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SIU

Southern Illinois 47 at Indiana 48

IU
2015 · Week 1 · Sep 5, 2015 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadSIU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreSIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:51 · Erich Toth punt blocked by Kenny James blocked by Kenny James for a TD, (Mark Iannotti pass to Shaq Findlater for Two-Point Conversion)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+19.7Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 14:23: Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 57 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +16.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 2:34: Devine Redding run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +18.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:24: Mark Iannotti pass complete to Daquan Isom for 80 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson PAT MISSED) — SIU win probability +23.7 pts (now 43%) (top driver: SIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:58: Jordan Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK) — IU win probability +26.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:18: Mark Iannotti pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 25 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — SIU win probability +21.1 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 12:35SIU 4th & 3 at IU 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.6%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    49.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:25SIU 4th & 3 at IU 10, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.2%−0.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−2.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:51IU 4th & 7 at IU 18, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:06IU 4th & 4 at IU 36, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:59IU 4th & 4 at IU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:18SIU 4th & 6 at SIU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:20IU 4th & 3 at SIU 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−2.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:35IU 4th & 5 at SIU 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−8.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:53SIU 4th & 2 at SIU 33, up 1
    Close callPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:41IU 4th & 9 at SIU 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−2.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:08IU 4th & 4 at SIU 5, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.8%−2.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.2%−23.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:01SIU 4th & 12 at SIU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−3.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:00IU 4th & 6 at SIU 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−2.8
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:37SIU 4th & 10 at IU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−8.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−16.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6SIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:47IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:26IU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:15SIU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:56SIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:38IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:00SIU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:23IU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:34IU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:24SIU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−1.0
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:58IU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−2.0
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:18SIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.6 ptsWent for two · failed
    Kick
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    38.4%−2.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SIUDrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 47 yds · 1:5525% → 26%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+29
74.9%
Cameron Walter run for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
74.7%
Israel Lamprakes run for 7 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
74.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Cole Iwema for 4 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
74.4%
Aaron Stanton run for 7 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
74.3%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Jimmy JonesSimilar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
74.3%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Connor IwemaSimilar
Q1 12:35
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+49
74.4%
Austin Johnson 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jonathan CrawfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:4875% → 76%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
74.6%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+18
74.6%
Jordan Howard run for 18 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
74.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 11 yds to the SoIll 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
74.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 16 yds to the SoIll 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
74.7%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the SoIll 16Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
74.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Andre Booker for 3 yds to the SoIll 13Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
75.9%
Devine Redding run for 13 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 3FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 6:2225% → 26%
Q1 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
Jimmy Jones run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
75.3%
Mark Iannotti run for 4 yds to the SoIll 34Similar
Q1 8:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
75.3%
Mark Iannotti run for 2 yds to the SoIll 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
75.4%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Cole Iwema for 3 yds to the SoIll 39Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
75.2%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Aaron Stanton for 5 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
75.1%
Aaron Stanton run for 7 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
74.9%
Mark Iannotti run for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
74.9%
Matt DeSomer run for no gain to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+11
75.0%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Darrell James for 11 yds to the Ind 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
74.3%
Mark Iannotti run for 4 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+13
74.1%
Jonathan Mixon run for 13 yds to the Ind 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
74.1%
Jonathan Mixon run for 2 yds to the Ind 15Similar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
74.1%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Israel LamprakesSimilar
Q1 3:50
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+5
74.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Billy Reed for 5 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
73.7%
Austin Johnson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4PUNT TD
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3474% → 69%
Q1 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
73.8%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 19Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
73.7%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Ind 23Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 2
OWN 23
-5
73.2%
INDIANA Penalty, False Start (Dan Feeney) to the Ind 18Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 7
OWN 18
0
73.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 7
OWN 18
0
68.9%
Erich Toth punt blocked by Kenny James blocked by Kenny James for a TD, (Mark Iannotti pass to Shaq Findlater for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:4570% → 69%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
69.8%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
70.4%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the Ind 39 INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) to the Ind 39Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-8
70.6%
Nate Sudfeld run for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 31Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+5
