Try the model
EIU

Eastern Illinois 0 at Northwestern 41

NU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Ryan Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · NU
modelNU aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playNU scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:41 · Mike Bernier punt for 40 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Pregame prior+41.1Home team on offense+0.1Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:40: Justin Jackson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +0.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 12:09: Jack Mitchell 33 yd FG GOOD — NU win probability +1.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:12: Warren Long run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:15: Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the EIlln 28 — NU win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:13: Clayton Thorson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK) — NU win probability +1.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 9:41NU 4th & 5 at EIU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41EIU 4th & 2 at NU 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46NU 4th & 11 at NU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:58EIU 4th & 6 at NU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:40EIU 4th & 7 at EIU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:09NU 4th & 8 at EIU 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:09EIU 4th & 17 at EIU 30, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:12EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 47, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:07NU 4th & 1 at EIU 38, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    95.8%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00EIU 4th & 13 at NU 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:18EIU 4th & 9 at NU 48, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:47NU 4th & 6 at NU 10, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:30EIU 4th & 1 at NU 38, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:08EIU 4th & 8 at NU 32, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 29, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:57EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 40, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:09NU 4th & 1 at EIU 1, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:40NU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:12NU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:13NU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:18NU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:08NU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 63 yds · 5:1993% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
93.4%
Justin Jackson run for 7 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+5
93.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 5 yds to the Nwest 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
93.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Justin Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+11
93.4%
Justin Jackson run for 11 yds to the EIlln 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
93.4%
Warren Long run for 5 yds to the EIlln 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
93.4%
Jelani Roberts run for 7 yds to the EIlln 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
93.4%
Warren Long run for no gain to the EIlln 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+15
93.4%
Warren Long run for 15 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
93.4%
Warren Long run for 2 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+12
92.7%
Solomon Vault run for 5 yds to the EIlln 13 for a 1ST down EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (7 Yards) to the EIlln 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
92.7%
Solomon Vault run for 3 yds to the EIlln 3Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
92.7%
Solomon Vault run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 4Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
92.7%
Clayton Thorson sacked by Jarvis Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 5Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
92.4%
Jack Mitchell 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
92.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Devin Church, broken up by Dean LowrySimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
92.3%
Devin Church run for 12 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
92.2%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd to the EIlln 44Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+7
92.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Isaiah Nelson for 7 yds to the Nwest 49Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
92.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Devin ChurchSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
92.2%
Mike Bernier punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
91.8%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 8Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 11
OWN 8
0
91.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 11
OWN 8
0
91.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Dan VitaleSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
91.6%
Hunter Niswander punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Shepard Little at the Nwest 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
91.4%
Devin Church run for 3 yds to the Nwest 41Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
91.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Brandon NeverdonSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+1
91.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd to the Nwest 40Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 6
OPP 40
-9
91.6%
Jalen Whitlow sacked by Max Chapman and Dean Lowry for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:5692% → 92%
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
91.6%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the EIlln 48Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
91.6%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the EIlln 47Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
91.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 7 yds to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
91.6%
Justin Jackson run for 1 yd to the EIlln 39Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-2
91.6%
Justin Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 41Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+11
91.4%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 11 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
91.7%
Warren Long run for 6 yds to the EIlln 24Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
91.7%
Warren Long run for 5 yds to the EIlln 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
91.7%
Warren Long run for 8 yds to the EIlln 11Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+11
92.2%
Justin Jackson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
91.8%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Brandon NeverdonSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+3
91.8%
Shepard Little run for 3 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
91.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Isaiah NelsonSimilar
Q1 1:40
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
92.0%
Mike Bernier punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:3092% → 94%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
91.9%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Christian Jones for 12 yds to the EIlln 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
91.9%
Jelani Roberts run for 8 yds to the EIlln 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
91.9%
Solomon Vault run for 1 yd to the EIlln 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+8
91.8%
Solomon Vault run for 8 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
92.0%
Solomon Vault run for 12 yds to the EIlln 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
92.0%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the EIlln 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
92.0%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the EIlln 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
91.8%
Clayton Thorson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
93.6%
Jack Mitchell 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
92.8%
Jalen Whitlow run for 6 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+7
92.7%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 7 yds to the EIlln 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
92.7%
Jerron Seymour run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 35Similar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
92.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Tray Mitchell, broken up by Godwin IgwebuikeSimilar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-5
92.9%
Jalen Whitlow sacked by Ifeadi Odenigbo for a loss of 5 yards to the EIlln 30Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 17
OWN 30
-3
93.0%
Mike Bernier punt for 31 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:1594% → 97%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
93.7%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the Nwest 36Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
93.6%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 39Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+17
93.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 17 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
93.9%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the EIlln 40Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+9
