Try the model
ISU

Iowa State 6 at West Virginia 30

WVU
2015 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:53 · Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Pregame prior+16.4Home team on offense+4.3Score differential+1.4Garbage-time factor−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:55: Cole Netten 33 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +3.2 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 12:56: Josh Lambert 40 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +1.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Cole Netten 49 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +2.5 pts (now 19%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:38: Skyler Howard run for 32 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +8.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:22: Rushel Shell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 31, tied
    Close callPunted · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:27ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:14WVU 4th & 1 at ISU 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.3%−0.5
    30% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:55ISU 4th & 3 at WVU 15, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.6%−0.1
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.4%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:56WVU 4th & 1 at ISU 22, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.7%−0.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:03WVU 4th & 9 at ISU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−3.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:03ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.5%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:18ISU 4th & 3 at WVU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−1.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    16.7%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:53ISU 4th & 1 at WVU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.9%−1.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:34WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−1.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:30ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:14ISU 4th & 7 at WVU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.5%−1.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:31WVU 4th & 10 at ISU 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    76.9%−5.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:23ISU 4th & 6 at WVU 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:09WVU 4th & 12 at ISU 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00ISU 4th & 17 at ISU 8, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:52WVU 4th & 15 at ISU 35, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:41ISU 4th & 14 at ISU 16, down 17
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:16ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 27, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:23WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:25ISU 4th & 19 at ISU 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:37WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:38WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:22WVU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
81.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+10
81.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to David Sills for 10 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
81.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
81.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 50 yds, downed at the IowSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2INT
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:0019% → 20%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
80.6%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
80.6%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+14
80.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 14 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
80.6%
Mike Warren run for 19 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
80.5%
Joshua Thomas run for 16 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
80.5%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+25
80.5%
Joel Lanning pass intercepted KJ Dillon return for 25 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
81.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 60 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
80.8%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+5
80.8%
Mike Warren run for 5 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+5
80.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, offside defense (Shaq Petteway) to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
80.7%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Joshua ThomasSimilar
Q1 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
80.8%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 35Similar
Q1 10:27
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
80.7%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:27
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+1
80.9%
Colin Downing punt for 51 yds , Gary Jennings returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
80.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to David SillsSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
80.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+9
80.7%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
80.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
81.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+7
81.2%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
81.2%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
81.2%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+9
80.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 9 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
80.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 5:0220% → 23%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
80.3%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
80.1%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 2
50
+8
80.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 8 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
79.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 8 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 34
-2
79.5%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+14
79.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 14 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-14
79.5%
Joel Lanning sacked by Kyle Rose for a loss of 14 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 24
OPP 36
+6
80.2%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 6 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 18
OPP 30
+15
80.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 15 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
77.2%
Cole Netten 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:4979% → 81%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
78.8%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
78.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+13
78.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 13 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
79.1%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
79.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
78.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Willie HarveySimilar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+40
80.5%
Josh Lambert 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8INT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:4020% → 19%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
79.9%
Mike Warren run for 9 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
79.5%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
79.7%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
79.9%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 9
OWN 30
0
80.8%
Joel Lanning pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the IowSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 3:5982% → 83%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
81.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 5 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 5
OPP 40
0
81.8%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+16
81.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 16 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
82.0%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 25Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 11
OPP 25
-1
82.0%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 12
OPP 26
+12
81.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 12 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
82.0%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 7
OPP 11
-5
82.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 16Similar
Q2 11:02
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+3
82.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 3 yds to the IowSt 13 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:02
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
81.6%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+30
82.6%
Josh Lambert 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10FG
25 plays · 43 yds · 7:0317% → 19%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
82.6%
Mike Warren run for 7 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
81.9%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.2%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
82.2%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 9 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-1
81.4%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 44Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
81.6%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Mike WarrenSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+3
82.5%
Holden Kramer run for 3 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-7
81.6%
Joel Lanning sacked by Christian Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 7:03
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+7
82.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for 7 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 7:03
