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INST

Indiana State 14 at Purdue 38

PUR
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadINST aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreINST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:23 · Thomas Meadows punt for 38 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+36.5Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:26: Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 50 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +2.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:34: Matt Adam pass complete to Gary Owens for 17 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK) — INST win probability +3.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Austin Appleby pass complete to Dan Monteroso for 51 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +4.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:22: Matt Adam pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK) — INST win probability +6.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: INST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:10: Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +6.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 7 of 10INST made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 13:25INST 4th & 1 at INST 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:23PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:39INST 4th & 16 at PUR 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.3%
    40% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:39PUR 4th & 2 at INST 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:36INST 4th & 14 at INST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00INST 4th & 19 at PUR 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:14PUR 4th & 9 at PUR 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−0.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:47INST 4th & 4 at PUR 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.2%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:40PUR 4th & 2 at INST 2, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    77.3%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:20INST 4th & 13 at INST 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:04PUR 4th & 5 at INST 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−3.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:56INST 4th & 6 at INST 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00INST 4th & 2 at PUR 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−1.8
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.9%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:23PUR 4th & 28 at INST 42, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:26INST 4th & 1 at PUR 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−3.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:22PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 41, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    87.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:10INST 4th & 7 at INST 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00PUR 4th & 1 at INST 49, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%−0.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:05PUR 4th & 9 at INST 16, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:24INST 4th & 11 at PUR 37, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:39PUR 4th & 6 at PUR 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:32INST 4th & 3 at PUR 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 5INST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:25PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:26PUR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:34INST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:22INST Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:10PUR Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:24PUR Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:3588% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
87.7%
Austin Appleby run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
87.7%
D.J. Knox run for 10 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
87.7%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
87.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 57 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.6%
Matt Adam pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 9 yds to the IndSt 34Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
87.5%
Osborn Umeh punt for 50 yds , Frankie Williams returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
87.4%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 13Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
87.4%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
87.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete PURDUE Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:23
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
87.3%
Thomas Meadows punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:4813% → 13%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
87.1%
LeMonte Booker run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+16
87.1%
Matt Adam run for 16 yds to the Prdue 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
87.0%
LeMonte Booker run for 2 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 8
OPP 29
-3
87.0%
Matt Adam run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 11
OPP 32
-5
87.2%
Matt Adam sacked by Evan Panfil for a loss of 5 yards to the Prdue 37Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 16
OPP 37
+55
87.0%
Eric Heidorn 55 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
87.1%
Austin Appleby sacked by Lonnell Brown Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 35Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+3
87.0%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+18
87.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 18 yds to the IndSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
87.3%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the IndSt 40Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+6
87.3%
Austin Appleby run for 6 yds to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
87.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 1 yd to the IndSt 33Similar
Q1 8:39
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
87.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 5 yds to the IndSt 28Similar
Q1 8:39
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+2
87.2%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the IndSt 26Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 2
OPP 26
0
87.1%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the IndSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
86.4%
LeMonte Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 25Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
86.5%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Robert Tonyan Jr.Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-3
86.6%
Matt Adam pass complete to Kelvin Cook for a loss of 3 yards to the IndSt 22Similar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
86.8%
Osborn Umeh punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Trae Hart at the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:5586% → 89%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
86.4%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
86.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 9 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
86.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 42Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
86.7%
Jones, Markell rush for 5 yards to the PUR47, out-of-bounds (Nicholls, Conrr), PENALTY INS offside (Nicholls, Conrr) 5 yards to the PUR47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
86.8%
Austin Appleby run for 8 yds to the IndSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
86.9%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 15
50
+50
89.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 50 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:2612% → 12%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
88.1%
Matt Adam pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 20 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
87.8%
Roland Genesy run for 5 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-5
87.6%
INDIANA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
87.9%
Matt Adam run for 11 yds to the Prdue 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
