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WIU

Western Illinois 0 at Illinois 44

ILL
2015 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
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Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadWIU aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreWIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:56 · Ryan Frain punt for 45 yds , Lance Lenoir returns for 2 yds to the WIll 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 151Pregame prior+15.3Home team on offense+32.9Score differential+28.7Blowout margin+14.7Garbage-time factor+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:05: Taylor Zalewski 31 yd FG GOOD — WIU win probability +0.9 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:25: Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — WIU win probability +0.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:05: Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +2.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:01: Taylor Zalewski 22 yd FG GOOD — ILL win probability +1.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. PUNT · Q2 2:57: TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Marchie Murdock return for 12 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK) — ILL win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 6 of 8WIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 13
  1. Q1 10:05ILL 4th & 5 at WIU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    92.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:02WIU 4th & 1 at WIU 28, down 3
    Close callPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:25WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:50ILL 4th & 1 at WIU 9, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.2%−0.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−2.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:01ILL 4th & 4 at WIU 4, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.5%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:57WIU 4th & 6 at WIU 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:10WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 27, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:44ILL 4th & 10 at WIU 43, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WIU 4th & 1 at WIU 34, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:25WIU 4th & 10 at ILL 33, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:27WIU 4th & 8 at WIU 42, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:14ILL 4th & 2 at ILL 22, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:48WIU 4th & 3 at WIU 39, down 30
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:57ILL 4th & 1 at WIU 1, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:57WIU 4th & 11 at WIU 24, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:56ILL 4th & 11 at ILL 44, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:05WIU 4th & 4 at WIU 19, down 37
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:48WIU 4th & 5 at WIU 46, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:02ILL 4th & 5 at WIU 37, up 44
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:57WIU 4th & 1 at WIU 29, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:25ILL Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:05ILL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:57ILL Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:48ILL Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ILLDrive 1FG
12 plays · 62 yds · 4:5595% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.3%
Josh Ferguson run for 4 yds to the Illin 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 18 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-6
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 41
0
95.3%
Josh Ferguson run for no gain to the Illin 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+28
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 28 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 8 yds to the WIll 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 23
+5
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 5 yds to the WIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-3
95.3%
Josh Ferguson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 21
0
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Marchie MurdockSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+8
95.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 8 yds to the WIll 13Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+31
94.4%
Taylor Zalewski 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
94.4%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Lance LenoirSimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
94.4%
Devon Moore run for 6 yds to the WIll 24Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
94.4%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Joey BorsellinoSimilar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 4
OWN 24
0
94.5%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIll 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 3INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
94.4%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 11 yds to the WIll 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.4%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Josh FergusonSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
94.4%
Josh Ferguson run for 3 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 7
OPP 27
0
94.4%
Wes Lunt pass intercepted David Griffith return for no gain to the WIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
94.0%
Devon Moore run for no gain to the WIll 19Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
94.0%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Joey Borsellino for 4 yds to the WIll 23Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+5
94.1%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to J'Vaughn Williams for 5 yds to the WIll 28Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
94.1%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 43 yds, downed at the Illin 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 5TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:0794% → 94%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
93.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the Illin 30Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+4
93.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 4 yds to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+7
93.5%
Lunt,Wes pass incomplete to Allison, G., PENALTY WIU pass interference (Xavier Rowe) 7 yards to the ILL41, 1ST DOWN ILL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+26
93.7%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 26 yds to the WIll 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
93.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 34Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+7
93.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Malik Turner for 7 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+10
93.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 10 yds to the WIll 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
93.8%
V'Angelo Bentley run for 5 yds to the WIll 12Similar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+9
93.8%
Josh Ferguson run for 9 yds to the WIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
93.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tim Clary for 2 yds to the WIll 1Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.7%
Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.5%
Devon Sanders run for 6 yds to the WIll 31Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Joey Borsellino, broken up by V'Angelo BentleySimilar
Q1 1:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
93.5%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Lance Lenoir, broken up by James CrawfordSimilar
Q1 1:25
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
