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NORF

Norfolk State 13 at Rutgers 63

RUTG
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · High Point Solutions Stadium
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Win probability · RUTG
modelRUTG aheadNORF aheadconfidence bandkey playRUTG scoreNORF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:04 · Bo Lomax punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+36.4Pregame prior+2.9Score differential+31.4Blowout margin+19.2Garbage-time factor+9.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:37: Hayden Rettig run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +4.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:20: Josh Hicks run for 25 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:37: Greg Hankerson pass complete to Torian Henderson for 29 yds for a TD, (Cameron Marouf PAT MISSED) — NORF win probability +5.5 pts (now 23%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:49: Bo Lomax kickoff for 45 yds , Janarion Grant return for 80 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK) — RUTG win probability +5.5 pts (now 86%) (top driver: NORF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:58: Leonte Carroo 55 Yd pass from Chris Laviano (Kyle Federico Kick) — RUTG win probability +7.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RUTG has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RUTG made the numbers' call on 4 of 4NORF made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 9:00NORF 4th & 9 at NORF 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:35RUTG 4th & 1 at NORF 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    51.1%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:09NORF 4th & 1 at RUTG 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.1%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:40RUTG 4th & 8 at NORF 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00NORF 4th & 7 at NORF 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:46RUTG 4th & 1 at NORF 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    52.4%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:37RUTG 4th & 1 at NORF 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    52.5%−2.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−7.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:37NORF 4th & 12 at NORF 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−1.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:49NORF 4th & 15 at NORF 23, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−2.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:09NORF 4th & 16 at NORF 19, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:11NORF 4th & 11 at NORF 24, down 37
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:32NORF 4th & 4 at RUTG 41, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:04NORF 4th & 11 at NORF 21, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RUTG made the numbers' call on 8 of 9NORF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:23NORF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:00RUTG Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:37RUTG Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:20RUTG Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:37NORF Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:49RUTG Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:58RUTG Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:09RUTG Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:11RUTG Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 14:32RUTG Touchdown, up 43 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:04RUTG Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NORFDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3723% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.1%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
77.1%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the NflkS 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+32
77.1%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 32 yds to the Rutgr 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
77.1%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 27 yds to the Rutgr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
76.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 16 yds for a TD, (Cameron Marouf KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 2TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 4:2376% → 76%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
76.4%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 40Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
76.5%
Paul James run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
76.5%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the NflkS 49Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-2
76.5%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+12
76.4%
Hayden Rettig run for 12 yds to the NflkS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
76.5%
Paul James run for 2 yds to the NflkS 37Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+24
76.5%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Andre Patton for 24 yds to the NflkS 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
76.3%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 13 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
75.6%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 24Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
75.6%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 26Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
75.7%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
75.9%
Bo Lomax punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rutgr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
75.7%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OWN 47
-2
75.8%
Josh Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+6
75.4%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Nick Arcidiacono for 6 yds to the NflkS 49Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 1
OPP 49
0
75.4%
Josh Hicks run for no gain to the NflkS 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2226% → 26%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
73.9%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Marcus Taylor for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 5:31
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
73.7%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
73.5%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for no gain to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q1 4:09
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
74.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+18
74.5%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Andre Patton for 18 yds to the Rutgr 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
75.0%
Robert Martin run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
50
0
75.5%
Hayden Rettig pass incomplete to Andre Patton, broken up by Deon KingSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
50
+2
75.3%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the NflkS 48Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 8
OPP 48
-10
75.2%
Rettig, Hayden pass complete to Grant, Janarion for 33 yards to the NSU15 (CHANDLER,Aaron), PENALTY RU holding (Nelson, Derrick) 10 yards to the RU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 18
