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WVU

West Virginia 23 at Kansas State 24

KSU
2015 · Week 14 · Dec 5, 2015 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:01 · Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Elijah Lee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+20.5+10.30−10.3−20.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:36: Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +10.0 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:28: Kody Cook run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +13.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 11:14: Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 77 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +12.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:28: Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +17.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:53: Nick O'Toole kickoff for 62 yds , Morgan Burns return for 97 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +31.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 13WVU made the numbers' call on 9 of 14
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 3 at KSU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    62.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33KSU 4th & 8 at WVU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    39.1%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:24WVU 4th & 10 at WVU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:14KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:54WVU 4th & 3 at KSU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:48KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 38, down 3
    Close callPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 29, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:47KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:10KSU 4th & 12 at WVU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    36.8%−3.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:06WVU 4th & 2 at KSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:34WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.1%
    average punt
  12. Q2 2:36KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  13. Q2 1:40WVU 4th & 2 at KSU 27, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    65.3%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:01KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 12:21WVU 4th & 17 at WVU 31, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−4.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 11:06WVU 4th & 7 at KSU 43, down 4
    Close callPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    44.2%−1.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q3 10:24KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 22, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 6:16KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  19. Q3 4:46WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%
    average punt
  20. Q3 4:02KSU 4th & 17 at WVU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−2.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    40.6%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 13:07WVU 4th & 5 at KSU 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.8%
    87% to make
    Punt
    45.9%−14.9
    average punt
  22. Q4 12:53WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.9
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  23. Q4 12:14KSU 4th & 12 at KSU 31, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−5.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  24. Q4 9:34WVU 4th & 5 at KSU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  25. Q4 6:11KSU 4th & 24 at KSU 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−11.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  26. Q4 2:33WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 47, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.9%−7.4
    average punt
  27. Q4 0:07KSU 4th & 5 at WVU 23, up 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 13.8 ptsWent for it · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%−13.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−26.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 2:36WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:28KSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:14KSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:28WVU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:53KSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
30.8%
Skyler Howard sacked by Marquel Bryant for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+10
30.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
30.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
30.8%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
50
-7
30.8%
Skyler Howard sacked by Charmeachealle Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+11
30.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 11 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
30.8%
Nick O'Toole punt, downed at the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:2732% → 33%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
32.1%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
32.1%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+28
32.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 28 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
32.4%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+3
32.5%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
33.8%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
33.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
33.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
33.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 37 yds, downed at the WVirg 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
33.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
33.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 2
OWN 23
-8
33.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 25 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Daikiel Shorts) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
33.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Travis BritzSimilar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
33.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q1 8:24
4TH & 10
OWN 15
-11
34.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 53 yds , Dominique Heath returns for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 4 KANSAS ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
33.9%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+2
33.9%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 4
OWN 17
0
33.6%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 4
OWN 17
0
33.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 46 yds, downed at the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:4866% → 66%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
34.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
33.7%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
33.7%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+14
33.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 14 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
33.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
33.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 4 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-2
33.5%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 2:54
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
34.2%
Josh Lambert 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
34.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 15 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
34.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 7 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 3
OWN 38
0
35.2%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 3
OWN 38
0
34.6%
Dalvin Warmack run for no gain to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
33.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:4765% → 64%
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
34.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
34.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
34.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 36
-7
34.6%
Skyler Howard sacked by Travis Britz for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
35.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 51 yds, downed at the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
34.7%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
34.6%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
34.0%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by KJ DillonSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+6
33.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 36 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 6 yds to the WVirg 48 Gary Jennings fumbled, recovered by KanSt Elijah LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9FG
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0837% → 39%
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+27
37.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Winston Dimel for 27 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
37.7%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-3
37.7%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 13:18
3RD & 12
OPP 23
0
36.5%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 12
OPP 23
+40
38.7%
Matthew McCrane 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0062% → 63%
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
37.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
38.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+10
38.7%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 10 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
37.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 16 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
36.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
35.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
36.1%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 11:06
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
36.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11INT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
40.2%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
40.5%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
39.9%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
40.6%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
40.3%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+4
41.3%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
42.2%
Joe Hubener sacked by Jared Barber for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 17
OWN 37
0
40.3%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Nick Kwiatkoski return for no gain to the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0064% → 61%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
36.4%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
36.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
37.5%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
39.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 51 yds , Dominique Heath returns for no gain to the KanSt 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
41.2%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 3Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 11
OWN 3
0
41.0%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the KanSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:3164% → 75%
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
36.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
