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PUR

Purdue 31 at Marshall 41

MRSH
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 6, 2015 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadPUR aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scorePUR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:31 · Paul Griggs 44 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Home team on offense−5.6Pregame prior−1.9Score differential−3.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:47: Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +12.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:33: Markell Jones run for 36 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK) — PUR win probability +13.4 pts (now 62%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:14: Paul Griggs 22 yd FG GOOD — PUR win probability +10.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:50: Devon Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +42.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:20: Austin Appleby pass intercepted for a TD Tiquan Lang return for 55 yds for a TD (Nick Smith KICK) — MRSH win probability +21.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 7PUR made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:36MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:51PUR 4th & 5 at PUR 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57PUR 4th & 7 at PUR 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:00MRSH 4th & 3 at PUR 25, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:34PUR 4th & 1 at MRSH 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.1%−1.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−4.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:35MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:25PUR 4th & 8 at PUR 39, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:39MRSH 4th & 9 at PUR 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    43.2%−0.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:15PUR 4th & 5 at midfield, up 4
    Close callPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:33MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:46PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 28, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:37MRSH 4th & 3 at PUR 15, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.3%−0.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−12.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:31PUR 4th & 7 at MRSH 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.5%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    40.5%−12.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:14PUR 4th & 5 at MRSH 5, up 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−21.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:14MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:04PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:50PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.7%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:53MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:36PUR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:18MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:38PUR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:35PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:47MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:33PUR Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:50MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:20MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted for a TD Tiquan Lang return for 30 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 2TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1758% → 57%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
42.5%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 27Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 3 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 5 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
42.5%
Appleby, Austin pass complete to Knox, D.J. for 1 yard to the PUR36 (MCKELVEY, Evan;SAMUEL, Jarquez), PENALTY MARSHALL face mask (MCKELVEY, Evan) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
50
+6
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 2 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+5
42.5%
Austin Appleby run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
42.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 38Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+5
42.5%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+22
42.5%
D.J. Knox run for 22 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
44.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Gregory Phillips for 7 yds to the Marsh 4Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
42.9%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
43.7%
Michael Birdsong run for no gain to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
43.6%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 8 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 10:36
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
43.5%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 2
OWN 30
+9
43.4%
Tyler Williams punt for 54 yds , Trae Hart returns for 9 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5756% → 55%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
44.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
43.6%
Austin Appleby sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
44.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Raheim HuskeySimilar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+1
44.9%
Thomas Meadows punt for 43 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 1 yd to the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2044% → 49%
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
44.4%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 7:38
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+38
44.9%
Michael Birdsong run for 38 yds to the Prdue 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
45.4%
Michael Birdsong run for 5 yds to the Prdue 20Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
49.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Devon Johnson for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2152% → 51%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
47.8%
Danny Anthrop run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 23Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+5
47.9%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
49.0%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
49.3%
Thomas Meadows punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:4549% → 51%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
49.4%
BIRDSONG, M. pass incomplete to BYRD, Emanuel (Mahoungou), PENALTY PUR roughing passer (Bentley) 15 yards to the MARSHALL48, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
50.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 20 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
50.5%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
50.3%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+9
49.8%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 9 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q1 3:00
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
51.2%
Nick Smith 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2248% → 55%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
52.2%
Austin Appleby run for 5 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
51.9%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 31Similar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
52.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 6 yds to the Prdue 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+50
51.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 50 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
50.3%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 9 Austin Appleby fumbled, recovered by Prdue Austin Appleby , return for 8 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
45.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 9 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9FUMBLE
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:3848% → 50%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
47.8%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+21
47.3%
Michael Birdsong run for 6 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, personal foul (Danny Ezechukwu) to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
49.8%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Prdue 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
49.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 9 yds to the Prdue 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+16
49.3%
Devon Johnson run for 16 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
49.9%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-8
49.9%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Michael Rouse III for a loss of 8 yards to the Prdue 28 Michael Birdsong fumbled, recovered by Prdue Ra'Zahn Howard , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 10TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:5952% → 61%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
48.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Trae HartSimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
49.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 5 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+24
48.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 24 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
46.7%
Appleby, Austin pass intercepted by LANG, Tiquan at the MARSHALL14, LANG, Tiquan return to the MARSHALL14, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (ALLEN, Rodney) 15 yards to the MARSHALL28, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
45.8%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+4
45.8%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+2
46.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for 2 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 12:34
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+1
47.4%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
45.8%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
45.8%
D.J. Knox run for 7 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
45.8%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
45.8%
Markell Jones run for 2 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.1%
Austin Appleby run for 1 yd for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
41.4%
Michael Birdsong run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
41.3%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 4 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
41.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Davonte Allen for 10 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
43.5%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
42.7%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 9
OWN 41
-6
41.6%
Michael Birdsong sacked by Antoine Miles for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
40.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 28 yds, downed at the Prdue 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0060% → 58%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
40.2%
D.J. Knox run for 2 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
39.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to D.J. Knox, broken up by Evan McKelveySimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
40.2%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+4
42.0%
Thomas Meadows punt for 38 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
41.6%
BIRDSONG, M. pass incomplete to MATHEWS, Nick, QB hurry by Clark, Leroy, PENALTY PUR pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 8 yards to the MARSHALL35, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
41.7%
Remi Watson run for 21 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
44.7%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
44.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 8
OPP 42
-1
43.6%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 43Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
41.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 38 yds, downed at the Prdue 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14PUNT