OWN 42
-5
74.4%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rutgr 37Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 23
OWN 37
+15
74.3%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Justin Goodwin for 15 yds to the NflkS 48Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
74.5%
Joey Roth punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3827% → 26%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
73.1%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Gerard Johnson for 1 yd to the NflkS 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
72.9%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
73.2%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Gerard JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
73.6%
Bo Lomax punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rutgr 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 8TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 6:3375% → 78%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
74.6%
Paul James run for 7 yds to the Rutgr 47Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+2
74.9%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
74.6%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the NflkS 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
75.1%
Robert Martin run for 4 yds to the NflkS 42Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
74.1%
Hayden Rettig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:37
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+5
73.7%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Andre Patton for 5 yds to the NflkS 37Similar
Q2 10:46
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+12
72.6%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Sam Bergen for 12 yds to the NflkS 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
74.1%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Matt Flanagan for 11 yds to the NflkS 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
74.1%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the NflkS 10Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+5
74.1%
Paul James run for 5 yds to the NflkS 5Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 5
0
73.5%
Paul James run for no gain to the NflkS 5Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+5
77.9%
Hayden Rettig run for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
77.8%
Greg Hankerson run for 7 yds to the NflkS 18Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 3
OWN 18
-5
77.7%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NflkS 13Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+3
78.0%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Marcus Taylor for 3 yds to the NflkS 16Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 5
OWN 16
-12
78.4%
Greg Hankerson sacked by Andre Hunt for a loss of 12 yards to the NflkS 4Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 17
OWN 4
+5
79.1%
LOMAX,Bo punt 34 yards to the NSU38, downed, PENALTY RU roughing the kicker (Cioffi, Anthony) 5 yards to the NSU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 12
OWN 9
+8
79.1%
Bo Lomax punt for 31 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 8 yds to the NflkS 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 10TD
2 plays · 32 yds · 0:4680% → 85%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
80.0%
Josh Hicks run for 7 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+25
85.2%
Josh Hicks run for 25 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 11TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 2:4318% → 23%
Q2 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
81.6%
JOHNSON,Gerard rush for 3 yards to the NSU25 (Longa, Steve), PENALTY NSU illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY RU offside defense off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+25
85.0%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to B.J. Reid for 9 yds to the NflkS 31 for a 1ST down RUTGERS Penalty, roughing passer (Djwany Mera) to the NflkS 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
84.3%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
84.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Marcus Taylor for 4 yds to the Rutgr 49Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
84.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 9 yds to the Rutgr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
83.4%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+11
83.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 11 yds to the Rutgr 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
82.6%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre Sangster, broken up by Isaiah WhartonSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
77.1%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Torian Henderson for 29 yds for a TD, (Cameron Marouf PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
80.6%
Rettig, Hayden pass complete to James, Paul for 11 yards to the RU37 (PARKER,Leroy), PENALTY RU illegal formation 5 yards to the RU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+6
80.4%
Hayden Rettig pass complete to Janarion Grant for 6 yds to the Rutgr 27Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+8
80.4%
Paul James run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
86.6%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 20Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre SangsterSimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+8
86.8%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to James Church for 8 yds to the NflkS 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
86.2%
Gerard Johnson run for no gain to the NflkS 28Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
86.6%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Demetreus Ferebee for 8 yds to the NflkS 36Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-8
86.0%
Greg Hankerson sacked by Quentin Gause for a loss of 8 yards to the NflkS 28Similar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 10
OWN 28
-5
87.0%
LOMAX,Bo punt 40 yards to the RU32, out-of-bounds, PENALTY NSU illegal motion (LOMAX,Bo) 5 yards to the NSU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:49
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
87.1%
Bo Lomax punt for 41 yds, downed at the Rutgr 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 15TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:3789% → 96%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
88.9%
Josh Hicks run for 9 yds to the Rutgr 45Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+55
96.1%
Leonte Carroo 55 Yd pass from Chris Laviano (Kyle Federico Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 16INT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
95.2%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 22Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+6
95.3%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to DeAndre Sangster for 6 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
Q3 10:58
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+15
95.2%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to James Church for 15 yds to the NflkS 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
