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FIU

Florida International 22 at Indiana 36

IU
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:02 · Erich Toth punt for 43 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+7.8Home team on offense−1.3Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:54: Nate Sudfeld run for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +11.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q3 5:49: Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED) — IU win probability +11.2 pts (now 74%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:06: Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 28 yds for a TD, (A. Gardner Run For Two-point Conversion) — FIU win probability +23.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:02: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 16 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +31.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:58: Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Jameel Cook Jr. return for 96 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +14.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00IU 4th & 1 at FIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−0.2
    40% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 15:00IU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    70.3%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    70.0%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:24FIU 4th & 4 at IU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:16IU 4th & 4 at IU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:55IU 4th & 5 at FIU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    58.7%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, up 4
    Close callPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:11IU 4th & 3 at FIU 10, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%−0.7
    88% to make
    Punt
    57.8%−5.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:54FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:38IU 4th & 7 at FIU 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−4.6
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:17FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 35, up 1
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:02IU 4th & 16 at FIU 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:49FIU 4th & 8 at IU 48, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:02IU 4th & 10 at FIU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−3.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−14.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:02FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:37IU 4th & 6 at IU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:58FIU 4th & 2 at IU 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−7.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−17.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:58FIU 4th & 10 at IU 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:04IU 4th & 2 at IU 40, up 14
    Close callPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:04FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 3:37FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:00FIU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:54IU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:49IU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:06FIU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:02IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:58IU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IUDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 25 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 9 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
67.5%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+18
67.5%
Jordan Howard run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
67.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 5 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+4
67.5%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
67.5%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-4
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 35 Nate Sudfeld fumbled, recovered by Ind Nate SudfeldSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+6
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Devine Redding for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
67.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for no gain to the 50 yard line Nate Sudfeld fumbled, forced by Michael Wakefield, , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
50
0
66.4%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 10
50
0
66.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 10
50
+5
66.7%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
66.7%
Chris Ayers punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
66.9%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
66.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 3 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
66.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Michael Cooper, broken up by Michael WakefieldSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+42
66.4%
Erich Toth punt for 42 yds , Richard Leonard returns for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 4:2934% → 39%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
66.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-5
66.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
66.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+8
66.1%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
65.9%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (Ralph Green III) to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 5
OPP 47
0
65.8%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
65.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 2 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+6
66.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 6 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
65.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 9 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
65.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 3 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
65.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 21
0
65.6%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the Ind 21Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+21
60.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 21 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 56 yds · 3:4262% → 64%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
62.0%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 2
OWN 34
0
62.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+15
62.1%
Devine Redding run for 15 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
62.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 16 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
63.6%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+4
63.6%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+7
63.1%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
63.7%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
63.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for no gain to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
63.1%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
63.5%
Griffin Oakes 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
62.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
62.4%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.1%
Chris Ayers punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 72 yds · 3:5562% → 64%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+11
62.0%
Jordan Howard run for 11 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
62.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 9 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
63.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for no gain to the Ind 38Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+7
63.2%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+38
63.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 38 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
64.6%
Nate Sudfeld sacked by Lars Koht for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+6
64.6%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+3
63.9%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
64.0%
Griffin Oakes 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
52.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 75 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:0653% → 64%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
52.8%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
54.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
54.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
55.1%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
55.1%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+15
55.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 15 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
56.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Devine ReddingSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
55.9%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+14
54.8%
Sudfeld, Nate pass incomplete to Thorton, Leon (GONZALEZ, Niko), PENALTY FIU pass interference (GONZALEZ, Niko) 14 yards to the FIU8, 1ST DOWN IND, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
56.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
52.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony Corsaro, broken up by Wilkenson MyrtilSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
63.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for 5 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
58.5%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
57.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
58.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:54
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
60.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11MISSED FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:3261% → 61%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
60.8%
Devine Redding run for 10 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+29
62.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 29 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
64.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
64.5%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+1
63.3%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
60.7%
Griffin Oakes 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2143% → 43%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
57.0%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 9
OWN 28
0
57.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+6
58.4%
Alex Gardner run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+9
57.5%
Stone Wilson punt for 42 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 9 yds to the Ind 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
56.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
58.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 9
-5
58.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Trenton Saunders) to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 4
+4
58.4%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+20
59.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 20 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.3%