68.7%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ind 36Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
69.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
68.7%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Matt DeSomer at the SoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:2831% → 34%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
68.9%
Matt DeSomer run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+9
69.2%
Mark Iannotti run for 9 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+15
67.2%
Mark Iannotti run for 30 yds to the INDIANA 40 for a 1ST down SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
67.1%
Daquan Isom run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 5
50
+9
66.8%
Matt DeSomer run for 9 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
66.0%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Israel Lamprakes for 6 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+6
65.6%
Mark Iannotti run for 6 yds to the Ind 29 Mark Iannotti fumbled, forced by Marcus Oliver, recovered by Ind Marqui HawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 7TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 1:5968% → 74%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
67.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Mitchell PaigeSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+19
67.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Anthony Corsaro for 19 yds to the Ind 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
69.2%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ind 49Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+17
68.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 17 yds to the SoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
69.8%
Devine Redding run for 8 yds to the SoIll 26Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+3
69.7%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds to the SoIll 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
73.6%
Jordan Howard run for 23 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5528% → 35%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.0%
Aaron Stanton run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
71.2%
Aaron Stanton run for 2 yds to the SoIll 32Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+68
65.3%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Adam Fuehne for 68 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0166% → 64%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
65.8%
Devine Redding run for 5 yds to the Ind 30Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
66.0%
Devine Redding run for 1 yd to the Ind 31Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
64.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
63.7%
Erich Toth punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Matt DeSomer at the SoIll 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 1:4437% → 48%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+27
63.4%
Mark Iannotti run for 27 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
61.4%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Billy Reed for 17 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
60.9%
Mark Iannotti run for 3 yds to the Ind 25Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+23
60.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Billy Reed for 20 yds to the Ind 5 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (3 Yards) to the Ind 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
60.4%
Daquan Isom run for 1 yd to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
52.0%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Hans Carmien for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 11TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:0252% → 68%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+41
52.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 41 yds to the SoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
54.3%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the SoIll 37Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
54.0%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Michael Cooper for 10 yds to the SoIll 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
54.5%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the SoIll 21Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+15
56.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 15 yds to the SoIll 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
56.0%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the SoIll 4Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
68.0%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 12TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 3:0539% → 61%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.5%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Israel Lamprakes for 6 yds to the SoIll 31Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
60.3%
Matt McIntosh run for 7 yds to the SoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
59.2%
Matt McIntosh run for 6 yds to the SoIll 44Similar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
57.6%
Matt McIntosh run for 3 yds to the SoIll 47Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
57.2%
Matt McIntosh run for 2 yds to the SoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
57.1%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Adam Fuehne for 5 yds to the Ind 46Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+17
55.5%
Mark Iannotti run for 17 yds to the Ind 29Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+22
54.2%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Josh Skadeland for 22 yds to the Ind 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
54.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
54.0%
Mark Iannotti run for 6 yds to the Ind 1Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
39.4%
Mark Iannotti run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:2246% → 62%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
46.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for 9 yds to the Ind 43Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+57
62.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 57 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 2:0542% → 41%
Q3 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
58.1%
Cameron Walter run for 1 yd to the SoIll 26Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-13
58.1%
Mark Iannotti run for no gain to the SoIll 26 SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Tripping (-13 Yards) to the SoIll 13Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 22
OWN 13
+8
58.2%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Connor Iwema for 8 yds to the SoIll 21Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+8
58.9%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Israel Lamprakes for 8 yds to the SoIll 29Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+20
59.1%
Derek Mathewson punt for 37 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for 20 yds to the SoIll 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2562% → 63%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
61.8%
Nate Sudfeld run for 4 yds to the SoIll 42Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
61.7%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the SoIll 38Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-1
61.0%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoIll 39Similar
Q3 10:20
4TH & 3
OPP 39
+7
58.9%
Nate Sudfeld run for 7 yds to the SoIll 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
62.8%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoIll 37Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 15
OPP 37
0
58.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Nick WestbrookSimilar
Q3 8:55
3RD & 15
OPP 37
+10
57.3%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Jordan Howard for 10 yds to the SoIll 27Similar
Q3 8:35
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
63.0%
Griffin Oakes 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3740% → 40%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.6%
Aaron Stanton run for 5 yds to the SoIll 30Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
58.3%
Aaron Stanton run for 3 yds to the SoIll 33Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
58.3%
Aaron Stanton run for no gain to the SoIll 33Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
59.8%
Derek Mathewson punt for 57 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for no gain to the Ind 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 90 yds · 4:1960% → 82%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+35
60.1%