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+7
82.2%
Joel Lanning run for 7 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+5
82.4%
Holden Kramer pass complete to Kane Seeley for 5 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
82.0%
Joel Lanning sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+1
83.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mike Warren for 1 yd to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 17
OPP 48
+22
84.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 22 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
80.0%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
80.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 11 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
80.0%
IOWA ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Wendell Taiese) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.4%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
80.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+49
80.9%
Cole Netten 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
79.6%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+14
79.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 14 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
78.6%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+3
77.8%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 49
0
77.8%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
78.7%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0082% → 79%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
50
+1
81.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the IowSt 49Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
81.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Jomal WiltzSimilar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-4
80.5%
Skyler Howard sacked by Trent Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
78.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.5%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Joshua ThomasSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
79.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
80.1%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q3 11:30
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Colin Downing punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14INT
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
80.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Kyle Bosch) to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 20
OWN 23
0
80.1%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Qujuan Floyd return for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 21%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
76.9%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
76.5%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-3
77.2%
Joel Lanning sacked by Shaq Petteway for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
79.2%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16FG
6 plays · 63 yds · 1:2582% → 84%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
81.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+52
81.9%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 52 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
83.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the IowSt 17Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
83.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
83.0%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
84.3%
Josh Lambert 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
84.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 8 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
83.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 3 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
83.7%
Joel Lanning run for 11 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
82.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton BundrageSimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
83.2%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
82.6%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton Bundrage, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
84.0%
Colin Downing punt for 32 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 1:5285% → 95%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
85.3%
Skyler Howard run for 9 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 1
OWN 26
-2
85.7%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the WVirg 34 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Daikiel Shorts) to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+12
85.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 12 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
85.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 12 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
86.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+13
86.6%
Skyler Howard run for 13 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
86.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+32
94.9%
Skyler Howard run for 32 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 21 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.0%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 12 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.7%
Joshua Thomas run for 9 yds to the IowSt 46 Joshua Thomas fumbled, forced by Jeremy Tyler, recovered by WVirg Jeremy TylerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 94%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
95.0%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 5 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+3
95.0%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the IowSt 38Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 2
OPP 38
-15
94.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Marcell Lazard) to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 17
OWN 47
+5
94.5%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
94.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the IowSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:436% → 5%
Q3 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
94.5%
Jauan Wesley run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 11Similar
Q3 1:43
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+5
94.6%
Mitchell Harger run for 5 yds to the IowSt 16Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-8
94.6%
Joel Lanning sacked by Eric Kinsey and Shaq Petteway for a loss of 8 yards to the IowSt 8Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 8
0
95.4%
Colin Downing punt for 47 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
95.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
95.7%
Skyler Howard run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+3
95.7%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.8%
Skyler Howard run for no gain to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+15
95.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 15 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
95.8%
Skyler Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 35Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 15
OPP 35
0
95.7%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 15
OPP 35
0
95.5%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton Gibson, broken up by Jomal WiltzSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
94.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
96.0%
Joshua Thomas run for 1 yd to the IowSt 21Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
96.0%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
96.1%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Quenton Bundrage, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 9
OWN 21
-5
96.2%
IOWA ST Penalty, delay of game (Holden Kramer) to the IowSt 16Similar
Q4 11:41
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
96.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:5097% → 99%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
96.8%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q4 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
96.8%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.0%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
98.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Mitchell Harger for 6 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Colin Downing punt for 45 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
99.1%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 6
OWN 46
+16
99.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 22 , Allen Lazard returns for 16 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.2%
Joshua Thomas run for 2 yds to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
99.2%
Sam B. Richardson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+23
99.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 23 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.2%
Sam B. Richardson run for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 48 Sam B. Richardson fumbled, recovered by IowSt Sam B. Richardson , return for 1 yd to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+1
99.2%
Sam B. Richardson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-5
99.3%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Brock Dagel) to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 19
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Carson EppsSimilar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Colin Downing punt for 52 yds, downed at the WVirg 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+7
99.5%
Elijah Wellman run for 7 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 3
OWN 11
+14
99.5%
Elijah Wellman run for 14 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Elijah Wellman run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.5%
Elijah Wellman run for 4 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
99.5%
Elijah Wellman run for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 14
OWN 35
-4
99.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:38
Skyler Howard run for 32 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+8
FG · Q2 14:55
Cole Netten 33 yd FG GOOD
-3.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Cole Netten 49 yd FG GOOD
-2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com