TEAM run for no gain to the FlaIn 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alex McGoughSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 21
+3
58.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+11
59.1%
Alex McGough run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
58.4%
Chris Ayers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
58.9%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+2
58.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+10
57.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 10 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
61.4%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+4
62.1%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
62.4%
Nate Sudfeld run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+6
62.5%
Devine Redding run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+1
62.0%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-6
62.5%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 12:02
2ND & 16
OPP 43
0
60.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Leon Thornton IIISimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 16
OPP 43
0
59.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
57.1%
Erich Toth punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
55.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
56.0%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 20 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by Ind Nick MangieriSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:1763% → 74%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
63.2%
Ricky Jones run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
63.2%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
63.2%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.4%
Nate Sudfeld run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
69.2%
Alex McGough run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
68.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
67.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+2
65.0%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Ind 48Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
65.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
66.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
69.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 48 yds · 0:0071% → 74%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
71.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 12 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
71.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 34 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
74.9%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
74.6%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
73.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass intercepted Jeremiah McKinnon return for no gain to the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 2:5131% → 62%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
68.7%
Alex Gardner run for no gain to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+10
69.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 10 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
68.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
67.2%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
67.0%
Alex Gardner run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
65.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 8 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
62.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the Ind 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+2
63.4%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
63.1%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to OWENS, Thomas (Fant, Rashard), PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the IND31, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
61.4%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+28
37.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 28 yds for a TD, (A. Gardner Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:0447% → 60%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
46.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 9 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+6
49.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Damon Graham for 6 yds to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
47.4%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+8
50.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 8 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+32
51.0%
Jordan Howard run for 32 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
55.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Ricky Jones, broken up by Wilkenson MyrtilSimilar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
54.8%
Devine Redding run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
51.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Simmie Cobbs Jr.Similar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
59.5%
Griffin Oakes 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FUMBLE
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0046% → 44%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
53.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Ya'Keem GrinerSimilar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
54.7%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-3
55.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 16 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by Ind Marcus Oliver , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23TD
1 play · 16 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
87.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 16 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
81.3%
GARDNER, Alex rush for 1 yard to the FIU16 (Oliver, Marcus), PENALTY IND offside defense 5 yards to the FIU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 5
OWN 20
0
80.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
81.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+5
82.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
81.0%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 10:02
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
80.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Thomas Owens for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
80.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Rashard FantSimilar
Q4 10:02
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
82.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Paige at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3586% → 86%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Michael Cooper, broken up by Denzell PerineSimilar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
85.8%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
87.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony Corsaro, broken up by Niko GonzalezSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 6
OWN 39
+16
85.9%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 16 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26INT TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:2318% → 4%
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
82.1%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to TURNER, Dennis (Fant, Rashard), PENALTY IND pass interference (Fant, Rashard) 15 yards to the IND49, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
79.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 3 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
77.3%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
76.6%
Alex McGough run for 7 yds to the Ind 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Thomas Owens, broken up by Andre Brown Jr.Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
77.3%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+9
78.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 9 yds to the Ind 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
76.6%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the Ind 4Similar
Q4 7:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Dawson FletcherSimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
78.6%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the Ind 2Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+96
96.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Jameel Cook Jr. return for 96 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 27DOWNS
14 plays · 43 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+23
96.8%
Trey Anderson run for 23 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.7%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
96.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Trenton Saunders) to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 15
OWN 48
0
97.0%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Thomas OwensSimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+5
97.1%
INDIANA Penalty, offside defense (Ralph Green III) to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+15
96.8%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Ya'Keem Griner for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ind 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
96.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 15
OPP 37
-5
96.7%
Trey Anderson sacked by Darius Latham for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 42Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 20
OPP 42
-5
96.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Ya'Keem Griner) to the Ind 47Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 25
OPP 47
0
96.9%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Ralph Green IIISimilar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 25
OPP 47
+15
97.1%
Trey Anderson run for 15 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 10
OPP 32
0
96.7%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Ya'Keem Griner, broken up by Nick MangieriSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:0399% → 99%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
98.8%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Ind 38Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+1
99.1%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+1
99.3%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 40Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+2
99.2%
Erich Toth punt for 47 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
98.7%
INDIANA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
98.6%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Thomas Owens for 13 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Trey Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Trey Anderson pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q4 1:04
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+7
98.6%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Dennis Turner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 1:04
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+14
98.7%
Trey Anderson pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 14 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:02
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 16 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+31.8
TD · Q4 14:06
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 28 yds for a TD, (A. Gardner Run For Two-point Conversion)
-23.8
TD · Q4 3:58
Alex McGough pass intercepted for a TD Jameel Cook Jr. return for 96 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+14.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com