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KSU

Kansas State 44 at Texas Tech 59

TTU
2015 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2015 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Michael Barden punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 50Home team on offense+9.8Pregame prior+18.1Score differential+6.6Garbage-time factor+2.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:43: Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 19 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +9.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:04: Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +8.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:00: Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +9.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:37: Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 20 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK) — TTU win probability +9.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:04: Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 33 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +8.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:15KSU 4th & 8 at TTU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    33.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:23KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TTU 4th & 22 at TTU 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:19TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:04TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:37KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−1.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:14TTU 4th & 7 at KSU 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:14KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:25KSU 4th & 6 at TTU 6, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:25TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 13, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:38KSU 4th & 8 at TTU 26, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−2.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:02KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 40, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:08TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:56KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 10:15TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 7:51TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 4:47TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:02KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:43TTU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 2:04KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 10:00KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 7:37TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 11:30TTU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 7:25KSU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 5:04KSU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.2%
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 1:02TTU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:5274% → 74%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
73.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 14 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
73.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 5 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
73.9%
Washington, De. rush for 5 yards to the TTU49 (Newlan, Sean;Burns, Morgan), PENALTY KS offside 5 yards to the TTU49, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
73.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 13 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
73.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 7 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+3
73.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
73.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 6 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+5
73.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
73.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
74.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 17 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4173% → 75%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
73.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 9 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
73.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+53
73.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 53 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
74.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
74.1%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+16
74.0%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 16 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
73.8%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
73.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Jah'Shawn JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
73.9%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:15
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
74.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:1975% → 77%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+80
77.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 80 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 49 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
76.6%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
76.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+34
76.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 34 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
76.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Zach Reuter for 10 yds Zach Reuter fumbled, forced by J.J. Gaines, recovered by TexTc Jah'Shawn Johnson , return for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:3278% → 82%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
77.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 5 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 6:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+35
78.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 35 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
78.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 16 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.2%
Justin Stockton run for 7 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:2419% → 17%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+23
81.4%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Malik Jenkins) to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
81.1%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 13
OWN 43
-1
83.3%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 3:23
3RD & 14
OWN 42
+5
83.4%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kody Cook for 5 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 3:23
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
83.3%
Nick Walsh punt for 51 yds, downed at the TexTc 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:4984% → 85%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
83.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
84.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 6 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+5
84.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 5 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-14
84.3%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 14 yards to the TexTc 10Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 24
OWN 10
+10
84.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 10 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 14
OWN 20
-8
84.0%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Tanner Wood and Marquel Bryant for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 12
0
84.9%
Michael Barden punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
86.0%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+7
85.9%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
85.8%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 5 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
85.5%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-1
85.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
86.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
88.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
88.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
88.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 12:19
4TH & 6
OWN 22
+12
87.9%
Michael Barden punt for 61 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 12 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 5:1012% → 18%
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.2%
Joe Hubener run for no gain to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+7
88.5%
Joe Hubener run for 7 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+6
88.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 6 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
88.0%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+30
88.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 30 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
87.2%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+14
87.1%
Justin Silmon run for 14 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
87.1%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
87.1%
Winston Dimel run for 1 yd to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 0
OPP 1
0
87.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) to the TexTc 1Similar
Q2 6:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.6%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:1984% → 94%
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
83.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 8 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+4
84.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+19
84.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 19 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
84.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 16 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
84.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 19 yds to the KanSt 4 TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the KanSt 19Similar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
93.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 19 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:398% → 18%
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Keenon WardSimilar
Q2 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
91.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Pete RobertsonSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+35
91.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 35 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
91.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Steven West for 27 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
90.4%
Charles Jones run for 11 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.6%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
84.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 5 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
84.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
84.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q2 2:04
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
83.5%
Michael Barden punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
