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PSU

Penn State 10 at Temple 27

TEM
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scorePSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:08 · Daniel Pasquariello punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior−20.1Home team on offense−4.6Score differential−2.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:25: Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +8.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 6:23: Austin Jones 40 yd FG GOOD — TEM win probability +6.7 pts (now 42%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:07: PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the PnSt 1 — TEM win probability +14.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:00: P.J. Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +22.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:14: Jahad Thomas run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK) — TEM win probability +11.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 10PSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 12:40TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 24, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:47PSU 4th & 5 at TEM 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 30, down 10
    Close callPunted · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:54PSU 4th & 7 at PSU 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:46TEM 4th & 3 at TEM 48, down 10
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:54PSU 4th & 24 at PSU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:05PSU 4th & 10 at TEM 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:04PSU 4th & 5 at PSU 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%−2.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:08PSU 4th & 7 at TEM 46, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    67.9%−1.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:32TEM 4th & 10 at TEM 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−2.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:58PSU 4th & 4 at TEM 39, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    68.0%−1.9
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:23TEM 4th & 2 at PSU 23, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.8%−1.7
    70% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:31PSU 4th & 20 at PSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−6.3
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:28TEM 4th & 7 at PSU 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−1.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:01PSU 4th & 19 at PSU 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−6.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:17PSU 4th & 14 at PSU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:41TEM 4th & 1 at PSU 13, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%−1.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−4.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:29PSU 4th & 22 at PSU 39, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.5
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:16TEM 4th & 20 at PSU 24, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3PSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:34PSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:25TEM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:00TEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:14TEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0515% → 16%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
14.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 13Similar
Q1 14:25
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+8
15.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 8 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+3
15.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ryquell Armstead for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 24
+14
15.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 60 yds , Mark Allen returns for 14 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 2FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 1:3884% → 83%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
16.0%
Brandon Polk run for 33 yds to the Temp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
15.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
16.0%
Akeel Lynch run for 5 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+10
16.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 10 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
16.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
16.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Geno Lewis for 5 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
16.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Geno LewisSimilar
Q1 10:47
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
16.6%
Joey Julius 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2317% → 17%
Q1 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
16.7%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 23Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
17.0%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kip Patton for 9 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q1 9:29
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
17.1%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Adonis JenningsSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
17.2%
Alex Starzyk punt for 43 yds, downed at the PnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3383% → 84%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.4%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the PnSt 29Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
17.6%
Christian Hackenberg run for 5 yds to the PnSt 34Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
17.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the PnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Mike GesickiSimilar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
17.8%
Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the PnSt 40Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+18
18.2%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 18 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
16.4%
Akeel Lynch run for 42 yds for a TD, (Joey Julius KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:0917% → 17%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
16.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
17.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+5
17.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 5 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+3
17.3%
Alex Starzyk punt for 58 yds , Mark Allen returns for 3 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0883% → 82%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
17.3%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Jarred Alwan for a loss of 6 yards to the PnSt 9 Christian Hackenberg fumbled, recovered by PnStSimilar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+4
17.6%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the PnSt 13Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 12
OWN 13
+5
17.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Akeel Lynch for 5 yds to the PnSt 18Similar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 7
OWN 18
+5
18.0%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 55 yds , Robby Anderson returns for 5 yds to the Temp 23 TEMPLE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 3:4917% → 18%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
17.1%
P.J. Walker run for 8 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 2
OWN 30
-2
17.5%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+13
17.1%
P.J. Walker pass complete to John Christopher for 13 yds to the Temp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
17.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
18.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 1
50
-2
17.9%
Jager Gardner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
17.6%
Alex Starzyk punt for 35 yds, downed at the PnSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:4682% → 81%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
18.1%
Brandon Polk run for 17 yds to the PnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
17.7%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 29Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
18.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 15
OWN 29
-9
18.8%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Haason Reddick for a loss of 9 yards to the PnSt 20Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 24
OWN 20
0
18.9%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 36 yds, downed at the Temp 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
18.2%
P.J. Walker sacked by Brandon Bell for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 43 P.J. Walker fumbled, recovered by PnStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2983% → 82%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
17.3%
Akeel Lynch run for 3 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-3
17.6%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Tyler Matakevich for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
17.8%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 10
OPP 43
0
18.4%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 36 yds, downed at the Temp 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 6:3417% → 28%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
17.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 10 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
17.6%
P.J. Walker run for 11 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
17.5%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
17.3%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ryquell ArmsteadSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+25
16.8%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 25 yds to the PnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
18.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 16 yds to the PnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-12
19.7%
P.J. Walker sacked by Carl Nassib for a loss of 12 yards to the PnSt 45Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 22
OPP 45
+12
18.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 12 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+31
19.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 31 yds to the PnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.2%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the PnSt 1Similar
Q2 2:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
20.2%
Jager Gardner run for no gain to the PnSt 1Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
28.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5676% → 75%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
23.9%
Mark Allen run for 3 yds to the PnSt 40 PENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Gaia) to the PnSt 30Similar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 17
OWN 30
+3
24.9%
Mark Allen run for 3 yds to the PnSt 33Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
25.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to DaeSean HamiltonSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-5