93.6%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 45 yds, downed at the Illin 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 7TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 5:4393% → 96%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
93.4%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 4 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+10
93.4%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 10 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
93.4%
Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd to the Illin 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+4
93.4%
Josh Ferguson run for 4 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+5
93.3%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 5 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
93.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tim Clary for 14 yds to the WIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
93.5%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 22 yds to the WIll 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
93.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 6 yds to the WIll 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+6
93.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 6 yds to the WIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the WIll 2Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
93.6%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 1 yd to the WIll 1Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 8INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
95.2%
Devon Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 24Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
95.3%
Devon Moore run for 4 yds to the WIll 28Similar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.3%
Trenton Norvell pass intercepted Taylor Barton return for 5 yds to the WIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9FG
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:4996% → 97%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.9%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Marchie MurdockSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
95.9%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 17 yds to the WIll 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
95.9%
Josh Ferguson run for 7 yds to the WIll 11Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+1
95.9%
Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd to the WIll 10Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
95.8%
Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd to the WIll 9Similar
Q2 8:50
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
95.7%
Josh Ferguson run for 1 yd to the WIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
95.9%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Tyler WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
95.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the WIll 6Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
95.8%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the WIll 4Similar
Q2 4:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
97.4%
Taylor Zalewski 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 10PUNT TD
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:043% → 1%
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Joey Borsellino run for no gain to the WIll 25Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Joey BorsellinoSimilar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.1%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Charles Westbrook for 4 yds to the WIll 29Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.4%
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Marchie Murdock return for 12 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 2 yds · 0:471% → 0%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.5%
Steve McShane run for 9 yds to the WIll 34Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
Steve McShane run for 2 yds to the WIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
99.4%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Matt Zobrist) to the WIll 21Similar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
99.4%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Steve McShane for 4 yds to the WIll 25Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Trenton Norvell run for 2 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to J'Vaughn WilliamsSimilar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 4
OPP 0
0
99.5%
Nathan Knuffman punt 36 yards to the ILL37, downed, PENALTY ILL roughing the kicker off-setting, PENALTY WIU kick catching interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
99.6%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 37 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for no gain to the Illin 33 V'Angelo Bentley fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 12FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Marchie MurdockSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 5 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+19
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 19 yds to the WIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
99.0%
ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal shift (-5 Yards) to the WIll 48Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 15
OWN 0
0
99.1%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Vaughn, broken up by Eddy Holtschlag WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the WIll 48Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 15
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Josh FergusonSimilar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+5
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Josh Ferguson for 5 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 10
OPP 43
+12
98.9%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 12 yds to the WIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.0%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Marchie MurdockSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
99.0%
Josh Ferguson run for 10 yds to the WIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+39
99.3%
Taylor Zalewski 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Stacey Smith Jr. for 6 yds to the WIll 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.2%
Devon Sanders run for 1 yd to the WIll 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.2%
Devon Sanders run for 2 yds to the WIll 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.2%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 35 yds , V'Angelo Bentley returns for 2 yds to the Illin 33 V'Angelo Bentley fumbled, forced by David Griffith, recovered by WIll Brett TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
99.4%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Joey Borsellino for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 38Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Lance LenoirSimilar
Q3 13:25
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+5
99.5%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Steve McShane for 5 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
99.2%
Trenton Norvell pass incomplete to Stacey Smith Jr., broken up by Dawuane SmootSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 3 yds to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+22
99.6%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 22 yds Tyler White fumbled, forced by Aaron Diggs, recovered by WIll Brett TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.5%
Charles Westbrook run for 4 yds to the WIll 44Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+3
99.5%
Charles Westbrook run for 3 yds to the WIll 47Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+7
99.5%
Charles Westbrook run for 7 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.5%
Charles Westbrook run for 4 yds to the Illin 42Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+49
99.5%
Trenton Norvell pass intercepted Taylor Barton return for 49 yds to the WIll 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17FUMBLE