84.4%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Steven West, broken up by J.J. GainesSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
84.5%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Steven WestSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
84.8%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Nigel BethelSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+13
85.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 13 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17MISSED FG
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:3386% → 86%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
85.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for no gain to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+5
86.2%
Mahomes, P. pass incomplete to Lauderdale, D., PENALTY KS offside (Bryant, Marquel) 5 yards to the TTU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
86.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+13
85.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 13 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
86.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
86.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 7 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+51
86.2%
Clayton Hatfield 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.0%
Charles Jones run for 15 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
84.2%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
83.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dominique Heath, broken up by Tevin MadisonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
-5
83.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
84.6%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante Burton, broken up by Nigel BethelSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
85.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
86.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 23
-4
86.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the TexTc 19 DeAndre Washington fumbled, forced by Will Geary, recovered by KanSt Will Geary TEXAS TECH Penalty, personal foul (Emeka Okafor) to the TexTc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 2:2517% → 27%
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
83.0%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the TexTc 12Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+3
83.0%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.0%
Joe Hubener run for no gain to the TexTc 9Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
83.0%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.5%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:2378% → 90%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
77.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+14
78.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 14 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
79.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 12 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
79.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 5 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+11
79.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
80.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 5 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
80.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 6 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
90.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 20 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
87.9%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 5Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
88.0%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 10
OWN 5
0
88.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Dayton ValentineSimilar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 10
OWN 5
0
88.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23FG
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1190% → 93%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
90.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (Devin Lauderdale) to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+8
90.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 8 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 7
OPP 31
0
90.4%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
89.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jonathan GilesSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
93.0%
Clayton Hatfield 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.4%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
92.0%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
91.9%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
91.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle Klein, broken up by Nigel BethelSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
92.2%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Kyle KleinSimilar
Q3 5:14
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
92.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25TD
17 plays · 87 yds · 6:3294% → 99%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
93.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 4 yds to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+5
93.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 22Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+4
93.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
94.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 4 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
94.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 2 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 3:02
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+24
93.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 24 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
94.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
94.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
95.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 5 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
95.3%
Justin Stockton run for 5 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
95.3%
Patrick Mahomes run for no gain to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
95.3%
Patrick Mahomes run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+9
96.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 9 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
96.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 2 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+6
96.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.2%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 26TD
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:052% → 4%
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.5%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
98.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Deante Burton for 11 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
98.5%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Charles Jones for 8 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+15
98.4%
Hubener, Joe pass incomplete to Heath, D. (Johnson, Jah.), PENALTY TTU personal foul (Johnson, Jah.) 15 yards to the TTU26, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
98.2%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+1
98.2%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+12
98.4%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 12 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
98.2%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
98.2%
Joe Hubener run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 6Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.4%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 7:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
98.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-4
98.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 4 yds to the TexTc 15 TEXAS TECH Penalty, clipping (Le'Raven Clark) to the TexTc 7Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+6
98.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 6 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
98.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q4 7:25
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+22
98.8%
Michael Barden punt for 42 yds , Dominique Heath returns for 22 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 28TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
90.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Kyle Klein for 33 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 29FG
9 plays · 26 yds · 1:268% → 11%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
91.7%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Charles JonesSimilar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+24
91.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 24 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
89.7%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Steven West for 9 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 1
OPP 19
-7
89.7%
Joe Hubener sacked by D'Vonta Hinton for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 5:04
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
91.3%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Charles JonesSimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
87.7%
Jack Cantele 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
89.1%
Cantele, Jack kickoff 11 yards to the KS46, on-side kick, recovered by KS Dimel, Winston on KS46, PENALTY KS offside declined, PENALTY KS illegal block (Couchman, C.) 5 yards to the KS30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30TD
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:3697% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
97.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 18 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
97.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
97.2%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+7
98.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 7 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
98.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+1
98.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the KanSt 12Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
99.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 12 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)Similar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 0
OWN 0
+15
99.5%
KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Marquel Bryant) to the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 31INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.2%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 12 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.1%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-4
99.0%
Joe Hubener sacked by Gary Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+32
99.2%
TEAM pass intercepted Jah'Shawn Johnson return for 32 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:37
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 20 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q3 10:00
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q2 3:43
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 19 yds for a TD, (Clayton Hatfield KICK)
+9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com