35.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 4:07
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+3
36.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
35.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 11 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
25.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 24 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0030% → 28%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dalvin WarmackSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
29.4%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
28.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+4
28.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 50 yds , KJ Dillon returns for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16MISSED FG
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:3073% → 74%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+36
27.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 36 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
25.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 8 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
25.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 27
0
25.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+44
26.1%
Josh Lambert 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3930% → 29%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
29.8%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-1
30.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+3
29.1%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 1:01
4TH & 3
OWN 34
0
29.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 29 yds, downed at the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:5272% → 79%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
27.6%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+14
26.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 14 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
25.8%
Rushel Shell run for 19 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
25.3%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+13
25.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
25.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
21.3%
Josh Lambert 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:2129% → 43%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
29.0%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+17
29.0%
Kody Cook pass complete to Kyle Klein for 17 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
29.0%
Kody Cook run for 5 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
29.0%
Kody Cook run for 6 yds to the WVirg 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
42.9%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0065% → 61%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
35.3%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Rushel ShellSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-7
35.5%
Skyler Howard sacked by Charmeachealle Moore for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 17
OWN 31
0
38.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan Thompson, broken up by Nate JacksonSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 17
OWN 31
0
39.2%
Nick O'Toole punt for 46 yds, downed at the KanSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
51.7%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 77 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0052% → 48%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
48.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
48.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
48.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q3 11:06
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
51.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0056% → 53%
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
55.5%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
55.3%
Kody Cook pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+1
53.9%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22Similar
Q3 10:24
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
53.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Jennings at the WVirg 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:3147% → 67%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
53.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
51.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
50.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+10
51.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 10 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
49.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+6
49.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+13
50.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 13 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
32.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
41.0%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
40.9%
Justin Silmon run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
39.4%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 8
OWN 40
+3
38.1%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 15 , Jovon Durante returns for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
36.8%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 5
OWN 20
0
36.6%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 5
OWN 20
0
38.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
39.4%
Nick O'Toole punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dominique Heath at the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:0041% → 37%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
40.5%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+18
42.7%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nick Kwiatkoski) to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
44.1%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+9
43.9%
Kody Cook run for 9 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+1
43.6%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
45.7%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the WVirg 31Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 9
OPP 31
-15
45.5%
Cook, Kody pass complete to Klein, Kyle for 6 yards to the WVU25 (Worley, Daryl), PENALTY KS pass interference (Reuter, Zach) 15 yards to the WVU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 24
OPP 46
+7
41.1%
Kody Cook run for 7 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 17
OPP 39
0
39.6%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 17
OPP 39
0
37.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28FG
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:1363% → 74%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+51
37.2%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 51 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
31.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jordan Thompson, broken up by Nate JacksonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
32.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+6
33.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
31.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 11
0
31.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
33.6%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the KanSt 11Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
25.7%
Josh Lambert 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
52.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
55.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+3
58.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 51 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 3 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 31PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
57.5%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Charles JonesSimilar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
57.2%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+13
55.0%
Kody Cook pass complete to Andre Davis for 13 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
58.1%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 2
OWN 41
-3
61.4%
Kody Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-7
58.8%
Kody Cook sacked by Nick Kwiatkoski for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
54.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
55.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 14 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
52.2%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Duke ShelleySimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
53.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
52.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Jordan WillisSimilar
Q4 9:34
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+1
55.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 39 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 1 yd to the KanSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 33PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:1457% → 65%
Q4 8:25
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+4
56.9%
Kody Cook run for 4 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
59.3%
Kody Cook run for 4 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
59.0%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 1
OWN 20
-2
59.8%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 18Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+18
60.2%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Christian Brown) to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 18
OWN 36
+2
60.7%
Kody Cook run for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 16
OWN 38
0
60.9%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q4 6:11
3RD & 16
OWN 38
-8
58.7%
Kody Cook sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 24
OWN 30
+11
56.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds , Jovon Durante returns for 11 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-8
64.8%
Kody Cook run for 2 yds to the KanSt 46 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Boston Stiverson) to the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 34DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1746% → 45%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
54.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-3
52.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 3:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+9
57.6%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-1
54.8%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 35DOWNS
11 plays · 22 yds · 2:2171% → 89%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
71.4%
Kody Cook run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+2
70.7%
Kody Cook run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 2:16
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+14
71.4%
Kody Cook pass complete to Deante Burton for 14 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
74.7%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
74.7%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 4
OPP 22
-1
82.6%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
89.1%
Kody Cook pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 36END OF GAME
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
79.4%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Elijah LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:53
Nick O'Toole kickoff for 62 yds , Morgan Burns return for 97 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+31
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.6
TD · Q3 6:28
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
-17.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com