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ISU

Iowa State 35 at Kansas State 38

KSU
2015 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2015 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameTD-6KSU 53.1%Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD,(Cole Netten KICK)AWAY 14 - HOME 7 · Q2 12:21
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:21 · Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 45Home team on offense−4.6Pregame prior+8.8Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:11: Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 30 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +9.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:29: Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +11.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:13: Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 7 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +14.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:42: Charles Jones run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +37.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:03: Jack Cantele 42 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +31.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 20 at ISU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:50KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−3.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:21ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:12KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:46KSU 4th & 7 at ISU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    41.9%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:43ISU 4th & 2 at KSU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−1.9
    54% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−3.5
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:13KSU 4th & 4 at ISU 7, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−9.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:08ISU 4th & 15 at KSU 35, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:32KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:12KSU 4th & 6 at ISU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%−1.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    17.3%−5.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:33ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:27KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 44, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.2%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:36ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:50KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:21ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:11ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:59KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:34ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:29ISU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:49KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:13KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:42KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.6%−6.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
62.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for no gain to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
62.5%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 16
-2
62.5%
Joel Lanning sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 14Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 14
-3
62.5%
Joel Lanning sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 11 Joel Lanning fumbled, recovered by IowSt Joel Lanning , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 11
0
62.5%
Colin Downing punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 62%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
62.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 4 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OPP 48
-5
62.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 11
OWN 47
-5
62.6%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 16
OWN 42
0
62.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique HeathSimilar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 16
OWN 42
+6
62.4%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 6 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+46
62.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds , Allen Lazard returns for 46 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:2138% → 40%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
61.8%
Warren, Mike rush for 3 yards to the KS37 (Bryant, Marquel), PENALTY KS offside (Britz, Travis) 5 yards to the KS35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 5
OPP 35
-1
61.7%
Mike Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+15
61.8%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 15 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
59.8%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Trever Ryen for 21 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:4661% → 63%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.5%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
60.4%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
60.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 5 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
60.9%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+10
61.0%
Charles Jones run for 10 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
61.0%
Joe Hubener run for 15 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
61.2%
Joe Hubener run for 16 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
61.2%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the IowSt 4Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.3%
Glenn Gronkowski pass complete to Winston Dimel for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5DOWNS
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:4239% → 40%
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
61.4%
Mike Warren run for 11 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
60.9%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+10
60.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 10 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.7%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Jordan WillisSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+6
60.7%
Mike Warren run for 6 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+10
60.7%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Carson Epps for 10 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
60.3%
Mike Warren run for 9 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+7
60.3%
Mike Warren run for 7 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.3%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 4:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
60.3%
Mike Warren run for 5 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q1 4:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
60.7%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
60.0%
Joel Lanning run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 1 Joel Lanning fumbled, recovered by IowSt Joel LanningSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
61.7%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the KanSt 5Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 5
-1
61.6%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 3 Charles Jones fumbled, forced by Brian Mills, recovered by IowSt Luke KnottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4741% → 47%
Q2 14:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
58.6%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
58.5%
Joshua Thomas run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.1%
Joel Lanning run for no gain to the KanSt 1Similar
Q2 12:21
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.1%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
54.2%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
54.2%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:12
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+1
53.4%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 12:12
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+4
53.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 46 yds , Trever Ryen returns for 4 yds to the IowSt 23 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the IowSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:2647% → 59%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+28
52.7%
Mike Warren run for 28 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
51.2%
Joel Lanning run for 14 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
50.9%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
50.9%
Joel Lanning run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 30 Joel Lanning fumbled, recovered by IowSt Joel LanningSimilar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+30
41.1%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 30 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:2050% → 59%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
50.0%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Morgan BurnsSimilar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+76
40.9%
Mike Warren run for 76 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 27 yds · 4:3942% → 37%
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
42.3%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 8 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-1
43.0%
Joe Hubener sacked by Brian Peavy for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+6
42.8%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
43.1%
Justin Silmon run for 2 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+5
43.1%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+4
43.0%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
43.1%
Justin Silmon run for no gain to the IowSt 36Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
43.1%