14 plays · 45 yds · 2:4859% → 61%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
41.0%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Prdue 6Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+4
41.3%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 4 yds to the Prdue 10Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+5
41.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
40.7%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique YoungSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
41.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 13 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
39.5%
Appleby, Austin pass incomplete to Yancey, De. (TINDAL, Corey), PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (TINDAL, Corey) 7 yards to the PUR35, 1ST DOWN PUR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
39.2%
Austin Appleby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
39.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 10 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
38.1%
Austin Appleby sacked by Tomell One for a loss of 10 yards to the Prdue 32 Austin Appleby fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 23
OWN 32
+7
41.9%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 7 yds Trae Hart fumbled, forced by Taj Letman, recovered by Prdue Trae HartSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 16
OWN 39
+11
41.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cole Herdman for 11 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 5
50
0
38.8%
Thomas Meadows punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
38.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:1343% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
43.0%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 25
+15
42.3%
BIRDSONG, M. pass incomplete to MCMANUS, D. (Brown, Anthony), PENALTY PUR pass interference (Brown, Anthony) 15 yards to the MARSHALL40, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Hyleck Foster, broken up by Leroy ClarkSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
43.7%
Michael Birdsong run for 3 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+27
43.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 27 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
47.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 8 yds to the Prdue 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+7
47.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Devon Johnson for 7 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
47.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Davonte Allen for 7 yds to the Prdue 8Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+7
47.9%
Michael Birdsong run for 7 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 17TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:1445% → 62%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
54.7%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
53.5%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
52.9%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Prdue 45Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
52.2%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Trae Hart for 3 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+4
52.4%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
51.6%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
51.2%
D.J. Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
51.5%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
38.0%
Markell Jones run for 36 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
42.4%
Remi Watson run for 11 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
43.3%
Remi Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+5
42.6%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Emanuel Byrd for 5 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
42.7%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
41.4%
Tyler Williams punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
39.3%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
39.0%
Markell Jones run for 4 yds to the Prdue 28Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
39.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+28
41.4%
Thomas Meadows punt for 38 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for 28 yds to the Prdue 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4546% → 50%
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
45.7%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Justin Hunt for 16 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
47.8%
Michael Birdsong run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 25Similar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
47.1%
Michael Birdsong pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:22
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+10
42.7%
Devon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+32
49.6%
Nick Smith 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 21INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
45.9%
Austin Appleby run for 2 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
46.0%
D.J. Knox run for 6 yds to the Prdue 30Similar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 30
0
45.8%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Taj Letman return for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
48.4%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Emanuel Byrd, broken up by Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
48.0%
Michael Birdsong pass intercepted Leroy Clark return for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 23MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5459% → 55%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
40.7%
Austin Appleby run for 4 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+1
40.3%
D.J. Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 25
-2
42.0%
Austin Appleby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
45.5%
Paul Griggs 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+33
46.7%
Devon Johnson run for 33 yds to the Prdue 25 Devon Johnson fumbled, forced by Frankie Williams, recovered by Prdue Langston NewtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 25FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:0554% → 70%
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
46.2%
Markell Jones run for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
42.5%
Markell Jones run for 3 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
43.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+9
43.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Domonique Young for 9 yds to the Prdue 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
41.7%
D.J. Knox run for 8 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+9
40.1%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 9 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
40.6%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+12
40.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 12 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
38.7%
D.J. Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+3
38.7%
Austin Appleby run for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+9
40.5%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 9 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
38.7%
D.J. Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
38.7%
D.J. Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
40.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Jordan JurasevichSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
29.7%
Paul Griggs 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 34%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
37.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManus, broken up by Anthony BrownSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
37.0%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
36.0%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
34.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trae Hart at the Prdue 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
30.0%
Markell Jones run for 5 yds to the Prdue 35Similar
Q4 9:04
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
28.7%
Markell Jones run for 1 yd to the Prdue 36Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
29.3%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Domonique Young, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q4 9:04
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
31.9%
Thomas Meadows punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Hyleck Foster at the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:4136% → 87%
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
36.2%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 3 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+2
36.0%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+9
34.2%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Justin Hunt for 9 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
36.8%
BIRDSONG, M. sacked for no gain to the MARSHALL30 (Panfil, Evan), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (JEAN-FELIX, S.) 10 yards to the MARSHALL20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+21
36.0%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 21 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
40.2%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Davonte Allen for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+8
40.9%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the Prdue 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
42.3%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Prdue 43Similar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+19
42.2%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Davonte Allen for 19 yds to the Prdue 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.6%
Michael Birdsong pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q4 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+18
44.4%
Michael Birdsong pass complete to Davonte Allen for 18 yds to the Prdue 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
86.7%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 29INT TD
10 plays · 15 yds · 1:3029% → 5%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
70.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 7 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
66.4%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Gregory PhillipsSimilar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
69.6%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to DeAngelo YanceySimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+8
71.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to DeAngelo Yancey for 8 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
67.0%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Danny Anthrop for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 39Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+1
68.7%
Austin Appleby pass complete to D.J. Knox for 1 yd to the Prdue 40Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+55
95.2%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted for a TD Tiquan Lang return for 55 yds for a TD (Nick Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 30INT
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
95.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.5%
Austin Appleby pass incomplete to Anthony MahoungouSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
94.6%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Cameron Posey for 9 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q4 1:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+17
94.4%
Austin Appleby pass complete to Anthony Mahoungou for 17 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+32
93.8%
Austin Appleby pass intercepted Keith Baxter return for 32 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
96.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:50
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Smith KICK)
+42.3
TD · Q4 1:20
Austin Appleby pass intercepted for a TD Tiquan Lang return for 55 yds for a TD (Nick Smith KICK)
+21.9
TD · Q3 8:33
Markell Jones run for 36 yds for a TD, (Paul Griggs KICK)
-13.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com