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BGSU

Bowling Green 48 at Maryland 27

MD
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:54 · Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:52: Brad Craddock 23 yd FG GOOD — MD win probability +0.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:10: Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 58 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — MD win probability +0.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:47: Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 42 yds for a TD (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +1.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:53: Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — MD win probability +1.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:24: Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 14 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — MD win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 5 of 9BGSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 12:45MD 4th & 10 at BGSU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:45BGSU 4th & 2 at MD 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    24.7%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46BGSU 4th & 6 at MD 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    24.1%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:46MD 4th & 9 at MD 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:12BGSU 4th & 2 at MD 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.8%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:08MD 4th & 1 at MD 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.3
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:52MD 4th & 4 at BGSU 5, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.8%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:52BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:15MD 4th & 5 at MD 34, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−1.0
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:14BGSU 4th & 7 at MD 30, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.9%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:24BGSU 4th & 8 at MD 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    81% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−6.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:24MD 4th & 6 at MD 24, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:47BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:54MD 4th & 8 at MD 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:06MD 4th & 10 at BGSU 40, up 17
    Close callPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:59MD 4th & 5 at MD 44, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:54BGSU 4th & 2 at MD 13, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−1.9
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1FG
9 plays · 52 yds · 2:1571% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
71.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 19 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
71.2%
Perry Hills run for 22 yds to the BwGrn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
71.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 9 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+2
71.2%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
71.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
71.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Malcolm CulmerSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
71.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Amba Etta-Tawo, broken up by James SanfordSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+41
71.0%
Brad Craddock 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2MISSED FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 4:5929% → 30%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
71.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 7 yds to the BwGrn 32Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
70.9%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
71.0%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
70.9%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+19
70.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 19 yds to the MARYLAND 40 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
70.8%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+10
70.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 10 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
70.7%
Travis Greene run for 6 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+2
70.7%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 19
0
70.8%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the Mary 19Similar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 2
OPP 19
+6
70.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 6 yds to the Mary 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
70.7%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
70.7%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
70.8%
Matt Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
70.5%
Tyler Tate 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
70.5%
Brandon Ross run for 3 yds to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+14
70.4%
Wes Brown run for 14 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
70.7%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 33Similar
Q1 7:46
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+5
70.4%
Perry Hills run for 5 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+10
70.1%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 37 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for 10 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
70.3%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
69.9%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+19
70.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 19 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
69.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 4 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-5
69.5%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (Logan Dietz) to the Mary 43Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+12
69.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 12 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
69.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 7 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 3
OPP 24
0
69.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+1
69.6%
Matt Johnson run for 1 yd to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 2
OPP 23
-2
70.0%
Matt Johnson sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
70.0%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
69.9%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 3:08
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
69.5%
Perry Hills run for 11 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
69.6%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1330% → 26%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
69.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Chris Gallon for 8 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
69.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Robbie Rhodes, broken up by William LikelySimilar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
69.6%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+85
74.3%
Joseph Davidson punt for 54 yds , William Likely returns for 85 yds for a TD (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 2:5519% → 19%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
80.6%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+12
80.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 12 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
80.4%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
80.1%
Matt Johnson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
80.2%
Travis Greene run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+16
79.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 16 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
80.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 12 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
80.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 15 yds to the Mary 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
80.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 4 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
80.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 5 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 4:0785% → 85%
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
84.7%
Wes Brown run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 8
50
+3
84.7%
Wes Brown run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+36
84.4%
Perry Hills run for 36 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
84.8%
Wes Brown run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 3Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+1
84.8%
Wes Brown run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 2Similar
Q2 11:59
3RD & 1
OPP 2
-3
84.6%
Wes Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+23
85.4%
Brad Craddock 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.6%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
83.6%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
83.8%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 3 yds to the BwGrn 31Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
83.8%
Joseph Davidson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
86.7%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-5
86.6%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 22Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+8
86.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 8 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+4
86.3%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
86.0%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 12DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:2815% → 15%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
84.9%
Fred Coppet run for no gain to the BwGrn 19Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-2
85.0%
Matt Johnson sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 17Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+15
85.2%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 15 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-8
84.5%
Matt Johnson sacked by Quinton Jefferson for a loss of 8 yards to the BwGrn 24Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 18
OWN 24
+24
85.1%
Fred Coppet run for 24 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
84.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+2
83.6%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 4
OPP 46
+13
83.7%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to DIETER, Gehrig, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Likely, William) 13 yards to the UMD33, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
83.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 3 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
82.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for no gain to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
84.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 1:14
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+4
85.3%
Ronnie Moore run for 4 yds to the Mary 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:4989% → 89%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
89.1%