Justin Silmon run for 3 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
42.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 2:46
4TH & 7
OPP 33
0
37.4%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 2:1265% → 81%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
35.3%
Warren, Mike rush for 3 yards to the ISU36 (Britz, Travis), PENALTY KS offside (Hood, Demonte) 5 yards to the ISU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 5
OWN 38
+2
34.1%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+15
34.2%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 15 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
33.9%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 16 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+17
33.6%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 17 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
33.6%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 14
OPP 16
0
34.0%
Joel Lanning pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+16
19.1%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 16 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14END OF HALF
7 plays · 40 yds · 0:1824% → 33%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+25
23.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 25 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+13
24.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 13 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
25.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 2 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
33.2%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 6:0623% → 30%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
22.9%
Joe Hubener run for 10 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
24.3%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-1
24.0%
Joe Hubener sacked by Levi Peters for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+13
23.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 13 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
25.1%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
25.3%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 5 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
25.5%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
25.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 9 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
25.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 21Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+2
25.3%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+11
25.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 11 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
30.3%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 46 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
23.7%
Mike Warren run for 4 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
23.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 4 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+15
23.8%
Joel Lanning run for 15 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
22.1%
Mike Warren run for 8 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
21.8%
Mike Warren run for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
22.1%
Mike Warren run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
21.9%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 8:43
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+2
22.0%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 8:43
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+5
22.2%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
23.9%
Joel Lanning run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:3921% → 34%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
20.7%
Joe Hubener run for 16 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
22.7%
Kody Cook run for 3 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+17
22.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 17 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
23.8%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+4
24.2%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the IowSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
24.2%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
24.2%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+1
20.2%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
20.8%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the IowSt 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
20.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Winston DimelSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+5
19.9%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the IowSt 7Similar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+7
34.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 7 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+22
28.3%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 22 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
25.5%
Joel Lanning run for 14 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
24.6%
Joel Lanning run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+10
24.4%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Quenton Bundrage for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
24.0%
Joel Lanning pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
24.1%
Joel Lanning run for 2 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-7
25.0%
Joel Lanning sacked by Kendall Adams for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 15
OPP 35
0
29.5%
Holden Kramer punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
28.1%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+16
28.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Glenn Gronkowski for 16 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
31.3%
Glenn Gronkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
29.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+6
28.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 6 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
29.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Allen Lazard at the IowSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
21.7%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
21.9%
Mike Warren run for 9 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
21.1%
Mike Warren run for 3 yds to the IowSt 38 Mike Warren fumbled, forced by Jordan Willis, recovered by KanSt Duke ShelleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0929% → 23%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
29.4%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & 13
OPP 41
+7
26.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 7 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
28.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
23.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody Cook, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3587% → 89%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
13.5%
Mike Warren run for 10 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
12.1%
Mike Warren run for 2 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
12.3%
Joel Lanning run for no gain to the IowSt 46Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 46
-1
12.9%
Joel Lanning sacked by Charmeachealle Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 45Similar
Q4 2:33
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
11.3%
Colin Downing punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+26
18.6%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 26 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
23.6%
Joe Hubener sacked by Luke Knott for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 18
OWN 44
0
18.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 18
OWN 44
0
18.1%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique Heath, broken up by Brian PeavySimilar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 18
OWN 44
0
17.1%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
4.8%
Mike Warren run for no gain to the KanSt 45 Mike Warren fumbled, forced by Will Geary, recovered by KanSt Elijah LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 0:4017% → 63%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+42
17.3%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Andre Davis for 42 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
25.6%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
25.6%
Joe Hubener run for 3 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
63.2%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0052% → 53%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.4%
Joel Lanning run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
46.9%
Joel Lanning sacked by Marquel Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the IowSt 22 Joel Lanning fumbled, recovered by KanSt Charmeachealle Moore , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0766% → 95%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
65.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 25Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+42
95.8%
Jack Cantele 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 0:03
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-15
94.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jack Cantele) to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q4 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
76.5%
Joel Lanning pass complete to Allen Lazard for 9 yds to the KanSt 37 lat. to Jauan Wesley for 3 yds to the KanSt 37 lat. to Joshua Thomas for 15 yds Joshua Thomas fumbled, recovered by IowSt Allen Lazard , return for 1 yd to the KanSt 37 Allen Lazard fumbled, recovered by KanSt Will DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:42
Charles Jones run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)
+37.5
FG · Q4 0:03
Jack Cantele 42 yd FG GOOD
+31.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+23.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com