87.5%
Matt Adam run for 6 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
-6
87.3%
Matt Adam run for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 34
-9
87.9%
Matt Adam sacked by Frankie Williams and Jimmy Herman for a loss of 9 yards to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OPP 43
0
88.4%
Osborn Umeh punt for 30 yds, downed at the Prdue 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
89.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 1 yd to the Prdue 14Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 14
0
89.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete, broken up by Travis StarksSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
88.8%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
88.5%
Thomas Meadows punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Prdue 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 10TD
5 plays · 33 yds · 1:5713% → 16%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
87.4%
LeMonte Booker run for 11 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
87.2%
Adam, Matt pass incomplete to Brown, Jamar, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Herman, Jimmy) 12 yards to the PUR10, 1ST DOWN INS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
87.2%
LeMonte Booker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 11Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-6
87.4%
Matt Adam pass complete to LeMonte Booker for a loss of 6 yards to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 9:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
84.3%
Matt Adam pass complete to Gary Owens for 17 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3817% → 15%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
83.0%
Matt Adam pass complete to LeMonte Booker for 7 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+5
82.9%
LeMonte Booker run for 5 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
82.9%
Matt Adam run for 3 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
82.9%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+3
84.1%
Roland Genesy run for 3 yds to the Prdue 17Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
84.6%
Eric Heidorn 35 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ryan Watson TEAM return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 13FG
10 plays · 78 yds · 4:0786% → 87%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+52
85.7%
D.J. Knox run for 42 yds to the PURDUE 38 for a 1ST down INDIANA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the IndSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
86.9%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the IndSt 23Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+4
86.9%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the IndSt 19Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
86.5%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the IndSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
86.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny Anthrop, broken up by Travis StarksSimilar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+12
86.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 12 yds to the IndSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
86.9%
Austin Appleby run for 3 yds to the IndSt 2Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the IndSt 1Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
86.5%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 2Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
87.4%
Paul Griggs 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:2013% → 13%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.9%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
87.0%
Matt Adam sacked by Antoine Miles for a loss of 1 yard to the IndSt 24 Matt Adam fumbled, recovered by IndSt Matt Adam , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:28
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-2
87.3%
Matt Adam sacked by Antoine Miles for a loss of 2 yards to the IndSt 22Similar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
87.1%
Osborn Umeh punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 15MISSED FG
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:0987% → 86%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
86.8%
Markell Jones run for 9 yds to the IndSt 42Similar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+13
87.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 13 yds to the IndSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.1%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Markell JonesSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
87.0%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the IndSt 26Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+2
86.6%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the IndSt 24Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 5
OPP 24
+41
86.1%
Paul Griggs 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0814% → 13%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
86.3%
Roland Genesy run for 4 yds to the IndSt 28Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
85.9%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Kelvin Cook, broken up by Andy James GarciaSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
86.6%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
87.1%
Osborn Umeh punt for 40 yds, downed at the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 0:3088% → 93%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
88.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 8 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+9
88.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 9 yds to the Prdue 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
92.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Dan Monteroso for 51 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 18DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
91.7%
Roland Genesy run for 7 yds to the IndSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
91.3%
Roland Genesy run for 3 yds to the IndSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
91.4%
Matt Adam run for 17 yds to the Prdue 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
90.8%
Marlon Fleming run for 8 yds to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
90.5%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
90.6%
Marlon Fleming run for no gain to the Prdue 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 40
-1
91.1%
Marlon Fleming run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
92.5%
D.J. Knox run for 14 yds to the IndSt 44 D.J. Knox fumbled, forced by Tsali Lough, recovered by IndSt Lonnell Brown Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 20INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
91.9%
Marlon Fleming run for 5 yds to the IndSt 49Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+4
91.6%
Matt Adam run for 4 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+12
91.4%
Marlon Fleming run for 12 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
91.0%
Matt Adam pass intercepted Anthony Brown return for no gain to the Prdue 35 INDIANA ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
92.8%
Markell Jones run for 18 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.1%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+25
93.2%
Austin Appleby run for 10 yds to the PURDUE 49 for a 1ST down INDIANA ST Penalty, personal foul (Alec Lyons) to the IndSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
93.3%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
93.3%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the IndSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
93.3%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the IndSt 22Similar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
93.3%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:23
3RD & 23
OPP 37
0
92.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 23
OPP 37
-5
92.5%
PURDUE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IndSt 42Similar
Q3 11:23
4TH & 28
OPP 42
0
92.5%
Joe Schopper punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 22TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 5:047% → 15%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
93.1%
Marlon Fleming run for 9 yds to the IndSt 29Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+20
92.7%
Matt Adam pass complete to Lafaele Fautanu for 20 yds to the IndSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