1 play · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.7%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WIll 26 Ke'Shawn Vaughn fumbled, forced by Brett Taylor, recovered by WIll Aaron DiggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
99.6%
Steve McShane run for 14 yds to the WIll 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.6%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Lance Lenoir for 1 yd to the WIll 41Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Steve McShane run for 2 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+4
99.6%
Trenton Norvell pass complete to Steve McShane for 4 yds to the WIll 47Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 3
OWN 47
-5
99.7%
WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, false start (Jacob Judd) to the WIll 42Similar
Q3 7:27
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 44 yds, downed at the Illin 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
99.8%
Henry Enyenihi run for 4 yds to the Illin 18Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+4
99.8%
Henry Enyenihi run for 4 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q3 7:14
4TH & 2
OWN 22
-3
99.7%
Ryan Frain punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WIll 17 , Lance Lenoir returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WIll 19 WESTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal block (Timothy Smith) to the WIll 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
99.7%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete to Stacey Smith, PENALTY ILL roughing passer 15 yards to the WIU32, 1ST DOWN WIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Steve McShane run for 5 yds to the WIll 37Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Steve McShane run for 4 yds to the WIll 41Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-2
99.7%
Charles Westbrook run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 39Similar
Q3 5:48
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
99.7%
Nathan Knuffman punt for 28 yds, fair catch by V'Angelo Bentley at the Illin 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Tyler WhiteSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Geronimo AllisonSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+22
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Geronimo Allison for 22 yds to the WIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 2 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+8
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 8 yds to the WIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 13 yds to the WIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass incomplete to Dionte TaylorSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+9
99.8%
Henry Enyenihi run for 9 yds to the WIll 13Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+5
99.8%
Henry Enyenihi run for 5 yds to the WIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.8%
Henry Enyenihi run for 3 yds to the WIll 5Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for 4 yds to the WIll 1Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Wes Lunt pass complete to Desmond Cain for no gain to the WIll 1Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Henry Enyenihi run for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete to Lance LenoirSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete to Lance LenoirSimilar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Lance Lenoir for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 24Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Luke Otto punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
99.9%
Chayce Crouch run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 44Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:56
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Marchie MurdockSimilar
Q4 13:56
4TH & 11
OWN 44
+2
99.9%
Ryan Frain punt for 45 yds , Lance Lenoir returns for 2 yds to the WIll 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Devon Sanders run for no gain to the WIll 13Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
99.9%
Sean McGuire pass incomplete to Stacey Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Devon Sanders run for 6 yds to the WIll 19Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 4
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Luke Otto punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Darius Mosely at the Illin 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25TD
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 8 yds to the WIll 43Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+9
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 9 yds to the WIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 7 yds to the WIll 27Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+8
99.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 8 yds to the WIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 5 yds to the WIll 14Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+4
99.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 4 yds to the WIll 10Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
99.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 2 yds to the WIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.9%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the WIll 5Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.9%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Marchie Murdock for 5 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
100.0%
Steve McShane run for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 18Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 11
OWN 18
+23
100.0%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Jaelon Acklin for 23 yds to the WIll 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
100.0%
Steve McShane run for 3 yds to the WIll 44Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+3
100.0%
Steve McShane run for 3 yds to the WIll 47Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
100.0%
Sean McGuire pass complete to Adam Hoogerwerf for a loss of 1 yard to the WIll 46Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
100.0%
Luke Otto punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
100.0%
Henry Enyenihi run for 8 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Henry Enyenihi run for no gain to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Dionte Taylor for 8 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
100.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for 3 yds to the Illin 39Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+19
100.0%
Chayce Crouch run for 19 yds to the WIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
100.0%
Ke'Shawn Vaughn run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 44Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+7
100.0%
Chayce Crouch pass complete to Zach Grant for 7 yds to the WIll 37Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Chayce Crouch pass incomplete to Malik TurnerSimilar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
100.0%
Ryan Frain punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WIUDrive 28DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Charles Westbrook run for 5 yds to the WIll 25Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Charles Westbrook run for 1 yd to the WIll 26Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Charles Westbrook run for 3 yds to the WIll 29Similar
Q4 1:57
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Charles Westbrook run for no gain to the WIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WIll 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
PUNT · Q2 2:57
TEAM punt blocked by blocked by Marchie Murdock return for 12 yds for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q2 10:05
Wes Lunt pass complete to Tyler White for 1 yd for a TD, (Taylor Zalewski KICK)
+2.2
FG · Q2 4:01
Taylor Zalewski 22 yd FG GOOD
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com