Jordan Howard run for 35 yds to the Ind 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
63.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+17
61.9%
Jordan Howard run for 17 yds to the SoIll 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
64.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Simmie Cobbs Jr. for 6 yds to the SoIll 32Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 4
OPP 32
-2
65.9%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Mitchell Paige for a loss of 2 yards to the SoIll 34Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+13
63.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 13 yds to the SoIll 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
65.0%
Sudfeld, Nate pass incomplete, PENALTY INDIANA holding 10 yards to the SOUTHERNIL31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+4
64.1%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the SoIll 27Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+12
62.5%
Nate Sudfeld run for 12 yds to the SoIll 15Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+12
62.7%
Devine Redding run for 12 yds to the SoIll 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.5%
Devine Redding run for 3 yds for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 18FUMBLE
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:5126% → 31%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
73.6%
Matt DeSomer run for 9 yds to the SoIll 34Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
71.0%
Matt DeSomer run for 3 yds to the SoIll 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
72.4%
Cameron Walter run for 2 yds to the SoIll 39Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+7
71.6%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Billy Reed for 7 yds to the SoIll 46Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+1
70.5%
Mark Iannotti run for 1 yd to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
70.1%
Matt McIntosh run for 1 yd to the SoIll 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
70.7%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Adam FuehneSimilar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+12
72.4%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Billy Reed for 12 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
69.4%
Cameron Walter run for 2 yds to the Ind 38 Cameron Walter fumbled, forced by Marcus Oliver, recovered by Ind Dawson FletcherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:4281% → 81%
Q4 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
81.3%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the SoIll 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
82.6%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the SoIll 43Similar
Q4 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
81.7%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
82.8%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the SoIll 41Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
82.2%
Devine Redding run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoIll 46Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
80.9%
Erich Toth punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:0043% → 50%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
57.2%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Daquan Isom for 80 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson PAT MISSED)Similar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 0
-5
50.1%
SOUTHN ILLINOIS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Ind 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 21FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:5262% → 74%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
62.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 19 yds to the SoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
66.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
66.1%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the SoIll 41Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+10
65.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Nick Westbrook for 10 yds to the SoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
67.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+20
67.4%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 20 yds to the SoIll 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
67.5%
Devine Redding run for 4 yds to the SoIll 7Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+2
67.2%
Devine Redding run for 2 yds to the SoIll 5Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
65.2%
Nate Sudfeld pass incomplete to Anthony CorsaroSimilar
Q4 9:08
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
74.4%
Griffin Oakes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:4931% → 28%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.6%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Darrell James for 1 yd to the SoIll 31Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
68.7%
Mark Iannotti pass incomplete to Billy ReedSimilar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-3
70.8%
Mark Iannotti sacked by Nick Mangieri for a loss of 3 yards to the SoIll 28Similar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+36
72.4%
Derek Mathewson punt for 36 yds , Mitchell Paige returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:3074% → 75%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+21
73.9%
Nate Sudfeld run for 21 yds to the SoIll 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
77.1%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the SoIll 41Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+1
76.9%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the SoIll 40Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
77.5%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
74.9%
Erich Toth punt for 34 yds, downed at the SoIll 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 24FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:5329% → 49%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
70.6%
Matt DeSomer run for 6 yds to the SoIll 12Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+2
70.1%
Matt DeSomer run for 2 yds to the SoIll 14Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+57
71.6%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Adam Fuehne for 57 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
59.9%
Mark Iannotti run for 2 yds to the Ind 27Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
59.8%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Daquan Isom for 5 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
-7
64.0%
Mark Iannotti run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ind 29 Mark Iannotti fumbled, recovered by SoIll Mark IannottiSimilar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
50.9%
Austin Johnson 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 1:3258% → 96%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
57.7%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Ind 22Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 5
OWN 22
0
57.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+6
54.1%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 6 yds to the Ind 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
57.8%
Nate Sudfeld pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+71
56.6%
Nate Sudfeld pass complete to Ricky Jones for 71 yds to the SoIll 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.6%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SIUDrive 26TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:2712% → 43%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
88.3%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Daquan Isom for 14 yds to the SoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
85.9%
Iannotti, Mark pass incomplete, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference 15 yards to the INDIANA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHERNIL.Similar
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.9%
Mark Iannotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
84.3%
Mark Iannotti pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+21
85.6%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 21 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
57.3%
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 25 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:58
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Griffin Oakes KICK)
+26.3
TD · Q4 12:24
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Daquan Isom for 80 yds for a TD, (Austin Johnson PAT MISSED)
-23.7
TD · Q4 0:18
Mark Iannotti pass complete to Jimmy Jones for 25 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-21.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com