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USA

South Alabama 9 at Nebraska 48

NEB
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
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Win probability · NEB
modelNEB aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playNEB scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Tyson Broekemeier punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 100Pregame prior+29.9Home team on offense+20.7Score differential+14.9Garbage-time factor+6.6Blowout margin−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:02: Terrell Newby run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — USA win probability +0.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:05: Terrell Newby 8 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick) — NEB win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:06: Terrell Newby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +2.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:04: Imani Cross run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK) — NEB win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:04: Aleem Sunanon 36 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NEB made the numbers' call on 2 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 10:02USA 4th & 20 at USA 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:59USA 4th & 4 at NEB 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    5.5%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    4.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:35NEB 4th & 11 at USA 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 14 at NEB 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:44USA 4th & 4 at NEB 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:23NEB 4th & 4 at NEB 23, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00NEB 4th & 2 at USA 45, up 24
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.0%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:20USA 4th & 8 at USA 49, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:04USA 4th & 6 at NEB 19, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:51NEB 4th & 8 at USA 8, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:00USA 4th & 11 at NEB 41, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:24USA 4th & 1 at USA 35, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NEB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6USA made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 10:02NEB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:05NEB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:06NEB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:04NEB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:11NEB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:30NEB Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:36USA Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete, broken up by Byerson CockrellSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
95.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 14 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
95.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 1 yd to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+36
95.8%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Nate Gerry return for 21 yds to the NEBRASKA 39 NEBRASKA Penalty, illegal block (15 Yards) to the Neb 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 2TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5196% → 95%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
95.6%
Terrell Newby run for 10 yds to the Neb 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
95.6%
Terrell Newby run for 12 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
95.6%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 7
50
+10
95.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 10 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
95.6%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+3
95.6%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+25
95.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 25 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
95.6%
Jamal Turner pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
95.3%
Terrell Newby run for 13 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
95.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 15 yards to the USA40, out-of-bounds (Cockrell, B.), PENALTY USA personal foul (Steven Foster) 12 yards to the USA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:02
1ST & 22
OWN 13
0
95.1%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+2
95.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for 2 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 4TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:5795% → 96%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
95.2%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+10
95.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 10 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
95.2%
Terrell Newby run for 11 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
95.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 7 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+3
95.2%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.5%
Terrell Newby 8 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5DOWNS
15 plays · 43 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.2%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
95.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 7 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
95.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 4 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
95.2%
Dami Ayoola run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
95.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Claude Garrett for 6 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Byerson CockrellSimilar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-3
95.2%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+14
95.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Terrance Timmons for 14 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
95.1%
Terrance Timmons run for no gain to the Neb 41Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+11
95.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 11 yds to the Neb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
95.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 2 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
95.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Tyreis ThomasSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+4
95.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 4 yds to the Neb 24Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 4
OPP 24
-6
95.1%
Claude Garrett run for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
95.1%
Alonzo Moore run for 19 yds to the Neb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
95.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for 14 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
95.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
95.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 11
OPP 38
0
95.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 11
OPP 38
0
95.0%
Tyson Broekemeier punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
94.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, PENALTY NEB personal foul (Cockrell, B.) 15 yards to the USA35, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
94.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
94.7%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
94.7%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+13
94.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 13 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
94.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 4 yds to the NEBRASKA 49 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 16
OWN 41
+18
94.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 18 yds to the Neb 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
94.5%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
94.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
94.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 40
-5
94.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Neb 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
94.8%
Brandon McKee punt for 36 yds, downed at the Neb 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 8TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 5:1095% → 98%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
94.8%
Terrell Newby run for 9 yds to the Neb 18Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+3
94.9%
Terrell Newby run for 3 yds to the Neb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
94.9%
Terrell Newby run for 7 yds to the Neb 28Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+16
94.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 16 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
95.1%
Terrell Newby run for 5 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+19
95.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Lane Hovey for 19 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
94.6%
Terrell Newby run for 18 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
94.6%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Stanley Morgan Jr. for 6 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
97.5%
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9DOWNS
15 plays · 84 yds · 5:173% → 3%
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
96.8%
Xavier Johnson run for 8 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 2
OWN 20
+4
96.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 4 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-6
96.7%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 18 Cody Clements fumbled, recovered by SAlab Cody ClementsSimilar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 16
OWN 18
+3
96.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 3 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 13
OWN 21
+55
96.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 55 yds to the Neb 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