92.4%
Roland Genesy run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 9
50
-5
92.6%
Matt Adam sacked by Ryan Watson for a loss of 5 yards to the IndSt 45Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+13
93.4%
Matt Adam run for 13 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+5
92.6%
Matt Adam run for 5 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
92.3%
Matt Adam pass complete to Gary Owens for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+9
91.6%
Matt Adam pass complete to Gary Owens for 9 yds to the Prdue 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-4
91.6%
Marlon Fleming run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 27Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 14
OPP 27
+27
84.9%
Matt Adam pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:1288% → 97%
Q3 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
88.1%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 41Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
88.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 3:22
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
87.9%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q3 3:22
4TH & 6
OWN 41
+39
87.0%
Anthony Brown run for 39 yds to the IndSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
90.3%
Markell Jones run for 8 yds to the IndSt 12Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+7
90.3%
Austin Appleby run for 7 yds to the IndSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
90.3%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the IndSt 1Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.5%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.3%
Matt Adam run for 15 yds to the IndSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
95.1%
Roland Genesy run for 3 yds to the IndSt 43Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
95.1%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
95.3%
Osborn Umeh punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Frankie Williams at the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0996% → 96%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
96.4%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:09
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+10
96.4%
Austin Appleby run for 10 yds to the Prdue 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
96.6%
D.J. Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+7
96.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 7 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+4
96.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 4 yds to the IndSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
96.3%
Joe Schopper punt for 31 yds , Robert Tonyan Jr. returns for no gain to the IndSt 17 Robert Tonyan Jr. fumbled, recovered by Prdue Anthony BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27MISSED FG
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5297% → 97%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
97.4%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Jordan Roos) to the IndSt 22Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+6
97.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the IndSt 16Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
97.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Danny AnthropSimilar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
97.1%
Paul Griggs 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 28INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
96.4%
Marlon Fleming run for 3 yds to the IndSt 23Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-4
96.4%
Matt Adam pass complete to Marlon Fleming for a loss of 4 yards to the IndSt 19Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+4
96.6%
Matt Adam pass intercepted Robert Gregory return for 4 yds to the IndSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 4:2398% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
97.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Bilal MarshallSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
97.5%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the IndSt 41Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+12
97.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 12 yds to the IndSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
97.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 6 yds to the IndSt 23Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+2
97.5%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the IndSt 21Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+4
97.5%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the IndSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
97.5%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the IndSt 15Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
97.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 6 yds to the IndSt 9Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 2
OPP 9
-5
97.5%
PURDUE Penalty, false start (Martesse Patterson) to the IndSt 14Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+9
97.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Bilal Marshall for 9 yds to the IndSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Markell Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 30DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.4%
Matt Adam run for 5 yds to the IndSt 21Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
99.4%
Matt Adam pass complete to Sampson Levingston for 8 yds to the IndSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
99.4%
Matt Adam pass complete to Jamar Brown for 15 yds to the IndSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
99.4%
Roland Genesy run for 2 yds to the IndSt 46Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+18
99.4%
Matt Adam pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 18 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.4%
INDIANA ST Penalty, false start (Dakota Vermillion) to the Prdue 41Similar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 15
OPP 41
-5
99.4%
INDIANA ST Penalty, delay of game (Matt Adam) to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+9
99.4%
Matt Adam run for 9 yds to the Prdue 37Similar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 11
OPP 37
+9
99.4%
Matt Adam pass complete to Gary Owens for 9 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 20
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Gary OwensSimilar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
99.4%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:41100% → 100%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.6%
David Yancey run for 3 yds to the Prdue 31Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
99.6%
David Blough run for 1 yd to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.7%
David Blough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Joe Schopper punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Robert Tonyan Jr. at the IndSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
INSTDrive 32END OF GAME
11 plays · 45 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Marlon Fleming, broken up by Langston NewtonSimilar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Robert Tonyan Jr., broken up by Langston NewtonSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+25
99.6%
Matt Adam pass complete to Kelvin Cook for 25 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.6%
Matt Adam run for 7 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Matt Adam pass incomplete, broken up by Eddy WilsonSimilar
Q4 1:32
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
99.5%
Matt Adam pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 3
OPP 34
+12
99.6%
Matt Adam pass complete to Kelvin Cook for 12 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.8%
Matt Adam pass complete to Sampson Levingston for 6 yds to the Prdue 16Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 4
OPP 16
-5
99.7%
INDIANA ST Penalty, false start (Marlon Fleming) to the Prdue 21Similar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
99.8%
Matt Adam pass incomplete to Kelvin Cook, broken up by David RoseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:22
Matt Adam pass complete to Robert Tonyan Jr. for 27 yds for a TD, (Eric Heidorn KICK)
-6.7
TD · Q3 1:10
Markell Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+6.3
TD · Q2 0:00
Austin Appleby pass complete to Dan Monteroso for 51 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com