93.9%
Justin Jackson run for 9 yds to the EIlln 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
93.9%
Warren Long run for 1 yd to the EIlln 30Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+18
93.9%
Warren Long run for 18 yds to the EIlln 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
93.9%
Warren Long run for 4 yds to the EIlln 8Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
96.9%
Warren Long run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
96.1%
Devin Church run for 7 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q2 6:12
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-1
96.0%
Jalen Whitlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 44Similar
Q2 6:12
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
96.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Shepard Little for 3 yds to the EIlln 47Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
96.0%
Jalen Whitlow run for no gain to the EIlln 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.1%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the EIlln 43Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
97.1%
Justin Jackson run for 5 yds to the EIlln 38Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
97.0%
Justin Jackson run for no gain to the EIlln 38Similar
Q2 4:07
4TH & 1
OPP 38
0
96.8%
Warren Long run for no gain to the EIlln 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
96.4%
Jack Kwiatkowski pass intercepted Matthew Harris return for 23 yds to the EIlln 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:0297% → 99%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
97.4%
Justin Jackson run for 4 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
97.4%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the EIlln 25Similar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
97.4%
Jelani Roberts run for 5 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-11
97.4%
Long, Warren rush for 1 yard to the EIU19 (WILLIAMS,Jarvis), PENALTY NU holding (Butler, J.B.) 11 yards to the EIU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 21
OPP 31
0
97.6%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Christian JonesSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 21
OPP 31
+2
97.6%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 2 yds to the EIlln 29Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 19
OPP 29
+24
97.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Flynn Nagel for 24 yds to the EIlln 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
97.6%
Solomon Vault run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 8Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.2%
Clayton Thorson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
99.2%
Devin Church run for 15 yds to the EIlln 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.0%
Jalen Whitlow run for 13 yds to the EIlln 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.0%
Jalen Whitlow run for 5 yds to the EIlln 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+23
98.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Isaiah Nelson for 23 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.8%
Jerron Seymour run for 1 yd to the Nwest 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
98.8%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 5 yds to the Nwest 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-9
98.8%
Jalen Whitlow sacked by Deonte Gibson for a loss of 9 yards to the Nwest 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
99.0%
Mike Bernier punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 89 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+17
99.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Dan Vitale for 17 yds to the Nwest 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.5%
Justin Jackson run for 2 yds to the Nwest 30Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+15
99.5%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Mike McHugh for 15 yds to the Nwest 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.5%
Justin Jackson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
99.5%
Justin Jackson run for 8 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
99.7%
Clayton Thorson pass complete to Austin Carr for 44 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.6%
Devin Church run for 10 yds to the EIlln 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 6 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
99.5%
Devin Church run for 10 yds to the Nwest 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Ben Odugbesan for 2 yds to the Nwest 47Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-3
99.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 11
50
+2
99.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Brandon Neverdon for 2 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 9
OPP 48
0
99.6%
Mike Bernier punt for 42 yds, downed at the Nwest 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
99.7%
Solomon Vault run for 1 yd to the Nwest 7Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+3
99.7%
Solomon Vault run for 3 yds to the Nwest 10Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 6
OWN 10
0
99.7%
Clayton Thorson pass incomplete to Flynn NagelSimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 6
OWN 10
0
99.7%
Hunter Niswander punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19INT TD
10 plays · 15 yds · 3:090% → 0%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the Nwest 43Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
99.7%
Jalen Whitlow run for 5 yds to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Devin Church run for no gain to the Nwest 38Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+4
99.8%
Devin Church run for 4 yds to the Nwest 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.8%
Jerron Seymour run for no gain to the Nwest 34Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.8%
Jalen Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Nwest 32Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Brandon NeverdonSimilar
Q3 1:08
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+71
99.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass intercepted for a TD Matthew Harris return for 71 yds for a TD, (Arthur Omilian KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Devin Church run for 2 yds to the EIlln 30Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-1
99.9%
Jerron Seymour run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Tray MitchellSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Mike Bernier punt for 56 yds, downed at the Nwest 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 54 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for 12 yds to the Nwest 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for 11 yds to the Nwest 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for 8 yds to the Nwest 46Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
50
+9
99.9%
Corey Acker run for 9 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+11
99.9%
Corey Acker run for 11 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for 2 yds to the EIlln 28Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-3
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the EIlln 31Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for no gain to the EIlln 31 Auston Anderson fumbled, forced by Vince Speller, recovered by EIlln Dino FantiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
99.9%
Devin Church run for a loss of 4 yards to the EIlln 27Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Paul Gossage for 7 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q4 9:57
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Isaiah Nelson for 6 yds to the EIlln 40Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+1
99.9%
Mike Bernier punt for 41 yds , Flynn Nagel returns for 1 yd to the Nwest 41 EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, IF (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NUDrive 23DOWNS
15 plays · 74 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Corey Acker run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
99.9%
Acker, Corey rush for 11 yards to the NU38 (MILLER, Malcolm), PENALTY NU holding 10 yards to the NU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+5
99.9%
Acker, Corey rush for 2 yards to the NU19 (FANTI, Dino), PENALTY EIU offside defense 5 yards to the NU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+4
99.9%
Corey Acker run for 4 yds to the Nwest 26Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 21Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+22
99.9%
Auston Anderson run for 22 yds to the Nwest 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for 5 yds to the Nwest 48Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for 9 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for 6 yds to the EIlln 37Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for 3 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+31
99.9%
Corey Acker run for 31 yds to the EIlln 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for 1 yd to the EIlln 2Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for 1 yd to the EIlln 1Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for no gain to the EIlln 1 Tom Hruby fumbled, forced by Horace Arkadie, recovered by Nwest Tom HrubySimilar
Q4 8:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Tom Hruby run for no gain to the EIlln 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:12
Warren Long run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
+3
FG · Q2 12:09
Jack Mitchell 33 yd FG GOOD
+1.8
TD · Q2 0:13
Clayton Thorson run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Mitchell KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com