96.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 2 yds to the Neb 22Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
96.1%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+17
96.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kevin Kutchera for 17 yds to the Neb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
96.1%
Terrance Timmons run for 1 yd to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
96.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for a loss of 2 yards to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
96.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 2 yds to the Neb 4Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
97.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
98.2%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 6Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+11
98.1%
Terrell Newby run for 11 yds to the Neb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
98.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Brandon ReillySimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
98.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
98.1%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for no gain to the Neb 23Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+1
98.1%
Tyson Broekemeier punt for 33 yds , Jalen Thompson returns for 1 yd to the SAlab 45 Jalen Thompson fumbled, recovered by Neb Jordan OberSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 11FG
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:1698% → 98%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+20
98.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 20 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.4%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+42
98.4%
Drew Brown 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.9%
Terrell Newby run for 22 yds to the Neb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.0%
Brandon Reilly run for 5 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
98.0%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-1
98.0%
Terrell Newby run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
97.8%
Tyson Broekemeier punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the SAlab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 37 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.8%
Tyreis Thomas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+33
97.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 33 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
97.7%
Tyreis Thomas run for 4 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-2
97.6%
Tyreis Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 12:20
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
97.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kevin KutcheraSimilar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+46
97.7%
Brandon McKee punt for 51 yds for a touchback SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5598% → 100%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the Neb 25Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Alonzo MooreSimilar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+19
98.2%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 19 yds to the Neb 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
98.3%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Stanley Morgan Jr., broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+32
98.3%
Terrell Newby run for 32 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
98.3%
Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Hovey, Lane, PENALTY USA pass interference (E.J. May) 15 yards to the USA9, 1ST DOWN NEB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.8%
Imani Cross run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 1:460% → 1%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
99.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 56 yards to the NEB0, clock 07:50, PENALTY USA personal foul (Joseph Scelfo) 15 yards to the USA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+37
99.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 37 yds to the Neb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.6%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the Neb 32Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
99.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 9 yds to the Neb 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
99.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Chris Lewis for 4 yds to the Neb 19Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OPP 19
0
99.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 6
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q3 6:04
4TH & 6
OPP 19
+36
99.5%
Aleem Sunanon 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 16FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 6:13100% → 100%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Terrell Newby run for 2 yds to the Neb 27Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 6 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+7
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 7 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. run for 4 yds to the Neb 44Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+18
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 18 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 10 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Terrell Newby run for no gain to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+23
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Brandon Reilly for 23 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.8%
Terrell Newby run for 1 yd to the SAlab 4Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
99.8%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Jordan Westerkamp for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 8Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan WesterkampSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Drew Brown 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee, PENALTY NEB pass interference (Davie, Daniel) 15 yards to the USA40, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Xavier Johnson for 15 yds to the Neb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
99.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for a loss of 1 yard to the Neb 41Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Claude GarrettSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Claude GarrettSimilar
Q4 13:00
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 12 yds, downed at the Neb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 18TD
6 plays · 71 yds · 2:33100% → 100%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Terrell Newby run for 4 yds to the Neb 33Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+10
99.9%
Terrell Newby run for 10 yds to the Neb 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Terrell Newby run for 6 yds to the Neb 49Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass incomplete to Lane HoveySimilar
Q4 12:44
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+30
99.9%
Tommy Armstrong Jr. pass complete to Terrell Newby for 30 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.9%
Jordan Westerkamp 21 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
100.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 14
-1
100.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Tyreis Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 10:05
3RD & 11
OWN 13
-11
100.0%
Dallas Davis sacked by Kevin Maurice for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 2 Dallas Davis fumbled, recovered by Neb Chris Weber , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 20TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Mikale Wilbon run for no gain to the SAlab 2Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Alonzo Moore for 2 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 5 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Dami Ayoola run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Brandon McKee punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jordan Westerkamp at the Neb 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 22INT
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
100.0%
Devine Ozigbo run for 2 yds to the Neb 38 NEBRASKA Penalty, Offensive holding (Harrison Jordan) to the Neb 28Similar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 18
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass intercepted E.J. May return for no gain to the Neb 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:180% → 0%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
100.0%
Dallas Davis pass incomplete to Claude GarrettSimilar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
100.0%
Dallas Davis pass complete to Josh Magee for 7 yds to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 5 yds to the Neb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
Xavier Johnson run for 1 yd to the Neb 30Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-6
100.0%
Dallas Davis sacked by Mick Stoltenberg for a loss of 6 yards to the Neb 36Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+36
100.0%
Josh Magee 36 Yd pass from Dallas Davis (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NEBDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 2 yds to the Neb 25Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+14
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Taariq Allen for 14 yds to the Neb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Luke McNitt for 6 yds to the Neb 45Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+19
100.0%
Mikale Wilbon run for 19 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Taariq Allen for 7 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass incomplete to Jamal TurnerSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
100.0%
Ryker Fyfe pass complete to Lane Hovey for 4 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:06
Terrell Newby run for 8 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+2.9
TD · Q3 8:04
Imani Cross run for 9 yds for a TD, (Drew Brown KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q1 6:05
Terrell Newby 8 Yd pass from Tommy Armstrong Jr. (Drew Brown Kick)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com