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TEX

Texas 20 at West Virginia 38

WVU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:46 · Jerrod Heard pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the WVirg 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+3.2Home team on offense+18.7Garbage-time factor+6.1Score differential+7.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:00: Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 53 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +11.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:33: Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +10.7 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 1:48: Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 8 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +11.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 14:57: Josh Lambert 19 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +5.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:30: Skyler Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +5.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:37TEX 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:31TEX 4th & 6 at WVU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.2%
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.1%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:31WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WVU 4th & 8 at TEX 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:50TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11TEX 4th & 7 at WVU 37, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−0.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:33WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.5%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:47TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−1.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:57WVU 4th & 2 at TEX 2, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−7.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:46TEX 4th & 6 at WVU 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    8.6%−0.3
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−1.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:38WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 10, up 14
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:24WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:25TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 19, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:24TEX Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:17WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:00WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:33TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:48WVU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:30WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
65.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 14 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+8
65.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 8 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
65.5%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+3
65.5%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
0
65.5%
Skyler Howard pass intercepted Davante Davis return for no gain to the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
65.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
65.2%
Jerrod Heard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-4
65.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line TEAM fumbled, recovered by Texas Jerrod Heard , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 8
50
0
65.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
65.3%
Skyler Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.2%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+3
65.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Rushel Shell for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 34 yds, downed at the Texas 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 3:1635% → 36%
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+30
64.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Caleb Bluiett for 30 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
64.5%
Jerrod Heard run for 9 yds to the WVirg 20 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 11
OPP 30
+8
64.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+5
64.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the WVirg 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
64.5%
TEXAS Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 22Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
64.5%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Caleb Bluiett, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+4
64.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 10:47
3RD & 11
OPP 18
+5
64.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 5 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
63.8%
Nick Rose 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 9 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
64.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
64.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 26Similar
Q1 7:31
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+13
63.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 13 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
64.5%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+1
64.3%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 7:31
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
63.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 7 , Daje Johnson returns for no gain to the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6FUMBLE TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:3836% → 35%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
63.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 4
OWN 13
-3
63.7%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 10Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 7
OWN 10
+37
64.1%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to John Burt for 37 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
64.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 5 yards D'Onta Foreman fumbled, recovered by WVirg Jared Barber , return for 42 yds, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
62.8%
D'Onta Foreman run for 65 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 3:2463% → 62%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
62.9%
Skyler Howard sacked by Desmond Jackson and Naashon Hughes for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+4
62.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+16
62.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 16 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
64.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-1
64.1%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
63.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 4 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-5
63.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
61.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 46 yds, downed at the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
61.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
61.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+8
62.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
61.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-9
61.4%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-9 Yards) to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 16
OWN 9
-1
61.7%
Jerrod Heard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 8Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+12
62.2%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for 12 yds to the Texas 20 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
62.4%
Michael Dickson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:5163% → 68%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
62.6%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 4
50
+4
63.0%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
63.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Ka'Raun White for 18 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
63.8%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+10
63.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
63.8%
Skyler Howard run for 7 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+9
63.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 9 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.2%
Elijah Wellman run for 1 yd for a TD TEXAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11FUMBLE
16 plays · 53 yds · 6:1234% → 39%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
65.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
65.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+19
65.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 19 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
63.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 9 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+3
63.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
63.7%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-10
63.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Caleb Bluiett) to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+6
65.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 6 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+8
65.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 8 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
62.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
62.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-5
63.5%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+13
61.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the WVirg 13 Tyrone Swoopes fumbled, forced by Nick Kwiatkoski, recovered by WVirg Daryl Worley WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Christian Brown) to the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 0:4867% → 79%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
66.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 19 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
67.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+10
68.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
79.4%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 53 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
77.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
76.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:2122% → 36%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
78.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
78.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Alex De La Torre for 5 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
77.9%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to D'Onta ForemanSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
78.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
78.4%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 7 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
77.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 10 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
76.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+22
76.1%
Chris Warren III run for 22 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
75.2%
Chris Warren III run for 2 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
75.2%
Chris Warren III run for no gain to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+8
76.6%
Jerrod Heard run for 8 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
75.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+6
75.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+5
64.5%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
70.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
70.2%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
69.8%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+58
69.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 51 yds TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (Kris Boyd) to the Texas 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
69.3%
Jerrod Heard run for 8 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 2
OWN 16
-1
68.6%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+4
70.1%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 4 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
68.6%
Chris Warren III run for 2 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 21
-1
68.8%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Chris Warren III for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+1
70.1%
Jerrod Heard run for 1 yd to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
71.1%
Michael Dickson punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 2:1573% → 86%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
73.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
73.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
73.3%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 7 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
75.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+4
75.1%
Skyler Howard run for 4 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 1:48
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+8
86.1%
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 8 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:4487% → 92%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
86.9%
Rushel Shell run for 12 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
86.7%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
86.7%
Skyler Howard run for 3 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q3 0:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
87.2%
Skyler Howard run for 1 yd to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 14:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
92.4%
Josh Lambert 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20INT
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:0510% → 8%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+36
89.9%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 36 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
88.3%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
88.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+10
88.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 10 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
87.8%
Jerrod Heard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+2
86.9%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
87.7%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to Daje Johnson, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
92.3%
Jerrod Heard pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
94.3%
Elijah Wellman run for 5 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 7
+4
94.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 11
-1
94.1%
Skyler Howard sacked by Peter Jinkens for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
93.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:146% → 10%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+28
93.7%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 28 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
92.7%
Jerrod Heard sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
93.2%
Jerrod Heard pass incomplete to D'Onta ForemanSimilar
Q4 10:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
-1
93.8%
Jerrod Heard sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 16 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+34
89.9%
Nick Rose 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
91.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-3
91.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.9%
Jerrod Heard pass intercepted Nick Kwiatkoski return for no gain to the Texas 43 TEXAS Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 3:4294% → 99%
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
93.6%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+12
93.6%
Skyler Howard run for 12 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+16
93.7%
Rushel Shell run for 16 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
93.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+13
93.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 13 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
93.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
93.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
98.2%
Jerrod Heard run for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-5
98.2%
Jerrod Heard sacked by Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 13
OWN 21
-2
98.3%
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Chris Warren III for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 15
OWN 19
0
98.3%
Michael Dickson punt for 54 yds, fair catch by KJ Dillon at the WVirg 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
99.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+1
99.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:00
Skyler Howard pass complete to Jovon Durante for 53 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+11
TD · Q3 1:48
Skyler Howard pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 8 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+11
TD · Q3 8:33
Jerrod Heard pass complete to Daje Johnson for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com