26.2%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 28Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+14
26.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 14 yds to the PnSt 42Similar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+7
25.0%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 48 yds , Robby Anderson returns for 7 yds to the Temp 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:5726% → 24%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-3
26.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 13
OWN 14
-1
26.1%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 13Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 14
OWN 13
+1
26.4%
Jahad Thomas run for 1 yd to the Temp 14Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 13
OWN 14
+4
23.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 51 yds , Mark Allen returns for 4 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:4574% → 73%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
25.8%
Akeel Lynch run for 16 yds to the 49 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
24.6%
Akeel Lynch run for 1 yd to the Temp 48Similar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
24.7%
Akeel Lynch run for 2 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
25.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saeed BlacknallSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
27.4%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:2828% → 27%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-3
28.0%
Samuel Benjamin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 12Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 13
OWN 12
+3
28.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 3 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q3 11:42
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
27.2%
P.J. Walker pass incomplete to Ventell BryantSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+12
26.8%
Alex Starzyk punt for 42 yds , Mark Allen returns for 12 yds to the Temp 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1974% → 73%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
26.1%
Saquon Barkley run for 1 yd to the Temp 44Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+5
26.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to DaeSean Hamilton for 5 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 10:05
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
27.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Saquon BarkleySimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
27.5%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:2830% → 42%
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
29.7%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+20
30.4%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Kip Patton for 20 yds to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+25
33.4%
John Christopher pass complete to P.J. Walker for 25 yds to the PnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
36.1%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
36.1%
TEMPLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kyle Friend) to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 7:14
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+11
32.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Robby Anderson for 11 yds to the PnSt 30Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+7
35.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the PnSt 23Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+40
41.7%
Austin Jones 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3664% → 60%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
35.9%
DeAndre Thompkins run for no gain to the PnSt 35Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
36.9%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Chris GodwinSimilar
Q3 5:15
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-10
38.5%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Tyler Matakevich for a loss of 10 yards to the PnSt 25Similar
Q3 4:31
4TH & 20
OWN 25
+6
40.5%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 37 yds , Robby Anderson returns for 6 yds to the Temp 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:5045% → 45%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
44.6%
P.J. Walker run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 4
50
0
46.2%
P.J. Walker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 4
50
+8
45.3%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 8 yds to the PnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
47.0%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the PnSt 43Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+2
46.9%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Colin Thompson for 2 yds to the PnSt 41Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+2
46.6%
Jahad Thomas run for 2 yds to the PnSt 39Similar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
44.5%
Alex Starzyk punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 20INT
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:1060% → 62%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
39.7%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 8 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+26
38.1%
Christian Hackenberg pass intercepted Sharif Finch return for 26 yds to the PnSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0752% → 75%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
52.3%
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the PnSt 1Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
74.8%
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 1:5436% → 27%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
64.1%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 20Similar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
65.0%
Akeel Lynch run for no gain to the PnSt 20Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
66.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Brandon Polk for no gain to the PnSt 20Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-4
68.0%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Nate D. Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 16Similar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+19
72.7%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 52 yds , Robby Anderson returns for 19 yds to the PnSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 2:3978% → 92%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
77.8%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+16
77.7%
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (16 Yards) to the PnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
79.6%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Adonis Jennings for 8 yds to the PnSt 28Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 2
OPP 28
-2
80.7%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 30Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
80.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 6 yds to the PnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
92.0%
Jahad Thomas run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:4613% → 10%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
87.4%
Akeel Lynch run for 4 yds to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
87.7%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Jacob Martin for a loss of 5 yards to the PnSt 19Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 11
OWN 19
-3
89.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Akeel Lynch for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 16Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 14
OWN 16
+15
89.9%
Daniel Pasquariello punt for 37 yds , Sean Chandler returns for 15 yds to the PnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 3:3194% → 99%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
93.5%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the PnSt 41Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+19
93.7%
P.J. Walker pass complete to Romond Deloatch for 19 yds to the PnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
94.6%
P.J. Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+4
95.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 4 yds to the PnSt 20Similar
Q4 6:24
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+7
95.5%
Jahad Thomas run for 7 yds to the PnSt 13Similar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+30
98.6%
Austin Jones 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:004% → 3%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+30
96.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 30 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
96.7%
PENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 46Similar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
97.0%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 15
OWN 46
-7
97.1%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Matt Ioannidis for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 39Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 22
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Christian Hackenberg pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 22
OWN 39
0
97.5%
Christian Hackenberg pass incomplete to Akeel LynchSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27DOWNS
12 plays · 24 yds · 3:0899% → 99%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
99.1%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 43Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
99.2%
Jahad Thomas run for no gain to the PnSt 43Similar
Q4 4:10
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+29
99.3%
Jahad Thomas run for 29 yds to the PnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
99.4%
Jahad Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the PnSt 18Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 14
OPP 18
+1
99.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 1 yd to the PnSt 17Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+3
99.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the PnSt 14Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 10
OPP 14
-5
99.4%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 19Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 15
OPP 19
-5
99.3%
TEMPLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the PnSt 24Similar
Q4 1:16
4TH & 20
OPP 24
+9
99.1%
Jahad Thomas run for 9 yds to the PnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PSUDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:091% → 1%
Q4 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
99.3%
Christian Hackenberg pass complete to Chris Godwin for 11 yds to the PnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-7
99.3%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Tyler Matakevich for a loss of 7 yards to the PnSt 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 19
-8
99.4%
Christian Hackenberg sacked by Nate D. Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the PnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:00
P.J. Walker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
+22.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:07
PENN ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (1 Yards) to the PnSt 1
+14.2
TD · Q4 11:14
Jahad Thomas run for 24 yds for a TD, (Austin Jones KICK)
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com