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+5
99.9%
Dare Ogunbowale run for 5 yds to the Wisc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Bart Houston pass incomplete to Reggie LoveSimilar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
99.9%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 3 yds to the Wisc 17Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 7
OWN 17
-5
99.9%
WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 12Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 12
OWN 12
-7
99.9%
Bart Houston sacked by Ikeem Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 5Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 19
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Drew Meyer punt for 37 yds, downed at the Wisc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
100.0%
Leonard Ross run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
100.0%
Leonard Ross run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Leonard RossSimilar
Q4 10:53
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Billy Bahl pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 28TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 5:43100% → 100%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Bart Houston pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 4 yds to the Wisc 41Similar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+19
99.9%
Derek Straus run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 45 for a 1ST down MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+13
99.9%
Bart Houston pass complete to Jordan Fredrick for 13 yds to the MiaOh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+7
99.9%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
100.0%
Caleb Kinlaw run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 5Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Bart Houston pass complete to Caleb Kinlaw for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Russell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-4
100.0%
Leonard Ross run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
100.0%
Christian Koch punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WISDrive 30PUNT
3 plays · 0 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
100.0%
Mark Saari run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Mark Saari run for 1 yd to the Wisc 36Similar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-4
100.0%
Mark Saari run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wisc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:40
Joel Stave pass complete to Austin Traylor for 20 yds for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 6:32
Taiwan Deal run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rafael Gaglianone KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q1 0:06
Robert Wheelwright 13 Yd pass from Joel Stave (Rafael Gaglianone Kick)
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com