Perry Hills run for 4 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
89.1%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern Jacobs, broken up by Dernard TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+13
88.9%
Wes Brown run for 13 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
89.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 1 yd to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+9
89.4%
Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 9 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Wes BrownSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+24
88.6%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 24 yds to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 66 yds · 1:3213% → 14%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+64
86.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Robbie Rhodes for 64 yds Robbie Rhodes fumbled, forced by Sean Davis, recovered by BwGrn Ryan Burbrink for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-9
84.3%
Matt Johnson sacked by Yannick Ngakoue for a loss of 9 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+11
85.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Travis Greene for 11 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
85.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+34
86.5%
Tyler Tate 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
87.3%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
87.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Derrick HaywardSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
86.8%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Avery Edwards, broken up by Nilijah BallewSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
86.1%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 0:3412% → 11%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
87.8%
Travis Greene run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
87.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 12:10
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+58
88.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 58 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 1:2290% → 91%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
89.5%
Brandon Ross run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 3
OPP 40
-2
89.5%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+42
91.0%
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 42 yds for a TD (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.1%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.3%
Matt Johnson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 10:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
89.4%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.5%
Joseph Davidson punt for 56 yds , William Likely returns for no gain to the Mary 14 William Likely fumbled, recovered by BwGrn Alfonso MackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:5013% → 12%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
87.2%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 5
OPP 9
0
87.2%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the Mary 9Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-5
88.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+7
88.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 7 yds to the Mary 7Similar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+4
88.2%
JOHNSON, Matt pass intercepted by Hill, Alvin at the UMD0, Hill, Alvin return to the UMD0, PENALTY UMD offside 4 yards to the UMD3, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.0%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.2%
Levern Jacobs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 24Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
92.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Avery EdwardsSimilar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
91.9%
Perry Hills pass complete to Avery Edwards for 8 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
91.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+3
91.5%
Nicolas Pritchard punt for 40 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for 3 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
91.2%
Matt Johnson pass intercepted Jalen Brooks return for 7 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
93.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 7 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q3 6:06
2ND & 3
OPP 33
-7
93.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 10
OPP 40
0
93.0%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. MooreSimilar
Q3 6:06
4TH & 10
OPP 40
0
92.3%
Brad Craddock punt for 39 yds, downed at the BwGrn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23TD
21 plays · 99 yds · 5:237% → 7%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
92.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 9 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+3
92.7%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
92.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Robbie RhodesSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
92.8%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+14
92.8%
Fred Coppet run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.5%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Robbie RhodesSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
92.7%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 11 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
92.3%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-5
92.4%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+15
92.8%
JOHNSON, Matt pass incomplete to LEWIS, Roger, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Davis, Sean) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN BGSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
50
+6
92.0%
Matt Johnson run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-5
91.7%
JOHNSON, Matt pass complete to MOORE, Ronnie for 14 yards to the UMD30 (Hendy, A.J.), PENALTY BGSU illegal formation 5 yards to the UMD49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+12
92.1%
Fred Coppet run for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
92.0%
Fred Coppet run for 13 yds to the Mary 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
91.0%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by William LikelySimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+6
91.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 6 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+10
91.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 10 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
93.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 13Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
93.3%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the Mary 5Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5795% → 96%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.1%
Perry Hills run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
95.2%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Amba Etta-TawoSimilar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+19
95.1%
Perry Hills pass complete to Wes Brown for 4 yds to the Mary 31 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Clint Stephens) to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
95.5%
Wes Brown run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
95.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to P.J. GalloSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
95.5%
Perry Hills pass complete to Amba Etta-Tawo for 12 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
95.6%
Perry Hills run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
96.3%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 22 yds for a TD (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 2:335% → 5%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
95.3%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+8
95.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
95.1%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 8 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+2
94.7%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the Mary 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
95.0%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Derek Lee for 20 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
94.3%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Derek LeeSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
95.5%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Roger Lewis for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 26INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:5496% → 97%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
96.2%
Perry Hills pass complete to Levern Jacobs for 14 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
96.5%
Wes Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
96.6%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to Levern JacobsSimilar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
96.5%
Perry Hills pass incomplete to D.J. Moore, broken up by Alfonso MackSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+6
96.7%
Perry Hills pass intercepted Dernard Turner return for 6 yds to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 47 yds · 0:344% → 4%
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
95.7%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
95.7%
Matt Johnson pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q4 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+44
95.9%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Robbie Rhodes for 44 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Clint Stephens return for no gain to the Mary 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 29TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 2:474% → 3%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
95.9%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+8
95.1%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
95.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+11
95.4%
Fred Coppet run for 11 yds to the Mary 21Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+7
95.1%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the Mary 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 14 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
97.6%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Malcolm Culmer for 17 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+32
97.9%
Caleb Rowe pass intercepted Dernard Turner return for 32 yds to the Mary 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 31END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
96.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+5
97.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 5 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
96.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 4 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
96.8%
Donovan Wilson run for 3 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+1
97.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 1 yd to the Mary 13Similar
Q4 4:54
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+7
97.0%
Donovan Wilson run for 7 yds to the Mary 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-97
TD · Q3 10:47
Perry Hills pass complete to D.J. Moore for 42 yds for a TD (Brad Craddock KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q4 5:24
Matt Johnson pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 14 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com