94.9%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Conley Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 3
50
+5
94.6%
James Church pass intercepted Anthony Cioffi return for 5 yds to the Rutgr 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 17TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 1:0796% → 100%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
96.3%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Robert Martin for 9 yds to the Rutgr 42Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+2
96.4%
Robert Martin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
99.6%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 56 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Gerard Johnson run for 3 yds to the NflkS 28Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.4%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to DeAndre Sangster, broken up by Steve LongaSimilar
Q3 7:09
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-9
99.4%
Greg Hankerson sacked by Kemoko Turay for a loss of 9 yards to the NflkS 19Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Bo Lomax punt for 31 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 19TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.7%
Paul James run for 11 yds to the NflkS 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.6%
James, Paul rush for no gain to the NSU39, fumble forced by BRANTLEY,Walter, fumble by James, Paul recovered by RU Lumpkin, Keith at NSU39, PENALTY NSU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the NSU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+16
99.6%
Paul James run for 16 yds to the NflkS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.6%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the NflkS 14Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-5
99.6%
RUTGERS Penalty, false start (Nick Arcidiacono) to the NflkS 19Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+1
99.6%
Paul James run for 1 yd to the NflkS 18Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.7%
Chris Laviano pass complete to Leonte Carroo for 18 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Gerard Johnson run for 2 yds to the NflkS 27Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
99.7%
Gerard Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NflkS 24 Gerard Johnson fumbled, recovered by NflkS Gerard JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.7%
Greg Hankerson pass incomplete to Gerard Johnson, broken up by Julian Pinnix-OdrickSimilar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.7%
Bo Lomax punt for 25 yds NORFOLK ST Penalty, kick catching interference (D'Metrius Williams) to the NflkS 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 21TD
5 plays · 34 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the NflkS 29Similar
Q3 1:38
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+4
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 4 yds to the NflkS 25Similar
Q3 1:38
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+5
99.7%
Josh Hicks run for 5 yds to the NflkS 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 15 yds to the NflkS 5 for a 1ST down NORFOLK ST Penalty, face mask (3 yards) (3 Yards) to the NflkS 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Josh Hicks run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 35 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
HANKERSON,Greg sacked for loss of 2 yards to the NSU22 (Bateky, Jon), PENALTY RU offside defense (Hogan, Jimmy) 5 yards to the NSU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 5
OWN 29
+24
99.8%
Eric Pittman run for 24 yds to the Rutgr 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-4
99.8%
Eric Pittman run for a loss of 4 yards to the NflkS 49Similar
Q4 14:32
2ND & 14
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Greg Hankerson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:32
3RD & 14
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Eric Pittman for 5 yds to the Rutgr 46Similar
Q4 14:32
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+5
99.9%
RUTGERS Penalty, (5 Yards) to the Rutgr 41Similar
Q4 14:32
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+5
99.8%
Bo Lomax punt for 26 yds , Janarion Grant returns for 5 yds to the Rutgr 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 23TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:56100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 6 yds to the Rutgr 26Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 8 yds to the Rutgr 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+18
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 18 yds to the NflkS 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the NflkS 44Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
99.9%
Paul James run for 4 yds to the NflkS 40Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+10
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 10 yds to the NflkS 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 1 yd to the NflkS 29Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+11
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 11 yds to the NflkS 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.9%
Robert Martin run for 5 yds to the NflkS 13Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+10
99.9%
Josh Hicks run for 10 yds to the NflkS 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Justin Goodwin run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
100.0%
Eric Pittman run for a loss of 1 yard to the NflkS 21Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
Eric Pittman run for 2 yds to the NflkS 23 Eric Pittman run for 2 yds to the NflkS 23Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
Malik Stokes sacked by Jimmy Hogan for a loss of 2 yards to the NflkS 21Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
100.0%
Bo Lomax punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Janarion Grant at the Rutgr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RUTGDrive 25FUMBLE
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Justin Goodwin run for 2 yds to the Rutgr 48Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+17
100.0%
Josh Hicks run for 17 yds to the NflkS 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+45
100.0%
Robert Martin run for 1 yd to the Rutgr 21 Robert Martin fumbled, forced by T.C. Livingston, recovered by NflkS Sandy Chapman , return for 45 yds to the Rutgr 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NORFDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
100.0%
Malik Stokes run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 12
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Eric Pittman run for no gain to the Rutgr 23Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 12
OPP 23
-5
100.0%
NORFOLK ST Penalty, delay of game (Malik Stokes) to the Rutgr 28Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 17
OPP 28
-4
100.0%
Eric Pittman run for a loss of 4 yards to the Rutgr 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:58
Leonte Carroo 55 Yd pass from Chris Laviano (Kyle Federico Kick)
+7.2
TD · Q2 1:37
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Torian Henderson for 29 yds for a TD, (Cameron Marouf PAT MISSED)
-5.5
TD · Q3 14:49
Bo Lomax kickoff for 45 yds , Janarion Grant return for 80 yds for a TD, (Kyle Federico KICK)
+5.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com